Every game, every stat category, and what the board says. 4.74 points per game in 2025, an ADP of 167.6, usage worth 4.3.
23 years old · 1 season of experience · 2025 draft class
| SLEEPER | 209.1 |
| ESPN | 166.7 |
| YAHOO | 126.9 |
| UNDERDOG | 176.6 |
| FFA | 154 |
| Goes around | Round 14, pick 12 in a 12-team draft |
| Positional rank | TE25 |
| Bye week | 11 |
| ADP standard deviation | 41.1 picks |
Opponent-adjusted pass defense faced, against 2025 ratings. Positive is an easier slate.
| Full season | -0.6 · neutral |
| Weeks 1–6 | -5.3 · harder |
| Weeks 12–17 | +2.8 · easier |
| Fantasy playoffs (15–17) | +8.6 · easier |
Read this narrowly. Our own testing found that season-long strength of schedule does not survive as a draft input — defensive quality is among the least stable team properties year to year, and a preseason slate is built on last year's identities. The playoff-weeks column is the only one we would let break a tie, and even then it is a tiebreaker rather than a reason. The finding.
Everything in this section is about his dynasty trade value — what he is worth as a long-term asset in the trade market. It is not a forecast of his 2026 fantasy scoring. A player can be a fine redraft pick while his dynasty value falls, and the reverse. The redraft read is above; this is a different question with a different answer.
His dynasty value has moved -10.4% over the last twelve months. The market cycle classifies him as stable.
For context on how long this lasts at the position: the average career at his position produces 1.3 elite seasons and 2.3 startable seasons.
Matched on production profile — pedigree-driven (limited evidence). The last column is how that player’s dynasty value moved the following year — a market outcome, not a scoring one.
| Player | Season | Their PPG | Similarity | Next year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Kmet | 2020 | 4.1 | 74% | +14.5% |
| Brenton Strange | 2023 | 2.1 | 72% | +160.9% |
| Trey McBride | 2022 | 5.1 | 70% | +100.1% |
| Luke Schoonmaker | 2023 | 2.2 | 70% | 0% |
| Luke Musgrave | 2024 | 1.6 | 70% | -6.8% |
Of the 5 with a following season on record, 3 gained value, 1 lost it and 1 held roughly flat.
| Drafted | 2025, round 2, pick 46 by LAR |
| College | Oregon |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| Height | 6′5″ |
| Weight | 247 lb |
| 40-yard dash | 4.63s |
| Vertical | 39″ |
| Broad jump | 122″ |
His best game was Week 17 against ATL — 13.4 PPR on 4 targets and a 11.1% target share, in a game that finished 24-27. His worst was Week 14 against ARI at 0, on 1 targets, final score 45-17. Across 11 games he cleared 20 points 0 times and came in under 8 points 8 times. In the 5 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 6.1; in the 6 decided by more, 3.6. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 4.3 points per game. He scored 4.74, 2.3% below it. The engine classified the season as neutral.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | SF | 23-26 | 3.1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 2.2% | 6% |
| 6 | BAL | 17-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 32% |
| 7 | JAX | 35-7 | 10.1 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 1 | 9.1% | 49% |
| 9 | NO | 34-10 | 7.4 | 2 | 3 | 54 | 0 | 9.7% | 30% |
| 10 | SF | 42-26 | 4.2 | 1 | 4 | 32 | 0 | 11.8% | 32% |
| 12 | TB | 34-7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2.9% | 27% |
| 13 | CAR | 28-31 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.4% | 35% |
| 14 | ARI | 45-17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3.2% | 64% |
| 15 | DET | 41-34 | 1.6 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 5.3% | 78% |
| 16 | SEA | 37-38 | 12.3 | 3 | 4 | 33 | 1 | 8.3% | 76% |
| 17 | ATL | 24-27 | 13.4 | 2 | 4 | 54 | 1 | 11.1% | 49% |
| Receptions | 11 |
| Targets | 25 |
| Receiving yards | 231 |
| Carries | 1 |
| Touchdowns | 3 |
| Points per game | 4.74 |
| Yards per target | 9.24 |
| Catch rate | 44% |
| Snap share | 43.45% |
| Target share | 6.45% |
| Air-yards share | 11.69% |
| WOPR | 0.178 |
| RACR | 0.395 |
| Average depth of target | 18.6 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 3.6 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 17.4 |
| Total YAC | 40 |
| Broken tackles | 0 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 100.2 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0.67 |
| Rushing EPA per game | -0.14 |
| Red-zone targets | 4 |
| Red-zone target share | 3.2% |
| End-zone target share | 5.6% |
| Red-zone carry share | 1% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 1.24 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 1 |
| Receiving TD luck | -0.24 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 0.14 |
The offense threw it 597 times. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Puka Nacua | 28.57% |
| Davante Adams | 19.62% |
| Colby Parkinson | 9.64% |
| Kyren Williams | 8.61% |
| Tyler Higbee | 6.2% |
| Davis Allen | 5.68% |
4 of his 11 games were blowouts, 33.6% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 4.38 in those and 6.08 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
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