Eli Raridon
Overview
Board Oct 12Week 5 rest-of-season review, Oct 12, 2026. The three reads are where our backtested model, the betting market and his 2026 production each place him at TE; our board rank is the call.
Where his stats say he could finish from here: TE29 to TE37. Our rank stays the call.
2026 so far4 games
- target share up from 3.8% to 10.4% (last 2 games vs the two before)
- snap share up from 37% to 58% (last 2 games vs the two before)
- 11.2 yards a target (3rd of 48 TEs)
- 7.6% target share (41st of 48 TEs)
- 2.3 targets a game (42nd of 48 TEs)
Ranked among 48 qualified TEs this season.
80% range 2.0–5.8 half-PPR points a game. Biggest inputs: power-conference college +0.6, teammates missing games -0.5, college seasons +0.3, trade value now +0.2. The model informs the rank; it does not set it.
Week 6
Lines Oct 14NE
NYJUpdated Oct 14, 2026, built on a NE team total of 25.5. Rank is among every TE we project this week.
Allowed to TEs per game across 5 games. Best games against them: Colston Loveland (W4, 11.7 PPR, 6/9 57 yds); Sam LaPorta (W3, 7.4 PPR, 3/4 44 yds); Gunnar Helm (W1, 6.8 PPR, 4/5 28 yds).
EPA ranks entering Week 6: #10 against the pass, #5 against the run (1 = best defense).
Big number: receiving fantasy points NYJ allows a game to TEs in that zone. # = its rank of 32. Green tag = Eli Raridon's share of his targets in that zone this season. Depth is air yards at the catch point; 5 games, through Week 5. Tap a zone for the detail.
5-57 rec on 5 tgt
Game log
2026 · through W5Every gametap a game for the detail
NE +3 (closing) · total 44.5 · 74°F, wind 6 mph · 7 days rest · prime time
Projected 3.0 (TE47) · NE -4.5 (closing) · total 41.5 · 63°F, wind 7 mph · 11 days rest
Projected 0.4 (TE89) · NE +7 (closing) · total 49.5 · 69°F, wind 11 mph · 7 days rest · division game · Injury report: game status Q, practice LP
Projected 3.1 (TE34) · NE -3.5 (closing) · total 45.5 · 7 days rest
D# = the opponent's rank against TEs entering that week (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest). Finish = his rank at TE that week.
Usage
What changedlast 3 full games vs. before
| W1 | W2, W4, W5 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Snap share | 54.0% | 45.0% | −9.0 |
| Target share | 3.2% | 8.8% | +5.6 |
| Air-yard share | 90.0% | 8.9% | −81.1 |
| Targets a game | 1.0 | 2.7 | +1.7 |
Games he left injured are left out of both sides.
NE target treeshare of team targets, 2026
Season to date, games each player played.
Role details2026, through Week 5
Advanced
Percentile against the TEs on our charts (each stat's minimum is next to it), 2026 through Week 5. 50 is the middle of the pack. Tap a bubble for his rank.
Expected vs. actualPPR, from this season's play-by-play
1 TDs on 1.14 expected. Expected points price every target by depth and field position and every carry by field position. Do touchdowns regress? ›
Splits
As a receiver2026 charted plays, through Week 5
| Situation | Tgt | Rec-Yds-TD | Yds/tgt | EPA/tgt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All targets | 9 | 8-101-1 | 11.27.1 | 0.700.25 |
| Red zone33% of targets | 3 | 2-2-1 | 0.74.6 | -0.180.61 |
| Inside the 1022% of targets | 2 | 1-2-1 | 1.03.1 | -0.010.68 |
| Score within 744% of targets | 4 | 3-44-1 | 11.07.0 | 0.920.22 |
| Leading by 8+56% of targets | 5 | 5-57-0 | 11.48.9 | 0.530.54 |
| Vs. the blitz33% of targets | 3 | 2-32-1 | 10.76.8 | 0.720.20 |
| No blitz67% of targets | 6 | 6-69-0 | 11.57.2 | 0.700.27 |
| Play action44% of targets | 4 | 3-20-0 | 5.07.3 | -0.040.25 |
| With motion89% of targets | 8 | 7-88-1 | 11.07.4 | 0.700.29 |
| Screens11% of targets | 1 | 1-0-0 | 0.05.8 | -0.530.03 |
Small grey number = every TE in that situation. Green or red = a clear gap either way. 8 of his 9 charted targets were catchable; 0 drops, 1 of 1 contested caught.
Team
NENew England Patriots offense, 2026 through Week 5. Rank 1 = most. Scheme rates from FTN charting through Week 5.
Game by gamescore, implied total, pass rate (over expected), QB
| Week | Score | Implied | Pass rate | QB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1vs SEA | 10-13 | 20.8 | 54%−11.5 | Maye33 att |
| W2vs PIT | 20-3 | 23.0 | 49%+0.7 | Maye22 att |
| W3vs JAX | 6-35 | 21.8 | 57%−12.6 | Maye25 att |
| W4vs BUF | 29-26 | 21.3 | 54%−1.7 | Maye37 att |
| W5vs LV | 45-17 | 24.5 | 56%−1.5 | Maye34 att |
Depth chartTE, Oct 14
Scheduleeach defense's current rank vs TEs
Green = soft, red = stingy (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest), ranked on fantasy points allowed to TEs so far. Gold underline = fantasy playoffs. Does strength of schedule matter? ›
Head coach: Mike Vrabel. QB: Drake Maye (most pass attempts, Week 5).
Charts
Eli Raridon is highlighted on each chart. Swipe for more; tap a dot for the player. Every chart saves and shares as an image on the Charts page.
Career
Season by season
| Year | G | Rec-Yds-TD | Pts/g | xFP/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026NE | 4 | 8-101-19 tgt, 7.4% share | 5.0TE31 | 4.7+5.4 |
Under points a game: his rank at TE in points a game (8+ games; 2026: 2+ games). xFP = expected PPR a game from his usage; under it, the season's points over expected. Routes = share of team dropbacks he ran a route (through 2025).
Health
No injury designation. Not on the Sleeper injury list as of Oct 10 and not on the Week 6 practice report so far.
2026 injury reportofficial, week by week
✓ = not listed. Letters = game status (Q, D, O) or worst practice that week (LP limited, DNP did not practice). Tap a week for the detail.
Teammates on the report
Our current notes first, then Sleeper designations. What happens when a starter is ruled out? ›
Value
Market Oct 10Market value on a 0–10,000 scale, through Oct 10, 2026. Faint stretches are estimates between real readings. Gold = peak.
Teal dot = today (3,426). Box = the middle half of outcomes, white line = the median, whiskers = 10th to 90th percentile. TEs about 23 valued near #158 overall: real 1-year moves since 2022, weighted by exact age and market rank (about 41 players' worth).
170.0 overall, TE64. ESPN 170.0 · Underdog 215.2
Profile
Deep-league or TE-premium add. He could be New England's top tight end by the end of the season.
Suggested FAAB by league size: 8-team 0% · 10-team 0% · 12-team 0% · 14-team 1% · 16-team 4%. All waiver adds ›
College production
| Year | G | Rec-Yds-TD | Yds share | Dominator |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025Notre Dame | 9 | 32-482-0 | 19.6% | 9.8 |
| 2024Notre Dame | 5 | 8-66-2 | 6.5% | 15.8 |
| 2023Notre Dame | 1 | 3-39-1 | 12.5% | 16.3 |
Share = his share of his team's receiving yards. Dominator = average of his share of receiving yards and TDs.