Every game, every stat category, and what the board says. 6.76 points per game in 2025, an ADP of 195.7, usage worth 8.8.
31 years old · 8 seasons of experience · 2018 draft class
| SLEEPER | 253.2 |
| ESPN | 167.2 |
| UNDERDOG | 194 |
| CBS | 166.7 |
| FFA | 200 |
| Goes around | Round 17, pick 4 in a 12-team draft |
| Positional rank | WR152 |
| Bye week | 9 |
| ADP standard deviation | 49.8 picks |
Our board has him at 104.6 points, 6.4 per game — 38.2 catches, 514 yards, 2.5 TDs. That is WR6, 193 overall.
The range runs from a floor of 4.4 points per game to a ceiling of 10, with the median at 6.4. Boom rate 56%, bust rate 31%. The spread is the actual bet, not the middle number.
He goes at 195.7 on consensus and our board has him 193. Those agree, so there is no market disagreement to exploit. The question is whether you want the profile, not whether it is mispriced.
Tennessee Titans returns 2 of 6 continuity slots, replacing wr1, te1, hc, oc. Cam Ward at quarterback, Robert Saleh as head coach, Brian Daboll calling it. The offense projects to 33.5 pass attempts a game at medium confidence and 24.5 rushes.
In: Mitch Trubisky (qb2), Carnell Tate (wr1), Wan'Dale Robinson (wr2), Nicholas Singleton (rb3), Michael Carter (rb4), Daniel Bellinger (te2). Out: Tyler Lockett (wr4), Julius Chestnut (rb3), Chig Okonkwo (te1), Josh Whyle (te2).
His own projected target share for 2026 is 18.3%, with a bear case of 17.4% and a bull case of 19.8% and a full range of 15.8% to 20.8%. That comes from 25 historical comparables, not from a depth chart.
The projected target split across the offense:
| Carnell Tate | 18.3% |
| Calvin Ridley ← | 18.3% |
| Wan'Dale Robinson | 15.5% |
| Elic Ayomanor | 11.2% |
| Chimere Dike | 9.1% |
| Tyjae Spears | 8.9% |
What the offense looks like: It is an offense that could slowly be on the rise. It could QUICKLY be on the rise if Ward figures it out early in 2026 and could catch people off guard. Tate & Robinson are our primary targets. Ward is a great potential riser especially in SF. RB room is difficult to project, but Pollard it likely to be lead back in 2026 and could be a low end RB2 in fantasy.
Key additions: Titans HUGE adds to coaching staff that could turn this team aroud. HC Robert Saleh & former Giants (and QB whisperer) HC Brian Daboll head head to Tennessee and may a GREAT duo. Bring in WR Wan'Dale Robinson in free agency from NY (1000 yard slot WR last year) & draft WR Carnell Tate 4th overall. Beef up the O line with Austin Schlottmann & Volson. Drafted RB Nicholas Singleton in the 5th round (likely depth).
Key departures: HC Brian Callahan was fired after 1-5 start last season (ass) and this will be a huge help to the Titans offensive success. TE Chig Okonkwo left to Commanders in free agency
Notes: Titans draft Carnell Tate 1.04. Large potential for early breakout & Cam Ward to deliver at a high level. Calvin Ridley is trash but if Cam Ward can sling the rock could produce (we don't want to own Ridley). Ayomanor & Dike COULD be good if Ward produces but with Tate and Robinson around now will never be WR1 on the team. Could gain relevance though. Gunnar Helm entering 2nd year and should operate as TE1. Tony Pollard is aging & only has a few years left (not attractive to own). Tyjae Spears cannot stay healthy. Have to image the Titans will invest in another RB long term (Nicholas Singleton is probably not that guy either).
How the volume number was reached: Same QB Cam Ward returning — anchor to 2025 actuals (33.5 att/g); Regressed 53% toward league mean 33.5, floored at 30 → 33.5 att/g; New OC Brian Daboll — pass rate and tempo may shift; New HC Robert Saleh.
25 historical comps for WRs age ~29, prior share 23.3%, same team, OC change. Distribution: median 19.7%, p25-p75 [16.8%, 21.8%], tails [13.5%, 23.9%]. Closest comps: Calvin Ridley 2024→2025 (TEN: 23.3%→16.8%); Chris Olave 2023→2024 (NO: 25.3%→19.7%); DeVonta Smith 2021→2022 (PHI: 22.9%→26.8%). Adjustment: -6% from role_decline (real opportunity collapse)
self-anchored 45% to own 23.3% role (2yr), 55% to comp median 19.7%
The named comps are the closest historical matches and the arrow is what their share actually did the following season. That is the working, not a summary of it — if you disagree with the projection, this is the part to argue with.
Offensive environment: TEN rates 20.8 against a league average of 23, 2.2 below it on opponent-adjusted least squares (multi-capture merge).
Opponent-adjusted pass defense faced, against 2025 ratings. Positive is an easier slate.
| Full season | +5.1 · easier |
| Weeks 1–6 | +0.2 · neutral |
| Weeks 12–17 | +10 · easier |
| Fantasy playoffs (15–17) | +9.6 · easier |
Read this narrowly. Our own testing found that season-long strength of schedule does not survive as a draft input — defensive quality is among the least stable team properties year to year, and a preseason slate is built on last year's identities. The playoff-weeks column is the only one we would let break a tie, and even then it is a tiebreaker rather than a reason. The finding.
From the absence record rather than a depth chart — who actually gained when he was out.
| Season | Games missed | Main beneficiary | Their PPR gain |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3 | Chimere Dike | +11.2 |
| 2021 | 2 | Olamide Zaccheaus | +7.1 |
Everything in this section is about his dynasty trade value — what he is worth as a long-term asset in the trade market. It is not a forecast of his 2026 fantasy scoring. A player can be a fine redraft pick while his dynasty value falls, and the reverse. The redraft read is above; this is a different question with a different answer.
His dynasty value has moved -39.8% over the last twelve months. The market cycle classifies him as post-crash. The base rate that applies: after a -25% crash, WRs recover only 15% of the time (keep falling 85%).
For context on how long this lasts at the position: the average career at his position produces 2.1 elite seasons and 2.6 startable seasons.
Matched on production profile — production-driven (pedigree ignored). The last column is how that player’s dynasty value moved the following year — a market outcome, not a scoring one.
| Player | Season | Their PPG | Similarity | Next year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nelson Agholor | 2022 | 5.4 | 66% | -1.1% |
| DeVante Parker | 2023 | 5.6 | 65% | -26.3% |
| DeVante Parker | 2022 | 8.6 | 63% | -25.4% |
| Amari Cooper | 2024 | 9.4 | 62% | -35.8% |
| Christian Kirk | 2024 | 8.9 | 62% | -11.8% |
Of the 5 with a following season on record, 0 gained value, 4 lost it and 1 held roughly flat.
| Drafted | 2018, round 1, pick 26 by ATL |
| College | Alabama |
| Age at draft | 23 |
| Height | 6′0″ |
| Weight | 189 lb |
| 40-yard dash | 4.43s |
| Vertical | 31″ |
| Broad jump | 110″ |
| 3-cone | 6.88s |
| Shuttle | 4.41s |
| Career PPR per game | 13.4 |
| Week-to-week variation | 0.6 |
| Boom rate | 28.3% |
| Bust rate | 23.9% |
| Games missed per season | 1 |
| Injury history | Hamstring |
| Correlation between his posted line and his actual score | 0.32 |
That correlation is how closely the books’ posted line tracked what he actually scored, week to week. A higher number means the market has him figured out and there is less to exploit; a lower one means his weeks are harder to price.
Injury type matters more than games missed. Measured across our injury database, knee and foot returns stay below a player’s pre-injury baseline for all three of the first games back, while hamstring returns over-recover by the third.
His best game was Week 5 against ARI — 18.1 PPR on 10 targets and a 27% target share, in a game that finished 22-21. His worst was Week 11 against HOU at 2.3, on 1 targets, final score 13-16. Across 7 games he cleared 20 points 0 times and came in under 8 points 5 times. In the 3 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 9; in the 4 decided by more, 5.1. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 8.8 points per game. He scored 6.76, 23.1% below it. The engine classified the season as unlucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DEN | 12-20 | 6.7 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 0 | 32% | 95% |
| 2 | LA | 19-33 | 8.7 | 3 | 6 | 57 | 0 | 19.4% | 86% |
| 3 | IND | 20-41 | 3.7 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 0 | 20.6% | 87% |
| 4 | HOU | 0-26 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 0 | 13% | 54% |
| 5 | ARI | 22-21 | 18.1 | 5 | 10 | 131 | 0 | 27% | 66% |
| 6 | LV | 10-20 | 2.8 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 0 | 2.9% | 10% |
| 11 | HOU | 13-16 | 2.3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 2.8% | 2% |
| Receptions | 17 |
| Targets | 36 |
| Receiving yards | 303 |
| Touchdowns | 0 |
| Points per game | 6.76 |
| Yards per target | 8.42 |
| Catch rate | 47.22% |
| Snap share | 57.14% |
| Target share | 16.81% |
| Air-yards share | 24.41% |
| WOPR | 0.421 |
| RACR | 0.867 |
| Average depth of target | 12.8 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 4.9 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 12.9 |
| Total YAC | 84 |
| Broken tackles | 0 |
| Drop rate | 0.1% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 64.9 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 1.75 |
| Red-zone targets | 2 |
| Red-zone target share | 3.9% |
| End-zone target share | 5.3% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0.44 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 0 |
| Receiving TD luck | -0.44 |
The offense threw it 570 times. 1 team-mate cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Elic Ayomanor | 16.82% |
| Chigoziem Okonkwo | 14.93% |
| Chimere Dike | 13.99% |
| Gunnar Helm | 10.4% |
| Van Jefferson | 9.83% |
| Tyjae Spears | 9.45% |
2 of his 7 games were blowouts, 18.4% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 4.35 in those and 9.03 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
His best game was Week 10 against LAC — 25.4 PPR on 9 targets and a 39.1% target share, in a game that finished 17-27. His worst was Week 6 against IND at 0.9, on 8 targets, final score 17-20. Across 17 games he cleared 20 points 3 times and came in under 8 points 5 times. In the 8 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 13; in the 9 decided by more, 10.6. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 12.5 points per game. He scored 11.72, 6.3% below it. The engine classified the season as neutral. On receiving touchdowns specifically he finished 1 against 2.15 expected, a gap of -1.1.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHI | 17-24 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 50 | 0 | 25.9% | 84% |
| 2 | NYJ | 17-24 | 24.7 | 4 | 6 | 77 | 2 | 22.2% | 82% |
| 3 | GB | 14-30 | 1.9 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 8.8% | 72% |
| 4 | MIA | 31-12 | 2.5 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 16.7% | 58% |
| 6 | IND | 17-20 | 0.9 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 29.6% | 83% |
| 7 | BUF | 10-34 | 7.2 | 3 | 9 | 42 | 0 | 23.7% | 79% |
| 8 | DET | 14-52 | 22.6 | 10 | 15 | 143 | 0 | 39.5% | 79% |
| 9 | NE | 20-17 | 12.3 | 5 | 8 | 73 | 0 | 29.6% | 94% |
| 10 | LAC | 17-27 | 25.4 | 5 | 9 | 84 | 2 | 39.1% | 93% |
| 11 | MIN | 13-23 | 9.8 | 4 | 6 | 58 | 0 | 20.7% | 88% |
| 12 | HOU | 32-27 | 14.3 | 5 | 6 | 93 | 0 | 24% | 79% |
| 13 | WAS | 19-42 | 6.5 | 2 | 7 | 45 | 0 | 19.4% | 100% |
| 14 | JAX | 6-10 | 12.9 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 0 | 37.5% | 83% |
| 15 | CIN | 27-37 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 41 | 0 | 13.5% | 73% |
| 16 | IND | 30-38 | 16.8 | 3 | 5 | 78 | 1 | 15.2% | 89% |
| 17 | JAX | 13-20 | 14.1 | 5 | 6 | 84 | 0 | 20% | 93% |
| 18 | HOU | 14-23 | 10.3 | 3 | 5 | 76 | 0 | 19.2% | 53% |
| Receptions | 64 |
| Targets | 120 |
| Receiving yards | 1,017 |
| Carries | 8 |
| Rushing yards | 55 |
| Touchdowns | 5 |
| Points per game | 11.72 |
| Yards per target | 8.47 |
| Catch rate | 53.33% |
| Yards per carry | 6.88 |
| Snap share | 81.29% |
| Target share | 23.8% |
| Air-yards share | 43.16% |
| WOPR | 0.659 |
| RACR | 0.531 |
| Average depth of target | 15.3 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 3.6 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 12.3 |
| Total YAC | 231 |
| Broken tackles | 4 |
| Drop rate | 0.1% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 79.1 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 1.66 |
| Rushing EPA per game | -0.14 |
| Red-zone targets | 8 |
| Red-zone target share | 16.7% |
| End-zone target share | 14.3% |
| Red-zone carry share | 3.3% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 2.15 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 1 |
| Receiving TD luck | -1.15 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 0.18 |
Against everyone in the 80+ targets pool that season:
| Points per game | 35 of 51 |
| Yards per target | 21 of 51 |
| Target share | 28 of 51 |
| Air-yards share | 5 of 51 |
The offense threw it 530 times. He took 23.72% of the targets. 0 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Calvin Ridley ← | 23.72% |
| Chigoziem Okonkwo | 13.83% |
| Nick Westbrook-Ikhine | 11.86% |
| Tyler Boyd | 11.26% |
| Tony Pollard | 11.26% |
| Josh Whyle | 7.31% |
He caught passes from 2 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Levis | 10 | 69 | 11.47 | 7.99 | 24.64% |
| Mason Rudolph | 7 | 51 | 12.07 | 9.14 | 22.6% |
4 of his 17 games were blowouts, 19.5% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 9.7 in those and 13 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
His best game was Week 11 against TEN — 31.1 PPR on 9 targets and a 29% target share, in a game that finished 34-14. His worst was Week 7 against NO at 1.5, on 4 targets, final score 31-24. Across 17 games he cleared 20 points 6 times and came in under 8 points 7 times. In the 7 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 12.6; in the 10 decided by more, 14.2. He scored more when the game was not close.
His usage that season was worth 13.7 points per game. He scored 13.52, 1.6% below it. The engine classified the season as neutral.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IND | 31-21 | 24.1 | 8 | 11 | 101 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 34.4% | 81% |
| 2 | KC | 9-17 | 5.2 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19.5% | 79% |
| 3 | HOU | 17-37 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17.5% | 82% |
| 4 | ATL | 23-7 | 11.8 | 2 | 2 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6.7% | 80% |
| 5 | BUF | 25-20 | 20.6 | 7 | 8 | 122 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 21.6% | 85% |
| 6 | IND | 37-20 | 6.6 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 1 | -4 | 0 | 28.6% | 80% |
| 7 | NO | 31-24 | 1.5 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13.3% | 88% |
| 8 | PIT | 20-10 | 14.3 | 6 | 10 | 83 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 31.3% | 86% |
| 10 | SF | 3-34 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9.7% | 91% |
| 11 | TEN | 34-14 | 31.1 | 7 | 9 | 103 | 1 | 18 | 2 | 29% | 80% |
| 12 | HOU | 24-21 | 21.9 | 5 | 6 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16.2% | 94% |
| 13 | CIN | 31-34 | 7.3 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 20.5% | 86% |
| 14 | CLE | 27-31 | 9.3 | 4 | 13 | 53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26.5% | 95% |
| 15 | BAL | 7-23 | 8.9 | 5 | 12 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28.6% | 92% |
| 16 | TB | 12-30 | 25.8 | 6 | 9 | 90 | 1 | -12 | 2 | 20.5% | 92% |
| 17 | CAR | 26-0 | 7.9 | 4 | 8 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34.8% | 71% |
| 18 | TEN | 20-28 | 22.6 | 6 | 10 | 106 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24.4% | 85% |
| Receptions | 76 |
| Targets | 136 |
| Receiving yards | 1,016 |
| Carries | 9 |
| Rushing yards | 23 |
| Touchdowns | 8 |
| Points per game | 13.52 |
| Yards per target | 7.47 |
| Catch rate | 55.88% |
| Yards per carry | 2.56 |
| Snap share | 85.12% |
| Target share | 22.54% |
| Air-yards share | 35.84% |
| WOPR | 0.588 |
| RACR | 0.618 |
| Average depth of target | 13.2 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 2.6 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 10.8 |
| Total YAC | 194 |
| Broken tackles | 1 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 90.2 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 1.91 |
| Rushing EPA per game | -0.17 |
| Red-zone targets | 27 |
| Red-zone target share | 40.3% |
| End-zone target share | 52.5% |
| Red-zone carry share | 1.4% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 6.46 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 6 |
| Receiving TD luck | -0.46 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 0.05 |
Against everyone in the 80+ targets pool that season:
| Points per game | 26 of 51 |
| Yards per target | 37 of 51 |
| Target share | 30 of 51 |
| Air-yards share | 17 of 51 |
The offense threw it 619 times. He took 22.41% of the targets. 1 team-mate cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Evan Engram | 23.56% |
| Calvin Ridley ← | 22.41% |
| Christian Kirk | 14% |
| Travis Etienne | 12.03% |
| Zay Jones | 10.54% |
| Jamal Agnew | 3.46% |
He caught passes from 2 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Lawrence | 16 | 128 | 13.88 | 7.63 | 21.77% |
| C.J. Beathard | 1 | 8 | 7.9 | 4.88 | 34.8% |
6 of his 17 games were blowouts, 35.8% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 13.73 in those and 12.63 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.
His best game was Week 2 against TB — 19.3 PPR on 10 targets and a 20.8% target share, in a game that finished 25-48. His worst was Week 1 against PHI at 10.1, on 8 targets, final score 6-32.
His usage that season was worth 18 points per game. He scored 14.22, 21.1% below it. The engine classified the season as unlucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PHI | 6-32 | 10.1 | 5 | 8 | 51 | 0 | 24.2% | 85% |
| 2 | TB | 25-48 | 19.3 | 7 | 10 | 63 | 1 | 20.8% | 83% |
| 3 | NYG | 17-14 | 14.1 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 0 | 30.6% | 95% |
| 4 | WAS | 30-34 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 80 | 0 | 32.5% | 96% |
| 7 | MIA | 30-28 | 12.6 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 1 | 25.6% | 73% |
| Receptions | 31 |
| Targets | 52 |
| Receiving yards | 281 |
| Touchdowns | 2 |
| Points per game | 14.22 |
| Yards per target | 5.4 |
| Catch rate | 59.62% |
| Snap share | 86.4% |
| Target share | 26.74% |
| Air-yards share | 42.08% |
| WOPR | 0.694 |
| RACR | 0.598 |
| Average depth of target | 10 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 2.9 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 6.1 |
| Total YAC | 91 |
| Broken tackles | 1 |
| Drop rate | 0.1% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 79.1 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 1.58 |
| Red-zone targets | 11 |
| Red-zone target share | 13.3% |
| End-zone target share | 12.5% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 2.85 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 2 |
| Receiving TD luck | -0.85 |
The offense threw it 573 times. He took 9.56% of the targets. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Kyle Pitts | 20.22% |
| Russell Gage | 17.28% |
| Cordarrelle Patterson | 12.68% |
| Mike Davis | 10.66% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus | 9.74% |
| Calvin Ridley ← | 9.56% |
2 of his 5 games were blowouts, 41.4% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 14.7 in those and 13.9 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.
His best game was Week 1 against SEA — 33.9 PPR on 12 targets and a 23.1% target share, in a game that finished 25-38. His worst was Week 4 against GB at 0, on 5 targets, final score 16-30. Across 15 games he cleared 20 points 5 times and came in under 8 points 2 times. In the 9 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 20.8; in the 6 decided by more, 15.7. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 17.2 points per game. He scored 18.77, 9.2% above it. The engine classified the season as neutral.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SEA | 25-38 | 33.9 | 9 | 12 | 130 | 2 | 23.1% | 85% |
| 2 | DAL | 39-40 | 29.9 | 7 | 10 | 109 | 2 | 27.8% | 84% |
| 3 | CHI | 26-30 | 16.7 | 5 | 13 | 110 | 0 | 34.2% | 93% |
| 4 | GB | 16-30 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12.8% | 64% |
| 5 | CAR | 16-23 | 21.6 | 8 | 10 | 136 | 0 | 28.6% | 74% |
| 6 | MIN | 40-23 | 18.9 | 6 | 7 | 61 | 1 | 18.9% | 74% |
| 7 | DET | 22-23 | 19.9 | 5 | 7 | 69 | 1 | 17.5% | 77% |
| 8 | CAR | 25-17 | 7.2 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 0 | 13.3% | 33% |
| 11 | NO | 9-24 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 90 | 0 | 26.5% | 82% |
| 12 | LV | 43-6 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 50 | 1 | 24.3% | 72% |
| 13 | NO | 16-21 | 15.8 | 5 | 10 | 108 | 0 | 27% | 94% |
| 14 | LAC | 17-20 | 26.4 | 8 | 12 | 124 | 1 | 37.5% | 84% |
| 15 | TB | 27-31 | 32.3 | 10 | 14 | 163 | 1 | 29.2% | 89% |
| 16 | KC | 14-17 | 17.3 | 5 | 9 | 130 | 0 | 26.5% | 79% |
| 17 | TB | 27-44 | 10.6 | 8 | 12 | 52 | 0 | 29.3% | 90% |
| Receptions | 90 |
| Targets | 143 |
| Receiving yards | 1,374 |
| Carries | 5 |
| Rushing yards | 1 |
| Touchdowns | 9 |
| Points per game | 18.77 |
| Yards per target | 9.61 |
| Catch rate | 62.94% |
| Yards per carry | 0.2 |
| Snap share | 78.27% |
| Target share | 25.1% |
| Air-yards share | 39.99% |
| WOPR | 0.656 |
| RACR | 0.695 |
| Average depth of target | 14.3 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 3.1 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 12.2 |
| Total YAC | 275 |
| Broken tackles | 3 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 101 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 3.34 |
| Rushing EPA per game | -0.19 |
| Red-zone targets | 22 |
| Red-zone target share | 25.6% |
| End-zone target share | 35.9% |
| Red-zone carry share | 2.6% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 6.58 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 7 |
| Receiving TD luck | 0.42 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 0.1 |
Against everyone in the 80+ targets pool that season:
| Points per game | 4 of 51 |
| Yards per target | 9 of 51 |
| Target share | 13 of 51 |
| Air-yards share | 3 of 51 |
The offense threw it 628 times. He took 24.24% of the targets. 1 team-mate cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Calvin Ridley ← | 24.24% |
| Russell Gage | 18.47% |
| Hayden Hurst | 14.92% |
| Julio Jones | 11.53% |
| Todd Gurley | 5.93% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus | 5.42% |
3 of his 15 games were blowouts, 16.5% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 15.5 in those and 20.79 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
Ask the Coach about Calvin Ridley →