Michael CarterTennessee Titans
RB/Tennessee Titans

Michael Carter

Age 27.4 · 6th season · 5'7", 201 lb · North Carolina · 2021 R4 #107
Week 6—Not projected
ROS rank—Not on our board
DynastyRB118901 · #426
01

Week 6

Lines Oct 14
TEN
@
Sun · Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET
Lucas Oil Stadium
IND
LineIND -7Total43.75TEN implied18.4Rest7 days (IND 7)Forecast61°F, wind 8 mph
Indianapolis Colts defense vs RBs
#27of 32 in fantasy points allowed to RBs (1 = stingiest)
StingiestSoftest
PPR a game
26.8
rush yds
100
rec
4.4
TD
1.2

Allowed to RBs per game across 5 games. Best games against them: Jaylen Warren (W5, 36.8 PPR, 15 car 101 ry, 6/6 87 rec); Derrick Henry (W1, 35.3 PPR, 24 car 144 ry, 1/1 19 rec); Kenneth Walker III (W2, 23.8 PPR, 24 car 117 ry, 6/10 61 rec).

EPA ranks entering Week 6: #21 against the pass, #32 against the run (1 = best defense).

Where IND gives up receiving fantasy points to RBs
Left
Middle
Right
Deep 20+
0.0#1
0.0#1
0.0#1
Middle 10–19
0.0#1
0.0#1
0.0#1
Short 0–9
1.8#26
0.4#8
3.3#32
Behind line
2.2#30
0.0#1
1.1#18

Runs by directionRB rushing points allowed a game

Left
Middle
Right
Rushing
9.0#28
1.9#10
5.0#21
StingySoft

Big number: receiving fantasy points IND allows a game to RBs in that zone. # = its rank of 32. Depth is air yards at the catch point; 5 games, through Week 5. Tap a zone for the detail.

Against IND beforelast 2

GameLinePts
2025 W6@ IND · L 27-319-34 rush · 2-30 on 5 tgt7.4
2021 W9@ IND · L 30-4513-49 rush · 1-37 on 2 tgt9.1

Do defensive matchups actually matter? Our study ›

02

Game log

2026 · through W5

No catch, carry or pass recorded in 2026 yet.

Tennessee Titans have played 5 games. His past seasons are under Career.

03

Splits

Against coverage2022-2025 (2026 is not charted per player)

CoverageTgtYds/tgtCaughtEPA/tgt
Man255.276%−0.09
Zone1144.977%−0.14
Cover 3494.774%−0.21
Cover 2396.187%+0.02
Cover 1214.871%−0.08
Cover 4174.371%−0.23

Do some receivers really beat man coverage? ›

04

Team

TEN
Points a game
11.6
32nd of 32
Plays a game
54.8
32nd of 32
EPA per play
-0.150
31st of 32
Pass rate over exp.
−10.7%
29th of 32
Red-zone plays a game
9.0
21st of 32
Motion rate
39%
30th of 32
Play-action rate
11%
21st of 32
No-huddle rate
13%
2nd of 32

Tennessee Titans offense, 2026 through Week 5. Rank 1 = most. Scheme rates from FTN charting through Week 5.

Game by gamescore, implied total, pass rate (over expected), QB

WeekScoreImpliedPass rateQB
W1vs NYJ10-2320.571%−3.3Ward32 att
W2vs PHI20-2416.343%−24.2Ward20 att
W3vs NYG7-1217.563%−14.2Ward36 att
W4vs BAL18-2415.556%−10.8Ward31 att
W5vs HOU3-2615.569%−1.7Ward36 att

Depth chartRB, Oct 14

RB3
Julius Chestnut
RB5
Michael Carter

Scheduleeach defense's current rank vs RBs

W6
@IND
#27
W7
CLE
#6
W8
@CIN
#8
W9
BYE
W10
JAX
#3
W11
@DAL
#25
W12
@JAX
#3
W13
WAS
#2
W14
@DET
#9
W15
IND
#27
W16
@LV
#21
W17
PIT
#22
W18
@HOU
#4
Next 4
#11
average rank
Playoffs W15–17
#23
average rank
Bye
W9

Green = soft, red = stingy (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest), ranked on fantasy points allowed to RBs so far. Gold underline = fantasy playoffs. Does strength of schedule matter? ›

Head coach: Robert Saleh. QB: Cam Ward (most pass attempts, Week 5).

05

Career

Points a game by season
’2111.0’227.9’233.9’2411.9’257.6
’219.7’226.6’233.1’2410.1’256.3
’218.5’225.3’232.3’248.3’255.1

Season by season

YearGRushing / receivingPts/gxFP/g
2025ARI1392-333-1 rush33-267-0 rec on 45 tgt6.3RB4810.0−30.4
2024ARI335-131-1 rush11-57-0 rec on 11 tgt10.113.2−3.9
2023ARI1530-187-0 rush24-101-1 rec on 31 tgt3.1RB684.3−5.7
2022NYJ16114-402-3 rush41-288-0 rec on 54 tgt6.6RB479.5−26.0
2021NYJ14147-639-4 rush36-325-0 rec on 55 tgt9.7RB3312.6−21.5

Under points a game: his rank at RB in points a game (8+ games; 2026: 2+ games). xFP = expected PPR a game from his usage; under it, the season's points over expected. Routes = share of team dropbacks he ran a route (through 2025).

Red zone and touchdowns

20258 RZ car (16%), 3 inside 5, 1 rush TD vs 1.5 exp · 7 RZ tgt (7%), 0 end-zone, 0 rec TD vs 1.5 exp
20247 RZ car (9%), 3 inside 5, 1 rush TD vs 1.4 exp · 2 RZ tgt (3%), 0 end-zone, 0 rec TD vs 0.3 exp
20235 RZ car (8%), 1 inside 5, 0 rush TD vs 0.6 exp · 5 RZ tgt (8%), 0 end-zone, 1 rec TD vs 1.0 exp
202220 RZ car (32%), 4 inside 5, 3 rush TD vs 2.9 exp · 8 RZ tgt (13%), 2 end-zone, 0 rec TD vs 1.5 exp

Floor and ceilingPPR

Boom rate
22%
1.5x his recent average and 10+
Bust rate
30%
half his recent average or less
Week-to-week swing
0.79
CV over 46 games
Middle half of games
2.1–8.4
PPR, 31 games 2023–25

0 of his last 31 games reached 20 PPR; 25 finished under 10. Is there a floor-vs-ceiling trade-off? ›

Every game since 2021

2025 game log 13 games · ARI · 7.6 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W4vs SEA · D241-1 rush6%0.1
W5vs TEN · D2918-51-1 rush · 5-22 on 5 tgt57%15.8
W6@ IND · D69-34 rush · 2-30 on 5 tgt44%7.4
W7vs GB · D57-11 rush · 2-25 on 2 tgt37%4.6
W10@ SEA · D133-4 rush11%0.4
W11vs SF · D212-6 rush · 5-22 on 7 tgt42%5.3
W12vs JAX · D55-28 rush · 3-30 on 3 tgt56%7.3
W13@ TB · D225-17 rush · 5-47 on 6 tgt52%8.9
W14vs LA · D43-13 rush · 2-18 on 4 tgt53%4.1
W15@ HOU · D814-56 rush · 4-38 on 4 tgt80%11.4
W16vs ATL · D1911-65 rush · 0-0 on 2 tgt53%6.5
W17@ CIN · D327-29 rush · 2-14 on 4 tgt44%5.3
W18@ LA · D127-18 rush · 3-21 on 3 tgt53%5.4
2024 game log 3 games · ARI · 11.9 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W16@ CAR · D325-18 rush · 5-30 on 5 tgt36%7.3
W17@ LA · D1513-70 rush · 2-11 on 2 tgt72%9.1
W18vs SF · D2817-43-1 rush · 4-16 on 4 tgt77%13.9
2023 game log 15 games · NYJ · 3.9 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W1vs BUF · D101-6 rush · 2-12 on 2 tgt22%2.8
W2@ DAL · D22-8 rush · 1-3 on 2 tgt32%1.6
W3vs NE · D51-3 on 1 tgt24%0.8
W4vs KC · D51-9 rush · 2-12 on 3 tgt31%3.1
W5@ DEN · D321-8 rush · 3-14 on 3 tgt31%3.7
W6vs PHI · D21-5 rush · 0-0 on 1 tgt20%0.5
W8@ NYG · D212-2 rush · 0-0 on 1 tgt23%0.2
W9vs LAC · D256-24 on 6 tgt31%5.4
W10@ LV · D280-0 on 1 tgt14%0.0
W12vs LA · D104-19 rush · 4-15 on 4 tgt38%5.4
W13@ PIT · D184-25 rush19%2.5
W15vs SF · D63-27 rush · 3-10 on 3 tgt24%5.2
W16@ CHI · D220-0 on 1 tgt3%0.0
W17@ PHI · D47-61 rush · 1-6-1 on 1 tgt17%13.2
W18vs SEA · D284-17 rush · 1-2 on 2 tgt13%2.4
2022 game log 16 games · NYJ · 7.9 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W1vs BAL10-60 rush · 7-40 on 9 tgt60%13.5
W2@ CLE7-23 rush · 5-27 on 5 tgt61%7.5
W3vs CIN11-39 rush · 1-7 on 2 tgt49%5.1
W4@ PIT · D249-15 rush · 2-14 on 3 tgt44%3.9
W5vs MIA · D810-21-2 rush · 2-12 on 2 tgt42%16.3
W6@ GB · D156-41 rush · 1-6 on 1 tgt49%5.2
W7@ DEN · D1413-29 rush · 2-45 on 2 tgt73%8.4
W8vs NE · D67-26 rush · 4-35 on 7 tgt56%8.1
W9vs BUF · D512-76-1 rush · 1-10 on 1 tgt52%15.1
W11@ NE · D28-19 rush · 1--2 on 2 tgt50%2.2
W12vs CHI · D286-21 rush · 2-15 on 2 tgt30%4.6
W14@ BUF · D115-5 rush · 3-15 on 6 tgt50%1.5
W15vs DET · D84-15 rush · 1-16 on 1 tgt52%3.6
W16vs JAX · D242-6 rush · 5-44 on 5 tgt39%7.5
W17@ SEA · D311-2 rush · 2-3 on 3 tgt29%1.5
W18@ MIA · D193-4 rush · 2-1 on 3 tgt32%1.5
2021 game log 14 games · NYJ · 11.0 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W1@ CAR4-6 rush · 1-14 on 2 tgt25%2.5
W2vs NE11-59 rush · 2-29 on 3 tgt45%9.8
W3@ DEN9-24 rush · 2-5 on 3 tgt43%3.9
W4vs TEN13-38-1 rush · 1--4 on 3 tgt51%9.9
W5@ ATL10-38-1 rush · 3-20 on 3 tgt52%13.3
W7@ NE11-37 rush · 8-67 on 9 tgt72%12.4
W8vs CIN15-77-1 rush · 9-95 on 14 tgt70%27.7
W9@ IND13-49 rush · 1-37 on 2 tgt58%9.1
W10vs BUF16-39-1 rush · 4-43 on 6 tgt52%16.2
W11vs MIA9-63 rush · 1-2 on 1 tgt33%7.0
W15@ MIA8-18 rush · 1-2 on 2 tgt54%2.5
W16vs JAX16-118 rush · 2-6 on 3 tgt74%13.4
W17vs TB3-54 rush · 1-9 on 1 tgt13%6.8
W18@ BUF9-19 rush · 0-0 on 3 tgt52%1.9
06

Health

No injury designation. Not on the Sleeper injury list as of Oct 10 and not on the Week 6 practice report so far.

2026 injury reportofficial, week by week

W6
•

✓ = not listed. Letters = game status (Q, D, O) or worst practice that week (LP limited, DNP did not practice). Tap a week for the detail.

Historyofficial injury reports since 2020

YearWeeks listedRuled outListed for
202310—
202210Ankle
202121Ankle, Concussion

2 games missed 2023–25 (0.50 a season), Ankle.

15 report weeks over 4 seasons; recurring: Concussion, Ankle, Back, Biceps. Risk label: moderate.

How long do players take to recover? ›

07

Value

Market Oct 10
1QB value
901
#426 overall · RB118 · tier 13
Superflex
699
#425 overall · RB118
30 days
—
90 days −360 · 1 year −1,096
Peak
5,404
Feb 4, 2022 · 83% off
1QB dynasty value, last two years
01K2KJul ’25Jan ’26Jul ’269012,097

Market value on a 0–10,000 scale, through Oct 10, 2026. Faint stretches are estimates between real readings. Gold = peak.

Where his value could be in a year
198
684
1,331

Teal dot = today (901). Box = the middle half of outcomes, white line = the median, whiskers = 10th to 90th percentile. RBs about 27 valued near #400 overall: real 1-year moves since 2022, weighted by exact age and market rank (about 65 players' worth).

Risk profilepreseason, from comparable players

Keeps an alpha role for 3 years
0%
Falls off a cliff next year
67%
Value up 10%+ in a year
20%
Value down 25%+ in a year
53%
Value up over 2 years
0%
Value down over 2 years
73%
Closest comparable season

2023 Justice Hill (43% match). He went from 7.0 to 8.7 PPR a game the next year (RB4→RB3). His dynasty value moved +4.3% over the next 12 months.

Does the dynasty market see breakouts coming? ›

Redraft ADP, final preseason (Sep 12, 2026)

388.3 overall, RB153. ESPN 170.0 · Sleeper 606.5

08

Profile

Age
27.4
Size
5'7"
201 lb
College
North Carolina

Keep digging

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Sources: nflverse play-by-play, weekly stats, Next Gen Stats and FTN charting (free public data); official NFL injury reports; Sleeper; GWTTKB rankings, projections and market data. Built 2026-10-14. Every number on this page comes from those files; where a stat is not on file it is left blank, never zero. Nothing here is betting advice.