Every game, every stat category, and what the board says. 6.52 points per game in 2025, an ADP of 170.1, usage worth 5.4.
28 years old · 7 seasons of experience · 2019 draft class
| ESPN | 170.8 |
| UNDERDOG | 213.3 |
| CBS | 169.3 |
| FFA | 193 |
| Goes around | Round 15, pick 2 in a 12-team draft |
| Positional rank | RB84 |
| Bye week | 13 |
| ADP standard deviation | 1.1 picks |
Our board has him at 75.8 points, 4.7 per game — 262 rushing yards, 1.7 rushing TDs, 18.5 catches. That is RB6, 190 overall.
The range runs from a floor of 2.2 points per game to a ceiling of 11.7, with the median at 4.7. Boom rate 99%, bust rate 53%. The spread is the actual bet, not the middle number.
He goes at 170.1 on consensus and our board has him 190. We rank him 19.9 picks worse than the room drafts him. At that distance it is a fade: we do not want him anywhere near his ADP.
Baltimore Ravens returns 4 of 6 continuity slots, replacing hc, oc. Lamar Jackson at quarterback, Jesse Minter as head coach, Declan Doyle calling it. The offense projects to 30 pass attempts a game at medium confidence and 28.1 rushes.
In: Ja'Kobi Lane (wr4), Elijah Sarratt (wr5), Cornelius Johnson (wr7), Adam Randall (rb3), Ali Rasheen (rb4), Durham Smythe (te2). Out: Devin Duvernay (wr3), Tylan Wallace (wr5), Keaton Mitchell (rb3), Rasheen Ali (rb4), Isaiah Likely (te2).
The projected carry split across the offense:
| Derrick Henry | 69.4% |
| Justice Hill ← | 17.9% |
| Adam Randall | 9.3% |
| Ali Rasheen | 3.5% |
What the offense looks like: Derrick Henry is aging, but until proven otherwise, will continue to be the Ravens workhorse back. Zay Flowers had his 5th year option picked up & his long term future in Baltimore MAY hinge on his 2026 season. he has shown flashes of being a true WR1, and Baltimore hasn't brought in direct competition with him, but imagine if he doesn't establish himself this year that Ravens will address WR more adequately. Rookie WRS Lane & Sarratt. have a large opportunity to take a substantial role in this offense. Bateman and Walker by no means are locked in as WR2 and WR3.
Key additions: G John Simpson (3/$30M), TE Durham Smythe (depth), QB Tyler Huntley (Back up to Lamar), WR Ja'Kobi Lane (3rd round from USC), WR Elijah Sarratt (4th Round Indiana), TE Matthew Hibner TE (5th round SMU)
Key departures: Biggest departure is HC John Harbaugh being fired at the end of the 2025 season. C Tyler Linderbaum left to Raiders. Isaiah Likely (TE) signed 3 year deal with NY. Lost RB Keaton Mitchell to the Chargers.
Notes: Lamar expected to completely bounce back. Derrick Henry is the unicorn who never ages apparently (fall off coming but production still here as of now). Ravens draft Adam Randall RB in 5th round. Justice Hill will still operate as 3rd down back. Henry main back. Isaiah Likely left to Giants in free agency. Andrews signs extension. Durham Smythe TE & Matthew Hibner TE also drafted. Andrews should be TE1 but unsure what production will look like. Ravens picked up Flowers franchise tag and he is under contract through 2027. Lane could be a rookie breakout, opportunity is 100% there.
How the volume number was reached: Same QB Lamar Jackson returning — anchor to 2025 actuals (24.8 att/g); Regressed 53% toward league mean 33.5, floored at 30 → 30 att/g; New OC Declan Doyle — pass rate and tempo may shift; New HC Jesse Minter.
| Projected carry share | 17.9% |
| Projected carries per game | 4.1 |
| Projected carries, full season | 70 |
| Last season, carries per game | 1.8 |
That is an increase of 2.3 carries a game against last season, inside a team projection of 28.1 rushing attempts a game.
Basis: prior usage blend. Carry share is the strongest forward predictor we have measured at the position, so this number carries more weight than any efficiency figure on this page.
Offensive environment: BAL rates 25.7 against a league average of 23, 2.7 points above it on opponent-adjusted least squares (multi-capture merge).
Opponent-adjusted run defense faced, against 2025 ratings. Positive is an easier slate.
| Full season | +1.1 · neutral |
| Weeks 1–6 | -1.1 · neutral |
| Weeks 12–17 | +1.7 · easier |
| Fantasy playoffs (15–17) | +5.7 · easier |
Read this narrowly. Our own testing found that season-long strength of schedule does not survive as a draft input — defensive quality is among the least stable team properties year to year, and a preseason slate is built on last year's identities. The playoff-weeks column is the only one we would let break a tie, and even then it is a tiebreaker rather than a reason. The finding.
From the absence record rather than a depth chart — who actually gained when he was out.
| Season | Games missed | Main beneficiary | Their PPR gain |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2 | Derrick Henry | +8.5 |
| 2025 | 2 | Keaton Mitchell | +6.7 |
Everything in this section is about his dynasty trade value — what he is worth as a long-term asset in the trade market. It is not a forecast of his 2026 fantasy scoring. A player can be a fine redraft pick while his dynasty value falls, and the reverse. The redraft read is above; this is a different question with a different answer.
His dynasty value has moved -5.5% over the last twelve months. The market cycle classifies him as stable.
For context on how long this lasts at the position: the average career at his position produces 1.7 elite seasons and 2.4 startable seasons.
Matched on production profile — production-driven (pedigree ignored). The last column is how that player’s dynasty value moved the following year — a market outcome, not a scoring one.
| Player | Season | Their PPG | Similarity | Next year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samaje Perine | 2023 | 7.1 | 71% | +0.1% |
| Samaje Perine | 2024 | 4.8 | 69% | +39.7% |
| Chase Edmonds | 2023 | 3.1 | 59% | -17.9% |
| Jamaal Williams | 2023 | 4.7 | 57% | -26.9% |
| D'Ernest Johnson | 2024 | 3 | 57% | +48.6% |
Of the 5 with a following season on record, 2 gained value, 2 lost it and 1 held roughly flat.
| Drafted | 2019, round 4, pick 113 by BAL |
| College | Oklahoma St. |
| Age at draft | 21 |
| Height | 5′10″ |
| Weight | 198 lb |
| 40-yard dash | 4.4s |
| Vertical | 40″ |
| Broad jump | 130″ |
| Career PPR per game | 5.5 |
| Week-to-week variation | 1.1 |
| Boom rate | 13.5% |
| Bust rate | 34.6% |
| Games missed per season | 1.6 |
| Injury history | Thigh, Hamstring, Foot, Concussion, Toe, Neck |
| Correlation between his posted line and his actual score | -0.34 |
That correlation is how closely the books’ posted line tracked what he actually scored, week to week. A higher number means the market has him figured out and there is less to exploit; a lower one means his weeks are harder to price.
Injury type matters more than games missed. Measured across our injury database, knee and foot returns stay below a player’s pre-injury baseline for all three of the first games back, while hamstring returns over-recover by the third.
His best game was Week 4 against KC — 28.7 PPR on 9 touches and a 20% target share, in a game that finished 20-37. His worst was Week 1 against BUF at -0.1, on 4 touches, final score 40-41. Across 10 games he cleared 20 points 1 time and came in under 8 points 7 times. In the 3 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 5.2; in the 7 decided by more, 7.1. He scored more when the game was not close.
His usage that season was worth 5.4 points per game. He scored 6.52, 20.3% above it. The engine classified the season as lucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUF | 40-41 | -0.1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -14 | 0 | 10.5% | 45% |
| 2 | CLE | 41-17 | 5.5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 10.7% | 39% |
| 3 | DET | 30-38 | 7.5 | 3 | 4 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14.3% | 51% |
| 4 | KC | 20-37 | 28.7 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 3 | 76 | 2 | 20% | 58% |
| 5 | HOU | 10-44 | 2.2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10% | 30% |
| 6 | LA | 3-17 | 9.4 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 18.8% | 45% |
| 8 | CHI | 30-16 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 31% |
| 9 | MIA | 28-6 | 3.5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8.7% | 20% |
| 10 | MIN | 27-19 | 8.3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7.1% | 27% |
| 12 | NYJ | 23-10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 25% |
| Receptions | 21 |
| Targets | 27 |
| Receiving yards | 169 |
| Carries | 18 |
| Rushing yards | 93 |
| Touchdowns | 3 |
| Points per game | 6.52 |
| Yards per target | 6.26 |
| Catch rate | 77.78% |
| Yards per carry | 5.17 |
| Snap share | 37.1% |
| Target share | 10.01% |
| Air-yards share | -0.65% |
| WOPR | 0.146 |
| RACR | -0.336 |
| Average depth of target | -0.2 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 8.8 |
| Yards before catch per reception | -0.7 |
| Total YAC | 184 |
| Broken tackles | 5 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 105.1 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0.04 |
| Rushing EPA per game | -0.13 |
| Red-zone targets | 1 |
| Red-zone target share | 1.9% |
| End-zone target share | 0% |
| Red-zone carry share | 2.8% |
| Goal-line carry share | 3.1% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0.15 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 1 |
| Receiving TD luck | 0.85 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 0.48 |
The offense threw it 422 times. He took 6.63% of the targets. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Zay Flowers | 28.99% |
| Mark Andrews | 17.2% |
| DeAndre Hopkins | 9.58% |
| Rashod Bateman | 9.34% |
| Isaiah Likely | 8.85% |
| Justice Hill ← | 6.63% |
He caught passes from 3 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Jackson | 7 | 19 | 7.63 | 6.95 | 10.19% |
| Cooper Rush | 2 | 8 | 5.8 | 4.63 | 14.4% |
| Tyler Huntley | 1 | 0 | 0.2 | — | 0% |
4 of his 10 games were blowouts, 61.2% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 9.98 in those and 5.23 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.
His best game was Week 4 against BUF — 21.6 PPR on 10 touches and a 33.3% target share, in a game that finished 35-10. His worst was Week 6 against WAS at 1.4, on 2 touches, final score 30-23. Across 15 games he cleared 20 points 1 time and came in under 8 points 8 times. In the 10 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 6.2; in the 5 decided by more, 13. He scored more when the game was not close.
His usage that season was worth 7.5 points per game. He scored 8.47, 15.8% above it. The engine classified the season as lucky. On receiving touchdowns specifically he finished 3 against 1.96 expected, a gap of 1.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KC | 20-27 | 11.5 | 6 | 8 | 52 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 20% | 54% |
| 2 | LV | 23-26 | 5.2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 22 | 0 | 6.5% | 54% |
| 3 | DAL | 28-25 | 7.4 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 5 | 33 | 0 | 13.3% | 41% |
| 4 | BUF | 35-10 | 21.6 | 6 | 6 | 78 | 4 | 18 | 1 | 33.3% | 35% |
| 5 | CIN | 41-38 | 3.5 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 0 | 4.9% | 53% |
| 6 | WAS | 30-23 | 1.4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4% | 38% |
| 7 | TB | 41-31 | 13.8 | 3 | 3 | 44 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 14.3% | 46% |
| 8 | CLE | 24-29 | 2.9 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2.9% | 50% |
| 9 | DEN | 41-10 | 8.8 | 3 | 3 | 43 | 5 | 15 | 0 | 15.8% | 33% |
| 10 | CIN | 35-34 | 1.8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 6.3% | 35% |
| 11 | PIT | 16-18 | 8.1 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 22.6% | 49% |
| 12 | LAC | 30-23 | 14.2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 55 | 1 | 9.5% | 40% |
| 13 | PHI | 19-24 | 6.1 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 17.1% | 50% |
| 15 | NYG | 35-14 | 17.8 | 5 | 5 | 61 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 20.8% | 37% |
| 16 | PIT | 34-17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 0 | 4.3% | 11% |
| Receptions | 42 |
| Targets | 51 |
| Receiving yards | 383 |
| Carries | 47 |
| Rushing yards | 228 |
| Touchdowns | 4 |
| Points per game | 8.47 |
| Yards per target | 7.51 |
| Catch rate | 82.35% |
| Yards per carry | 4.85 |
| Snap share | 41.73% |
| Target share | 13.04% |
| Air-yards share | -0.33% |
| WOPR | 0.194 |
| RACR | 0.325 |
| Average depth of target | -0.5 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 10.4 |
| Yards before catch per reception | -1.3 |
| Total YAC | 438 |
| Broken tackles | 5 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 109.4 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0.94 |
| Rushing EPA per game | 0.05 |
| Red-zone targets | 9 |
| Red-zone target share | 13.2% |
| End-zone target share | 2.9% |
| Red-zone carry share | 7.4% |
| Goal-line carry share | 4.2% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 1.96 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 3 |
| Receiving TD luck | 1.04 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 0.86 |
The offense threw it 477 times. He took 11.16% of the targets. 3 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Zay Flowers | 25.38% |
| Rashod Bateman | 15.75% |
| Mark Andrews | 15.1% |
| Isaiah Likely | 12.69% |
| Justice Hill ← | 11.16% |
| Nelson Agholor | 6.35% |
4 of his 15 games were blowouts, 40.3% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 12.8 in those and 6.21 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.
His best game was Week 17 against MIA — 22.2 PPR on 8 touches and a 22.7% target share, in a game that finished 56-19. His worst was Week 10 against CLE at 0.7, on 2 touches, final score 31-33. Across 16 games he cleared 20 points 1 time and came in under 8 points 10 times. In the 7 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 6.5; in the 9 decided by more, 7.1. He scored more when the game was not close.
His usage that season was worth 7.3 points per game. He scored 6.83, 3.7% below it. The engine classified the season as neutral.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HOU | 25-9 | 12.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 30% |
| 2 | CIN | 27-24 | 8.3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 41 | 0 | 9.1% | 57% |
| 4 | CLE | 28-3 | 3.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 0 | 0% | 12% |
| 5 | PIT | 10-17 | 12.5 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 7 | 32 | 1 | 10.5% | 56% |
| 6 | TEN | 24-16 | 6.5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 35 | 0 | 10.3% | 38% |
| 7 | DET | 38-6 | 5.8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 46 | 0 | 3.6% | 50% |
| 8 | ARI | 31-24 | 9.5 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 4 | 15 | 0 | 15.4% | 48% |
| 9 | SEA | 37-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 40 | 0 | 3.1% | 63% |
| 10 | CLE | 31-33 | 0.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0% | 26% |
| 11 | CIN | 34-20 | 1.7 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4.3% | 26% |
| 12 | LAC | 20-10 | 3.1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 0 | 3.3% | 28% |
| 14 | LA | 37-31 | 2.2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5% | 42% |
| 15 | JAX | 23-7 | 2.3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 0 | 4.3% | 26% |
| 16 | SF | 33-19 | 8.7 | 3 | 3 | 31 | 10 | 26 | 0 | 8.8% | 62% |
| 17 | MIA | 56-19 | 22.2 | 5 | 5 | 64 | 3 | 48 | 1 | 22.7% | 35% |
| 18 | PIT | 10-17 | 5.6 | 3 | 10 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 38.5% | 54% |
| Receptions | 28 |
| Targets | 39 |
| Receiving yards | 206 |
| Carries | 84 |
| Rushing yards | 387 |
| Touchdowns | 4 |
| Points per game | 6.83 |
| Yards per target | 5.28 |
| Catch rate | 71.79% |
| Yards per carry | 4.61 |
| Snap share | 40.81% |
| Target share | 8.68% |
| Air-yards share | 0.77% |
| WOPR | 0.136 |
| RACR | 0.851 |
| Average depth of target | 0.6 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 8.5 |
| Yards before catch per reception | -1.1 |
| Total YAC | 237 |
| Broken tackles | 4 |
| Drop rate | 0.1% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 92.5 |
| Rushing yards over expected | 0 |
| Receiving EPA per game | -0.3 |
| Rushing EPA per game | 0.05 |
| Red-zone targets | 2 |
| Red-zone target share | 2.8% |
| End-zone target share | 0% |
| Red-zone carry share | 21.7% |
| Goal-line carry share | 11.8% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0.27 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 1 |
| Receiving TD luck | 0.73 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 3.27 |
The offense threw it 494 times. 1 team-mate cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Zay Flowers | 22.69% |
| Odell Beckham | 13.45% |
| Mark Andrews | 12.82% |
| Rashod Bateman | 11.76% |
| Nelson Agholor | 9.45% |
| Isaiah Likely | 8.4% |
He caught passes from 2 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Jackson | 15 | 29 | 6.91 | 6.21 | 6.69% |
| Tyler Huntley | 1 | 10 | 5.6 | 2.6 | 38.5% |
4 of his 16 games were blowouts, 32.3% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 8.82 in those and 6.47 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.
His best game was Week 4 against BUF — 7.7 PPR on 10 touches and a 7.1% target share, in a game that finished 20-23. His worst was Week 17 against PIT at 0, on 0 touches, final score 13-16. Across 15 games he cleared 20 points 0 times and came in under 8 points 15 times. In the 9 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 1.9; in the 6 decided by more, 4.2. He scored more when the game was not close.
His usage that season was worth 3.7 points per game. He scored 2.8, 12.8% below it. The engine classified the season as unlucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NYJ | 24-9 | 3.1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6.9% | 20% |
| 2 | MIA | 38-42 | 1.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 0% | 36% |
| 3 | NE | 37-26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 60 | 0 | 0% | 47% |
| 4 | BUF | 20-23 | 7.7 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 45 | 0 | 7.1% | 36% |
| 7 | CLE | 23-20 | 0.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 0 | 0% | 31% |
| 8 | TB | 27-22 | 2.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 0 | 0% | 21% |
| 9 | NO | 27-13 | 2.9 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 4.5% | 25% |
| 11 | CAR | 13-3 | 6.8 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 30 | 0 | 9.4% | 41% |
| 12 | JAX | 27-28 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 19% |
| 13 | DEN | 10-9 | 2.6 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5.6% | 24% |
| 14 | PIT | 16-14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 3% |
| 15 | CLE | 3-13 | 2.8 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3.6% | 38% |
| 16 | ATL | 17-9 | 1.4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3% | 13% |
| 17 | PIT | 13-16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 33% |
| 18 | CIN | 16-27 | 3.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 34 | 0 | 0% | 22% |
| Receptions | 12 |
| Targets | 12 |
| Receiving yards | 58 |
| Carries | 49 |
| Rushing yards | 262 |
| Touchdowns | 0 |
| Points per game | 2.8 |
| Yards per target | 4.83 |
| Catch rate | 100% |
| Yards per carry | 5.35 |
| Snap share | 27.27% |
| Target share | 2.89% |
| Air-yards share | -1.12% |
| WOPR | 0.036 |
| RACR | -0.14 |
| Average depth of target | -2.1 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 6.9 |
| Yards before catch per reception | -2.1 |
| Total YAC | 83 |
| Broken tackles | 0 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 86.8 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0.14 |
| Rushing EPA per game | -0.21 |
| Red-zone targets | 1 |
| Red-zone target share | 1.3% |
| End-zone target share | 0% |
| Red-zone carry share | 4.1% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0.13 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 0 |
| Receiving TD luck | -0.13 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 0.29 |
The offense threw it 488 times. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Mark Andrews | 24.3% |
| Demarcus Robinson | 16.13% |
| Isaiah Likely | 12.9% |
| Devin Duvernay | 10.54% |
| Rashod Bateman | 6.02% |
| Kenyan Drake | 5.59% |
He caught passes from 3 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Jackson | 9 | 8 | 3.53 | 4.38 | 3.1% |
| Tyler Huntley | 5 | 4 | 1.36 | 5.75 | 3.1% |
| Anthony Brown | 1 | 0 | 3.4 | — | 0% |
His best game was Week 12 against PIT — 6 PPR on 11 touches and a 11.1% target share, in a game that finished 14-19. His worst was Week 16 against NYG at 0, on 0 touches, final score 27-13. Across 11 games he cleared 20 points 0 times and came in under 8 points 11 times. In the 5 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 1.5; in the 6 decided by more, 0.9. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 2.4 points per game. He scored 1.18, 22.2% below it. The engine classified the season as unlucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | WAS | 31-17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| 6 | PHI | 30-28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| 9 | IND | 24-10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 5% |
| 10 | NE | 17-23 | 1.3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.9% | 8% |
| 11 | TEN | 24-30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 11% |
| 12 | PIT | 14-19 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 35 | 0 | 11.1% | 49% |
| 13 | DAL | 34-17 | 1.4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.9% | 11% |
| 14 | CLE | 47-42 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 10% |
| 15 | JAX | 40-14 | 1.8 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.8% | 9% |
| 16 | NYG | 27-13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 4% |
| 17 | CIN | 38-3 | 2.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 0% | 12% |
| Receptions | 5 |
| Targets | 5 |
| Receiving yards | 20 |
| Carries | 12 |
| Rushing yards | 60 |
| Touchdowns | 0 |
| Points per game | 1.18 |
| Yards per target | 4 |
| Catch rate | 100% |
| Yards per carry | 5 |
| Snap share | 10.82% |
| Target share | 2.15% |
| Air-yards share | -0.46% |
| WOPR | 0.029 |
| RACR | 0.163 |
| Average depth of target | -1.4 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 5.4 |
| Yards before catch per reception | -1.4 |
| Total YAC | 27 |
| Broken tackles | 0 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 83.3 |
| Receiving EPA per game | -0.27 |
| Rushing EPA per game | -0.1 |
| Red-zone targets | 3 |
| Red-zone target share | 4.3% |
| End-zone target share | 0% |
| Red-zone carry share | 1.9% |
| Goal-line carry share | 7.7% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0.6 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 0 |
| Receiving TD luck | -0.6 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 0.87 |
The offense threw it 405 times. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Marquise Brown | 25.51% |
| Mark Andrews | 22.45% |
| Willie Snead | 12.24% |
| Miles Boykin | 8.42% |
| Devin Duvernay | 6.63% |
| J.K. Dobbins | 6.12% |
He caught passes from 2 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Jackson | 10 | 3 | 0.7 | 5 | 1.26% |
| Robert Griffin | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2.5 | 11.1% |
3 of his 11 games were blowouts, 40.8% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 1.77 in those and 1.54 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.
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