Arian Smith
Overview
2026 so far2 games
Week 6
Lines Oct 14NYJ
NE0 points. Our projection does not expect him to play this week.
Updated Oct 14, 2026.
Allowed to WRs per game across 5 games. Best games against them: Jaxon Smith-Njigba (W1, 26.2 PPR, 8/11 122 yds); Keon Coleman (W4, 23.6 PPR, 6/7 116 yds); Jakobi Meyers (W3, 19.4 PPR, 7/8 64 yds).
EPA ranks entering Week 6: #16 against the pass, #21 against the run (1 = best defense).
Big number: receiving fantasy points NE allows a game to WRs in that zone. # = its rank of 32. Depth is air yards at the catch point; 5 games, through Week 5. Tap a zone for the detail.
Against NE beforelast 1
| Game | Line | Pts |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 W17vs NE · L 10-42 | 1-5 on 1 tgt | 1.0 |
no stats recorded
Game log
2026 · through W5Every gametap a game for the detail
NYJ +1.5 (closing) · total 39.5 · 90°F, wind 2 mph · 7 days rest
Projected 0.8 (WR131) · NYJ +3.5 (closing) · total 44.5 · 69°F, wind 7 mph · 7 days rest
D# = the opponent's rank against WRs entering that week (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest). Finish = his rank at WR that week.
Usage
NYJ target treeshare of team targets, 2026
Season to date, games each player played.
Splits
Against coverage2025 (2026 is not charted per player)
| Coverage | Tgt | Yds/tgt | Caught | EPA/tgt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zone | 13 | 4.3 | 39% | −0.17 |
With and withoutfantasy points a game, NYJ, 2025–2026
"Without" = games he played and the teammate did not (a QB counts as playing with 10+ attempts). Games either of them left injured are left out. Small samples swing hard. Who benefits when a player gets hurt? ›
Team
NYJNew York Jets offense, 2026 through Week 5. Rank 1 = most. Scheme rates from FTN charting through Week 5.
Game by gamescore, implied total, pass rate (over expected), QB
| Week | Score | Implied | Pass rate | QB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1vs TEN | 23-10 | 19.0 | 40%−13.5 | Smith24 att |
| W2vs GB | 17-20 | 20.5 | 62%−1.0 | Smith41 att |
| W3vs DET | 24-31 | 21.3 | 70%−1.8 | Smith37 att |
| W4vs CHI | 12-23 | 20.0 | 56%−8.4 | Smith15 att |
| W5vs CLE | 17-12 | 20.5 | 53%−7.8 | Smith30 att |
Depth chartWR, Oct 14
Scheduleeach defense's current rank vs WRs
Green = soft, red = stingy (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest), ranked on fantasy points allowed to WRs so far. Gold underline = fantasy playoffs. Does strength of schedule matter? ›
Head coach: Aaron Glenn. QB: Geno Smith (most pass attempts, Week 5).
Career
Season by season
| Year | G | Rec-Yds-TD | Pts/g | xFP/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026NYJ | 2 | 0-0-01 tgt, 2.2% share | 0.0WR165 | — |
| 2025NYJ | 13 | 7-52-016 tgt, 5.8% share, routes 42% | 0.8WR146 | 2.1−13.8 |
Under points a game: his rank at WR in points a game (8+ games; 2026: 2+ games). xFP = expected PPR a game from his usage; under it, the season's points over expected. Routes = share of team dropbacks he ran a route (through 2025).
Floor and ceilingPPR
0 of his last 13 games reached 20 PPR; 13 finished under 10. Is there a floor-vs-ceiling trade-off? ›
Every game since 2025
2025 game log 13 games · NYJ · 1.0 PPR a game
| Game | Line | Snaps | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1vs PIT · D15 | no stats | 9% | 0.0 |
| W2vs BUF · D18 | 1-8 on 2 tgt · 1--10 rush | 47% | 0.3 |
| W3@ TB · D27 | 2-2 on 2 tgt | 78% | 1.2 |
| W5vs DAL · D32 | 1-14 on 1 tgt | 56% | 1.9 |
| W6vs DEN · D6 | 0-0 on 1 tgt | 60% | 0.0 |
| W7vs CAR · D3 | 1-0 on 3 tgt | 92% | 0.5 |
| W8@ CIN · D11 | 1-23 on 1 tgt | 42% | 2.8 |
| W10vs CLE · D20 | 1-13 rush | 67% | 1.3 |
| W12@ BAL · D26 | 1-8 rush | 24% | 0.8 |
| W15@ JAX · D19 | 0-0 on 2 tgt | 13% | 0.0 |
| W16@ NO · D11 | 0-0 on 1 tgt | 11% | 0.0 |
| W17vs NE · D16 | 1-5 on 1 tgt | 16% | 1.0 |
| W18@ BUF · D5 | 0-0 on 2 tgt · 1-2 rush | 33% | 0.2 |
Health
IR (Knee) on Sleeper, Oct 10.
Typical case for this injury (not him): knee: median 1 game missed; 13% run past 3 games; first game back averages -0.8 PPR vs his own pre-injury baseline (n=214 spells)
2026 injury reportofficial, week by week
✓ = not listed. Letters = game status (Q, D, O) or worst practice that week (LP limited, DNP did not practice). Tap a week for the detail.
Teammates on the report
Our current notes first, then Sleeper designations. What happens when a starter is ruled out? ›
Value
Market Oct 10Market value on a 0–10,000 scale, through Oct 10, 2026. Faint stretches are estimates between real readings. Gold = peak.
Teal dot = today (995). Box = the middle half of outcomes, white line = the median, whiskers = 10th to 90th percentile. WRs about 25 valued near #400 overall: real 1-year moves since 2022, weighted by exact age and market rank (about 123 players' worth).
2021 Terrace Marshall (53% match). He went from 2.7 to 6.4 PPR a game the next year (WR5+→WR5+). His dynasty value moved +8.7% over the next 12 months.
170.0 overall, WR102. ESPN 170.0
Profile
Athletic profilepercentile vs WRs at the combine since 2010
College production
| Year | G | Rec-Yds-TD | Yds share | Dominator |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024Georgia | 13 | 47-750-4 | 20.3% | 17.3 |
| 2023Georgia | 6 | 7-141-1 | 8.4% | 9.2 |
| 2022Georgia | 3 | 3-66-0 | 7.8% | 3.9 |
| 2021Georgia | 3 | 3-102-2 | 12.0% | 17.1 |
| 2020Georgia | 2 | 1-31-1 | 7.1% | 13.6 |
Share = his share of his team's receiving yards. Dominator = average of his share of receiving yards and TDs.