Mike Washington Jr.
Overview
Board Oct 12Week 5 rest-of-season review, Oct 12, 2026. The three reads are where our backtested model, the betting market and his 2026 production each place him at RB; our board rank is the call.
Where his stats say he could finish from here: RB43 to RB59. Our rank stays the call.
2026 so far5 games
- +0.87 rush yards over expected a carry (9th of 53 RBs)
- 5 yards a carry (12th of 66 RBs)
- 12% of carries go for 10+ (15th of 66 RBs)
- 0 of LV's 8 carries inside the 5
- 17% of snaps (65th of 66 RBs)
Ranked among 66 qualified RBs this season.
80% range 2.3–8.6 half-PPR points a game. Biggest inputs: college seasons +0.6, preseason ADP -0.3, last-game snap share -0.3, Week 5 sportsbook lines -0.3. The model informs the rank; it does not set it.
Week 6
Lines Oct 14LV
BUFUpdated Oct 14, 2026, built on a LV team total of 24. Rank is among every RB we project this week.
Allowed to RBs per game across 5 games. Best games against them: David Montgomery (W1, 28.9 PPR, 20 car 60 ry, 3/3 19 rec); Jahmyr Gibbs (W2, 23.3 PPR, 16 car 52 ry, 6/8 61 rec); Kyren Williams (W5, 19.6 PPR, 16 car 49 ry, 6/8 27 rec).
EPA ranks entering Week 6: #26 against the pass, #29 against the run (1 = best defense).
Runs by directionRB rushing points allowed a game
Big number: receiving fantasy points BUF allows a game to RBs in that zone. # = its rank of 32. Green tag = Mike Washington Jr.'s share of his targets in that zone this season. Depth is air yards at the catch point; 5 games, through Week 5. Tap a zone for the detail.
1-5 rush, 1-5 rec on 1 tgt
Game log
2026 · through W5Every gametap a game for the detail
LV -3 (closing) · total 40.5 · indoors · 7 days rest
Projected 4.4 (RB55) · LV +6.5 (closing) · total 43.5 · indoors · 7 days rest · division game
Projected 3.1 (RB61) · LV +3.5 (closing) · total 43.5 · indoors · 7 days rest
Projected 3.8 (RB58) · LV +4.5 (closing) · total 47.5 · indoors · 7 days rest · division game
Projected 4.2 (RB51) · LV +3.5 (closing) · total 45.5 · 7 days rest
D# = the opponent's rank against RBs entering that week (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest). Finish = his rank at RB that week.
Usage
What changedlast 3 full games vs. before
| W1, W2 | W3, W4, W5 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Snap share | 19.0% | 15.0% | −4.0 |
| Carry share | 14.6% | 19.6% | +5.0 |
| Target share | 1.7% | 2.3% | +0.6 |
| Carries a game | 5.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 |
| Targets a game | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 |
Games he left injured are left out of both sides.
LV backfieldshare of team carries, 2026
Season to date, games each player played.
Role details2026, through Week 5
Advanced
Percentile against the RBs on our charts (each stat's minimum is next to it), 2026 through Week 5. 50 is the middle of the pack. Tap a bubble for his rank.
Expected vs. actualPPR, from this season's play-by-play
1 TDs on 0.39 expected. Expected points price every target by depth and field position and every carry by field position. Do touchdowns regress? ›
Leaderboardstop 10 among RBs, 2026
Splits
As a receiver2026 charted plays, through Week 5
| Situation | Tgt | Rec-Yds-TD | Yds/tgt | EPA/tgt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All targets | 4 | 2-4-0 | 1.05.4 | -0.64-0.02 |
| Score within 775% of targets | 3 | 1--1-0 | -0.35.3 | -0.85-0.08 |
| Trailing by 8+25% of targets | 1 | 1-5-0 | 5.05.6 | -0.010.11 |
| No blitz100% of targets | 4 | 2-4-0 | 1.05.4 | -0.64-0.01 |
| Play action50% of targets | 2 | 0-0-0 | 0.05.9 | -0.540.08 |
| With motion75% of targets | 3 | 1--1-0 | -0.35.3 | -0.85-0.03 |
Small grey number = every RB in that situation. Green or red = a clear gap either way. 3 of his 4 charted targets were catchable; 1 drop, 0 of 0 contested caught.
As a runner2026 charted carries, through Week 5
| Situation | Car | Yds-TD | YPC | Success |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All carries | 25 | 125-1 | 5.04.1 | 36%39% |
| Red zone16% of carries | 4 | -2-0 | -0.52.6 | 0%40% |
| Inside the 104% of carries | 1 | -1-0 | -1.01.7 | 0%47% |
| Third down8% of carries | 2 | 10-0 | 5.04.0 | 50%52% |
| Score within 784% of carries | 21 | 83-0 | 4.04.1 | 38%38% |
| Trailing by 8+4% of carries | 1 | 36-1 | 36.04.1 | 100%41% |
| Leading by 8+12% of carries | 3 | 6-0 | 2.04.5 | 0%40% |
| Light box (6 or fewer)60% of carries | 15 | 70-1 | 4.74.5 | 27%40% |
| Stacked box (8+)4% of carries | 1 | 18-0 | 18.03.0 | 100%39% |
Box counts from FTN charting. Small grey number = every RB in that situation.
Team
LVLas Vegas Raiders offense, 2026 through Week 5. Rank 1 = most. Scheme rates from FTN charting through Week 5.
Game by gamescore, implied total, pass rate (over expected), QB
| Week | Score | Implied | Pass rate | QB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1vs MIA | 27-13 | 21.8 | 47%−8.0 | Cousins30 att |
| W2vs LAC | 26-14 | 18.5 | 54%−3.1 | Cousins29 att |
| W3vs NO | 35-27 | 20.0 | 60%−1.4 | Cousins33 att |
| W4vs KC | 27-30 | 21.5 | 66%−3.7 | Cousins52 att |
| W5vs NE | 17-45 | 21.0 | 68%−2.6 | Cousins28 att |
Depth chartRB, Oct 14
Scheduleeach defense's current rank vs RBs
Green = soft, red = stingy (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest), ranked on fantasy points allowed to RBs so far. Gold underline = fantasy playoffs. Does strength of schedule matter? ›
Head coach: Klint Kubliak. QB: Kirk Cousins (most pass attempts, Week 5).
Charts
Mike Washington Jr. is highlighted on each chart. Swipe for more; tap a dot for the player. Every chart saves and shares as an image on the Charts page.
Career
Season by season
| Year | G | Rushing / receiving | Pts/g | xFP/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026LV | 5 | 25-125-1 rush2-4-0 rec on 4 tgt | 4.0RB59 | 3.8+1.7 |
Under points a game: his rank at RB in points a game (8+ games; 2026: 2+ games). xFP = expected PPR a game from his usage; under it, the season's points over expected. Routes = share of team dropbacks he ran a route (through 2025).
Health
No injury designation. Not on the Sleeper injury list as of Oct 10 and not on the Week 6 practice report so far.
2026 injury reportofficial, week by week
✓ = not listed. Letters = game status (Q, D, O) or worst practice that week (LP limited, DNP did not practice). Tap a week for the detail.
Teammates on the report
Our current notes first, then Sleeper designations. What happens when a starter is ruled out? ›
Value
Market Oct 10Market value on a 0–10,000 scale, through Oct 10, 2026. Faint stretches are estimates between real readings. Gold = peak.
Teal dot = today (3,772). Box = the middle half of outcomes, white line = the median, whiskers = 10th to 90th percentile. RBs about 23 valued near #130 overall: real 1-year moves since 2022, weighted by exact age and market rank (about 99 players' worth).
172.9 overall, RB106. Yahoo 130.0 · ESPN 170.3 · Underdog 192.9 · Sleeper 218.3