TE · PIT · GWTTKB

Jonnu Smith — fantasy football 2026

Every game, every stat category, and what the board says. 5.01 points per game in 2025, an ADP of 170, usage worth 5.8.

30 years old · 9 seasons of experience · 2017 draft class

Updated 2026-08-16 · free, no account, no paywall
Every figure below comes from our database. Where a stat is not held, the row is absent rather than zero.
ADP 170
Consensus across 1 books, 0 picks between cheapest and priciest. Cheapest on underdog, priciest on espn.
ESPN170
UNDERDOG216
FFA312

Draft-room facts

Goes aroundRound 15, pick 2 in a 12-team draft
Positional rankTE50

The offense he plays in, 2026

Pittsburgh Steelers returns 4 of 6 continuity slots, replacing hc, oc. Aaron Rodgers at quarterback, Mike McCarthy as head coach, Brian Angelichio calling it. The offense projects to 33 pass attempts a game at medium confidence and 25.3 rushes.

In: Drew Allar (qb2), Michael Pittman Jr. (wr2), Germie Bernard (wr3), Kaden Wejen (wr6), A.T. Perry (wr7), Rico Dowdle (rb2), Eli Heidenreich (rb4). Out: Calvin Austin III (wr2), Adam Thielen (wr4), Kenneth Gainwell (rb2), Jonnu Smith (te2).

The projected target split across the offense:

DK Metcalf21%
Michael Pittman Jr.13.9%
Germie Bernard13.6%
Pat Freiermuth13.1%
Jaylen Warren10.4%
Rico Dowdle7.1%

Our written view on this offense in 2026

Key additions: Traded for and Signed Michael Pittman Jr to 3 year $59M deal. Signed RB Rico Dowdle to 2/$12M deal in free agency. Drafted WR Germie Bernard in 2nd round, Drafted OT Max Iheanachor in 1st roud to beef up line. Drafted QB Drew Allar in the 3rd round. Drafted G Gennings Dunker 3rd roud (depth). Bringin in HC Mike McCarthy & Brian Angelichio as OC.

Key departures: RB Kenneth Gainwell left in free agency to Bucs. LG Isaac Seumalo left for Cardinals. WR Calvin Austin III left in free agency for Giants. HC Mike Tomlin & OC Arthur Smith (Ass) are both gone.

Notes: Drafted Bernard round 2 Steelers traded up. Steelers traded for Michael Pittman Jr. who is aging but will elevate the passing game. DK Metcalf looks to get back on track in 2026 & establish himself as WR1. Crowded WR room. Steelers drafted WR Riley Nowakowski in the 4th round & he will likely operate as WR5 or return specialist. Signed Rico Dowdle to 2 year deal in free agency. Warren is slotted to be 1A and Dowdle 1B, but any injury to either back makes the other a home run hit in fantasy for 2026. Aaron Rodgers SHOULD return to Steelers, but also drafted Drew Allar (bad QB but good prospect who should be rostered because he can progress. Zero floor on Allar but the ceiling is very high if he gets better.)

How the volume number was reached: Same QB Aaron Rodgers returning — anchor to 2025 actuals (32.4 att/g); Regressed 53% toward league mean 33.5, floored at 30 → 33 att/g; New OC Brian Angelichio — pass rate and tempo may shift; New HC Mike McCarthy.

Offensive environment: PIT rates 21.3 against a league average of 23, 1.6 below it on opponent-adjusted least squares (multi-capture merge).

2026 schedule

Opponent-adjusted pass defense faced, against 2025 ratings. Positive is an easier slate.

Full season-1.9 · harder
Weeks 1–6+2.2 · easier
Weeks 12–17-1.8 · harder
Fantasy playoffs (15–17)+3.7 · easier

Read this narrowly. Our own testing found that season-long strength of schedule does not survive as a draft input — defensive quality is among the least stable team properties year to year, and a preseason slate is built on last year's identities. The playoff-weeks column is the only one we would let break a tie, and even then it is a tiebreaker rather than a reason. The finding.

What happened when he missed time

From the absence record rather than a depth chart — who actually gained when he was out.

SeasonGames missedMain beneficiaryTheir PPR gain
20222Hunter Henry+4.8

Dynasty context not redraft

Everything in this section is about his dynasty trade value — what he is worth as a long-term asset in the trade market. It is not a forecast of his 2026 fantasy scoring. A player can be a fine redraft pick while his dynasty value falls, and the reverse. The redraft read is above; this is a different question with a different answer.

Where he sits in the dynasty value cycle

His dynasty value has moved -49.3% over the last twelve months. The market cycle classifies him as post-crash. The base rate that applies: after a -25% crash, TEs recover only 30% of the time (keep falling 70%).

For context on how long this lasts at the position: the average career at his position produces 1.3 elite seasons and 2.3 startable seasons.

The five most similar seasons, and what their dynasty value did next

Matched on production profile — production-driven (pedigree ignored). The last column is how that player’s dynasty value moved the following year — a market outcome, not a scoring one.

PlayerSeasonTheir PPGSimilarityNext year
Austin Hooper20246.456%-14.1%
Mike Gesicki20248.850%-15.8%
Austin Hooper2023349%+46.1%
Gerald Everett20237.448%-55.8%
Dawson Knox20244.248%+13.1%

Of the 5 with a following season on record, 2 gained value, 3 lost it and 0 held roughly flat.

Four years of dynasty value

02,0004,000202120222023202420252026
Monthly superflex value, 2020-04 to 2026-07. Down 56% across the series, peaking at 4,211.

The player

Draft capital and athletic profile

Drafted2017, round 3, pick 100 by TEN
CollegeFlorida International
Age at draft22
Height6′3″
Weight248 lb
40-yard dash4.62s
Vertical38″
Broad jump127″
Shuttle4.18s

Availability and volatility

Career PPR per game7.4
Week-to-week variation0.9
Boom rate16%
Bust rate34.7%
Games missed per season0.5
Injury historyKnee, Ankle, Concussion
Correlation between his posted line and his actual score-0.01

That correlation is how closely the books’ posted line tracked what he actually scored, week to week. A higher number means the market has him figured out and there is less to exploit; a lower one means his weeks are harder to price.

Injury type matters more than games missed. Measured across our injury database, knee and foot returns stay below a player’s pre-injury baseline for all three of the first games back, while hamstring returns over-recover by the third.

The record, season by season

2025 · PIT · 17 games

His best game was Week 1 against NYJ — 12.5 PPR on 6 targets and a 20.7% target share, in a game that finished 34-32. His worst was Week 14 against BAL at 0, on 1 targets, final score 27-22. Across 17 games he cleared 20 points 0 times and came in under 8 points 14 times. In the 10 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 5.5; in the 7 decided by more, 4.3. He scored more when the game was live.

Earned against scored

His usage that season was worth 5.8 points per game. He scored 5.01, 15.8% below it. The engine classified the season as unlucky.

WkOppScorePPRRecTgtYdsTDTgt%Snap%
1NYJ34-3212.55615120.7%66%
2SEA17-316.74427012.9%56%
3NE21-145.33323013.6%83%
4MIN24-212.6236013.6%25%
6CLE23-95.83418013.8%69%
7CIN31-3311.83628118.2%70%
8GB25-353.7231709.4%60%
9IND27-205.53525014.3%40%
10LAC10-251.412407.1%67%
11CIN34-12002006.9%54%
12CHI28-315.8332109.7%49%
13BUF7-261.612609.1%53%
14BAL27-22001003%52%
15MIA28-1510.6221217.4%29%
16DET29-242.801002.6%38%
17CLE6-137.75518013.5%41%
18BAL26-241.412204.5%44%

Production

Receptions38
Targets54
Receiving yards222
Carries9
Rushing yards70
Touchdowns3
Points per game5.01
Yards per target4.11
Catch rate70.37%
Yards per carry7.78

Role

Snap share52.71%
Target share10.61%
Air-yards share6.62%
WOPR0.206
RACR1.74

Efficiency

Average depth of target4.3
Yards after catch per reception4.7
Yards before catch per reception1.1
Total YAC179
Broken tackles3
Drop rate0%
Passer rating when targeted90.2
Receiving EPA per game0.03
Rushing EPA per game0.23

Scoring position

Red-zone targets7
Red-zone target share9.1%
End-zone target share7.1%
Red-zone carry share2.5%
Expected receiving TDs1.9
Actual receiving TDs2
Receiving TD luck0.1
Expected rushing TDs0.09

Who else ate

The offense threw it 550 times. He took 10.38% of the targets. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.

DK Metcalf19.04%
Kenneth Gainwell16.35%
Calvin Austin III10.58%
Jonnu Smith 10.38%
Pat Freiermuth10.38%
Jaylen Warren8.65%

By quarterback

He caught passes from 2 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.

QBGamesTargetsPPGY/TTgt%
Aaron Rodgers15495.294.110.91%
Mason Rudolph252.94.28.3%

Blowouts against close games

2 of his 17 games were blowouts, 1.9% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 0.8 in those and 5.54 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.

2024 · MIA · 17 games

His best game was Week 11 against LV — 28.1 PPR on 8 targets and a 22.9% target share, in a game that finished 34-19. His worst was Week 4 against TEN at 0, on 1 targets, final score 12-31. Across 17 games he cleared 20 points 4 times and came in under 8 points 5 times. In the 8 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 11.5; in the 9 decided by more, 14.5. He scored more when the game was not close.

Earned against scored

His usage that season was worth 11.6 points per game. He scored 13.08, 13.1% above it. The engine classified the season as lucky. On receiving touchdowns specifically he finished 7 against 5.66 expected, a gap of 1.3.

WkOppScorePPRRecTgtYdsTDTgt%Snap%
1JAX20-171.712705.6%28%
2BUF10-3111.36753018.9%42%
3SEA3-243.8231809.7%38%
4TEN12-31001004.8%42%
5NE15-1011.15862025.8%41%
7IND10-1622.67796131.8%49%
8ARI27-2864620015.8%66%
9BUF27-309.65646022.2%69%
10LA23-157.53445014.3%43%
11LV34-1928.168101222.9%81%
12NE34-1523.791187127.5%69%
13GB17-3021.31011113023.9%72%
14NYJ32-2613.4344418.9%64%
15HOU12-2019.891148128.2%66%
16SF29-1712.26662019.4%55%
17CLE20-311.63426116.7%48%
18NYJ20-3218.691256132.4%60%

Production

Receptions88
Targets111
Receiving yards884
Carries2
Rushing yards-1
Touchdowns8
Points per game13.08
Yards per target7.96
Catch rate79.28%
Yards per carry-0.5

Role

Snap share54.88%
Target share19.34%
Air-yards share14.36%
WOPR0.391
RACR2.975

Efficiency

Average depth of target4.9
Yards after catch per reception5.8
Yards before catch per reception4.3
Total YAC510
Broken tackles8
Drop rate0.1%
Passer rating when targeted123.9
Receiving EPA per game3.51
Rushing EPA per game-0.1

Scoring position

Red-zone targets18
Red-zone target share21.2%
End-zone target share19.4%
Red-zone carry share1.4%
Expected receiving TDs5.66
Actual receiving TDs7
Receiving TD luck1.34
Expected rushing TDs0.14

Where that ranked

Against everyone in the 80+ targets pool that season:

Points per game5 of 13
Yards per target4 of 13
Target share7 of 13
Air-yards share12 of 13

Who else ate

The offense threw it 591 times. He took 19.96% of the targets. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.

Tyreek Hill21.94%
Jonnu Smith 19.96%
De'Von Achane15.65%
Jaylen Waddle14.93%
Malik Washington6.47%
Raheem Mostert4.14%

By quarterback

He caught passes from 4 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.

QBGamesTargetsPPGY/TTgt%
Tua Tagovailoa117614.058.2418.87%
Tyler Huntley42510.325.7619.92%
Skylar Thompson133.869.7%
Tim Boyle1722.613.7131.8%

Blowouts against close games

5 of his 17 games were blowouts, 22.7% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 10.08 in those and 11.46 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.

2023 · ATL · 17 games

His best game was Week 9 against MIN — 21 PPR on 6 targets and a 17.6% target share, in a game that finished 28-31. His worst was Week 17 against CHI at 0, on 4 targets, final score 17-37. Across 17 games he cleared 20 points 1 time and came in under 8 points 9 times. In the 10 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 8.1; in the 7 decided by more, 6.2. He scored more when the game was live.

Earned against scored

His usage that season was worth 8.1 points per game. He scored 7.31, 2.6% above it. The engine classified the season as neutral.

WkOppScorePPRRecTgtYdsTDTgt%Snap%
1CAR24-10000000%50%
2GB25-248.74647020%67%
3DET6-208.75837021.1%72%
4JAX7-2315.56695020%55%
5HOU21-1910.76767018.4%64%
6WAS16-2413.64536111.4%54%
7TB16-135.73327013%55%
8TEN23-282.3111303%71%
9MIN28-312156100117.6%57%
10ARI23-251.1131015.8%44%
12NO24-15000000%35%
13NYJ13-832310012%40%
14TB25-296.74727017.9%69%
15CAR7-98.12261010.5%33%
16IND29-107.24632018.8%69%
17CHI17-370040012.5%78%
18NO17-4811.9332918.8%62%

Production

Receptions50
Targets70
Receiving yards582
Carries1
Touchdowns3
Points per game7.31
Yards per target8.31
Catch rate71.43%

Role

Snap share57.35%
Target share12.99%
Air-yards share10.53%
WOPR0.269
RACR1.708

Efficiency

Average depth of target6.5
Yards after catch per reception7.1
Yards before catch per reception4.5
Total YAC357
Broken tackles6
Drop rate0.1%
Passer rating when targeted98.6
Receiving EPA per game0.53
Rushing EPA per game-0.02

Scoring position

Red-zone targets9
Red-zone target share15.8%
End-zone target share15.8%
Red-zone carry share1.3%
Goal-line carry share7.7%
Expected receiving TDs2.69
Actual receiving TDs2
Receiving TD luck-0.69
Expected rushing TDs0.43

Who else ate

The offense threw it 530 times. He took 13.89% of the targets. 3 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.

Drake London21.83%
Kyle Pitts17.86%
Bijan Robinson17.06%
Jonnu Smith 13.89%
Mack Hollins5.95%
Van Jefferson5.56%

By quarterback

He caught passes from 2 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.

QBGamesTargetsPPGY/TTgt%
Desmond Ridder12507.728.7212.76%
Taylor Heinicke5206.327.313.54%

Blowouts against close games

3 of his 17 games were blowouts, 15.4% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 6.37 in those and 8.09 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.

2022 · NE · 12 games

His best game was Week 11 against NYJ — 8.5 PPR on 4 targets and a 14.8% target share, in a game that finished 10-3. His worst was Week 14 against ARI at 0, on 2 targets, final score 27-13. Across 12 games he cleared 20 points 0 times and came in under 8 points 10 times. In the 5 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 4.4; in the 7 decided by more, 4.3. He scored more when the game was live.

Earned against scored

His usage that season was worth 5.5 points per game. He scored 4.33, 21.8% below it. The engine classified the season as unlucky. On receiving touchdowns specifically he finished 0 against 1.01 expected, a gap of -1.

WkOppScorePPRRecTgtYdsTDTgt%Snap%
1MIA7-206.33433013.3%68%
2PIT17-14003008.8%57%
3BAL26-376.54425012.5%48%
6CLE38-158.1226106.5%43%
7CHI14-331.4134010.7%33%
8NYJ22-1743410012.5%64%
9IND26-35.13321010.3%54%
11NYJ10-38.54440014.8%54%
13BUF10-242.622605.9%31%
14ARI27-13002006.1%47%
15LV24-304.42324010%58%
16CIN18-225.13421012.9%57%

Production

Receptions27
Targets38
Receiving yards245
Carries1
Rushing yards5
Touchdowns0
Points per game4.33
Yards per target6.45
Catch rate71.05%
Yards per carry5

Role

Snap share51.17%
Target share10.36%
Air-yards share3.66%
WOPR0.182
RACR2.514

Efficiency

Average depth of target3.1
Yards after catch per reception7.4
Yards before catch per reception1.7
Total YAC200
Broken tackles9
Drop rate0.1%
Passer rating when targeted77.2
Receiving EPA per game0.05
Rushing EPA per game0.06

Scoring position

Red-zone targets4
Red-zone target share7.8%
End-zone target share5.9%
Red-zone carry share1.6%
Expected receiving TDs1.01
Actual receiving TDs0
Receiving TD luck-1.01
Expected rushing TDs0.06

Who else ate

The offense threw it 540 times. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.

Jakobi Meyers18.71%
Rhamondre Stevenson17.15%
Hunter Henry11.5%
Nelson Agholor10.33%
Kendrick Bourne9.36%
DeVante Parker9.16%

By quarterback

He caught passes from 2 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.

QBGamesTargetsPPGY/TTgt%
Mac Jones10334.255.4510.71%
Bailey Zappe254.75138.6%

Blowouts against close games

3 of his 12 games were blowouts, 28.1% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 4.87 in those and 4.4 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.

2021 · NE · 16 games

His best game was Week 4 against TB — 10.4 PPR on 5 targets and a 11.9% target share, in a game that finished 17-19. His worst was Week 16 against BUF at 0, on 0 targets, final score 21-33. Across 16 games he cleared 20 points 0 times and came in under 8 points 13 times. In the 6 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 5.5; in the 10 decided by more, 3.5. He scored more when the game was live.

Earned against scored

His usage that season was worth 5.2 points per game. He scored 4.21, 14.1% below it. The engine classified the season as unlucky. On receiving touchdowns specifically he finished 1 against 2.33 expected, a gap of -1.3.

WkOppScorePPRRecTgtYdsTDTgt%Snap%
1MIA16-179.85542013.2%73%
2NYJ25-66.84528017.9%49%
3NO13-281.4164011.8%42%
4TB17-1910.43514111.9%47%
5HOU25-225.2222707.1%63%
6DAL29-351.912909.5%72%
7NYJ54-137.72552012.5%22%
8LAC27-243.3221305.9%64%
9CAR24-61.8124011.1%45%
11ATL25-02.7121707.7%52%
12TEN36-138.83449012.5%57%
13BUF14-102.11112033.3%76%
15IND17-271.513306.8%25%
16BUF21-33000000%33%
17JAX50-103.5112003%58%
18MIA24-330.500000%40%

Production

Receptions28
Targets45
Receiving yards294
Carries9
Rushing yards40
Touchdowns1
Points per game4.21
Yards per target6.53
Catch rate62.22%
Yards per carry4.44

Role

Snap share51.13%
Target share10.26%
Air-yards share9.13%
WOPR0.218
RACR1.784

Efficiency

Average depth of target5.5
Yards after catch per reception8.3
Yards before catch per reception2.2
Total YAC232
Broken tackles2
Drop rate0.1%
Passer rating when targeted70
Receiving EPA per game-0.61
Rushing EPA per game0.01

Scoring position

Red-zone targets10
Red-zone target share12.2%
End-zone target share6.9%
Red-zone carry share2%
Expected receiving TDs2.33
Actual receiving TDs1
Receiving TD luck-1.33
Expected rushing TDs0.19

Who else ate

The offense threw it 535 times. He took 8.59% of the targets. 1 team-mate cleared the competing-target threshold.

Jakobi Meyers24.05%
Hunter Henry14.31%
Kendrick Bourne13.36%
Nelson Agholor12.21%
Brandon Bolden9.35%
Jonnu Smith 8.59%

Blowouts against close games

6 of his 16 games were blowouts, 46.4% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 5.22 in those and 5.45 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.

2020 · TEN · 14 games

His best game was Week 2 against JAX — 24.4 PPR on 5 targets and a 20.8% target share, in a game that finished 33-30. His worst was Week 17 against HOU at 1.8, on 2 targets, final score 41-38. Across 14 games he cleared 20 points 2 times and came in under 8 points 5 times. In the 8 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 9.8; in the 6 decided by more, 10.3. He scored more when the game was not close.

Earned against scored

His usage that season was worth 8 points per game. He scored 10.01, 19.1% above it. The engine classified the season as lucky. On receiving touchdowns specifically he finished 8 against 5.47 expected, a gap of 2.5.

WkOppScorePPRRecTgtYdsTDTgt%Snap%
1DEN16-1413.64736117.5%73%
2JAX33-3024.44584220.8%87%
3MIN31-3011.15861024.2%88%
5BUF42-16215740225%86%
6HOU42-362.3121304.9%39%
7PIT24-271.9149013.3%70%
8CIN20-314.9222906.9%79%
9CHI24-1711.2223219.5%95%
10IND17-349.52614122.2%72%
11BAL30-24124620118.8%74%
14JAX31-104.3222008.7%62%
15DET46-2510.25552019.2%93%
16GB14-40123730128%73%
17HOU41-381.812807.4%58%

Production

Receptions41
Targets65
Receiving yards448
Carries2
Rushing yards4
Touchdowns9
Points per game10.01
Yards per target6.89
Catch rate63.08%
Yards per carry2

Role

Snap share74.93%
Target share16.17%
Air-yards share10.66%
WOPR0.317
RACR1.743

Efficiency

Average depth of target5.5
Yards after catch per reception5.8
Yards before catch per reception5.1
Total YAC238
Broken tackles2
Drop rate0%
Passer rating when targeted110.1
Receiving EPA per game1.13
Rushing EPA per game-0.01

Scoring position

Red-zone targets18
Red-zone target share25.4%
End-zone target share29%
Red-zone carry share1.1%
Goal-line carry share3.2%
Expected receiving TDs5.47
Actual receiving TDs8
Receiving TD luck2.53
Expected rushing TDs0.44

Who else ate

The offense threw it 484 times. He took 14.1% of the targets. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.

A.J. Brown22.99%
Corey Davis19.96%
Jonnu Smith 14.1%
Anthony Firkser11.5%
Adam Humphries7.59%
Derrick Henry6.72%

Blowouts against close games

5 of his 14 games were blowouts, 40.7% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 11.4 in those and 9.79 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.

Ask the Coach about Jonnu Smith →
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