Zachariah Branch
Overview
Board Oct 12Week 5 rest-of-season review, Oct 12, 2026. The three reads are where our backtested model, the betting market and his 2026 production each place him at WR; our board rank is the call.
Where his stats say he could finish from here: WR79 to WR98. Our rank stays the call.
2026 so far5 games
80% range 1.5–4.6 half-PPR points a game. Biggest inputs: final college season +0.5, college production -0.5, sportsbook-implied points Wks 1-4 -0.3, Week 5 sportsbook lines -0.3. The model informs the rank; it does not set it.
Week 6
Lines Oct 14ATL
CHIUpdated Oct 14, 2026, built on a ATL team total of 23.25. Rank is among every WR we project this week.
Allowed to WRs per game across 5 games. Best games against them: Jalen Coker (W1, 33.8 PPR, 8/9 138 yds); Christian Watson (W5, 32.3 PPR, 6/8 143 yds); Matthew Golden (W5, 20.3 PPR, 6/7 123 yds).
EPA ranks entering Week 6: #20 against the pass, #20 against the run (1 = best defense).
Big number: receiving fantasy points CHI allows a game to WRs in that zone. # = its rank of 32. Green tag = Zachariah Branch's share of his targets in that zone this season. Depth is air yards at the catch point; 5 games, through Week 5. Tap a zone for the detail.
2-15 rec on 2 tgt
Game log
2026 · through W5Every gametap a game for the detail
ATL +6.5 (closing) · total 40.5 · 77°F, wind 4 mph · 7 days rest · Injury report: practice FP
Projected 2.5 (WR100) · ATL +2.5 (closing) · total 43.5 · indoors · 7 days rest · division game
Projected 2.4 (WR103) · ATL +4.5 (closing) · total 43.5 · 61°F, wind 5 mph · 4 days rest · prime time
Projected 2.6 (WR102) · ATL +1.5 (closing) · total 47.5 · indoors · 11 days rest · prime time · division game
Projected 3.2 (WR83) · ATL -3.5 (closing) · total 44.5 · indoors · 6 days rest · prime time
D# = the opponent's rank against WRs entering that week (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest). Finish = his rank at WR that week.
Usage
What changedlast 3 full games vs. before
| W1, W2 | W3, W4, W5 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Snap share | 25.0% | 20.0% | −5.0 |
| Target share | 3.3% | 8.2% | +4.9 |
| Air-yard share | -220.0% | -93.0% | +127.0 |
| Targets a game | 1.0 | 2.0 | +1.0 |
Games he left injured are left out of both sides.
ATL target treeshare of team targets, 2026
Season to date, games each player played.
Role details2026, through Week 5
Advanced
Percentile against the WRs on our charts (each stat's minimum is next to it), 2026 through Week 5. 50 is the middle of the pack. Tap a bubble for his rank.
Expected vs. actualPPR, from this season's play-by-play
0 TDs on 0.04 expected. Expected points price every target by depth and field position and every carry by field position. Do touchdowns regress? ›
Splits
As a receiver2026 charted plays, through Week 5
| Situation | Tgt | Rec-Yds-TD | Yds/tgt | EPA/tgt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All targets | 8 | 7-46-0 | 5.88.2 | 0.160.27 |
| Third down25% of targets | 2 | 1-23-0 | 11.57.1 | 0.770.14 |
| Score within 763% of targets | 5 | 4-31-0 | 6.28.1 | 0.250.26 |
| Trailing by 8+25% of targets | 2 | 2-14-0 | 7.08.2 | 0.260.28 |
| Leading by 8+13% of targets | 1 | 1-1-0 | 1.09.3 | -0.470.37 |
| Two-minute drill13% of targets | 1 | 1-11-0 | 11.07.5 | 0.800.17 |
| Vs. the blitz38% of targets | 3 | 2-3-0 | 1.07.9 | -0.550.23 |
| No blitz63% of targets | 5 | 5-43-0 | 8.68.4 | 0.590.29 |
| Play action38% of targets | 3 | 3-0-0 | 0.010.4 | -0.500.41 |
| With motion88% of targets | 7 | 7-46-0 | 6.68.3 | 0.350.32 |
| Screens63% of targets | 5 | 5-14-0 | 2.84.7 | -0.20-0.20 |
Small grey number = every WR in that situation. Green or red = a clear gap either way. 7 of his 8 charted targets were catchable; 0 drops, 0 of 0 contested caught.
With and withoutfantasy points a game, ATL, 2025–2026
"Without" = games he played and the teammate did not (a QB counts as playing with 10+ attempts). Games either of them left injured are left out. Small samples swing hard. Who benefits when a player gets hurt? ›
Team
ATLAtlanta Falcons offense, 2026 through Week 5. Rank 1 = most. Scheme rates from FTN charting through Week 5.
Game by gamescore, implied total, pass rate (over expected), QB
| Week | Score | Implied | Pass rate | QB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1vs PIT | 13-20 | 17.0 | 46%−17.3 | Rush22 att |
| W2vs CAR | 3-34 | 20.5 | 52%−18.3 | Rush17 att |
| W3vs GB | 35-14 | 19.5 | 40%−6.6 | Penix25 att |
| W4vs NO | 45-24 | 23.0 | 39%−8.0 | Penix20 att |
| W5vs BAL | 23-30 | 24.0 | 59%−4.9 | Penix32 att |
Depth chartWR, Oct 14
Scheduleeach defense's current rank vs WRs
Green = soft, red = stingy (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest), ranked on fantasy points allowed to WRs so far. Gold underline = fantasy playoffs. Does strength of schedule matter? ›
Head coach: Raheem Morris. QB: Michael Penix (most pass attempts, Week 5).
Charts
Zachariah Branch is highlighted on each chart. Swipe for more; tap a dot for the player. Every chart saves and shares as an image on the Charts page.
Career
Season by season
| Year | G | Rec-Yds-TD | Pts/g | xFP/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026ATL | 5 | 7-46-08 tgt, 6.2% share | 1.6WR128 | 2.2+0.5 |
Under points a game: his rank at WR in points a game (8+ games; 2026: 2+ games). xFP = expected PPR a game from his usage; under it, the season's points over expected. Routes = share of team dropbacks he ran a route (through 2025).
Health
No injury designation. Not on the Sleeper injury list as of Oct 10 and not on the Week 6 practice report so far.
2026 injury reportofficial, week by week
✓ = not listed. Letters = game status (Q, D, O) or worst practice that week (LP limited, DNP did not practice). Tap a week for the detail.
Teammates on the report
Our current notes first, then Sleeper designations. What happens when a starter is ruled out? ›
Value
Market Oct 10Market value on a 0–10,000 scale, through Oct 10, 2026. Faint stretches are estimates between real readings. Gold = peak.
Teal dot = today (3,092). Box = the middle half of outcomes, white line = the median, whiskers = 10th to 90th percentile. WRs about 23 valued near #188 overall: real 1-year moves since 2022, weighted by exact age and market rank (about 117 players' worth).
182.0 overall, WR143. ESPN 170.1 · Underdog 178.9 · Sleeper 193.8
Profile
Athletic profilepercentile vs WRs at the combine since 2010
College production
| Year | G | Rec-Yds-TD | Yds share | Dominator |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025Georgia | 13 | 73-744-5 | 26.0% | 23.4 |
| 2024USC | 12 | 47-503-1 | 14.4% | 9.2 |
| 2023USC | 11 | 29-311-2 | 8.3% | 7.5 |
Share = his share of his team's receiving yards. Dominator = average of his share of receiving yards and TDs.