Carson WentzMinnesota Vikings
QB/Minnesota Vikings

Carson Wentz

Age 33.8 · 11th season · 6'5", 237 lb · North Dakota St. · 2016 R1 #2
01

Overview

Board Oct 12
Hold
Hold QB34 · 12.8 PPR a game · model QB20 · market QB29
The books rank him QB29, close enough to his QB34 on the 10/12 list, so he holds.
Model
QB20
Market
QB29
2026 production
—

Week 5 rest-of-season review, Oct 12, 2026. The three reads are where our backtested model, the betting market and his 2026 production each place him at QB; our board rank is the call.

Realistic range, rest of season
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
QB30
QB34 now
QB37
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
QB30
QB34 now
QB37
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
QB30
QB34 now
QB37

Where his stats say he could finish from here: QB30 to QB37. Our rank stays the call.

Rest-of-season rank on our sheets
#237Sep 21#244Sep 26#243Sep 28#244Sep 30#246Oct 5#255Oct 12#259Sep 21#261Sep 26#260Sep 28#260Sep 30#261Oct 5#265Oct 12#268Sep 21#275Sep 26#272Sep 28#272Sep 30#275Oct 5#287Oct 12

2026 so far2 games

Points a game
12.8
QB29 of 43
Pass yds a game
138
3 TD · 0 INT
Rush yds a game
3
0 rush TD
Our rest-of-season model
Half PPR/g
15.0
PPR/g
15.0
Games left
11.0

80% range 10.5–19.7 half-PPR points a game. Biggest inputs: rushing EPA -0.3, trade value now -0.2, passing EPA +0.2, preseason ADP -0.2. The model informs the rank; it does not set it.

02

Week 6

Minnesota Vikings are on bye in Week 6. Next up: Week 7 vs Indianapolis Colts, Oct 25.

03

Game log

2026 · through W5
Fantasy pointsOur projection that weekSeason average 12.8
05101520119.226.33—4—5—05101520119.226.33—4—5—05101520119.226.33—4—5—

Every gametap a game for the detail

W3
@ TB W 23-16
No catch, carry or pass recorded
—
W4
vs MIA W 15-10
No catch, carry or pass recorded
—
W5
@ NO W 23-13
No catch, carry or pass recorded
—

D# = the opponent's rank against QBs entering that week (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest). Finish = his rank at QB that week.

04

Usage

Pass attempts by week
W119W220
Carries by week
W15W23

MIN target treeshare of team targets, 2026

Myles Price
5.0%

Season to date, games each player played.

Role details2026, through Week 5

Red-zone carry share
0%
0 red-zone carries
Goal-line share
—
0 carries inside the 5
05

Advanced

PoorAverageGreat
Fantasy points a game2+ games
12.8
30
30
30
EPA per dropbackneeds 50+ attempts
0.12
Completion % over expectedneeds 50+ attempts
−7.8
Pass aDOTneeds 50+ attempts
7.6
Rush yards a game2+ games
2.5
5
Pressure rateneeds 50+ attempts
19.0%
Sack rateneeds 50+ attempts
13.0%
Bad-throw rateneeds 50+ attempts
21.0%
Turnover-worthy rateneeds 50+ attempts
2.6%
Time to throw (s)needs 50+ attempts
2.61
EPA vs the blitzneeds 50+ attempts
0.26
EPA on play actionneeds 50+ attempts
0.41

Percentile against the QBs on our charts (each stat's minimum is next to it), 2026 through Week 5. 50 is the middle of the pack. Tap a bubble for his rank.

06

Splits

As a passer2026 charted dropbacks, through Week 5

SituationDBCmp%Y/ATD-INTEPA/db
All dropbacks4559%7.13-00.100.05
Clean pocket80% of dropbacks3661%7.23-00.350.23
Under duress20% of dropbacks933%5.30-0-0.92-0.42
No blitz51% of dropbacks2355%5.62-0-0.050.08
Vs. the blitz49% of dropbacks2263%8.71-00.26-0.03
Play action33% of dropbacks1557%8.71-00.410.10
Red zone13% of dropbacks650%5.02-00.520.12
Third down44% of dropbacks2076%7.32-00.26-0.08
Leading by 8+2% of dropbacks1100%9.01-02.950.21
Trailing by 8+38% of dropbacks1753%6.92-00.150.04

Duress = sacked, hit or out of the pocket. Small grey number = every QB in that situation. 1 interception-worthy throws and 0 throwaways on 39 charted attempts.

Pressure and play action, 2022-2025
Pressured
31%
of dropbacks
EPA clean
+0.18
vs −0.29 pressured
Play action
21%
of dropbacks
EPA on play action
+0.03
vs −0.07 without
07

Team

MIN
Points a game
21.8
22nd of 32
Plays a game
59.6
21st of 32
EPA per play
-0.099
28th of 32
Pass rate over exp.
−8.8%
25th of 32
Red-zone plays a game
7.0
30th of 32
Motion rate
42%
24th of 32
Play-action rate
14%
6th of 32
No-huddle rate
5%
14th of 32

Minnesota Vikings offense, 2026 through Week 5. Rank 1 = most. Scheme rates from FTN charting through Week 5.

Game by gamescore, implied total, pass rate (over expected), QB

WeekScoreImpliedPass rateQB
W1vs GB39-2224.048%−13.7Wentz19 att
W2vs CHI9-321.045%−10.3Wentz20 att
W3vs TB23-1622.058%−4.7Murray29 att
W4vs MIA15-1024.359%−5.0Murray37 att
W5vs NO23-1322.048%−10.9Murray30 att

Depth chartQB, Oct 14

QB2
Carson Wentz
QB3
Max Brosmer

Scheduleeach defense's current rank vs QBs

W6
BYE
W7
IND
#26
W8
@DET
#32
W9
BUF
#29
W10
@GB
#3
W11
@SF
#6
W12
ATL
#24
W13
CAR
#25
W14
@NE
#10
W15
DET
#32
W16
WAS
#31
W17
@NYJ
#7
W18
CHI
#19
Next 4
#23
average rank
Playoffs W15–17
#23
average rank
Bye
W6

Green = soft, red = stingy (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest), ranked on fantasy points allowed to QBs so far. Gold underline = fantasy playoffs. Does strength of schedule matter? ›

Head coach: Kevin O'Connell. QB: Kyler Murray (most pass attempts, Week 5).

08

Charts

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Carson Wentz is highlighted on each chart. Swipe for more; tap a dot for the player. Every chart saves and shares as an image on the Charts page.

09

Career

Points a game by season
’2016.5’2115.2’2214.1’2326.1’242.4’2514.1’2612.8
’2016.5’2115.2’2214.1’2326.1’242.4’2514.1’2612.8
’2016.5’2115.2’2214.1’2326.1’242.4’2514.1’2612.8

Season by season

YearGPassing / rushingPts/gxFP/g
2026MIN2276 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT5 rush yds, 0 TD12.8QB29—
2025MIN51,216 yds, 6 TD, 5 INT57 rush yds, 0 TD14.117.6−17.8
2024KC2118 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT0 rush yds, 0 TD2.45.4−6.1
2023LA1163 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT56 rush yds, 1 TD26.122.7+3.4
2022WAS81,755 yds, 11 TD, 9 INT86 rush yds, 1 TD14.1QB2116.9−22.2
2021IND173,563 yds, 27 TD, 7 INT215 rush yds, 1 TD15.2QB1616.0−14.3
2020PHI122,620 yds, 16 TD, 15 INT276 rush yds, 5 TD16.5QB2020.5−47.0

Under points a game: his rank at QB in points a game (8+ games; 2026: 2+ games). xFP = expected PPR a game from his usage; under it, the season's points over expected.

Red zone and touchdowns

202538 RZ att, 6 pass TD vs 7.4 exp · 1 RZ car (2%), 0 inside 5, 0 rush TD vs 0.1 exp
20233 RZ att, 2 pass TD vs 0.5 exp · 3 RZ car (3%), 0 inside 5, 1 rush TD vs 0.2 exp
202235 RZ att, 7 pass TD vs 6.9 exp · 5 RZ car (6%), 2 inside 5, 1 rush TD vs 1.2 exp
202182 RZ att, 19 pass TD vs 19.9 exp · 6 RZ car (6%), 3 inside 5, 1 rush TD vs 1.5 exp

Floor and ceilingPPR

Boom rate
7%
1.5x his recent average and 10+
Bust rate
27%
half his recent average or less
Week-to-week swing
0.48
CV over 30 games
Middle half of games
3.9–15.3
PPR, 8 games 2023–25

2 of his last 8 games reached 20 PPR; 3 finished under 10. Is there a floor-vs-ceiling trade-off? ›

Every game since 2020

2025 game log 5 games · MIN · 14.1 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W3vs CIN · D2714/20 173 yds 2 TD · 2-4 rush80%15.3
W4@ PIT · D2830/46 350 yds 2 TD 2 INT · 2-12 rush100%21.2
W5@ CLE · D1125/34 236 yds 1 TD · 3-13 rush98%14.7
W7vs PHI · D1926/42 313 yds 0 TD 2 INT · 4-28 rush100%11.3
W8@ LAC · D1215/27 144 yds 1 TD 1 INT88%7.8
2024 game log 2 games · KC · 2.4 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W15@ CLE · D152/2 20 yds 0 TD · 3-0 rush11%0.8
W18@ DEN · D1510/17 98 yds 0 TD85%3.9
2023 game log 1 games · LA · 26.1 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W18@ SF · D517/24 163 yds 2 TD 1 INT · 17-56-1 rush100%26.1
2022 game log 8 games · WAS · 14.1 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W1vs JAX27/41 313 yds 4 TD 2 INT · 6-12 rush100%27.7
W2@ DET30/46 337 yds 3 TD 1 INT · 2-23 rush100%27.8
W3vs PHI25/43 211 yds 0 TD · 3-22 rush100%8.6
W4@ DAL · D1125/42 170 yds 1 TD 2 INT · 1-5 rush100%7.3
W5vs TEN · D2525/38 359 yds 2 TD 1 INT · 5-15 rush100%21.9
W6@ CHI · D1812/22 99 yds 0 TD · 2-2 rush100%4.2
W16@ SF · D312/16 123 yds 1 TD26%8.9
W17vs CLE · D516/28 143 yds 0 TD 3 INT · 3-7-1 rush100%6.4
2021 game log 17 games · IND · 15.2 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W1vs SEA25/38 251 yds 2 TD · 4-23 rush100%18.3
W2vs LA20/31 247 yds 1 TD · 5-37 rush93%17.6
W3@ TEN19/37 194 yds 0 TD100%7.8
W4@ MIA24/32 228 yds 2 TD · 5-8 rush100%17.9
W5@ BAL25/35 402 yds 2 TD · 2-5 rush100%22.6
W6vs HOU11/20 223 yds 2 TD · 2-1 rush100%17.0
W7@ SF17/26 150 yds 2 TD · 4-23-1 rush100%20.3
W8vs TEN27/51 231 yds 3 TD · 3-11 rush100%18.3
W9vs NYJ22/30 272 yds 3 TD · 4-13 rush100%24.2
W10vs JAX22/34 180 yds 0 TD · 4--1 rush100%7.1
W11@ BUF11/20 106 yds 1 TD · 2-18 rush90%10.0
W12vs TB27/44 306 yds 3 TD · 3-21 rush100%20.3
W13@ HOU16/22 158 yds 1 TD · 3-8 rush86%11.1
W15vs NE5/12 57 yds 1 TD · 8-17 rush100%6.0
W16@ ARI18/28 225 yds 2 TD · 2-4 rush100%17.4
W17vs LV16/27 148 yds 1 TD · 3-10 rush100%10.9
W18@ JAX17/29 185 yds 1 TD · 3-17 rush100%11.1
2020 game log 12 games · PHI · 16.5 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W1@ WAS24/42 270 yds 2 TD · 1-2 rush100%13.0
W2vs LA26/43 242 yds 0 TD · 2-7-1 rush100%12.4
W3vs CIN29/47 225 yds 1 TD · 9-65-1 rush100%21.5
W4@ SF18/28 193 yds 1 TD · 7-37-1 rush100%21.4
W5@ PIT20/35 258 yds 2 TD · 4-11 rush100%17.4
W6vs BAL21/40 213 yds 2 TD · 5-49-1 rush100%29.4
W7vs NYG25/43 359 yds 2 TD · 7-14-1 rush100%27.8
W8vs DAL15/27 123 yds 2 TD · 4-17 rush100%8.6
W10@ NYG21/37 208 yds 0 TD · 2-4 rush100%8.7
W11@ CLE21/35 235 yds 2 TD · 3-10 rush100%14.4
W12vs SEA25/45 215 yds 2 TD · 5-42 rush99%18.8
W13@ GB6/15 79 yds 0 TD · 3-18 rush58%5.0
10

Health

No injury designation. Not on the Sleeper injury list as of Oct 10 and not on the Week 6 practice report so far.

2026 injury reportofficial, week by week

W1
✓
W2
✓
W6
BYE

✓ = not listed. Letters = game status (Q, D, O) or worst practice that week (LP limited, DNP did not practice). Tap a week for the detail.

Historyofficial injury reports since 2020

YearWeeks listedRuled outListed for
202520Shoulder (2)
202221right Shoulder, right Finger
202150Ankles (2), Foot, Ankle, Illness

1 games missed 2023–25 (0.25 a season), right Finger.

9 report weeks over 3 seasons; recurring: Foot, Ankles, Ankle, Illness, right Shoulder. Risk label: moderate.

How long do players take to recover? ›

Teammates on the report

questionable
questionable
Questionable (Ankle)

Our current notes first, then Sleeper designations. What happens when a starter is ruled out? ›

11

Value

Market Oct 10
1QB value
981
#414 overall · QB53 · tier 13
Superflex
1,550
#298 overall · QB49
30 days
+145
90 days +395
Peak
997
Oct 3, 2026 · 2% off
1QB dynasty value, last two years
5001KJul ’26981988

Market value on a 0–10,000 scale, through Oct 10, 2026. Faint stretches are estimates between real readings. Gold = peak.

Where his value could be in a year
171
745
1,401

Teal dot = today (981). Box = the middle half of outcomes, white line = the median, whiskers = 10th to 90th percentile. QBs about 34 valued near #400 overall: real 1-year moves since 2022, weighted by exact age and market rank (about 8 players' worth).

Closest comparable season

2024 Tyler Huntley (46% match). He went from 12.1 to 8.0 PPR a game the next year (QB4→QB4). His dynasty value moved +41.0% over the next 12 months.

Does the dynasty market see breakouts coming? ›

Redraft ADP, final preseason (Sep 12, 2026)

170.0 overall, QB47. ESPN 170.0

12

Profile

Age
33.8
Size
6'5"
237 lb
College
North Dakota St.

Keep digging

All players · Week 6 rankings · Rest-of-season rankings · Charts · Stats · Methodology
Sources: nflverse play-by-play, weekly stats, Next Gen Stats and FTN charting (free public data); official NFL injury reports; Sleeper; GWTTKB rankings, projections and market data. Built 2026-10-14. Every number on this page comes from those files; where a stat is not on file it is left blank, never zero. Nothing here is betting advice.