Mack Hollins
Overview
2026 so far4 games
- 44% of NE's red-zone targets (3rd of 103 WRs)
- 75% catch rate (16th of 103 WRs)
- 31% of targets become first downs (79th of 103 WRs)
Ranked among 103 qualified WRs this season.
Week 6
Lines Oct 14NE
NYJ0 points. Our projection does not expect him to play this week.
Updated Oct 14, 2026.
Allowed to WRs per game across 5 games. Best games against them: Rome Odunze (W4, 15.4 PPR, 6/7 94 yds); Christian Watson (W2, 14.1 PPR, 4/11 41 yds); Denzel Boston (W5, 13.6 PPR, 3/7 46 yds).
EPA ranks entering Week 6: #10 against the pass, #5 against the run (1 = best defense).
Big number: receiving fantasy points NYJ allows a game to WRs in that zone. # = its rank of 32. Green tag = Mack Hollins's share of his targets in that zone this season. Depth is air yards at the catch point; 5 games, through Week 5. Tap a zone for the detail.
Against NYJ beforelast 4
| Game | Line | Pts |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 W11vs NYJ · W 27-14 | 4-64 on 5 tgt | 8.4 |
| 2024 W17vs NYJ · W 40-14 | 2-33 on 2 tgt | 4.3 |
| 2024 W6@ NYJ · W 23-20 | 1-8-1 on 2 tgt | 7.3 |
| 2021 W15vs NYJ · W 31-24 | 0-0 on 1 tgt | 0.0 |
no stats recorded
Game log
2026 · through W5Every gametap a game for the detail
NE +3 (closing) · total 44.5 · 74°F, wind 6 mph · 7 days rest · prime time
Projected 8.5 (WR37) · NE -4.5 (closing) · total 41.5 · 63°F, wind 7 mph · 11 days rest
Projected 6.6 (WR61) · NE +3 (closing) · total 46.5 · 80°F, wind 7 mph · 7 days rest
Projected 8.9 (WR36) · NE +7 (closing) · total 49.5 · 69°F, wind 11 mph · 7 days rest · division game
D# = the opponent's rank against WRs entering that week (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest). Finish = his rank at WR that week.
Usage
NE target treeshare of team targets, 2026
Season to date, games each player played.
Role details2026, through Week 5
Advanced
Percentile against the WRs on our charts (each stat's minimum is next to it), 2026 through Week 5. 50 is the middle of the pack. Tap a bubble for his rank.
Expected vs. actualPPR, from this season's play-by-play
0 TDs on 1.18 expected. Expected points price every target by depth and field position and every carry by field position. Do touchdowns regress? ›
Splits
As a receiver2026 charted plays, through Week 5
| Situation | Tgt | Rec-Yds-TD | Yds/tgt | EPA/tgt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All targets | 20 | 15-209-0 | 10.58.2 | 0.640.27 |
| Red zone20% of targets | 4 | 1-9-0 | 2.34.4 | -1.330.18 |
| Third down30% of targets | 6 | 4-56-0 | 9.37.1 | 0.090.14 |
| Score within 775% of targets | 15 | 11-162-0 | 10.88.1 | 0.730.26 |
| Trailing by 8+20% of targets | 4 | 3-37-0 | 9.38.2 | 0.340.28 |
| Leading by 8+5% of targets | 1 | 1-10-0 | 10.09.3 | 0.550.37 |
| Two-minute drill20% of targets | 4 | 2-23-0 | 5.87.5 | 0.030.17 |
| Vs. the blitz25% of targets | 5 | 4-58-0 | 11.67.9 | 1.030.23 |
| No blitz75% of targets | 15 | 11-151-0 | 10.18.4 | 0.520.29 |
| Play action15% of targets | 3 | 2-35-0 | 11.710.4 | 0.720.41 |
| With motion40% of targets | 8 | 4-71-0 | 8.98.3 | 0.190.32 |
Small grey number = every WR in that situation. Green or red = a clear gap either way. 14 of his 20 charted targets were catchable; 0 drops, 2 of 2 contested caught.
Against coverage2022-2025 (2026 is not charted per player)
| Coverage | Tgt | Yds/tgt | Caught | EPA/tgt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Man | 93 | 7.4 | 59% | +0.56 |
| Zone | 164 | 8.6 | 66% | +0.35 |
| Cover 1 | 68 | 6.4 | 56% | +0.32 |
| Cover 3 | 60 | 9.0 | 68% | +0.28 |
| Cover 2 | 43 | 9.4 | 65% | +0.36 |
| Cover 4 | 30 | 6.9 | 60% | +0.27 |
| Cover 6 | 26 | 8.4 | 65% | +0.58 |
| 2-man | 15 | 10.8 | 60% | +0.84 |
Team
NENew England Patriots offense, 2026 through Week 5. Rank 1 = most. Scheme rates from FTN charting through Week 5.
Game by gamescore, implied total, pass rate (over expected), QB
| Week | Score | Implied | Pass rate | QB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1vs SEA | 10-13 | 20.8 | 54%−11.5 | Maye33 att |
| W2vs PIT | 20-3 | 23.0 | 49%+0.7 | Maye22 att |
| W3vs JAX | 6-35 | 21.8 | 57%−12.6 | Maye25 att |
| W4vs BUF | 29-26 | 21.3 | 54%−1.7 | Maye37 att |
| W5vs LV | 45-17 | 24.5 | 56%−1.5 | Maye34 att |
Depth chartWR, Oct 14
Scheduleeach defense's current rank vs WRs
Green = soft, red = stingy (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest), ranked on fantasy points allowed to WRs so far. Gold underline = fantasy playoffs. Does strength of schedule matter? ›
Head coach: Mike Vrabel. QB: Drake Maye (most pass attempts, Week 5).
Charts
Mack Hollins is highlighted on each chart. Swipe for more; tap a dot for the player. Every chart saves and shares as an image on the Charts page.
Career
Season by season
| Year | G | Rec-Yds-TD | Pts/g | xFP/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026NE | 4 | 15-209-020 tgt, 16.7% share | 7.1WR56 | 9.5−2.2 |
| 2025NE | 14 | 46-550-265 tgt, 16.1% share, routes 62% | 6.5WR57 | 8.0+10.2 |
| 2024BUF | 17 | 31-378-550 tgt, 10.5% share, routes 68% | 4.9WR91 | 5.4+17.4 |
| 2023ATL | 12 | 18-251-030 tgt, 10.8% share, routes 33% | 2.8WR121 | 5.7−8.5 |
| 2022LV | 17 | 57-690-494 tgt, 16.8% share, routes 94% | 7.4WR56 | 9.4−6.4 |
| 2021MIA | 15 | 14-223-428 tgt, 6.0% share, routes 29% | 3.6WR110 | 3.7+11.8 |
| 2020MIA | 11 | 16-176-125 tgt, 7.6% share, routes 24% | 2.7WR124 | 5.0−7.5 |
Under points a game: his rank at WR in points a game (8+ games; 2026: 2+ games). xFP = expected PPR a game from his usage; under it, the season's points over expected. Routes = share of team dropbacks he ran a route (through 2025).
Red zone and touchdowns
| 2025 | 6 RZ tgt (9%), 4 end-zone, 2 rec TD vs 1.9 exp |
| 2024 | 7 RZ tgt (10%), 6 end-zone, 4 rec TD vs 2.4 exp |
| 2023 | 2 RZ tgt (4%), 1 end-zone, 0 rec TD vs 0.3 exp |
| 2022 | 12 RZ tgt (17%), 7 end-zone, 2 rec TD vs 3.2 exp |
Floor and ceilingPPR
0 of his last 43 games reached 20 PPR; 35 finished under 10. Is there a floor-vs-ceiling trade-off? ›
Every game since 2020
2025 game log 14 games · NE · 8.1 PPR a game
| Game | Line | Snaps | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1vs LV · D10 | 1-3 on 2 tgt | 56% | 0.8 |
| W2@ MIA · D4 | 1-8-1 on 2 tgt | 65% | 7.3 |
| W3vs PIT · D15 | 4-27 on 4 tgt | 62% | 4.7 |
| W4vs CAR · D2 | 1-4-1 on 1 tgt | 49% | 6.9 |
| W6@ NO · D11 | 2-28 on 3 tgt | 55% | 3.8 |
| W7@ TEN · D19 | 2-49 on 2 tgt · 1-4 rush | 66% | 6.3 |
| W8vs CLE · D15 | 7-89 on 7 tgt | 72% | 12.4 |
| W9vs ATL · D6 | 2-9 on 2 tgt | 63% | 1.9 |
| W10@ TB · D16 | 6-106 on 10 tgt | 79% | 13.6 |
| W11vs NYJ · D11 | 4-64 on 5 tgt | 85% | 8.4 |
| W12@ CIN · D10 | 2-30 on 6 tgt | 86% | 4.0 |
| W13vs NYG · D27 | 3-23 on 4 tgt | 75% | 3.8 |
| W15vs BUF · D15 | 4-41 on 8 tgt | 79% | 6.1 |
| W16@ BAL · D22 | 7-69 on 9 tgt | 66% | 10.4 |
2024 game log 17 games · BUF · 5.8 PPR a game
| Game | Line | Snaps | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1vs ARI · D17 | 2-25-1 on 2 tgt | 58% | 9.5 |
| W2@ MIA · D23 | 0-0 on 1 tgt | 71% | 0.0 |
| W3vs JAX · D22 | 1-16 on 2 tgt | 72% | 2.1 |
| W4@ BAL · D28 | 1-5 on 6 tgt | 61% | 1.0 |
| W5@ HOU · D22 | 2-27 on 6 tgt | 54% | 3.7 |
| W6@ NYJ · D6 | 1-8-1 on 2 tgt | 67% | 7.3 |
| W7vs TEN · D3 | 0-0 on 1 tgt | 75% | 0.0 |
| W8@ SEA · D15 | no stats | 46% | 0.0 |
| W9vs MIA · D3 | 5-30-1 on 5 tgt | 68% | 11.5 |
| W10@ IND · D22 | 4-86 on 4 tgt | 88% | 10.6 |
| W11vs KC · D9 | 2-27 on 2 tgt | 56% | 3.7 |
| W13vs SF · D9 | 1-7-1 on 1 tgt | 66% | 7.2 |
| W14@ LA · D18 | 4-57-1 on 6 tgt | 77% | 13.7 |
| W15@ DET · D28 | 1-7 on 3 tgt | 50% | 1.2 |
| W16vs NE · D21 | 2-25 on 3 tgt | 71% | 3.5 |
| W17vs NYJ · D3 | 2-33 on 2 tgt | 54% | 4.3 |
| W18@ NE · D21 | 3-25 on 4 tgt | 99% | 4.0 |
2023 game log 12 games · ATL · 3.6 PPR a game
| Game | Line | Snaps | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1vs CAR · D30 | 3-31 on 4 tgt | 63% | 4.6 |
| W2vs GB · D8 | 3-60 on 6 tgt | 71% | 7.5 |
| W3@ DET · D29 | 1-23 on 4 tgt | 72% | 2.8 |
| W4@ JAX · D21 | 0-0 on 3 tgt | 79% | 0.0 |
| W5vs HOU · D4 | 2-29 on 2 tgt | 39% | 3.9 |
| W6vs WAS · D28 | 3-41 on 4 tgt | 34% | 5.6 |
| W7@ TB · D23 | no stats | 35% | 0.0 |
| W8@ TEN · D26 | 2-27 on 3 tgt | 21% | 3.7 |
| W9vs MIN · D28 | 3-36 on 3 tgt | 20% | 5.1 |
| W14vs TB · D27 | 1-4 on 1 tgt | 8% | 0.9 |
| W17@ CHI · D12 | no stats | 29% | 0.0 |
| W18@ NO · D9 | no stats | 21% | 0.0 |
2022 game log 17 games · LV · 9.1 PPR a game
| Game | Line | Snaps | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1@ LAC | 1-16 on 1 tgt | 88% | 2.1 |
| W2vs ARI | 5-66 on 8 tgt | 87% | 9.1 |
| W3@ TEN | 1/1 4 yds 0 TD · 8-158-1 on 11 tgt | 97% | 26.0 |
| W4vs DEN · D1 | 3-33 on 5 tgt | 96% | 4.8 |
| W5@ KC · D24 | 0-0 on 4 tgt | 95% | 0.0 |
| W7vs HOU · D10 | 2-44-1 on 3 tgt | 100% | 11.4 |
| W8@ NO · D28 | 7-64 on 8 tgt | 91% | 9.9 |
| W9@ JAX · D17 | 2-17 on 4 tgt | 85% | 2.7 |
| W10vs IND · D2 | 2-18 on 6 tgt · 1-0 rush | 96% | 2.8 |
| W11@ DEN · D2 | 6-52 on 9 tgt | 100% | 8.2 |
| W12@ SEA · D9 | 4-63-1 on 5 tgt | 96% | 14.3 |
| W13vs LAC · D12 | 5-35 on 9 tgt | 98% | 6.0 |
| W14@ LA · D26 | 2-22 on 4 tgt · 3-40 rush | 97% | 7.2 |
| W15vs NE · D9 | 4-40-1 on 8 tgt | 88% | 12.0 |
| W16@ PIT · D28 | 1-7 on 2 tgt | 94% | 1.2 |
| W17vs SF · D27 | 3-40 on 4 tgt | 86% | 5.5 |
| W18vs KC · D25 | 2-15 on 3 tgt | 94% | 2.5 |
2021 game log 15 games · MIA · 4.0 PPR a game
| Game | Line | Snaps | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1@ NE | no stats | 13% | 0.0 |
| W2vs BUF | no stats | 22% | 0.0 |
| W5@ TB | 1-10 on 2 tgt | 26% | 1.5 |
| W6@ JAX | 4-61 on 5 tgt | 97% | 8.1 |
| W7vs ATL | 2-13-1 on 3 tgt | 53% | 8.3 |
| W8@ BUF | 0-0 on 1 tgt | 6% | 0.0 |
| W9vs HOU | 3-22-1 on 6 tgt | 80% | 9.7 |
| W10vs BAL | 0-0 on 1 tgt | 19% | 0.0 |
| W11@ NYJ | 2-72-1 on 3 tgt | 31% | 14.2 |
| W12vs CAR | 0-0 on 1 tgt | 26% | 0.0 |
| W13vs NYG | 1-5-1 on 1 tgt | 13% | 7.0 |
| W15vs NYJ | 0-0 on 1 tgt | 18% | 0.0 |
| W16@ NO | 1-40 on 2 tgt | 17% | 4.5 |
| W17@ TEN | 0-0 on 1 tgt | 19% | 0.0 |
| W18vs NE | 0-0 on 1 tgt | 10% | 0.0 |
2020 game log 11 games · MIA · 3.4 PPR a game
| Game | Line | Snaps | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| W5@ SF | no stats | 15% | 0.0 |
| W8vs LA | no stats | 4% | 0.0 |
| W9@ ARI | 1-11-1 on 1 tgt | 28% | 7.6 |
| W10vs LAC | 1-1 on 1 tgt | 19% | 0.6 |
| W11@ DEN | 1-9 on 2 tgt | 18% | 1.4 |
| W12@ NYJ | 2-19 on 3 tgt | 66% | 2.9 |
| W13vs CIN | 1-7 on 1 tgt | 19% | 1.2 |
| W14vs KC | 5-66 on 9 tgt | 48% | 9.1 |
| W15vs NE | 2-18 on 3 tgt | 96% | 2.8 |
| W16@ LV | 2-42 on 4 tgt | 78% | 5.2 |
| W17@ BUF | 1-3 on 1 tgt | 5% | -1.2 |
Health
Out · concern medium · through Week 8. Calf; moved to IR, projected back around Week 9.
Our note, Oct 13, 2026 · CBS Sports Patriots injury page (Sat 10/10)
Typical case for this injury (not him): calf: median 1 game missed; 18% run past 3 games; first game back averages -1.3 PPR vs his own pre-injury baseline (n=49 spells)
2026 injury reportofficial, week by week
✓ = not listed. Letters = game status (Q, D, O) or worst practice that week (LP limited, DNP did not practice). Tap a week for the detail.
Historyofficial injury reports since 2020
| Year | Weeks listed | Ruled out | Listed for |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 1 | Hand, Abdomen |
| 2024 | 7 | 0 | Shoulder (7) |
| 2023 | 4 | 2 | Ankle (4) |
| 2022 | 3 | 0 | Heel (3) |
3 games missed 2023–25 (0.50 a season), Ankle, Abdomen.
17 report weeks over 4 seasons; recurring: Heel, Ankle, Shoulder, Hand, Abdomen. Risk label: moderate.
Teammates on the report
Our current notes first, then Sleeper designations. What happens when a starter is ruled out? ›
Value
Market Oct 10Market value on a 0–10,000 scale, through Oct 10, 2026. Faint stretches are estimates between real readings. Gold = peak.
Teal dot = today (1,971). Box = the middle half of outcomes, white line = the median, whiskers = 10th to 90th percentile. WRs about 33 valued near #289 overall: real 1-year moves since 2022, weighted by exact age and market rank (about 16 players' worth).
Risk profilepreseason, from comparable players
2022 Demarcus Robinson (63% match). He went from 6.9 to 10.5 PPR a game the next year (WR5+→WR5+). His dynasty value moved +18.2% over the next 12 months.
169.9 overall, WR85. ESPN 169.9 · Underdog 215.9