Isaiah Davis
Overview
Board Oct 12Week 5 rest-of-season review, Oct 12, 2026. The three reads are where our backtested model, the betting market and his 2026 production each place him at RB; our board rank is the call.
Where his stats say he could finish from here: RB72 to RB85. Our rank stays the call.
2026 so far4 games
80% range 1.5–5.5 half-PPR points a game. Biggest inputs: team play volume +0.7, last-game snap share -0.6, 2025 PPG -0.5, rushing yards -0.5. The model informs the rank; it does not set it.
Week 6
Lines Oct 14NYJ
NEUpdated Oct 14, 2026, built on a NYJ team total of 18. Rank is among every RB we project this week.
Allowed to RBs per game across 5 games. Best games against them: Bhayshul Tuten (W3, 17 PPR, 15 car 73 ry, 2/2 17 rec); James Cook (W4, 16.3 PPR, 12 car 75 ry, 2/2 8 rec); Dylan Laube (W5, 11.5 PPR, 4 car 9 ry, 3/3 16 rec).
EPA ranks entering Week 6: #16 against the pass, #21 against the run (1 = best defense).
Runs by directionRB rushing points allowed a game
Big number: receiving fantasy points NE allows a game to RBs in that zone. # = its rank of 32. Depth is air yards at the catch point; 5 games, through Week 5. Tap a zone for the detail.
Against NE beforelast 4
| Game | Line | Pts |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 W17vs NE · L 10-42 | 3-11 rush · 1-9 on 1 tgt | 2.5 |
| 2025 W11@ NE · L 14-27 | 2-11 rush · 0-0 on 1 tgt | 1.1 |
| 2024 W8@ NE · L 22-25 | no stats | 0.0 |
| 2024 W3vs NE · W 24-3 | 3-6 rush | 0.6 |
2-8 rush, 1-9 rec on 2 tgt
Game log
2026 · through W5Every gametap a game for the detail
Projected 1.1 (RB77) · NYJ +3.5 (closing) · total 44.5 · 69°F, wind 7 mph · 7 days rest
Projected 0.8 (RB88) · NYJ +7 (closing) · total 49.5 · indoors · 7 days rest
Projected 6.3 (RB39) · NYJ +3.5 (closing) · total 43.5 · 72°F, wind 3 mph · 7 days rest
Projected 3.1 (RB55) · NYJ -2.5 (closing) · total 38.5 · 7 days rest
D# = the opponent's rank against RBs entering that week (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest). Finish = his rank at RB that week.
Usage
What changedlast 3 full games vs. before
| W2 | W3, W4, W5 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Snap share | 0.0% | 6.7% | +6.7 |
| Target share | 0.0% | 2.3% | +2.3 |
| Carries a game | 0.0 | 0.7 | +0.7 |
| Targets a game | 0.0 | 0.7 | +0.7 |
Games he left injured are left out of both sides.
NYJ backfieldshare of team carries, 2026
Season to date, games each player played.
Splits
Against coverage2024-2025 (2026 is not charted per player)
| Coverage | Tgt | Yds/tgt | Caught | EPA/tgt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Man | 13 | 5.6 | 77% | +0.47 |
| Zone | 28 | 6.7 | 71% | +0.13 |
With and withoutfantasy points a game, NYJ, 2025–2026
"Without" = games he played and the teammate did not (a QB counts as playing with 10+ attempts). Games either of them left injured are left out. Small samples swing hard. Who benefits when a player gets hurt? ›
Team
NYJNew York Jets offense, 2026 through Week 5. Rank 1 = most. Scheme rates from FTN charting through Week 5.
Game by gamescore, implied total, pass rate (over expected), QB
| Week | Score | Implied | Pass rate | QB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1vs TEN | 23-10 | 19.0 | 40%−13.5 | Smith24 att |
| W2vs GB | 17-20 | 20.5 | 62%−1.0 | Smith41 att |
| W3vs DET | 24-31 | 21.3 | 70%−1.8 | Smith37 att |
| W4vs CHI | 12-23 | 20.0 | 56%−8.4 | Smith15 att |
| W5vs CLE | 17-12 | 20.5 | 53%−7.8 | Smith30 att |
Depth chartRB, Oct 14
Scheduleeach defense's current rank vs RBs
Green = soft, red = stingy (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest), ranked on fantasy points allowed to RBs so far. Gold underline = fantasy playoffs. Does strength of schedule matter? ›
Head coach: Aaron Glenn. QB: Geno Smith (most pass attempts, Week 5).
Career
Season by season
| Year | G | Rushing / receiving | Pts/g | xFP/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026NYJ | 4 | 2-8-0 rush1-9-0 rec on 2 tgt | 0.6RB95 | — |
| 2025NYJ | 16 | 43-236-1 rush21-186-0 rec on 28 tgt | 3.8RB65 | 4.5−0.3 |
| 2024NYJ | 9 | 30-174-1 rush9-75-1 rec on 12 tgt | 4.6RB59 | 4.2+7.9 |
Under points a game: his rank at RB in points a game (8+ games; 2026: 2+ games). xFP = expected PPR a game from his usage; under it, the season's points over expected. Routes = share of team dropbacks he ran a route (through 2025).
Red zone and touchdowns
| 2025 | 9 RZ car (15%), 0 inside 5, 0 rush TD vs 0.5 exp · 1 RZ tgt (2%), 0 end-zone, 0 rec TD vs 0.2 exp |
| 2024 | 3 RZ car (7%), 0 inside 5, 1 rush TD vs 0.1 exp · 3 RZ tgt (3%), 1 end-zone, 1 rec TD vs 0.8 exp |
Floor and ceilingPPR
0 of his last 29 games reached 20 PPR; 24 finished under 10. Is there a floor-vs-ceiling trade-off? ›
Every game since 2024
2025 game log 16 games · NYJ · 4.5 PPR a game
| Game | Line | Snaps | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1vs PIT · D10 | 2-18 rush | 12% | 1.8 |
| W2vs BUF · D28 | 1-6 on 3 tgt | 21% | 1.1 |
| W3@ TB · D8 | no stats | 13% | 0.0 |
| W4@ MIA · D28 | 3-9 rush · 2-18 on 2 tgt | 33% | 3.7 |
| W5vs DAL · D27 | 1-5 rush · 3-28 on 4 tgt | 40% | 4.8 |
| W6vs DEN · D10 | 2-2 rush · 1--1 on 1 tgt | 26% | 0.6 |
| W7vs CAR · D14 | 2-10 rush · 2-22 on 4 tgt | 48% | 4.2 |
| W8@ CIN · D32 | 7-65 rush · 5-44 on 5 tgt | 46% | 15.4 |
| W10vs CLE · D2 | 3-10 rush · 1-1 on 1 tgt | 29% | 1.6 |
| W11@ NE · D3 | 2-11 rush · 0-0 on 1 tgt | 28% | 1.1 |
| W12@ BAL · D22 | 4-7 rush | 29% | 0.7 |
| W13vs ATL · D29 | 0-0 on 1 tgt | 12% | 0.0 |
| W14vs MIA · D18 | 2-22 rush | 24% | 2.2 |
| W15@ JAX · D5 | 9-58-1 rush · 1-7 on 1 tgt | 38% | 13.0 |
| W16@ NO · D16 | 3-8 rush · 4-52 on 4 tgt | 36% | 8.0 |
| W17vs NE · D3 | 3-11 rush · 1-9 on 1 tgt | 13% | 2.5 |
2024 game log 13 games · NYJ · 3.5 PPR a game
| Game | Line | Snaps | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| W3vs NE · D17 | 3-6 rush | 4% | 0.6 |
| W5@ MIN · D4 | no stats | 0% | 0.0 |
| W6vs BUF · D32 | no stats | 0% | 0.0 |
| W7@ PIT · D7 | 1-12 rush | 2% | 1.2 |
| W8@ NE · D29 | no stats | 0% | 0.0 |
| W10@ ARI · D25 | 1-10 on 1 tgt | 3% | 1.5 |
| W11vs IND · D18 | no stats | 0% | 0.0 |
| W13vs SEA · D17 | 1-4 rush · 3-28-1 on 3 tgt | 18% | 10.7 |
| W14@ MIA · D21 | 10-40-1 rush · 3-27 on 6 tgt | 53% | 14.2 |
| W15@ JAX · D31 | 5-24 rush · 1-2 on 1 tgt | 41% | 3.1 |
| W16vs LA · D15 | 3-12 rush | 14% | 1.2 |
| W17@ BUF · D30 | 3-35 rush · 1-8 on 1 tgt | 22% | 4.8 |
| W18vs MIA · D13 | 4-41 rush | 13% | 4.1 |
Health
No injury designation. Not on the Sleeper injury list as of Oct 10 and not on the Week 6 practice report so far.
2026 injury reportofficial, week by week
✓ = not listed. Letters = game status (Q, D, O) or worst practice that week (LP limited, DNP did not practice). Tap a week for the detail.
Historyofficial injury reports since 2020
| Year | Weeks listed | Ruled out | Listed for |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1 | 1 | Concussion |
| 2024 | 1 | 0 | Back |
1 games missed 2023–25 (0.50 a season), Concussion.
2 report weeks over 2 seasons; recurring: Back, Concussion. Risk label: moderate.
Teammates on the report
Our current notes first, then Sleeper designations. What happens when a starter is ruled out? ›
Value
Market Oct 10Market value on a 0–10,000 scale, through Oct 10, 2026. Faint stretches are estimates between real readings. Gold = peak.
Teal dot = today (2,321). Box = the middle half of outcomes, white line = the median, whiskers = 10th to 90th percentile. RBs about 25 valued near #256 overall: real 1-year moves since 2022, weighted by exact age and market rank (about 94 players' worth).
2022 Eno Benjamin (73% match). His dynasty value moved −59.9% over the next 12 months.
170.2 overall, RB100. ESPN 170.2 · Underdog 216.0
Profile
Athletic profilepercentile vs RBs at the combine since 2010
College production
| Year | G | Rec-Yds-TD | Yds share | Dominator |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023South Dakota State | 10 | 17-150-1 | 6.5% | 5.5 |
| 2022South Dakota State | 10 | 19-145-0 | 7.3% | 3.7 |
| 2021South Dakota State | 2 | 0-0-0 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
Share = his share of his team's receiving yards. Dominator = average of his share of receiving yards and TDs.