Should I start Brevyn Spann-Ford in Week 9?

Our Week 9 projection has Brevyn Spann-Ford at 5.4 half-PPR points (6.5 PPR), TE28 at his position, tier Bench, on the road at Indianapolis Colts.

How has Brevyn Spann-Ford played in 2026?

8 games, 2.2 half-PPR points a game (3.0 PPR), TE67 in points per game among 112 TEs with 2+ games: 13-110 on 18 tgt.

Brevyn Spann-Ford Fantasy Stats, Week 9 Projection & Rankings (2026)

01

Overview

2026 so far8 games

Points a game

2.2

TE67 of 112

Target share

6.1%

58th of 62 TEs

Targets a game

2.3

13 catches, 110 yds

Expected PPR a game

2.3

−0.2 a game vs usage

Role: low-volume tight end

target share up from 3.2% to 11.1% (W6–W8 vs W1–W5)
snap share up from 34% to 62% (W6–W8 vs W1–W5)
3.76 yards of separation (NGS) (10th of 48 TEs)

6.1% target share (58th of 62 TEs)
3 PPR points a game (58th of 62 TEs)

Ranked among 62 qualified TEs this season.

02

Week 9

Live lines

DAL

@

Sun · Nov 8 · 1:00 PM ET

Lucas Oil Stadium

IND

LineDAL -5.75Total51.5DAL implied28.6Rest7 days (IND 7)Forecast54°F, wind 4 mph

Our Week 9 projection

5.4pts

TE28

Bench

3.2tgt2.3rec27yds0.25TD

Built on a DAL team total of 28.63. Rank is among every TE we project this week.

Indianapolis Colts defense vs TEs

#21of 32 in fantasy points allowed to TEs (1 = stingiest)

StingiestSoftest

PPR a game

14.4

targets

6.8

rec yds

51

TD

0.8

Allowed to TEs per game across 8 games. Best games against them: Travis Kelce (W2, 25.1 PPR, 9/11 101 yds); Pat Freiermuth (W5, 21.5 PPR, 5/7 44 yds); T.J. Hockenson (W7, 13.5 PPR, 4/5 35 yds).

EPA ranks entering Week 9: #20 against the pass, #32 against the run (1 = best defense).

Where IND gives up receiving fantasy points to TEs

#20

IND's average rank in the zones where Spann-Ford gets his targets, weighted by his share there (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest).

Left

Middle

Right

Deep 20+

0.0#1

Middle 10–19

0.3#8

8%0.3#4

1.0#21

Short 0–9

3.4#26

8%2.4#27

62%3.4#25

Behind line

15%0.1#9

0.0#1

8%0.4#14

StingySoft

Big number: receiving fantasy points IND allows a game to TEs in that zone. # = its rank of 32. Green tag = Brevyn Spann-Ford's share of his targets in that zone this season. Depth is air yards at the catch point; 7 games, through Week 7. Tap a zone for the detail.

Week 8: projected vs. actual

Projected

4.6

TE34

Actual

5.1

Difference

+0.5

4-31 rec on 5 tgt

Do defensive matchups actually matter? Our study ›

03

Field

2026 · through W8

Every target Brevyn Spann-Ford has, on the field: where it went, what came of it, and the situation, with filters for down, distance, field position, score and clock.

2026: 18 targets (13 caught): 0 at 20+ air yards, 15 under 10; 3 to the left, 3 over the middle, 12 to the right; +0.19 EPA a target.
2025: 13 targets (9 caught): 1 at 20+ air yards, 9 under 10; 3 to the left, 7 over the middle, 3 to the right; −0.05 EPA a target.

Spots are the play-by-play’s side and depth, not tracking. Open the full-screen Field Explorer.

04

Game log

2026 · through W8

Fantasy pointsBest weekOur projection that weekSeason average 2.2

Every gametap a game for the detail

D# = the opponent's rank against TEs entering that week (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest). Finish = his rank at TE that week.

05

Usage

Snap shareTarget shareAir-yard share

What changedlast 3 full games vs. before

	W1, W2, W3, W4, W5	W6, W7, W8	Change
Snap share	34.2%	62.3%	+28.1
Target share	3.3%	11.6%	+8.3
Air-yard share	-45.6%	7.5%	+53.1
Targets a game	1.2	4.0	+2.8

Games he left injured are left out of both sides.

DAL target treeshare of team targets, 2026

31.9%

21.1%

15.0%

9.3%

8.3%

Brevyn Spann-Ford

6.4%

Jonathan Mingo

3.6%

Season to date, games each player played.

Role details2026, through Week 8

Red-zone tgt share

4%

2 red-zone targets

First-read share

3%

of targets as the QB’s first read

Air yards a game

7

aDOT 3.2

Snap share

44.8%

Play-action targets

55%

of his targets

Targets with motion

64%

of his targets

Screen targets

0%

of his targets

06

Advanced

PoorAverageGreat

Fantasy points a game2+ games

2.2

15

13

Target share2+ games

6.4%

28

Air-yard share2+ games

2.8%

16

WOPR2+ games

0.12

21

First-read target share15+ targets

2.8%

3

Red-zone target share2+ games

4.0%

10

Yards per target15+ targets

6.1

30

EPA per target15+ targets

0.19

43

Separation (yds)15+ targets

3.76

85

YAC over expected15+ targets

+0.67

73

Catchable-target rate15+ targets

72.7%

28

Drop ratelower is better

0.0%

84

Average depth of targetcontext

3.2

8

Expected points a game2+ games

2.3

13

Percentile against the TEs on our charts (each stat's minimum is next to it), 2026 through Week 8. 50 is the middle of the pack. Tap a bubble for his rank.

Expected vs. actualPPR, from this season's play-by-play

Expected PPR a game

2.3

what his targets and carries are usually worth

Actual PPR a game

2.1

Over expected

−0.2

points a game

TDs vs. expected

0/ 0.1

−0.10

0 TDs on 0.10 expected. Expected points price every target by depth and field position and every carry by field position. Do touchdowns regress? ›

Leaderboardstop 10 among TEs, 2026

6thAverage separation at the catch point (Next Gen)

07

Splits

As a receiver2026 charted plays, through Week 8

Situation	Tgt	Rec-Yds-TD	Yds/tgt	EPA/tgt
All targets	18	13-110-0	6.17.2	0.190.21
Red zone11% of targets	2	2-7-0	3.54.4	-0.080.46
Score within 761% of targets	11	7-52-0	4.76.9	0.020.19
Trailing by 8+28% of targets	5	4-35-0	7.07.5	0.370.20
Leading by 8+11% of targets	2	2-23-0	11.58.6	0.650.38
Two-minute drill6% of targets	1	0-0-0	0.06.4	-0.120.10
Vs. the blitz22% of targets	4	3-31-0	7.87.0	0.290.20
No blitz78% of targets	14	10-79-0	5.67.4	0.160.21
Play action56% of targets	10	7-46-0	4.67.6	0.020.27
With motion61% of targets	11	8-68-0	6.27.4	0.160.23

Small grey number = every TE in that situation. Green or red = a clear gap either way. 14 of his 18 charted targets were catchable; 1 drop, 0 of 1 contested caught.

Against coverage2024-2025 (2026 is not charted per player)

Coverage	Tgt	Yds/tgt	Caught	EPA/tgt
Zone	20	6.4	65%	−0.04

Do some receivers really beat man coverage? ›

With and withoutfantasy points a game, DAL, 2025–2026

CeeDee LambWR · 2025–2026

With

1.7

Without

0.2

With: 21 g, 1.4 tgt a game, 4.2% share · Without: 3 g (25·W3, 25·W5, 25·W6), 0.3 tgt a game, 1.0% share

"Without" = games he played and the teammate did not (a QB counts as playing with 10+ attempts). Games either of them left injured are left out. Small samples swing hard. Who benefits when a player gets hurt? ›

08

Team

DAL

Points a game

27.4

7th of 32

Plays a game

64.4

8th of 32

EPA per play

0.091

7th of 32

Pass rate over exp.

−2.5%

9th of 32

Red-zone plays a game

13.5

3rd of 32

Motion rate

39%

30th of 32

Play-action rate

12%

12th of 32

No-huddle rate

7%

6th of 32

Dallas Cowboys offense, 2026 through Week 8. Rank 1 = most. Scheme rates from FTN charting through Week 8.

Game by gamescore, implied total, pass rate (over expected), QB

Week	Score	Implied	Pass rate	QB
W1vs NYG	20-28	25.3	65%−4.0	Prescott34 att
W2vs WAS	37-20	27.5	61%+10.2	Prescott31 att
W3vs BAL	31-34	25.3	58%−6.1	Prescott40 att
W4vs HOU	34-30	22.8	66%−0.6	Prescott45 att
W5vs TB	16-24	29.5	77%+3.8	Prescott42 att
W6vs GB	13-23	27.5	79%+3.7	Prescott54 att
W7vs PHI	38-21	24.0	41%−14.2	Prescott27 att
W8vs ARI	30-33	30.8	47%−9.3	Prescott29 att

Depth chartTE

TE1

Jake Ferguson

TE2

Brevyn Spann-Ford

TE3

Luke Schoonmaker

TE4

Princeton Fant

Scheduleeach defense's current rank vs TEs

W9

@IND

#21

W10

SF

#9

W11

TEN

#13

W12

PHI

#3

W13

@SEA

#5

W14

BYE

W15

@LA

#7

W16

JAX

#8

W17

NYG

#12

W18

@WAS

#31

Next 4

#12

average rank

Playoffs W15–17

#9

average rank

Bye

W14

Green = soft, red = stingy (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest), ranked on fantasy points allowed to TEs so far. Gold underline = fantasy playoffs. Does strength of schedule matter? ›

Head coach: Brian Schottenheimer. QB: Dak Prescott (most pass attempts, Week 8).

09

Charts

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Brevyn Spann-Ford is highlighted on each chart. Swipe for more; tap a dot for the player. Every chart saves and shares as an image on the Charts page.

10

Career

Points a game by season

Season by season

Year	G	Rec-Yds-TD	Pts/g	xFP/g
2026DAL	8	13-110-018 tgt, 6.4% share	2.2TE67	2.3−1.7
2025DAL	16	9-90-113 tgt, 4.0% share, routes 15%	1.2TE78	1.5+0.4
2024DAL	11	9-88-014 tgt, 5.7% share, routes 19%	1.2TE70	4.1−7.0

Under points a game: his rank at TE in points a game (8+ games; 2026: 2+ games). xFP = expected PPR a game from his usage; under it, the season's points over expected. Routes = share of team dropbacks he ran a route (through 2025).

Red zone and touchdowns

2025	2 RZ tgt (2%), 1 end-zone, 1 rec TD vs 0.8 exp
2024	2 RZ tgt (3%), 1 end-zone, 0 rec TD vs 0.5 exp

Floor and ceilingPPR

Boom rate

0%

1.5x his recent average and 10+

Bust rate

52%

half his recent average or less

Week-to-week swing

1.30

CV over 21 games

Middle half of games

0.0–1.7

PPR, 27 games 2023–25

0 of his last 27 games reached 20 PPR; 27 finished under 10. Is there a floor-vs-ceiling trade-off? ›

Every game since 2024

2025 game log 16 games · DAL · 1.5 PPR a game

Game	Line	Snaps	Pts
W1@ PHI · D2	0-0 on 1 tgt	16%	0.0
W2vs NYG · D3	1-3 on 1 tgt	12%	0.8
W3@ CHI · D17	no stats	20%	0.0
W5@ NYJ · D19	no stats	33%	0.0
W6@ CAR · D31	1-2 on 1 tgt	18%	0.7
W7vs WAS · D10	no stats	22%	0.0
W8@ DEN · D9	1-9 on 1 tgt	31%	1.4
W9vs ARI · D27	no stats	13%	0.0
W11@ LV · D5	1-4 on 1 tgt	36%	0.9
W12vs PHI · D2	1-4-1 on 1 tgt	26%	6.9
W13vs KC · D9	no stats	26%	0.0
W14@ DET · D9	1-7 on 1 tgt	16%	1.2
W15vs MIN · D15	0-0 on 1 tgt	30%	0.0
W16vs LAC · D7	no stats	19%	0.0
W17@ WAS · D28	1-31 on 2 tgt	52%	3.6
W18@ NYG · D9	2-30 on 3 tgt	31%	4.0

2024 game log 11 games · DAL · 1.6 PPR a game

Game	Line	Snaps	Pts
W2vs NO · D20	0-0 on 1 tgt	31%	0.0
W3vs BAL · D6	no stats	11%	0.0
W4@ NYG · D16	no stats	9%	0.0
W5@ PIT · D16	2-20 on 3 tgt	20%	3.0
W8@ SF · D14	0-0 on 2 tgt	31%	0.0
W11vs HOU · D1	4-42 on 5 tgt	49%	6.2
W12@ WAS · D14	2-24 on 2 tgt	50%	3.4
W13vs NYG · D2	no stats	42%	0.0
W14vs CIN · D31	no stats	18%	0.0
W15@ CAR · D32	1-2 on 1 tgt	30%	0.7
W16vs TB · D27	no stats	22%	0.0

11

Health

Active · concern low. Dallas's tight end if Jake Ferguson (low ankle sprain) sits Sunday at Indianapolis: 88% of the snaps in Week 8 after Ferguson left, 4 catches for 31 yards on 5 targets.

Our note, Nov 2, 2026 · Yahoo (Mon 11/2)