MarShawn Lloyd
Overview
Board Oct 12Week 5 rest-of-season review, Oct 12, 2026. The three reads are where our backtested model, the betting market and his 2026 production each place him at RB; our board rank is the call.
Where his stats say he could finish from here: RB35 to RB55. Our rank stays the call.
2026 so far5 games
- snap share up from 31% to 50% (last 2 games vs the three before)
- 3 of GB's 6 carries inside the 5
- share of GB's carries down from 48% to 33% (last 2 games vs the three before)
- -1.09 rush yards over expected a carry (51st of 53 RBs)
Ranked among 66 qualified RBs this season.
80% range 3.0–11.1 half-PPR points a game. Biggest inputs: preseason ADP -0.4, last-game snap share +0.3, team play volume +0.2, team pass rate +0.2. The model informs the rank; it does not set it.
Week 6
Lines Oct 14GB
DALUpdated Oct 14, 2026, built on a GB team total of 27. Rank is among every RB we project this week.
Allowed to RBs per game across 5 games. Best games against them: Bucky Irving (W5, 31.5 PPR, 21 car 165 ry, 2/3 10 rec); Derrick Henry (W3, 21.9 PPR, 26 car 89 ry, 1/1 0 rec); Rachaad White (W2, 14.3 PPR, 7 car 43 ry, 6/6 40 rec).
EPA ranks entering Week 6: #32 against the pass, #24 against the run (1 = best defense).
Runs by directionRB rushing points allowed a game
Big number: receiving fantasy points DAL allows a game to RBs in that zone. # = its rank of 32. Green tag = MarShawn Lloyd's share of his targets in that zone this season. Depth is air yards at the catch point; 5 games, through Week 5. Tap a zone for the detail.
10-31-2 rush, 1-6 rec on 2 tgt
Game log
2026 · through W5Every gametap a game for the detail
GB +1.5 (closing) · total 46.5 · indoors · 7 days rest · division game
Projected 12.2 (RB24) · GB -3.5 (closing) · total 44.5 · 69°F, wind 7 mph · 7 days rest
Projected 5.7 (RB44) · GB -4.5 (closing) · total 43.5 · 61°F, wind 5 mph · 4 days rest · prime time
Projected 6.1 (RB40) · GB -3 (closing) · total 38.5 · 86°F, wind 3 mph · 10 days rest
Projected 8.5 (RB29) · GB +1.5 (closing) · total 46.5 · 7 days rest · division game
D# = the opponent's rank against RBs entering that week (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest). Finish = his rank at RB that week.
Usage
What changedlast 3 full games vs. before
| W1, W2 | W3, W4, W5 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Snap share | 35.5% | 40.7% | +5.2 |
| Carry share | 47.6% | 37.0% | −10.6 |
| Target share | 4.7% | 9.7% | +5.0 |
| Carries a game | 9.5 | 7.0 | −2.5 |
| Targets a game | 1.5 | 3.3 | +1.8 |
Games he left injured are left out of both sides.
GB backfieldshare of team carries, 2026
Season to date, games each player played.
Role details2026, through Week 5
Advanced
Percentile against the RBs on our charts (each stat's minimum is next to it), 2026 through Week 5. 50 is the middle of the pack. Tap a bubble for his rank.
Expected vs. actualPPR, from this season's play-by-play
3 TDs on 2.20 expected. Expected points price every target by depth and field position and every carry by field position. Do touchdowns regress? ›
Splits
As a receiver2026 charted plays, through Week 5
| Situation | Tgt | Rec-Yds-TD | Yds/tgt | EPA/tgt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All targets | 13 | 10-55-1 | 4.25.4 | 0.04-0.02 |
| Red zone23% of targets | 3 | 2-10-1 | 3.33.7 | 0.200.13 |
| Inside the 1015% of targets | 2 | 2-10-1 | 5.03.7 | 0.560.57 |
| Third down8% of targets | 1 | 1-4-0 | 4.06.5 | -0.920.08 |
| Score within 785% of targets | 11 | 10-55-1 | 5.05.3 | 0.14-0.08 |
| Trailing by 8+8% of targets | 1 | 0-0-0 | 0.05.6 | -0.510.11 |
| Leading by 8+8% of targets | 1 | 0-0-0 | 0.05.6 | -0.500.07 |
| Two-minute drill23% of targets | 3 | 2-4-0 | 1.34.6 | -0.36-0.04 |
| Vs. the blitz31% of targets | 4 | 3-28-0 | 7.05.3 | 0.09-0.04 |
| No blitz69% of targets | 9 | 7-27-1 | 3.05.4 | 0.02-0.01 |
| Play action38% of targets | 5 | 4-29-0 | 5.85.9 | 0.230.08 |
| With motion77% of targets | 10 | 9-58-1 | 5.85.3 | 0.31-0.03 |
| Screens23% of targets | 3 | 3-13-1 | 4.35.2 | 0.85-0.09 |
Small grey number = every RB in that situation. Green or red = a clear gap either way. 11 of his 13 charted targets were catchable; 1 drop, 2 of 3 contested caught.
As a runner2026 charted carries, through Week 5
| Situation | Car | Yds-TD | YPC | Success |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All carries | 40 | 112-2 | 2.84.1 | 38%39% |
| Red zone28% of carries | 11 | 27-2 | 2.52.6 | 45%40% |
| Inside the 1018% of carries | 7 | 11-2 | 1.61.7 | 43%47% |
| Third down5% of carries | 2 | 6-0 | 3.04.0 | 50%52% |
| Score within 770% of carries | 28 | 81-1 | 2.94.1 | 39%38% |
| Trailing by 8+5% of carries | 2 | 4-0 | 2.04.1 | 0%41% |
| Leading by 8+25% of carries | 10 | 27-1 | 2.74.5 | 40%40% |
| Light box (6 or fewer)70% of carries | 28 | 79-0 | 2.84.5 | 36%40% |
| Stacked box (8+)3% of carries | 1 | 1-0 | 1.03.0 | 0%39% |
| RPO13% of carries | 5 | 9-0 | 1.84.2 | 40%42% |
Box counts from FTN charting. Small grey number = every RB in that situation.
Team
GBGreen Bay Packers offense, 2026 through Week 5. Rank 1 = most. Scheme rates from FTN charting through Week 5.
Game by gamescore, implied total, pass rate (over expected), QB
| Week | Score | Implied | Pass rate | QB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1vs MIN | 22-39 | 22.5 | 69%−1.9 | Love42 att |
| W2vs NYJ | 20-17 | 24.0 | 64%−3.3 | Love29 att |
| W3vs ATL | 14-35 | 24.0 | 86%+11.8 | Love53 att |
| W4vs TB | 17-14 | 20.8 | 58%+1.0 | Love30 att |
| W5vs CHI | 31-7 | 22.5 | 59%+4.1 | Love31 att |
Depth chartRB, Oct 14
Scheduleeach defense's current rank vs RBs
Green = soft, red = stingy (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest), ranked on fantasy points allowed to RBs so far. Gold underline = fantasy playoffs. Does strength of schedule matter? ›
Head coach: Matt LaFleur. QB: Jordan Love (most pass attempts, Week 5).
Charts
MarShawn Lloyd is highlighted on each chart. Swipe for more; tap a dot for the player. Every chart saves and shares as an image on the Charts page.
Career
Season by season
| Year | G | Rushing / receiving | Pts/g | xFP/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026GB | 5 | 40-112-2 rush10-55-1 rec on 13 tgt | 7.5RB35 | 9.4−2.3 |
| 2024GB | 1 | 6-15-0 rush1-3-0 rec on 1 tgt | 2.3 | 5.4−2.6 |
Under points a game: his rank at RB in points a game (8+ games; 2026: 2+ games). xFP = expected PPR a game from his usage; under it, the season's points over expected. Routes = share of team dropbacks he ran a route (through 2025).
Every game since 2024
2024 game log 1 games · GB · 2.8 PPR a game
| Game | Line | Snaps | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| W2vs IND · D28 | 6-15 rush · 1-3 on 1 tgt | 14% | 2.3 |
Health
No injury designation. Not on the Sleeper injury list as of Oct 10 and not on the Week 6 practice report so far.
2026 injury reportofficial, week by week
✓ = not listed. Letters = game status (Q, D, O) or worst practice that week (LP limited, DNP did not practice). Tap a week for the detail.
Historyofficial injury reports since 2020
| Year | Weeks listed | Ruled out | Listed for |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | Calf (3) |
| 2024 | 3 | 1 | Hamstring (2), Ankle |
3 report weeks over 1 seasons; recurring: Hamstring, Ankle. Risk label: low.
Teammates on the report
Our current notes first, then Sleeper designations. What happens when a starter is ruled out? ›
Value
Market Oct 10Market value on a 0–10,000 scale, through Oct 10, 2026. Faint stretches are estimates between real readings. Gold = peak.
Teal dot = today (2,860). Box = the middle half of outcomes, white line = the median, whiskers = 10th to 90th percentile. RBs about 26 valued near #207 overall: real 1-year moves since 2022, weighted by exact age and market rank (about 89 players' worth).
199.1 overall, RB119. Underdog 167.4 · ESPN 170.7 · Sleeper 227.5
Profile
Athletic profilepercentile vs RBs at the combine since 2010
College production
| Year | G | Rec-Yds-TD | Yds share | Dominator |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023USC | 11 | 13-232-0 | 6.4% | 3.2 |
| 2022South Carolina | 9 | 18-176-2 | 8.1% | 15.2 |
| 2021South Carolina | 11 | 3-44-0 | 2.0% | 1.0 |
Share = his share of his team's receiving yards. Dominator = average of his share of receiving yards and TDs.