Every game, every stat category, and what the board says. 10.99 points per game in 2025, an ADP of 110.7, usage worth 11.5.
29 years old · 7 seasons of experience · 2019 draft class
| SLEEPER | 97.2 |
| ESPN | 117.4 |
| YAHOO | 127.5 |
| UNDERDOG | 113.7 |
| CBS | 100.5 |
| FFA | 125 |
| Goes around | Round 10, pick 3 in a 12-team draft |
| Positional rank | WR42 |
| Bye week | 7 |
| ADP standard deviation | 14.3 picks |
Our board has him at 150.4 points, 9.2 per game — 55.3 catches, 642 yards, 4.3 TDs. That is WR5, 124 overall.
The range runs from a floor of 6.3 points per game to a ceiling of 12.9, with the median at 9.2. Boom rate 40%, bust rate 31%. The spread is the actual bet, not the middle number.
He goes at 110.7 on consensus and our board has him 124. We rank him 13.3 picks worse than the room drafts him. At that distance it is a fade: we do not want him anywhere near his ADP.
Jacksonville Jaguars returns 5 of 6 continuity slots, replacing rb1. Trevor Lawrence at quarterback, Liam Coen as head coach, Grant Udinski calling it. The offense projects to 33.2 pass attempts a game at high confidence and 28.1 rushes.
In: CJ Williams (wr5), Josh Cameron (wr6), Bhaysul Tuten (rb1), Chris Rodriguez Jr. (rb2), DeeJay dallas (rb4), Nate Boerkircher (te2). Out: Travis Etienne Jr (rb1), Bhayshul Tuten (rb2), Johnny Mundt (te2).
His own projected target share for 2026 is 19.9%, with a bear case of 18.4% and a bull case of 21.6% and a full range of 17.6% to 21.9%. That comes from 29 historical comparables, not from a depth chart.
The projected target split across the offense:
| Jakobi Meyers ← | 19.9% |
| Brian Thomas Jr | 18.8% |
| Parker Washington | 14.5% |
| Brenton Strange | 11% |
| Nate Boerkircher | 8.8% |
| Josh Cameron | 6.8% |
Key additions: Chris Rodriguez Jr. signed 2 year deal (previously with commanders). Nate Boerkircher TE 2nd round. 2 6th round WR Josh Cameron & CJ Williams.
Key departures: Travis Etienne Jr. left Jacksonville for Saints in free agency.
Notes: Travis Etienne Jr. has left the Jaguars in free agency for the Saints. Opening door for Bhayshul Tuten to operate as team lead back. Jaguars sign Chris Rodriguez Jr. to 2 year deal from Commanders. Jaguars draft Nate Boerkircher (TE) in 2nd round and should cause competition for Brenton Strange. Also drafted Josh Cameron & CJ Williams both WR in the 6th round. Travis Hunter is expected to play more CB than WR in 2026, but we will need confirmation through camp (very bad for dynasty value if true). Brian Thomas Jr looks to return to his rookie form as a true WR1 but Jakobi Meyers may operate as the teams 1A. Parker Washington has potential to be massive contributor in 2026 if BTJ struggles continue.
How the volume number was reached: Same QB Trevor Lawrence returning — anchor to 2025 actuals (33.1 att/g); Regressed 30% toward league mean 33.5, floored at 30 → 33.2 att/g.
29 historical comps for WRs age ~?, prior share 22.9%, same team, OC continuity. Distribution: median 22.9%, p25-p75 [18.3%, 26.8%], tails [16.2%, 27.9%]. Closest comps: Darnell Mooney 2021→2022 (CHI: 23.1%→27.0%); Michael Pittman 2022→2023 (IND: 24.3%→30.4%); Michael Pittman 2021→2022 (IND: 21.9%→26.1%). Adjustment: -3% from mixed_decline (conflicting signals)
self-anchored 58% to own 22.9% role (3yr), 42% to comp median 22.9%
The named comps are the closest historical matches and the arrow is what their share actually did the following season. That is the working, not a summary of it — if you disagree with the projection, this is the part to argue with.
Offensive environment: JAX rates 22.4 against a league average of 23, 0.6 below it on opponent-adjusted least squares (multi-capture merge).
Opponent-adjusted pass defense faced, against 2025 ratings. Positive is an easier slate.
| Full season | +3.5 · easier |
| Weeks 1–6 | -8.7 · harder |
| Weeks 12–17 | +11.3 · easier |
| Fantasy playoffs (15–17) | +8.4 · easier |
Read this narrowly. Our own testing found that season-long strength of schedule does not survive as a draft input — defensive quality is among the least stable team properties year to year, and a preseason slate is built on last year's identities. The playoff-weeks column is the only one we would let break a tie, and even then it is a tiebreaker rather than a reason. The finding.
Read the full Jakobi Meyers study →Everything in this section is about his dynasty trade value — what he is worth as a long-term asset in the trade market. It is not a forecast of his 2026 fantasy scoring. A player can be a fine redraft pick while his dynasty value falls, and the reverse. The redraft read is above; this is a different question with a different answer.
His dynasty value has moved -8.4% over the last twelve months. The market cycle classifies him as stable.
For context on how long this lasts at the position: the average career at his position produces 2.1 elite seasons and 2.6 startable seasons.
Matched on production profile — production-driven (pedigree ignored). The last column is how that player’s dynasty value moved the following year — a market outcome, not a scoring one.
| Player | Season | Their PPG | Similarity | Next year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DK Metcalf | 2024 | 12.7 | 58% | -4.3% |
| Brandin Cooks | 2024 | 7 | 58% | -34.2% |
| Terry McLaurin | 2024 | 15.8 | 57% | -16.4% |
| Chris Godwin | 2023 | 12.3 | 56% | +22.9% |
| Michael Pittman | 2024 | 10.4 | 55% | +14.8% |
Of the 5 with a following season on record, 2 gained value, 3 lost it and 0 held roughly flat.
| Height | 6′2″ |
| Weight | 203 lb |
| 40-yard dash | 4.63s |
| Vertical | 37″ |
| Broad jump | 118″ |
| 3-cone | 7.07s |
| Shuttle | 4.23s |
| Career PPR per game | 12.4 |
| Week-to-week variation | 0.5 |
| Boom rate | 21.1% |
| Bust rate | 11.3% |
| Games missed per season | 0.5 |
| Injury history | Concussion, Ankle |
| Correlation between his posted line and his actual score | 0.51 |
That correlation is how closely the books’ posted line tracked what he actually scored, week to week. A higher number means the market has him figured out and there is less to exploit; a lower one means his weeks are harder to price.
Injury type matters more than games missed. Measured across our injury database, knee and foot returns stay below a player’s pre-injury baseline for all three of the first games back, while hamstring returns over-recover by the third.
His best game was Week 13 against TEN — 21.3 PPR on 6 targets and a 24% target share, in a game that finished 25-3. His worst was Week 9 against JAX at 6.3, on 6 targets, final score 29-30. Across 16 games he cleared 20 points 1 time and came in under 8 points 6 times. In the 6 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 10.2; in the 10 decided by more, 11.5. He scored more when the game was not close.
His usage that season was worth 11.5 points per game. He scored 10.99, 8.6% below it. The engine classified the season as neutral.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NE | 20-13 | 17.7 | 8 | 10 | 97 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30.3% | 94% |
| 2 | LAC | 9-20 | 12.8 | 6 | 12 | 68 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27.9% | 93% |
| 3 | WAS | 24-41 | 9.3 | 3 | 4 | 63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14.8% | 94% |
| 4 | CHI | 24-25 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35% | 98% |
| 5 | IND | 6-40 | 7.2 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16.7% | 88% |
| 6 | TEN | 20-10 | 7.9 | 4 | 4 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17.4% | 90% |
| 9 | JAX | 29-30 | 6.3 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15.8% | 89% |
| 10 | HOU | 29-36 | 7.1 | 3 | 3 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13% | 44% |
| 11 | LAC | 35-6 | 11.4 | 5 | 6 | 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27.3% | 65% |
| 12 | ARI | 27-24 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20% | 84% |
| 13 | TEN | 25-3 | 21.3 | 6 | 6 | 90 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 24% | 92% |
| 14 | IND | 36-19 | 14.8 | 4 | 10 | 39 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 32.3% | 83% |
| 15 | NYJ | 48-20 | 12.1 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25% | 87% |
| 16 | DEN | 34-20 | 8.6 | 4 | 8 | 45 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22.9% | 86% |
| 17 | IND | 23-17 | 7.9 | 6 | 9 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24.3% | 94% |
| 18 | TEN | 41-7 | 9.4 | 5 | 6 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19.4% | 79% |
| Receptions | 75 |
| Targets | 110 |
| Receiving yards | 835 |
| Carries | 5 |
| Rushing yards | 13 |
| Touchdowns | 3 |
| Points per game | 10.99 |
| Yards per target | 7.59 |
| Catch rate | 68.18% |
| Yards per carry | 2.6 |
| Snap share | 85% |
| Target share | 22.88% |
| Air-yards share | 28.24% |
| WOPR | 0.541 |
| RACR | 0.886 |
| Average depth of target | 9.4 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 3.1 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 8.4 |
| Total YAC | 129 |
| Broken tackles | 0 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 95.2 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0.63 |
| Rushing EPA per game | -0.03 |
| Red-zone targets | 16 |
| Red-zone target share | 17.4% |
| End-zone target share | 27% |
| Red-zone carry share | 1.7% |
| Goal-line carry share | 3% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 3.67 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 3 |
| Receiving TD luck | -0.67 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 0.44 |
Against everyone in the 80+ targets pool that season:
| Points per game | 33 of 44 |
| Yards per target | 26 of 44 |
| Target share | 20 of 44 |
| Air-yards share | 29 of 44 |
The offense threw it 515 times. He took 9.94% of the targets. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Tre Tucker | 18.66% |
| Brock Bowers | 17.44% |
| Ashton Jeanty | 14.81% |
| Michael Mayer | 10.14% |
| Jakobi Meyers ← | 9.94% |
| Tyler Lockett | 6.9% |
He caught passes from 3 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geno Smith | 14 | 97 | 11.02 | 7.42 | 22.98% |
| Kenny Pickett | 1 | 7 | 12.1 | 10.14 | 25% |
| Aidan O'Connell | 1 | 6 | 9.4 | 7.33 | 19.4% |
7 of his 16 games were blowouts, 48.6% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 12.21 in those and 10.17 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.
His best game was Week 18 against LAC — 27.3 PPR on 10 targets and a 29.4% target share, in a game that finished 20-34. His worst was Week 16 against JAX at 6.1, on 5 targets, final score 19-14. Across 15 games he cleared 20 points 3 times and came in under 8 points 2 times. In the 6 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 11.1; in the 9 decided by more, 16.8. He scored more when the game was not close.
His usage that season was worth 15.2 points per game. He scored 14.53, 4.6% below it. The engine classified the season as neutral.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAC | 10-22 | 9.4 | 3 | 3 | 61 | 0 | 9.4% | 87% |
| 2 | BAL | 26-23 | 6.9 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 0 | 13.9% | 94% |
| 3 | CAR | 22-36 | 21.2 | 7 | 9 | 62 | 1 | 23.1% | 92% |
| 4 | CLE | 20-16 | 9.9 | 5 | 10 | 49 | 0 | 41.7% | 97% |
| 5 | DEN | 18-34 | 13.2 | 6 | 9 | 72 | 0 | 25% | 97% |
| 8 | KC | 20-27 | 17.2 | 6 | 7 | 52 | 1 | 25.9% | 81% |
| 9 | CIN | 24-41 | 18.5 | 8 | 11 | 105 | 0 | 34.4% | 97% |
| 11 | MIA | 19-34 | 8.8 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 0 | 15.4% | 88% |
| 12 | DEN | 19-29 | 22.1 | 10 | 15 | 121 | 0 | 32.6% | 99% |
| 13 | KC | 17-19 | 15.7 | 6 | 11 | 97 | 0 | 32.4% | 93% |
| 14 | TB | 13-28 | 13.7 | 7 | 10 | 67 | 0 | 28.6% | 91% |
| 15 | ATL | 9-15 | 10.9 | 5 | 9 | 59 | 0 | 26.5% | 90% |
| 16 | JAX | 19-14 | 6.1 | 2 | 5 | 41 | 0 | 13.5% | 92% |
| 17 | NO | 25-10 | 17.1 | 5 | 9 | 61 | 1 | 25.7% | 83% |
| 18 | LAC | 20-34 | 27.3 | 9 | 10 | 123 | 1 | 29.4% | 94% |
| Receptions | 87 |
| Targets | 129 |
| Receiving yards | 1,027 |
| Carries | 2 |
| Rushing yards | 23 |
| Touchdowns | 4 |
| Points per game | 14.53 |
| Yards per target | 7.96 |
| Catch rate | 67.44% |
| Yards per carry | 11.5 |
| Snap share | 91.67% |
| Target share | 25.17% |
| Air-yards share | 32.28% |
| WOPR | 0.603 |
| RACR | 0.89 |
| Average depth of target | 9.6 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 3.4 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 8.4 |
| Total YAC | 293 |
| Broken tackles | 4 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 92.1 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 2.16 |
| Rushing EPA per game | 0.09 |
| Red-zone targets | 15 |
| Red-zone target share | 23.8% |
| End-zone target share | 40% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 3.66 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 3 |
| Receiving TD luck | -0.66 |
Against everyone in the 80+ targets pool that season:
| Points per game | 21 of 51 |
| Yards per target | 29 of 51 |
| Target share | 22 of 51 |
| Air-yards share | 21 of 51 |
The offense threw it 634 times. He took 21.83% of the targets. 1 team-mate cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Brock Bowers | 25.89% |
| Jakobi Meyers ← | 21.83% |
| Tre Tucker | 13.71% |
| Alexander Mattison | 8.12% |
| Ameer Abdullah | 7.95% |
| Michael Mayer | 5.41% |
He caught passes from 3 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gardner Minshew | 8 | 66 | 14.25 | 7.68 | 24.55% |
| Aidan O'Connell | 6 | 54 | 15.52 | 8.54 | 25.77% |
| Desmond Ridder | 1 | 9 | 10.9 | 6.56 | 26.5% |
1 of his 15 games were blowouts, 8.5% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 18.5 in those and 11.12 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.
His best game was Week 1 against DEN — 29.1 PPR on 10 targets and a 38.5% target share, in a game that finished 17-16. His worst was Week 8 against DET at 2.9, on 1 targets, final score 14-26. Across 16 games he cleared 20 points 4 times and came in under 8 points 5 times. In the 10 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 12.7; in the 6 decided by more, 15.3. He scored more when the game was not close.
His usage that season was worth 11.4 points per game. He scored 13.66, 20% above it. The engine classified the season as lucky. On receiving touchdowns specifically he finished 6 against 4.02 expected, a gap of 2.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DEN | 17-16 | 29.1 | 9 | 10 | 81 | 2 | 38.5% | 80% |
| 3 | PIT | 18-23 | 15.5 | 7 | 12 | 85 | 0 | 27.3% | 86% |
| 4 | LAC | 17-24 | 5.3 | 2 | 4 | 33 | 0 | 10.5% | 96% |
| 5 | GB | 17-13 | 20.5 | 7 | 10 | 75 | 1 | 34.5% | 95% |
| 6 | NE | 21-17 | 17.1 | 5 | 7 | 61 | 1 | 22.6% | 91% |
| 7 | CHI | 12-30 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 50 | 1 | 28.9% | 94% |
| 8 | DET | 14-26 | 2.9 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 4.8% | 98% |
| 9 | NYG | 30-6 | 13.5 | 2 | 5 | 38 | 1 | 20.8% | 82% |
| 10 | NYJ | 16-12 | 4.1 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 8% | 91% |
| 11 | MIA | 13-20 | 8.9 | 4 | 5 | 49 | 0 | 13.2% | 82% |
| 12 | KC | 17-31 | 20.1 | 6 | 7 | 79 | 1 | 21.9% | 91% |
| 14 | MIN | 0-3 | 7.5 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 0 | 20.7% | 98% |
| 15 | LAC | 63-21 | 15.68 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 2 | 11.8% | 88% |
| 16 | KC | 20-14 | 7.2 | 3 | 5 | 42 | 0 | 26.3% | 82% |
| 17 | IND | 20-23 | 11.6 | 6 | 10 | 56 | 0 | 21.7% | 95% |
| 18 | DEN | 27-14 | 21.6 | 3 | 5 | 61 | 2 | 18.5% | 88% |
| Receptions | 71 |
| Targets | 106 |
| Receiving yards | 807 |
| Carries | 4 |
| Rushing yards | 24 |
| Touchdowns | 11 |
| Points per game | 13.66 |
| Yards per target | 7.61 |
| Catch rate | 66.98% |
| Yards per carry | 6 |
| Snap share | 89.81% |
| Target share | 20.63% |
| Air-yards share | 26.15% |
| WOPR | 0.494 |
| RACR | 1.23 |
| Average depth of target | 9.7 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 3.4 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 8 |
| Total YAC | 242 |
| Broken tackles | 6 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 99.1 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 1.15 |
| Rushing EPA per game | 0.18 |
| Red-zone targets | 16 |
| Red-zone target share | 20.5% |
| End-zone target share | 23.5% |
| Red-zone carry share | 4.5% |
| Goal-line carry share | 5.9% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 4.02 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 6 |
| Receiving TD luck | 1.98 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 0.53 |
Against everyone in the 80+ targets pool that season:
| Points per game | 23 of 51 |
| Yards per target | 35 of 51 |
| Target share | 36 of 51 |
| Air-yards share | 36 of 51 |
The offense threw it 557 times. He took 19.96% of the targets. 1 team-mate cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Davante Adams | 32.96% |
| Jakobi Meyers ← | 19.96% |
| Josh Jacobs | 10.17% |
| Michael Mayer | 7.53% |
| Hunter Renfrow | 6.97% |
| Tre Tucker | 6.4% |
He caught passes from 3 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan O'Connell | 10 | 53 | 11.55 | 8.23 | 17.34% |
| Jimmy Garoppolo | 5 | 40 | 17.02 | 8.03 | 25.54% |
| Brian Hoyer | 1 | 13 | 18 | 3.85 | 28.9% |
3 of his 16 games were blowouts, 21.6% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 15.73 in those and 12.68 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.
His best game was Week 5 against DET — 24.1 PPR on 8 targets and a 38.1% target share, in a game that finished 29-0. His worst was Week 13 against BUF at 5.2, on 5 targets, final score 10-24. Across 14 games he cleared 20 points 3 times and came in under 8 points 3 times. In the 7 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 14.5; in the 7 decided by more, 11.5. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 11.7 points per game. He scored 13.02, 12.4% above it. The engine classified the season as lucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIA | 7-20 | 10.2 | 4 | 6 | 55 | 0 | 20% | 88% |
| 2 | PIT | 17-14 | 18.5 | 9 | 13 | 95 | 0 | 38.2% | 82% |
| 5 | DET | 29-0 | 24.1 | 7 | 8 | 111 | 1 | 38.1% | 80% |
| 6 | CLE | 38-15 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 60 | 0 | 12.9% | 81% |
| 7 | CHI | 14-33 | 11.4 | 2 | 2 | 34 | 1 | 7.1% | 100% |
| 8 | NYJ | 22-17 | 21 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 1 | 40.6% | 81% |
| 9 | IND | 26-3 | 7.4 | 5 | 6 | 42 | 0 | 20.7% | 81% |
| 11 | NYJ | 10-3 | 9.2 | 4 | 6 | 52 | 0 | 22.2% | 95% |
| 12 | MIN | 26-33 | 9.2 | 3 | 4 | 62 | 0 | 11.4% | 29% |
| 13 | BUF | 10-24 | 5.2 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 0 | 14.7% | 57% |
| 15 | LV | 24-30 | 6.7 | 2 | 6 | 47 | 0 | 20% | 62% |
| 16 | CIN | 18-22 | 20.3 | 6 | 7 | 83 | 1 | 22.6% | 100% |
| 17 | MIA | 23-21 | 16.9 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 1 | 28.1% | 82% |
| 18 | BUF | 23-35 | 12.2 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 1 | 17.9% | 90% |
| Receptions | 67 |
| Targets | 96 |
| Receiving yards | 804 |
| Carries | 2 |
| Rushing yards | -11 |
| Touchdowns | 6 |
| Points per game | 13.02 |
| Yards per target | 8.38 |
| Catch rate | 69.79% |
| Yards per carry | -5.5 |
| Snap share | 79.14% |
| Target share | 22.46% |
| Air-yards share | 28.99% |
| WOPR | 0.542 |
| RACR | 0.882 |
| Average depth of target | 9.9 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 3.5 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 8.5 |
| Total YAC | 236 |
| Broken tackles | 1 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 116 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 2.65 |
| Rushing EPA per game | 0.07 |
| Red-zone targets | 8 |
| Red-zone target share | 15.7% |
| End-zone target share | 23.5% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 2.49 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 3 |
| Receiving TD luck | 0.51 |
Against everyone in the 80+ targets pool that season:
| Points per game | 27 of 51 |
| Yards per target | 25 of 51 |
| Target share | 27 of 51 |
| Air-yards share | 26 of 51 |
The offense threw it 540 times. He took 18.71% of the targets. 1 team-mate cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Jakobi Meyers ← | 18.71% |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 17.15% |
| Hunter Henry | 11.5% |
| Nelson Agholor | 10.33% |
| Kendrick Bourne | 9.36% |
| DeVante Parker | 9.16% |
He caught passes from 2 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac Jones | 11 | 82 | 12.44 | 7.3 | 23.31% |
| Bailey Zappe | 3 | 14 | 15.17 | 14.64 | 19.37% |
4 of his 14 games were blowouts, 29% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 13.22 in those and 14.54 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
His best game was Week 17 against JAX — 21.3 PPR on 8 targets and a 24.2% target share, in a game that finished 50-10. His worst was Week 9 against CAR at 1.8, on 4 targets, final score 24-6. Across 16 games he cleared 20 points 1 time and came in under 8 points 3 times. In the 5 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 11.6; in the 11 decided by more, 11.7. He scored more when the game was not close.
His usage that season was worth 13.8 points per game. He scored 11.64, 16.1% below it. The engine classified the season as unlucky. On receiving touchdowns specifically he finished 2 against 4.65 expected, a gap of -2.6.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIA | 16-17 | 10.4 | 6 | 9 | 44 | 0 | 23.7% | 99% |
| 2 | NYJ | 25-6 | 7.8 | 4 | 6 | 38 | 0 | 21.4% | 88% |
| 3 | NO | 13-28 | 18.4 | 9 | 14 | 94 | 0 | 27.5% | 96% |
| 4 | TB | 17-19 | 16.8 | 8 | 12 | 70 | 0 | 28.6% | 95% |
| 5 | HOU | 25-22 | 9.6 | 4 | 5 | 56 | 0 | 17.9% | 91% |
| 6 | DAL | 29-35 | 11.4 | 5 | 6 | 44 | 0 | 28.6% | 63% |
| 7 | NYJ | 54-13 | 9.4 | 5 | 7 | 44 | 0 | 17.5% | 78% |
| 8 | LAC | 27-24 | 9.6 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 0 | 26.5% | 92% |
| 9 | CAR | 24-6 | 1.8 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 22.2% | 89% |
| 10 | CLE | 45-7 | 14.9 | 4 | 4 | 49 | 1 | 16% | 72% |
| 11 | ATL | 25-0 | 7.9 | 4 | 6 | 39 | 0 | 23.1% | 88% |
| 12 | TEN | 36-13 | 14.8 | 5 | 8 | 98 | 0 | 25% | 87% |
| 15 | IND | 17-27 | 11.3 | 6 | 12 | 44 | 0 | 27.3% | 94% |
| 16 | BUF | 21-33 | 11.9 | 6 | 8 | 59 | 0 | 25.8% | 75% |
| 17 | JAX | 50-10 | 21.3 | 8 | 8 | 73 | 1 | 24.2% | 78% |
| 18 | MIA | 24-33 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 70 | 0 | 26.7% | 84% |
| Receptions | 83 |
| Targets | 126 |
| Receiving yards | 866 |
| Carries | 1 |
| Rushing yards | 9 |
| Touchdowns | 2 |
| Points per game | 11.64 |
| Yards per target | 6.87 |
| Catch rate | 65.87% |
| Yards per carry | 9 |
| Snap share | 85.56% |
| Target share | 23.88% |
| Air-yards share | 29.62% |
| WOPR | 0.565 |
| RACR | 0.759 |
| Average depth of target | 9.8 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 2.7 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 7.8 |
| Total YAC | 222 |
| Broken tackles | 1 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 81 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 1.19 |
| Rushing EPA per game | 0.06 |
| Red-zone targets | 17 |
| Red-zone target share | 20.7% |
| End-zone target share | 24.1% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 4.65 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 2 |
| Receiving TD luck | -2.65 |
Against everyone in the 80+ targets pool that season:
| Points per game | 31 of 48 |
| Yards per target | 42 of 48 |
| Target share | 20 of 48 |
| Air-yards share | 24 of 48 |
The offense threw it 535 times. He took 24.05% of the targets. 0 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Jakobi Meyers ← | 24.05% |
| Hunter Henry | 14.31% |
| Kendrick Bourne | 13.36% |
| Nelson Agholor | 12.21% |
| Brandon Bolden | 9.35% |
| Jonnu Smith | 8.59% |
7 of his 16 games were blowouts, 41.8% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 11.13 in those and 11.56 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
His best game was Week 9 against NYJ — 28.9 PPR on 14 targets and a 41.2% target share, in a game that finished 30-27. His worst was Week 2 against SEA at 1.7, on 1 targets, final score 30-35. Across 12 games he cleared 20 points 1 time and came in under 8 points 3 times. In the 6 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 12.9; in the 6 decided by more, 10.9. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 12.2 points per game. He scored 11.88, 2.5% below it. The engine classified the season as neutral. On receiving touchdowns specifically he finished 0 against 1.45 expected, a gap of -1.4.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | SEA | 30-35 | 1.7 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 2.3% | 11% |
| 7 | SF | 6-33 | 10.2 | 4 | 6 | 60 | 0 | 27.3% | 79% |
| 8 | BUF | 21-24 | 13.8 | 6 | 10 | 58 | 0 | 43.5% | 98% |
| 9 | NYJ | 30-27 | 28.9 | 12 | 14 | 169 | 0 | 41.2% | 99% |
| 10 | BAL | 23-17 | 15.86 | 5 | 7 | 59 | 1 | 41.2% | 98% |
| 11 | HOU | 20-27 | 6.8 | 3 | 3 | 38 | 0 | 7.9% | 99% |
| 12 | ARI | 20-17 | 10.2 | 5 | 6 | 52 | 0 | 35.3% | 94% |
| 13 | LAC | 45-0 | 3.5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 0 | 28.6% | 84% |
| 14 | LA | 3-24 | 8.7 | 4 | 5 | 47 | 0 | 21.7% | 100% |
| 15 | MIA | 12-22 | 16.1 | 7 | 10 | 111 | 0 | 40% | 96% |
| 16 | BUF | 9-38 | 8.5 | 4 | 6 | 45 | 0 | 33.3% | 100% |
| 17 | NYJ | 28-14 | 18.26 | 6 | 7 | 68 | 1 | 23.3% | 100% |
| Receptions | 59 |
| Targets | 81 |
| Receiving yards | 729 |
| Carries | 2 |
| Rushing yards | 9 |
| Touchdowns | 2 |
| Points per game | 11.88 |
| Yards per target | 9 |
| Catch rate | 72.84% |
| Yards per carry | 4.5 |
| Snap share | 88.17% |
| Target share | 28.8% |
| Air-yards share | 37.88% |
| WOPR | 0.698 |
| RACR | 1.12 |
| Average depth of target | 10.2 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 3.7 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 8.7 |
| Total YAC | 216 |
| Broken tackles | 4 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 90 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 2.14 |
| Rushing EPA per game | 0.02 |
| Red-zone targets | 5 |
| Red-zone target share | 12.5% |
| End-zone target share | 15.4% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 1.45 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 0 |
| Receiving TD luck | -1.45 |
Against everyone in the 80+ targets pool that season:
| Points per game | 37 of 51 |
| Yards per target | 15 of 51 |
| Target share | 4 of 51 |
| Air-yards share | 6 of 51 |
The offense threw it 440 times. He took 19.38% of the targets. 1 team-mate cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Jakobi Meyers ← | 19.38% |
| Damiere Byrd | 18.42% |
| James White | 14.83% |
| N'Keal Harry | 13.64% |
| Julian Edelman | 9.33% |
| Rex Burkhead | 7.89% |
He caught passes from 2 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Newton | 11 | 75 | 12.18 | 9.12 | 28.39% |
| Jarrett Stidham | 1 | 6 | 8.5 | 7.5 | 33.3% |
4 of his 12 games were blowouts, 21.7% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 7.72 in those and 12.88 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
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