Khalil HerbertAtlanta Falcons
RB/Atlanta Falcons

Khalil Herbert

Age 28.5 · 6th season · 5'8", 210 lb · Virginia Tech · 2021 R6 #217
01

Week 6

Lines Oct 14
ATL
VS
Sun · Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
CHI
LineCHI -3Total49.5ATL implied23.3Rest7 days (CHI 7)Forecast64°F, wind 12 mph
Our Week 6 projection

0 points. Our projection does not expect him to play this week.

Updated Oct 14, 2026.

Chicago Bears defense vs RBs
#7of 32 in fantasy points allowed to RBs (1 = stingiest)
StingiestSoftest
PPR a game
18.4
rush yds
82
rec
3.0
TD
0.8

Allowed to RBs per game across 5 games. Best games against them: Chuba Hubbard (W1, 23.7 PPR, 10 car 49 ry, 3/3 38 rec); MarShawn Lloyd (W5, 16.7 PPR, 10 car 31 ry, 1/2 6 rec); Aaron Jones (W2, 10.5 PPR, 23 car 105 ry, 0/0 0 rec).

EPA ranks entering Week 6: #20 against the pass, #20 against the run (1 = best defense).

Where CHI gives up receiving fantasy points to RBs
Left
Middle
Right
Deep 20+
0.0#1
0.0#1
1.1#32
Middle 10–19
0.0#1
0.0#1
0.0#1
Short 0–9
0.3#2
0.9#20
1.9#27
Behind line
0.6#3
0.0#1
0.7#5

Runs by directionRB rushing points allowed a game

Left
Middle
Right
Rushing
7.1#24
0.4#1
4.3#17
StingySoft

Big number: receiving fantasy points CHI allows a game to RBs in that zone. # = its rank of 32. Depth is air yards at the catch point; 5 games, through Week 5. Tap a zone for the detail.

Week 5: projected vs. actual
Projected
0.0
RB122
Actual
0.0
Difference
0.0

no stats recorded

Do defensive matchups actually matter? Our study ›

02

Game log

2026 · through W5

No catch, carry or pass recorded in 2026 yet.

Atlanta Falcons have played 5 games. His past seasons are under Career.

03

Splits

Against coverage2022-2025 (2026 is not charted per player)

CoverageTgtYds/tgtCaughtEPA/tgt
Man196.574%−0.36
Zone402.465%−0.49

Do some receivers really beat man coverage? ›

04

Team

ATL
Points a game
23.8
13th of 32
Plays a game
61.4
16th of 32
EPA per play
-0.023
19th of 32
Pass rate over exp.
−11.0%
30th of 32
Red-zone plays a game
7.4
28th of 32
Motion rate
51%
6th of 32
Play-action rate
10%
25th of 32
No-huddle rate
2%
27th of 32

Atlanta Falcons offense, 2026 through Week 5. Rank 1 = most. Scheme rates from FTN charting through Week 5.

Game by gamescore, implied total, pass rate (over expected), QB

WeekScoreImpliedPass rateQB
W1vs PIT13-2017.046%−17.3Rush22 att
W2vs CAR3-3420.552%−18.3Rush17 att
W3vs GB35-1419.540%−6.6Penix25 att
W4vs NO45-2423.039%−8.0Penix20 att
W5vs BAL23-3024.059%−4.9Penix32 att

Depth chartRB, Oct 14

RB2
Brian Robinson Jr.

Scheduleeach defense's current rank vs RBs

W6
CHI
#7
W7
SF
#24
W8
@TB
#5
W9
CIN
#8
W10
KC
#14
W11
BYE
W12
@MIN
#1
W13
DET
#9
W14
@CLE
#6
W15
@WAS
#2
W16
TB
#5
W17
NO
#32
W18
@CAR
#28
Next 4
#11
average rank
Playoffs W15–17
#13
average rank
Bye
W11

Green = soft, red = stingy (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest), ranked on fantasy points allowed to RBs so far. Gold underline = fantasy playoffs. Does strength of schedule matter? ›

Head coach: Raheem Morris. QB: Michael Penix (most pass attempts, Week 5).

05

Career

Points a game by season
’214.9’229.1’239.4’242.9’252.2
’214.5’228.7’238.5’242.4’252.0
’214.1’228.4’237.7’242.0’251.9

Season by season

YearGRushing / receivingPts/gxFP/g
2025NYJ316-52-0 rush1-4-0 rec on 4 tgt2.03.3−9.8
2024CIN1136-130-1 rush10-25-0 rec on 11 tgt2.4RB795.0−8.8
2023CHI12132-611-2 rush20-134-1 rec on 31 tgt8.5RB3710.4−12.5
2022CHI13129-731-4 rush9-57-1 rec on 12 tgt8.7RB387.6+19.1
2021CHI16103-433-2 rush14-96-0 rec on 16 tgt4.5RB686.3−9.4

Under points a game: his rank at RB in points a game (8+ games; 2026: 2+ games). xFP = expected PPR a game from his usage; under it, the season's points over expected. Routes = share of team dropbacks he ran a route (through 2025).

Red zone and touchdowns

20253 RZ car (5%), 0 inside 5, 0 rush TD vs 0.2 exp · 1 RZ tgt (2%), 0 end-zone, 0 rec TD vs 0.2 exp
20247 RZ car (10%), 4 inside 5, 1 rush TD vs 1.9 exp · 3 RZ tgt (3%), 0 end-zone, 0 rec TD vs 0.6 exp
202315 RZ car (20%), 1 inside 5, 2 rush TD vs 1.4 exp · 4 RZ tgt (7%), 3 end-zone, 1 rec TD vs 1.0 exp
202220 RZ car (24%), 8 inside 5, 4 rush TD vs 4.1 exp · 2 RZ tgt (5%), 0 end-zone, 0 rec TD vs 0.3 exp

Floor and ceilingPPR

Boom rate
14%
1.5x his recent average and 10+
Bust rate
36%
half his recent average or less
Week-to-week swing
1.03
CV over 42 games
Middle half of games
0.4–6.8
PPR, 28 games 2023–25

2 of his last 28 games reached 20 PPR; 23 finished under 10. Is there a floor-vs-ceiling trade-off? ›

Every game since 2021

2025 game log 5 games · NYJ · 1.3 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W5vs DAL · D27no stats0%0.0
W14vs MIA · D18no stats0%0.0
W15@ JAX · D52-5 rush · 0-0 on 1 tgt7%0.5
W17vs NE · D32-5 rush · 0-0 on 1 tgt21%0.5
W18@ BUF · D2712-42 rush · 1-4 on 2 tgt67%5.1
2024 game log 11 games · CHI · 2.9 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W1vs TEN · D62-4 rush11%0.4
W2@ HOU · D142-3-1 rush · 2-4 on 2 tgt9%7.7
W3@ IND · D284-9 rush10%0.9
W5vs CAR · D31no stats4%0.0
W10@ BAL · D8no stats2%0.0
W11@ LAC · D3no stats5%0.0
W13vs PIT · D121-14 rush10%1.4
W14@ DAL · D292-4 rush · 1-7 on 1 tgt10%1.6
W15@ TEN · D151-4 rush4%0.4
W17vs DEN · D164-23 rush20%2.3
W18@ PIT · D1120-69 rush · 7-14 on 8 tgt95%11.8
2023 game log 12 games · CHI · 9.4 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W1vs GB · D249-27 rush · 3-37 on 5 tgt36%9.9
W2@ TB · D77-35 rush · 1-23 on 3 tgt60%6.3
W3@ KC · D207-31 rush · 2-4 on 2 tgt55%2.5
W4vs DEN · D3218-103 rush · 4-19-1 on 5 tgt78%20.2
W5@ WAS · D1510-76 rush · 0-0 on 3 tgt66%7.6
W11@ DET · D516-35 rush · 2-6 on 3 tgt43%5.1
W12@ MIN · D96-24 rush · 2-14 on 2 tgt21%4.8
W14vs DET · D43-8 rush17%0.8
W15@ CLE · D116-8 rush · 1-4 on 1 tgt23%1.7
W16vs ARI · D3220-112-1 rush · 1-9 on 2 tgt51%18.6
W17vs ATL · D218-124-1 rush · 2-5 on 3 tgt50%19.9
W18@ GB · D2112-28 rush · 2-13 on 2 tgt48%5.1
2022 game log 13 games · CHI · 9.1 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W1vs SF9-45-1 rush · 1--2 on 1 tgt29%10.8
W2@ GB4-38 rush · 1-3 on 1 tgt20%4.6
W3vs HOU20-157-2 rush · 2-12 on 2 tgt60%29.9
W4@ NYG · D1919-77 rush · 1-24 on 1 tgt77%10.6
W5@ MIN · D274-11 rush28%1.1
W6vs WAS · D187-74 rush22%7.4
W7@ NE · D312-62 rush · 1-25-1 on 2 tgt41%15.2
W8@ DAL · D116-99-1 rush28%15.9
W9vs MIA · D227-23 rush28%2.3
W10vs DET · D2510-57 rush38%5.7
W16vs BUF · D126-7 rush · 2--4 on 3 tgt41%1.3
W17@ DET · D115-31 rush38%3.1
W18vs MIN · D2310-50 rush · 1--1 on 2 tgt37%5.4
2021 game log 16 games · CHI · 4.9 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W1@ LAno stats1%0.0
W3@ CLEno stats4%0.0
W4vs DET3-7 rush12%0.7
W5@ LV18-75 rush53%7.5
W6vs GB19-97-1 rush · 2-15 on 3 tgt89%18.2
W7@ TB18-100 rush · 5-33 on 5 tgt77%15.8
W8vs SF23-72 rush · 2--4 on 2 tgt84%7.8
W9@ PIT4-13 rush16%1.3
W11vs BAL1-0 rush12%0.0
W12@ DET4-9 rush14%0.9
W13vs ARI4-16 rush · 1-11 on 1 tgt29%3.2
W14@ GB1-3 rush8%0.3
W15vs MIN3-34 on 4 tgt23%4.9
W16@ SEA2-21-1 rush · 1-7 on 1 tgt11%9.3
W17vs NYG2-9 rush14%0.9
W18@ MIN4-11 rush21%1.1
06

Health

No injury designation. Not on the Sleeper injury list as of Oct 10 and not on the Week 6 practice report so far.

2026 injury reportofficial, week by week

W6
•

✓ = not listed. Letters = game status (Q, D, O) or worst practice that week (LP limited, DNP did not practice). Tap a week for the detail.

Historyofficial injury reports since 2020

YearWeeks listedRuled outListed for
202520Groin (2)
202341Ankle (3), Back
202120Shoulder, Illness

1 games missed 2023–25 (0.20 a season), Ankle.

8 report weeks over 3 seasons; recurring: Shoulder, Illness, Ankle, Back, Groin. Risk label: moderate.

How long do players take to recover? ›

Teammates on the report

questionable

Our current notes first, then Sleeper designations. What happens when a starter is ruled out? ›

07

Value

Market Oct 10
1QB value
822
#431 overall · RB120 · tier 13
Superflex
754
#419 overall · RB116
30 days
—
90 days +3 · 1 year +156
Peak
4,629
Nov 5, 2022 · 82% off
1QB dynasty value, last two years
1K2KJan ’25Jul ’25Jan ’26Jul ’268222,398

Market value on a 0–10,000 scale, through Oct 10, 2026. Faint stretches are estimates between real readings. Gold = peak.

Where his value could be in a year
136
533
1,037

Teal dot = today (822). Box = the middle half of outcomes, white line = the median, whiskers = 10th to 90th percentile. RBs about 28 valued near #400 overall: real 1-year moves since 2022, weighted by exact age and market rank (about 47 players' worth).

Redraft ADP, final preseason (Sep 12, 2026)

170.0 overall, RB67. ESPN 170.0 · Underdog 216.0

08

Profile

Age
28.5
Size
5'8"
210 lb
College
Virginia Tech

Keep digging

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Sources: nflverse play-by-play, weekly stats, Next Gen Stats and FTN charting (free public data); official NFL injury reports; Sleeper; GWTTKB rankings, projections and market data. Built 2026-10-14. Every number on this page comes from those files; where a stat is not on file it is left blank, never zero. Nothing here is betting advice.