Jadarian PriceSeattle Seahawks
RB/Seattle Seahawks

Jadarian Price

Age 23.0 · Rookie · 5'11", 203 lb · Notre Dame · 2026 R1 #32
01

Overview

Board Oct 12
Move down
Down 1 to RB44 · misses ~3.5 games · model RB47 · market RB50
The books rank him RB50 over the rest of the season (8.0 PPR a game), 7 spots below his RB43 on the 10/12 list; that is a small disagreement, so he moves one spot down; both forecasts are cut for the 3.5 games he is expected to miss.
Model
RB47
Market
RB50
2026 production
RB51

Week 5 rest-of-season review, Oct 12, 2026. The three reads are where our backtested model, the betting market and his 2026 production each place him at RB; our board rank is the call.

Realistic range, rest of season
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
RB34
RB44 now
RB58
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
RB32
RB40 now
RB53
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
RB34
RB40 now
RB53

Where his stats say he could finish from here: RB32 to RB53. Our rank stays the call.

Rest-of-season rank on our sheets
#65Sep 21#65Sep 26#68Sep 28#65Sep 30#94Oct 5#121Oct 12#55Sep 21#55Sep 26#57Sep 28#55Sep 30#74Oct 5#108Oct 12#43Sep 21#44Sep 26#44Sep 28#42Sep 30#63Oct 5#93Oct 12

2026 so far3 games

Points a game
4.0
RB58 of 115
Carry share
35%
36th of 66 RBs
Touches a game
10.7
7 targets
Expected PPR a game
9.0
−2.9 a game vs usage
Role: committee back
  • 18% of carries go for 10+ (2nd of 66 RBs)
  • 1 of SEA's 11 carries inside the 5
  • 8% of SEA's red-zone touches (55th of 66 RBs)

Ranked among 66 qualified RBs this season.

Our rest-of-season model
Half PPR/g
8.7
PPR/g
9.6
Games left
9.9

80% range 3.5–12.9 half-PPR points a game. Biggest inputs: power-conference college +0.9, college target share -0.7, draft capital +0.6, college seasons -0.5. The model informs the rank; it does not set it.

02

Week 6

Lines Oct 14
SEA
@
Thu · Oct 15 · 8:15 PM ET
Empower Field at Mile High
DEN
LineSEA -2.5Total40.5SEA implied21.5Rest4 days (DEN 4)Forecast45°F, wind 4 mph, 31% rain
Our Week 6 projection

0 points. Our projection does not expect him to play this week.

Updated Oct 14, 2026.

Denver Broncos defense vs RBs
#26of 32 in fantasy points allowed to RBs (1 = stingiest)
StingiestSoftest
PPR a game
26.3
rush yds
111
rec
5.2
TD
1.0

Allowed to RBs per game across 5 games. Best games against them: Kenneth Walker III (W1, 34.1 PPR, 23 car 173 ry, 3/6 18 rec); Kyren Williams (W3, 21.8 PPR, 15 car 88 ry, 6/7 70 rec); Christian McCaffrey (W4, 16 PPR, 15 car 52 ry, 3/5 18 rec).

EPA ranks entering Week 6: #4 against the pass, #28 against the run (1 = best defense).

Where DEN gives up receiving fantasy points to RBs
#12
DEN's average rank in the zones where Price gets his targets, weighted by his share there (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest).
Left
Middle
Right
Deep 20+
0.0#1
0.0#1
29%0.0#1
Middle 10–19
0.9#32
0.0#1
0.5#30
Short 0–9
14%1.1#17
0.7#14
29%1.6#25
Behind line
14%1.1#15
1.8#32
14%0.2#1

Runs by directionRB rushing points allowed a game

Left
Middle
Right
Rushing
32%7.1#25
21%4.9#25
46%3.9#15
StingySoft

Big number: receiving fantasy points DEN allows a game to RBs in that zone. # = its rank of 32. Green tag = Jadarian Price's share of his targets in that zone this season. Depth is air yards at the catch point; 5 games, through Week 5. Tap a zone for the detail.

Week 5: projected vs. actual
Projected
-0.3
RB162
Actual
0.0
Difference
+0.3

no stats recorded

Do defensive matchups actually matter? Our study ›

03

Game log

2026 · through W5
Fantasy pointsOur projection that weekSeason average 4.0
05101517.825.031.24OUT5OUT051016.824.530.74OUT5OUT051015.824.030.24OUT5OUT

Every gametap a game for the detail

W4
vs LAC W 30-23
Did not play (Chest, out)
OUT
W5
vs SF L 29-32
Did not play (on injured reserve)
OUT

D# = the opponent's rank against RBs entering that week (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest). Finish = his rank at RB that week.

04

Usage

Snap shareCarry shareTarget share
0%25%50%75%100%W1W2W328%28%7%

SEA backfieldshare of team carries, 2026

Jadarian Price
35.0%
Share of team targets
Jadarian Price
7.6%

Season to date, games each player played.

Role details2026, through Week 5

Red-zone tgt share
0%
0 red-zone targets
Red-zone carry share
14%
3 red-zone carries
Goal-line share
9%
1 carries inside the 5
Snap share
36.7%
05

Advanced

PoorAverageGreat
Fantasy points a game2+ games
4.0
28
28
27
Carry share2+ games
35.0%
53
Red-zone carry share2+ games
14.3%
25
Target share2+ games
7.6%
38
Rush yards over expected25+ carries
+0.02
56
Rush success rate25+ carries
35.7%
31
EPA per carry25+ carries
-0.45
3
Yards after contact25+ carries
1.70
49
Broken tackles per carry25+ carries
7.1%
72
10+ yard run rate25+ carries
17.9%
97
Stuff ratelower is better
17.9%
7
Stacked-box ratecontext
34.3%
95
Expected points a game2+ games
8.9
53

Percentile against the RBs on our charts (each stat's minimum is next to it), 2026 through Week 5. 50 is the middle of the pack. Tap a bubble for his rank.

Expected vs. actualPPR, from this season's play-by-play

Expected PPR a game
9.0
what his targets and carries are usually worth
Actual PPR a game
6.0
Over expected
−2.9
points a game
TDs vs. expected
0/ 0.8
−0.75

0 TDs on 0.75 expected. Expected points price every target by depth and field position and every carry by field position. Do touchdowns regress? ›

Leaderboardstop 10 among RBs, 2026

3rdStacked boxes faced (8+ defenders)
06

Splits

As a receiver2026 charted plays, through Week 5

SituationTgtRec-Yds-TDYds/tgtEPA/tgt
All targets74-21-03.05.4-0.08-0.02
Score within 757% of targets41-7-01.85.3-0.24-0.08
Trailing by 8+29% of targets22-6-03.05.6-0.350.11
Leading by 8+14% of targets11-8-08.05.61.090.07
Two-minute drill14% of targets10-0-00.04.6-0.31-0.04
Vs. the blitz29% of targets22-6-03.05.3-0.35-0.04
No blitz71% of targets52-15-03.05.40.03-0.01
Play action43% of targets33-19-06.35.90.440.08
With motion71% of targets54-21-04.25.30.07-0.03
Screens14% of targets11-8-08.05.21.09-0.09

Small grey number = every RB in that situation. Green or red = a clear gap either way. 6 of his 7 charted targets were catchable; 1 drop, 0 of 2 contested caught.

As a runner2026 charted carries, through Week 5

SituationCarYds-TDYPCSuccess
All carries28119-04.34.136%39%
Red zone11% of carries36-02.02.633%40%
Inside the 107% of carries20-00.01.70%47%
Score within 789% of carries25118-04.74.140%38%
Trailing by 8+7% of carries2-3-0-1.54.10%41%
Leading by 8+4% of carries14-04.04.50%40%
Light box (6 or fewer)50% of carries1444-03.14.536%40%

Box counts from FTN charting. Small grey number = every RB in that situation.

07

Team

SEA
Points a game
26.8
8th of 32
Plays a game
58.8
22nd of 32
EPA per play
-0.072
25th of 32
Pass rate over exp.
−5.8%
18th of 32
Red-zone plays a game
10.6
12th of 32
Motion rate
45%
18th of 32
Play-action rate
14%
4th of 32
No-huddle rate
1%
29th of 32

Seattle Seahawks offense, 2026 through Week 5. Rank 1 = most. Scheme rates from FTN charting through Week 5.

Game by gamescore, implied total, pass rate (over expected), QB

WeekScoreImpliedPass rateQB
W1vs NE13-1023.855%−7.6Lock22 att
W2vs ARI31-722.040%−11.8Lock26 att
W3vs WAS31-3324.572%+7.4Darnold45 att
W4vs LAC30-2324.845%−10.7Darnold22 att
W5vs SF29-3224.857%−7.2Darnold29 att

Depth chartRB, Oct 14

RB3
Robert Henry Jr.
RB5
Jadarian Price

Scheduleeach defense's current rank vs RBs

W6
@DEN
#26
W7
KC
#14
W8
CHI
#7
W9
ARI
#13
W10
@LV
#21
W11
BYE
W12
@SF
#24
W13
DAL
#25
W14
NYG
#18
W15
@PHI
#16
W16
LA
#15
W17
@CAR
#28
W18
@LA
#15
Next 4
#15
average rank
Playoffs W15–17
#20
average rank
Bye
W11

Green = soft, red = stingy (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest), ranked on fantasy points allowed to RBs so far. Gold underline = fantasy playoffs. Does strength of schedule matter? ›

Head coach: Mike Macdonald. QB: Sam Darnold (most pass attempts, Week 5).

08

Charts

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Jadarian Price is highlighted on each chart. Swipe for more; tap a dot for the player. Every chart saves and shares as an image on the Charts page.

09

Career

Points a game by season
’264.7
’264.0
’263.3

Season by season

YearGRushing / receivingPts/gxFP/g
2026SEA328-119-0 rush4-21-0 rec on 7 tgt4.0RB589.0−8.9

Under points a game: his rank at RB in points a game (8+ games; 2026: 2+ games). xFP = expected PPR a game from his usage; under it, the season's points over expected. Routes = share of team dropbacks he ran a route (through 2025).

10

Health

Out · concern medium · through Week 7. On IR (chest); projected back around Week 8.

Our note, Oct 13, 2026 · CBS Sports Seahawks injury page (Sat 10/3)

2026 injury reportofficial, week by week

W1
✓
W2
✓
W3
FP
W4
OUT
W5
OUT
W6
•

✓ = not listed. Letters = game status (Q, D, O) or worst practice that week (LP limited, DNP did not practice). Tap a week for the detail.

Teammates on the report

questionable
questionable
Robbie Ouzts RB
IR (Undisclosed)
Jacardia Wright RB
Out (Foot)

Our current notes first, then Sleeper designations. What happens when a starter is ruled out? ›

11

Value

Market Oct 10
1QB value
5,101
#72 overall · RB23 · tier 10
Superflex
4,347
#85 overall · RB23
30 days
−907
90 days −459
Peak
6,008
Sep 17, 2026 · 15% off
1QB dynasty value, last two years
5K5.5K6KJul ’265,1015,996

Market value on a 0–10,000 scale, through Oct 10, 2026. Faint stretches are estimates between real readings. Gold = peak.

Where his value could be in a year
2,399
4,808
8,439

Teal dot = today (5,101). Box = the middle half of outcomes, white line = the median, whiskers = 10th to 90th percentile. RBs about 23 valued near #72 overall: real 1-year moves since 2022, weighted by exact age and market rank (about 95 players' worth).

Redraft ADP, final preseason (Sep 12, 2026)

69.6 overall, RB26. CBS 62.2 · Underdog 62.3 · Yahoo 65.8 · Sleeper 69.1 · ESPN 81.2

12

Profile

Draft
R1 #32
2026 · 2nd RB · SEA
Age
23.0
22 at the draft
Size
5'11"
203 lb
College
Notre Dame

Athletic profilepercentile vs RBs at the combine since 2010

Height
5'11"
63
Weight
203 lb
22
40-yard dash
4.49s
68
Vertical
35"
55
Broad jump
124"
81
speed
51

College production

YearGRec-Yds-TDYds shareDominator
2025Notre Dame126-87-22.8%5.4
2024Notre Dame123-2-00.1%0.1
2023Notre Dame115-65-12.4%3.0

Share = his share of his team's receiving yards. Dominator = average of his share of receiving yards and TDs.

GWTTKB takes

fade · high conviction · Jun 14

Round-6 fade. Brutal receiving profile (~15 catches in 41 college games) - an archetype that never hits in fantasy. Charbonnet is expected back as the lead by midseason; even early it's a rotation and Price won't get passing-down work. Big opportunity cost vs elite QBs (Daniels/May range) and high-upside WRs sitting right there.

hold · medium conviction · Aug 2026

The single most negative data point in the entire video: of 48 backs since 2011 with a college reception share as low as his, only ONE ever hit 10 full-PPR points per game in any of his first three NFL seasons — and that one was Derrick Henry. Explicitly: "unless we think Jaydon Price is Derrick Henry, it's not looking good."

Keep digging

All players · Week 6 rankings · Rest-of-season rankings · Charts · Stats · Methodology
Sources: nflverse play-by-play, weekly stats, Next Gen Stats and FTN charting (free public data); official NFL injury reports; Sleeper; GWTTKB rankings, projections and market data. Built 2026-10-14. Every number on this page comes from those files; where a stat is not on file it is left blank, never zero. Nothing here is betting advice.