Kaytron AllenWashington Commanders
RB/Washington Commanders

Kaytron Allen

Age 23.8 · Rookie · 5'11", 216 lb · Penn St. · 2026 R6 #187
01

Overview

Board Oct 12
Hold
Hold RB73 · 4 opportunities a game · model RB78 · no lines
No book read (no yardage lines yet), so he holds at his slot on the 10/12 list.
Model
RB78
Market
—
2026 production
RB62

Week 5 rest-of-season review, Oct 12, 2026. The three reads are where our backtested model, the betting market and his 2026 production each place him at RB; our board rank is the call.

Realistic range, rest of season
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
RB68
RB73 now
RB80
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
RB64
RB70 now
RB77
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
RB59
RB65 now
RB75

Where his stats say he could finish from here: RB64 to RB77. Our rank stays the call.

Rest-of-season rank on our sheets
#186Sep 21#186Sep 26#180Sep 28#182Sep 30#204Oct 5#197Oct 12#177Sep 21#177Sep 26#170Sep 28#170Sep 30#189Oct 5#184Oct 12#162Sep 21#159Sep 26#144Sep 28#145Sep 30#161Oct 5#161Oct 12

2026 so far3 games

Points a game
1.4
RB84 of 115
Carry share
14%
12 carries
Touches a game
4.0
0 targets
Expected PPR a game
2.8
−1.4 a game vs usage
Our rest-of-season model
Half PPR/g
3.7
PPR/g
4.1
Games left
10.7

80% range 1.5–5.5 half-PPR points a game. Biggest inputs: draft capital -0.7, preseason ADP -0.4, last-game snap share -0.4, points so far -0.3. The model informs the rank; it does not set it.

02

Week 6

Lines Oct 14
WAS
@
Mon · Oct 19 · 8:15 PM ET
Levi's Stadium
SF
LineSF -7.5Total50.5WAS implied21.5Rest8 days (SF 8)Forecast67°F, wind 8 mph
Our Week 6 projection

0 points. Our projection does not expect him to play this week.

Updated Oct 14, 2026.

San Francisco 49ers defense vs RBs
#24of 32 in fantasy points allowed to RBs (1 = stingiest)
StingiestSoftest
PPR a game
24.1
rush yds
87
rec
7.4
TD
0.6

Allowed to RBs per game across 5 games. Best games against them: Jeremiyah Love (W3, 21.9 PPR, 21 car 90 ry, 5/5 19 rec); RJ Harvey (W4, 19.3 PPR, 7 car 25 ry, 10/10 68 rec); Kyren Williams (W1, 15.5 PPR, 11 car 41 ry, 3/3 24 rec).

EPA ranks entering Week 6: #13 against the pass, #8 against the run (1 = best defense).

Where SF gives up receiving fantasy points to RBs
Left
Middle
Right
Deep 20+
0.0#1
0.0#1
0.0#1
Middle 10–19
0.0#1
0.0#1
0.0#1
Short 0–9
3.3#32
0.7#15
2.7#31
Behind line
1.5#21
0.0#1
1.6#27

Runs by directionRB rushing points allowed a game

Left
Middle
Right
Rushing
58%2.7#3
33%4.6#23
8%3.8#14
StingySoft

Big number: receiving fantasy points SF allows a game to RBs in that zone. # = its rank of 32. Depth is air yards at the catch point; 5 games, through Week 5. Tap a zone for the detail.

Week 5: projected vs. actual
Projected
-0.2
RB159
Actual
0.0
Difference
+0.2

no stats recorded

Do defensive matchups actually matter? Our study ›

03

Game log

2026 · through W5
Fantasy pointsOur projection that weekSeason average 1.4
051011.622.43—40.15—051011.622.43—40.15—051011.622.43—40.15—

Every gametap a game for the detail

W3
vs SEA W 33-31
No catch, carry or pass recorded
—
W5
vs NYG L 27-27
No catch, carry or pass recorded
—

D# = the opponent's rank against RBs entering that week (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest). Finish = his rank at RB that week.

04

Usage

Snap shareCarry shareTarget share
0%25%50%75%100%W1W2W419%14%0%

WAS backfieldshare of team carries, 2026

Kaytron Allen
14.0%
Share of team targets

Season to date, games each player played.

Role details2026, through Week 5

Red-zone tgt share
—
Red-zone carry share
29%
4 red-zone carries
Goal-line share
33%
1 carries inside the 5
Snap share
9.3%
05

Advanced

PoorAverageGreat
Fantasy points a game2+ games
1.4
3
4
6
Carry share2+ games
14.0%
16
Red-zone carry share2+ games
28.6%
44
Rush success rateneeds 25+ carries
50.0%
EPA per carryneeds 25+ carries
-0.32
Yards after contactneeds 25+ carries
1.13
Broken tackles per carryneeds 25+ carries
0.0%
10+ yard run rateneeds 25+ carries
0.0%
Stuff rateneeds 25+ carries
8.3%
Expected points a game2+ games
2.8
6

Percentile against the RBs on our charts (each stat's minimum is next to it), 2026 through Week 5. 50 is the middle of the pack. Tap a bubble for his rank.

Expected vs. actualPPR, from this season's play-by-play

Expected PPR a game
2.8
what his targets and carries are usually worth
Actual PPR a game
1.4
Over expected
−1.4
points a game
TDs vs. expected
0/ 0.6
−0.56

0 TDs on 0.56 expected. Expected points price every target by depth and field position and every carry by field position. Do touchdowns regress? ›

06

Splits

As a runner2026 charted carries, through Week 5

SituationCarYds-TDYPCSuccess
All carries1241-03.44.150%39%
Red zone33% of carries413-03.32.650%40%
Inside the 1017% of carries25-02.51.750%47%
Third down8% of carries13-03.04.00%52%
Score within 717% of carries27-03.54.150%38%
Trailing by 8+83% of carries1034-03.44.150%41%
Light box (6 or fewer)83% of carries1037-03.74.550%40%
RPO25% of carries34-01.34.233%42%

Box counts from FTN charting. Small grey number = every RB in that situation.

07

Team

WAS
Points a game
23.0
17th of 32
Plays a game
63.8
9th of 32
EPA per play
-0.015
15th of 32
Pass rate over exp.
−9.9%
27th of 32
Red-zone plays a game
9.0
22nd of 32
Motion rate
41%
26th of 32
Play-action rate
11%
17th of 32
No-huddle rate
7%
9th of 32

Washington Commanders offense, 2026 through Week 5. Rank 1 = most. Scheme rates from FTN charting through Week 5.

Game by gamescore, implied total, pass rate (over expected), QB

WeekScoreImpliedPass rateQB
W1vs PHI22-2418.853%−10.4Daniels34 att
W2vs DAL20-3724.052%−15.4Daniels17 att
W3vs SEA33-3116.052%−2.4Mariota31 att
W4vs IND13-3021.064%−6.1Kaliakmanis33 att
W5vs NYG27-2722.552%−14.8Daniels25 att

Depth chartRB, Oct 14

Scheduleeach defense's current rank vs RBs

W6
@SF
#24
W7
BYE
W8
PHI
#16
W9
LA
#15
W10
@NYG
#18
W11
CIN
#8
W12
@ARI
#13
W13
@TEN
#11
W14
HOU
#4
W15
ATL
#12
W16
@MIN
#1
W17
@JAX
#3
W18
DAL
#25
Next 4
#18
average rank
Playoffs W15–17
#5
average rank
Bye
W7

Green = soft, red = stingy (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest), ranked on fantasy points allowed to RBs so far. Gold underline = fantasy playoffs. Does strength of schedule matter? ›

Head coach: Dan Quinn. QB: Jayden Daniels (most pass attempts, Week 5).

08

Charts

Loading chart…
Open
Loading chart…
Open
Loading chart…
Open
Loading chart…
Open
Loading chart…
Open

Kaytron Allen is highlighted on each chart. Swipe for more; tap a dot for the player. Every chart saves and shares as an image on the Charts page.

09

Career

Points a game by season
’261.4
’261.4
’261.4

Season by season

YearGRushing / receivingPts/gxFP/g
2026WAS312-41-0 rush0-0-0 rec on 0 tgt1.4RB842.8−4.3

Under points a game: his rank at RB in points a game (8+ games; 2026: 2+ games). xFP = expected PPR a game from his usage; under it, the season's points over expected. Routes = share of team dropbacks he ran a route (through 2025).

10

Health

No injury designation. Not on the Sleeper injury list as of Oct 10 and not on the Week 6 practice report so far.

2026 injury reportofficial, week by week

W1
✓
W2
FP
W3
FP
W4
✓
W6
•

✓ = not listed. Letters = game status (Q, D, O) or worst practice that week (LP limited, DNP did not practice). Tap a week for the detail.

Teammates on the report

questionable
Jeremy McNichols RB
IR (Quadriceps)
Out (Knee - MCL)

Our current notes first, then Sleeper designations. What happens when a starter is ruled out? ›

11

Value

Market Oct 10
1QB value
2,609
#231 overall · RB66 · tier 13
Superflex
2,004
#235 overall · RB65
30 days
−357
90 days −542
Peak
3,216
May 31, 2026 · 19% off
1QB dynasty value, last two years
2.5K3KJul ’262,6093,210

Market value on a 0–10,000 scale, through Oct 10, 2026. Faint stretches are estimates between real readings. Gold = peak.

Where his value could be in a year
820
2,288
4,460

Teal dot = today (2,609). Box = the middle half of outcomes, white line = the median, whiskers = 10th to 90th percentile. RBs about 24 valued near #231 overall: real 1-year moves since 2022, weighted by exact age and market rank (about 97 players' worth).

Redraft ADP, final preseason (Sep 12, 2026)

196.0 overall, RB116. ESPN 170.4 · Underdog 211.6 · Sleeper 221.5

12

Profile

Draft
R6 #187
2026 · 9th RB · WAS
Age
23.8
23 at the draft
Size
5'11"
216 lb
College
Penn St.

Athletic profilepercentile vs RBs at the combine since 2010

Height
5'11"
63
Weight
216 lb
62

College production

YearGRec-Yds-TDYds shareDominator
2025Penn State1218-68-03.1%1.6
2024Penn State1315-119-23.7%5.6
2023Penn State1214-81-13.3%3.5
2022Penn State1217-172-15.7%4.7

Share = his share of his team's receiving yards. Dominator = average of his share of receiving yards and TDs.

Keep digging

All players · Week 6 rankings · Rest-of-season rankings · Charts · Stats · Methodology
Sources: nflverse play-by-play, weekly stats, Next Gen Stats and FTN charting (free public data); official NFL injury reports; Sleeper; GWTTKB rankings, projections and market data. Built 2026-10-14. Every number on this page comes from those files; where a stat is not on file it is left blank, never zero. Nothing here is betting advice.