Travis HunterJacksonville Jaguars
WR/Jacksonville Jaguars

Travis Hunter

Age 23.4 · 2nd season · Colorado · 2025 R1 #2
01

Overview

Board Oct 12
Hold
Hold WR95 · model WR86 · market WR101
The books rank him WR101, close enough to his WR95 on the 10/12 list, so he holds.
Model
WR86
Market
WR101
2026 production
—

Week 5 rest-of-season review, Oct 12, 2026. The three reads are where our backtested model, the betting market and his 2026 production each place him at WR; our board rank is the call.

Realistic range, rest of season
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
WR82
WR95 now
WR106
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
WR79
WR95 now
WR104
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
WR77
WR96 now
WR103

Where his stats say he could finish from here: WR79 to WR104. Our rank stays the call.

Rest-of-season rank on our sheets
#207Sep 21#219Sep 26#223Sep 28#226Sep 30#220Oct 5#226Oct 12#201Sep 21#215Sep 26#213Sep 28#217Sep 30#218Oct 5#223Oct 12#198Sep 21#215Sep 26#213Sep 28#220Sep 30#222Oct 5#229Oct 12
Our rest-of-season model
Half PPR/g
4.7
PPR/g
5.7
Games left
10.7

80% range 2.1–6.6 half-PPR points a game. Biggest inputs: final college season -0.7, college production +0.4, sportsbook-implied points Wks 1-4 -0.3, game script (spreads) +0.3. The model informs the rank; it does not set it.

02

Week 6

Lines Oct 14
JAX
VS
Sun · Oct 18 · 9:30 AM ET
Wembley Stadium
HOU
LineJAX -2.5Total42.5JAX implied22.5Rest7 days (HOU 7)Forecast55°F, wind 9 mph
Our Week 6 projection
1.4pts
WR104
Bench
0.8tgt0.5rec8yds0.06TD

Updated Oct 14, 2026, built on a JAX team total of 22.75. Rank is among every WR we project this week.

Houston Texans defense vs WRs
#31of 32 in fantasy points allowed to WRs (1 = stingiest)
StingiestSoftest
PPR a game
41.0
targets
22.4
rec yds
193
TD
1.2

Allowed to WRs per game across 5 games. Best games against them: CeeDee Lamb (W4, 41.3 PPR, 17/21 189 yds); Ja'Marr Chase (W2, 26.5 PPR, 7/9 75 yds); DJ Moore (W1, 21 PPR, 5/8 100 yds).

EPA ranks entering Week 6: #12 against the pass, #11 against the run (1 = best defense).

Where HOU gives up receiving fantasy points to WRs
Left
Middle
Right
Deep 20+
0.0#1
3.1#27
4.7#25
Middle 10–19
2.1#13
5.7#31
4.4#29
Short 0–9
4.5#20
2.8#24
4.7#24
Behind line
0.4#13
0.2#27
1.0#25
StingySoft

Big number: receiving fantasy points HOU allows a game to WRs in that zone. # = its rank of 32. Depth is air yards at the catch point; 5 games, through Week 5. Tap a zone for the detail.

Week 5: projected vs. actual
Projected
1.1
WR116
Actual
1.4
Difference
+0.3

1-9 rec on 1 tgt

Do defensive matchups actually matter? Our study ›

03

Game log

2026 · through W5
Fantasy pointsOur projection that weekSeason average 1.5
051012.12—3—4—51.9051011.62—3—4—51.4051011.12—3—4—50.9

Every gametap a game for the detail

W2
@ DEN L 13-20
No catch, carry or pass recorded
—
W3
vs NE W 35-6
No catch, carry or pass recorded
—
W4
@ CIN W 22-17
No catch, carry or pass recorded
—

D# = the opponent's rank against WRs entering that week (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest). Finish = his rank at WR that week.

04

Usage

Snap shareTarget shareAir-yard share
0%25%50%75%100%W1W58%3%2%

JAX target treeshare of team targets, 2026

Nate Boerkircher
5.6%

Season to date, games each player played.

05

Team

JAX
Points a game
24.6
12th of 32
Plays a game
57.6
27th of 32
EPA per play
0.151
6th of 32
Pass rate over exp.
−6.5%
20th of 32
Red-zone plays a game
9.4
18th of 32
Motion rate
49%
10th of 32
Play-action rate
11%
23rd of 32
No-huddle rate
4%
24th of 32

Jacksonville Jaguars offense, 2026 through Week 5. Rank 1 = most. Scheme rates from FTN charting through Week 5.

Game by gamescore, implied total, pass rate (over expected), QB

WeekScoreImpliedPass rateQB
W1vs CLE34-1024.545%−4.7Lawrence23 att
W2vs DEN13-2021.556%−7.1Lawrence29 att
W3vs NE35-624.849%−5.2Lawrence29 att
W4vs CIN22-1724.553%−6.0Lawrence23 att
W5vs PHI19-1724.560%−8.9Lawrence39 att

Depth chartWR, Oct 14

WR5
Travis Hunter
WR6
CJ Williams

Scheduleeach defense's current rank vs WRs

W6
HOU
#31
W7
BYE
W8
IND
#18
W9
@BAL
#24
W10
@TEN
#22
W11
@NYG
#15
W12
TEN
#22
W13
@CHI
#19
W14
PIT
#6
W15
@HOU
#31
W16
@DAL
#21
W17
WAS
#29
W18
@IND
#18
Next 4
#24
average rank
Playoffs W15–17
#27
average rank
Bye
W7

Green = soft, red = stingy (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest), ranked on fantasy points allowed to WRs so far. Gold underline = fantasy playoffs. Does strength of schedule matter? ›

Head coach: Liam Coen. QB: Trevor Lawrence (most pass attempts, Week 5).

06

Career

Points a game by season
’25’26
’25’26
’25’26

Season by season

YearGRec-Yds-TDPts/gxFP/g
2026JAX52-17-02 tgt, 1.5% share——
2025JAX728-298-145 tgt——

Under points a game: his rank at WR in points a game (8+ games; 2026: 2+ games). xFP = expected PPR a game from his usage; under it, the season's points over expected. Routes = share of team dropbacks he ran a route (through 2025).

Red zone and touchdowns

20251 RZ car (1%), 0 inside 5, 0 rush TD vs 0.1 exp · 5 RZ tgt (5%), 2 end-zone, 0 rec TD vs 1.0 exp
07

Health

No injury designation. Not on the Sleeper injury list as of Oct 10 and not on the Week 6 practice report so far.

2026 injury reportofficial, week by week

W1
✓
W5
✓
W6
•

✓ = not listed. Letters = game status (Q, D, O) or worst practice that week (LP limited, DNP did not practice). Tap a week for the detail.

Historyofficial injury reports since 2020

YearWeeks listedRuled outListed for
202511Knee

How long do players take to recover? ›

08

Value

Market Oct 10
1QB value
2,597
#233 overall · WR95 · tier 13
Superflex
2,048
#229 overall · WR95
30 days
−659
90 days −1,462 · 1 year −3,489
Peak
7,250
May 31, 2025 · 64% off
1QB dynasty value, last two years
4K6KJul ’25Jan ’26Jul ’262,5977,231

Market value on a 0–10,000 scale, through Oct 10, 2026. Faint stretches are estimates between real readings. Gold = peak.

Where his value could be in a year
1,232
2,322
4,149

Teal dot = today (2,597). Box = the middle half of outcomes, white line = the median, whiskers = 10th to 90th percentile. WRs about 23 valued near #233 overall: real 1-year moves since 2022, weighted by exact age and market rank (about 128 players' worth).

Redraft ADP, final preseason (Sep 12, 2026)

137.0 overall, WR55. ESPN 117.2 · Yahoo 127.2 · Underdog 145.5 · Sleeper 166.5

09

Profile

Draft
R1 #2
2025 · 1st WR · JAX
Age
23.4
22 at the draft
College
Colorado

College production

YearGRec-Yds-TDYds shareDominator
2024Colorado1292-1,152-1429.3%34.7
2023Colorado957-721-526.1%23.9
2022Jackson State614-143-29.9%11.6

Share = his share of his team's receiving yards. Dominator = average of his share of receiving yards and TDs.

GWTTKB takes

like · medium conviction · Jun 5

Last-round flyer with real WR1 upside if he wins the receiver role; hits more than most picks in that range. Free shot.

buy · high conviction · Jun 14

Screaming late value - going ~WR70 / round 13-17 despite elite talent. As a rookie he cleared the 80th percentile vs man/press while learning offense AND defense; now a full offseason to master all 3 WR alignments in a Liam Cohen offense. Even splitting snaps with corner his TPRR projects high - could be Jacksonville's most valuable WR. Last-pick cost, real upside.

hold · medium conviction · Aug 2026

Hype LAGS visibility even when opportunity is real

Keep digging

All players · Week 6 rankings · Rest-of-season rankings · Charts · Stats · Methodology
Sources: nflverse play-by-play, weekly stats, Next Gen Stats and FTN charting (free public data); official NFL injury reports; Sleeper; GWTTKB rankings, projections and market data. Built 2026-10-14. Every number on this page comes from those files; where a stat is not on file it is left blank, never zero. Nothing here is betting advice.