Should I start Bo Melton in Week 6?

Our Week 6 projection has Bo Melton at 4.3 half-PPR points (5.0 PPR), WR71 at his position, tier Bench, at home against Dallas Cowboys.

How has Bo Melton played in 2026?

5 games, 1.0 half-PPR points a game (1.4 PPR), WR137 in points per game among 175 WRs with 2+ games: 4-30 on 8 tgt.

What is Bo Melton's dynasty value?

909 in 1QB PPR (#423 overall, WR173) as of Oct 10, 2026.

WR/Green Bay Packers

Bo Melton

Age 27.4 · 5th season · 5'11", 189 lb · Rutgers · 2022 R7 #229

W6 vs DAL · Sun 8:20 PMBye W11

Week 6WR714.3 proj · Bench

ROS rank—Not on our board

DynastyWR173909 · #423

Ask the Coach Trade value Charts

Overview

2026 so far5 games

Points a game

1.0

WR137 of 175

Target share

4.4%

8 targets

Targets a game

1.6

4 catches, 30 yds

Expected PPR a game

2.6

−1.2 a game vs usage

Role: low-volume receiver

snap share up from 20% to 34% (last 2 games vs the three before)

Ranked among 103 qualified WRs this season.

Week 6

Lines Oct 14

Sun · Oct 18 · 8:20 PM ET

Lambeau Field

DAL

LineGB -1.5Total52.5GB implied27Rest7 days (DAL 10)Forecast56°F, wind 17 mph

Our Week 6 projection

4.3pts

WR71

Bench

2.7tgt1.5rec24yds0.19TD

Updated Oct 14, 2026, built on a GB team total of 27. Rank is among every WR we project this week.

Dallas Cowboys defense vs WRs

#21of 32 in fantasy points allowed to WRs (1 = stingiest)

StingiestSoftest

PPR a game

35.5

targets

16.8

rec yds

162

1.2

Allowed to WRs per game across 5 games. Best games against them: Nico Collins (W4, 30.8 PPR, 7/8 118 yds); Stefon Diggs (W2, 21.7 PPR, 5/6 47 yds); Emeka Egbuka (W5, 17.2 PPR, 6/9 38 yds).

EPA ranks entering Week 6: #32 against the pass, #24 against the run (1 = best defense).

Where DAL gives up receiving fantasy points to WRs

#19

DAL's average rank in the zones where Melton gets his targets, weighted by his share there (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest).

Left

Middle

Right

Deep 20+

13%2.4#21

13%0.6#11

6.5#31

Middle 10–19

13%0.9#2

2.5#18

0.8#2

Short 0–9

25%5.0#25

13%4.2#30

13%4.1#16

Behind line

13%0.8#21

0.0#1

0.4#8

StingySoft

Big number: receiving fantasy points DAL allows a game to WRs in that zone. # = its rank of 32. Green tag = Bo Melton's share of his targets in that zone this season. Depth is air yards at the catch point; 5 games, through Week 5. Tap a zone for the detail.

Against DAL beforelast 1

Game	Line	Pts
2025 W4@ DAL · L 40-40	no stats	0.0

Week 5: projected vs. actual

Projected

0.9

WR121

Actual

3.5

Difference

+2.6

3-20 rec on 4 tgt

Do defensive matchups actually matter? Our study ›

Game log

2026 · through W5

Fantasy pointsOur projection that weekSeason average 1.0

Every gametap a game for the detail

D# = the opponent's rank against WRs entering that week (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest). Finish = his rank at WR that week.

Usage

Snap shareTarget shareAir-yard share

What changedlast 3 full games vs. before

	W1, W2	W3, W4, W5	Change
Snap share	13.5%	33.0%	+19.5
Target share	3.0%	6.1%	+3.1
Air-yard share	2.9%	7.7%	+4.8
Targets a game	1.0	2.0	+1.0

Games he left injured are left out of both sides.

GB target treeshare of team targets, 2026

24.0%

22.7%

16.1%

10.5%

7.7%

7.3%

5.6%

Season to date, games each player played.

Role details2026, through Week 5

Red-zone tgt share

0 red-zone targets

First-read share

of targets as the QB’s first read

Air yards a game

aDOT 10.6

Snap share

25.2%

Play-action targets

13%

of his targets

Targets with motion

38%

of his targets

Screen targets

13%

of his targets

Advanced

PoorAverageGreat

Fantasy points a game2+ games

1.0

Target share2+ games

4.8%

Air-yard share2+ games

5.8%

WOPR2+ games

0.11

First-read target shareneeds 15+ targets

4.4%

Red-zone target share2+ games

0.0%

Yards per targetneeds 15+ targets

3.8

EPA per targetneeds 15+ targets

-0.40

Catchable-target rateneeds 15+ targets

75.0%

Drop rateneeds 15+ targets

50.0%

Average depth of targetneeds 15+ targets

10.6

Expected points a game2+ games

2.6

Percentile against the WRs on our charts (each stat's minimum is next to it), 2026 through Week 5. 50 is the middle of the pack. Tap a bubble for his rank.

Expected vs. actualPPR, from this season's play-by-play

Expected PPR a game

2.6

what his targets and carries are usually worth

Actual PPR a game

1.4

Over expected

−1.2

points a game

TDs vs. expected

0/ 0.2

−0.20

0 TDs on 0.20 expected. Expected points price every target by depth and field position and every carry by field position. Do touchdowns regress? ›

Splits

As a receiver2026 charted plays, through Week 5

Situation	Tgt	Rec-Yds-TD	Yds/tgt	EPA/tgt
All targets	8	4-30-0	3.88.2	-0.400.27
Third down63% of targets	5	2-16-0	3.27.1	-0.780.14
Score within 763% of targets	5	2-14-0	2.88.1	-0.480.26
Trailing by 8+13% of targets	1	0-0-0	0.08.2	-0.310.28
Leading by 8+25% of targets	2	2-16-0	8.09.3	-0.240.37
Two-minute drill50% of targets	4	2-14-0	3.57.5	-0.050.17
Vs. the blitz25% of targets	2	1-10-0	5.07.9	0.040.23
No blitz75% of targets	6	3-20-0	3.38.4	-0.550.29
Play action13% of targets	1	1-4-0	4.010.4	0.010.41
With motion38% of targets	3	1-4-0	1.38.3	-0.500.32
Screens13% of targets	1	1-4-0	4.04.7	0.01-0.20

Small grey number = every WR in that situation. Green or red = a clear gap either way. 6 of his 8 charted targets were catchable; 2 drops, 0 of 0 contested caught.

Against coverage2023-2025 (2026 is not charted per player)

Coverage	Tgt	Yds/tgt	Caught	EPA/tgt
Man	23	6.6	48%	+0.02
Zone	37	8.3	54%	+0.09
Cover 3	18	10.3	56%	+0.19
Cover 1	18	5.2	44%	−0.18

Do some receivers really beat man coverage? ›

With and withoutfantasy points a game, GB, 2025–2026

Jordan LoveQB · 2025–2026

With

1.6

Without

2.0

With: 15 g, 1.1 tgt a game, 3.6% share · Without: 2 g (25·W17, 25·W18), 2.0 tgt a game, 11.0% share

Christian WatsonWR · 2025–2026

With

2.1

Without

0.1

With: 13 g, 1.5 tgt a game, 5.1% share · Without: 5 g (25·W1, 25·W4, 25·W6, 25·W7, 25·W18), 0.2 tgt a game, 2.0% share

Tucker KraftTE · 2025–2026

With

0.5

Without

2.7

With: 10 g, 0.8 tgt a game, 2.4% share · Without: 8 g (25·W10, 25·W11, 25·W13, 25·W14, 25·W15, 25·W16, 25·W17, 25·W18), 1.6 tgt a game, 6.5% share

Matthew GoldenWR · 2025–2026

With

1.4

Without

2.7

With: 16 g, 0.9 tgt a game, 3.6% share · Without: 2 g (25·W10, 25·W13), 3.0 tgt a game, 9.3% share

"Without" = games he played and the teammate did not (a QB counts as playing with 10+ attempts). Games either of them left injured are left out. Small samples swing hard. Who benefits when a player gets hurt? ›

Team

Points a game

20.8

24th of 32

Plays a game

58.0

24th of 32

EPA per play

-0.021

18th of 32

Pass rate over exp.

+2.6%

2nd of 32

Red-zone plays a game

10.6

11th of 32

Motion rate

50%

7th of 32

Play-action rate

11%

19th of 32

No-huddle rate

7th of 32

Green Bay Packers offense, 2026 through Week 5. Rank 1 = most. Scheme rates from FTN charting through Week 5.

Game by gamescore, implied total, pass rate (over expected), QB

Week	Score	Implied	Pass rate	QB
W1vs MIN	22-39	22.5	69%−1.9	Love42 att
W2vs NYJ	20-17	24.0	64%−3.3	Love29 att
W3vs ATL	14-35	24.0	86%+11.8	Love53 att
W4vs TB	17-14	20.8	58%+1.0	Love30 att
W5vs CHI	31-7	22.5	59%+4.1	Love31 att

Depth chartWR, Oct 14

WR1

Christian Watson

WR2

Matthew Golden

WR3

Skyy Moore

WR4

Bo Melton

WR5

J. Michael Sturdivant

WR6

Savion Williams

Scheduleeach defense's current rank vs WRs

DAL

#21

@DET

#30

CAR

@NE

#17

W10

MIN

W11

BYE

W12

@LA

W13

@NO

#12

W14

BUF

#32

W15

MIA

W16

@CHI

#19

W17

HOU

#31

W18

DET

#30

Next 4

#19

average rank

Playoffs W15–17

#17

average rank

Bye

W11

Green = soft, red = stingy (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest), ranked on fantasy points allowed to WRs so far. Gold underline = fantasy playoffs. Does strength of schedule matter? ›

Head coach: Matt LaFleur. QB: Jordan Love (most pass attempts, Week 5).

Charts

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Bo Melton is highlighted on each chart. Swipe for more; tap a dot for the player. Every chart saves and shares as an image on the Charts page.

Career

Points a game by season

Season by season

Year	G	Rec-Yds-TD	Pts/g	xFP/g
2026GB	5	4-30-08 tgt, 4.8% share	1.0WR137	2.6−6.1
2025GB	10	4-107-113 tgt, 8.7% share	2.2WR125	1.7+2.0
2024GB	13	8-91-017 tgt, 6.3% share, routes 19%	1.4WR134	2.9−10.3
2023GB	4	16-218-124 tgt, 14.9% share, routes 40%	9.5	7.7+10.1

Under points a game: his rank at WR in points a game (8+ games; 2026: 2+ games). xFP = expected PPR a game from his usage; under it, the season's points over expected. Routes = share of team dropbacks he ran a route (through 2025).

Red zone and touchdowns

2024	2 RZ tgt (3%), 1 end-zone, 0 rec TD vs 0.5 exp
2023	5 RZ tgt (5%), 3 end-zone, 2 rec TD vs 1.0 exp

Floor and ceilingPPR

Boom rate

1.5x his recent average and 10+

Bust rate

38%

half his recent average or less

Week-to-week swing

1.25

CV over 21 games

Middle half of games

0.0–3.8

PPR, 30 games 2023–25

1 of his last 30 games reached 20 PPR; 27 finished under 10. Is there a floor-vs-ceiling trade-off? ›

Every game since 2023

2025 game log 13 games · GB · 1.9 PPR a game

Game	Line	Snaps	Pts
W1vs DET · D30	no stats	0%	0.0
W4@ DAL · D32	no stats	0%	0.0
W6vs CIN · D18	1-3 rush	2%	0.3
W7@ ARI · D13	no stats	0%	0.0
W8@ PIT · D29	no stats	2%	0.0
W10vs PHI · D17	2-28 on 5 tgt	38%	3.8
W11@ NYG · D26	1-17 rush	4%	1.7
W13@ DET · D21	0-0 on 1 tgt · 2-15 rush	17%	1.5
W14vs CHI · D25	1-45-1 on 2 tgt	17%	11.0
W15@ DEN · D8	0-0 on 1 tgt · 1-0 rush	14%	0.0
W16@ CHI · D26	no stats	1%	0.0
W17vs BAL · D26	1-34 on 3 tgt	36%	3.9
W18@ MIN · D1	0-0 on 1 tgt	25%	0.0

2024 game log 13 games · GB · 1.7 PPR a game

Game	Line	Snaps	Pts
W1@ PHI · D32	no stats	12%	0.0
W2vs IND · D10	2-8 rush	23%	0.8
W3@ TEN · D26	no stats	27%	0.0
W4vs MIN · D23	1-28 on 3 tgt	14%	3.3
W5@ LA · D23	1-12 on 2 tgt	49%	1.7
W6vs ARI · D17	1-6 on 2 tgt · 2-27 rush	37%	3.8
W7vs HOU · D17	1-8 on 1 tgt · 1--1 rush	14%	1.2
W8@ JAX · D29	0-0 on 1 tgt	17%	0.0
W9vs DET · D30	1-19 on 2 tgt	17%	2.4
W12vs SF · D11	0-0 on 1 tgt · 1-5 rush	32%	0.5
W16vs NO · D28	0-0 on 1 tgt · 1-14 rush	32%	1.4
W17@ MIN · D32	3-18 on 4 tgt	25%	3.3
W18vs CHI · D1	1-1 rush	40%	0.1

2023 game log 4 games · GB · 11.5 PPR a game

Game	Line	Snaps	Pts
W15vs TB · D27	1-7 on 2 tgt	30%	1.2
W16@ CAR · D4	4-44 on 6 tgt · 1-7 rush	38%	7.1
W17@ MIN · D25	6-105-1 on 9 tgt	66%	19.5
W18vs CHI · D11	5-62 on 7 tgt · 2-14 rush	75%	10.1

Health

2026 injury reportofficial, week by week

✓

•

✓ = not listed. Letters = game status (Q, D, O) or worst practice that week (LP limited, DNP did not practice). Tap a week for the detail.

Historyofficial injury reports since 2020

0 games missed 2023–25 (0.00 a season).

6 report weeks over 1 seasons; recurring: Shoulder, Illness, Knee. Risk label: low.

How long do players take to recover? ›

Teammates on the report

out

out

out

out

PUP (Undisclosed)

Our current notes first, then Sleeper designations. What happens when a starter is ruled out? ›

Value

Market Oct 10

1QB value

909

#423 overall · WR173 · tier 13

Superflex

789

#411 overall · WR171

30 days

—

90 days −303 · 1 year −36

Peak

1,564

Jul 13, 2024 · 42% off

1QB dynasty value, last two years

Market value on a 0–10,000 scale, through Oct 10, 2026. Faint stretches are estimates between real readings. Gold = peak.

Where his value could be in a year

222

715

1,366

Teal dot = today (909). Box = the middle half of outcomes, white line = the median, whiskers = 10th to 90th percentile. WRs about 27 valued near #400 overall: real 1-year moves since 2022, weighted by exact age and market rank (about 89 players' worth).

Closest comparable season

2021 Mack Hollins (63% match). He went from 4.6 to 9.1 PPR a game the next year (WR5+→WR4). His dynasty value moved 0.0% over the next 12 months.

Does the dynasty market see breakouts coming? ›

Dynasty trade calculatorPrice Bo Melton in any deal

Redraft trade calculatorRest-of-season value for this year

Dynasty profileValue cone, comps and scenarios

Profile

Draft

R7 #229

2022 · 26th WR · SEA

Age

27.4

23 at the draft

Size

5'11"

189 lb

College

Rutgers

Athletic profilepercentile vs WRs at the combine since 2010

Height

5'11"

Weight

189 lb

40-yard dash

4.34s

Vertical

38"

Broad jump

121"

3-cone

6.98s

speed

College production

Year	G	Rec-Yds-TD	Yds share	Dominator
2021Rutgers	10	55-618-3	39.5%	44.8
2020Rutgers	9	46-639-6	35.8%	39.3
2019Rutgers	12	30-427-2	25.5%	27.1
2018Rutgers	9	28-245-0	17.2%	8.6
2017Rutgers	5	4-83-0	14.2%	7.1

Share = his share of his team's receiving yards. Dominator = average of his share of receiving yards and TDs.

Keep digging

His record against the closing linesMarket research in Research → Player lines

Research findingsWhat the data says about TDs, matchups, injuries and breakouts

Every player pageSearch any player, updated every week

All players · Week 6 rankings · Rest-of-season rankings · Charts · Stats · Methodology

Sources: nflverse play-by-play, weekly stats, Next Gen Stats and FTN charting (free public data); official NFL injury reports; Sleeper; GWTTKB rankings, projections and market data. Built 2026-10-14. Every number on this page comes from those files; where a stat is not on file it is left blank, never zero. Nothing here is betting advice.