
Carson Wentz
Overview
Board Oct 12Week 5 rest-of-season review, Oct 12, 2026. The three reads are where our backtested model, the betting market and his 2026 production each place him at QB; our board rank is the call.
Where his stats say he could finish from here: QB30 to QB37. Our rank stays the call.
2026 so far2 games
80% range 10.5–19.7 half-PPR points a game. Biggest inputs: rushing EPA -0.3, trade value now -0.2, passing EPA +0.2, preseason ADP -0.2. The model informs the rank; it does not set it.
Week 6
Minnesota Vikings are on bye in Week 6. Next up: Week 7 vs Indianapolis Colts, Oct 25.
Game log
2026 · through W5Every gametap a game for the detail
MIN -1.5 (closing) · total 46.5 · indoors · 7 days rest · division game
Projected 15.3 (QB22) · MIN +4.5 (closing) · total 46.5 · 68°F, wind 8 mph · 7 days rest · division game
D# = the opponent's rank against QBs entering that week (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest). Finish = his rank at QB that week.
Usage
MIN target treeshare of team targets, 2026
Season to date, games each player played.
Role details2026, through Week 5
Advanced
Percentile against the QBs on our charts (each stat's minimum is next to it), 2026 through Week 5. 50 is the middle of the pack. Tap a bubble for his rank.
Splits
As a passer2026 charted dropbacks, through Week 5
| Situation | DB | Cmp% | Y/A | TD-INT | EPA/db |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All dropbacks | 45 | 59% | 7.1 | 3-0 | 0.100.05 |
| Clean pocket80% of dropbacks | 36 | 61% | 7.2 | 3-0 | 0.350.23 |
| Under duress20% of dropbacks | 9 | 33% | 5.3 | 0-0 | -0.92-0.42 |
| No blitz51% of dropbacks | 23 | 55% | 5.6 | 2-0 | -0.050.08 |
| Vs. the blitz49% of dropbacks | 22 | 63% | 8.7 | 1-0 | 0.26-0.03 |
| Play action33% of dropbacks | 15 | 57% | 8.7 | 1-0 | 0.410.10 |
| Red zone13% of dropbacks | 6 | 50% | 5.0 | 2-0 | 0.520.12 |
| Third down44% of dropbacks | 20 | 76% | 7.3 | 2-0 | 0.26-0.08 |
| Leading by 8+2% of dropbacks | 1 | 100% | 9.0 | 1-0 | 2.950.21 |
| Trailing by 8+38% of dropbacks | 17 | 53% | 6.9 | 2-0 | 0.150.04 |
Duress = sacked, hit or out of the pocket. Small grey number = every QB in that situation. 1 interception-worthy throws and 0 throwaways on 39 charted attempts.
Team
MINMinnesota Vikings offense, 2026 through Week 5. Rank 1 = most. Scheme rates from FTN charting through Week 5.
Game by gamescore, implied total, pass rate (over expected), QB
| Week | Score | Implied | Pass rate | QB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1vs GB | 39-22 | 24.0 | 48%−13.7 | Wentz19 att |
| W2vs CHI | 9-3 | 21.0 | 45%−10.3 | Wentz20 att |
| W3vs TB | 23-16 | 22.0 | 58%−4.7 | Murray29 att |
| W4vs MIA | 15-10 | 24.3 | 59%−5.0 | Murray37 att |
| W5vs NO | 23-13 | 22.0 | 48%−10.9 | Murray30 att |
Depth chartQB, Oct 14
Scheduleeach defense's current rank vs QBs
Green = soft, red = stingy (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest), ranked on fantasy points allowed to QBs so far. Gold underline = fantasy playoffs. Does strength of schedule matter? ›
Head coach: Kevin O'Connell. QB: Kyler Murray (most pass attempts, Week 5).
Charts
Carson Wentz is highlighted on each chart. Swipe for more; tap a dot for the player. Every chart saves and shares as an image on the Charts page.
Career
Season by season
| Year | G | Passing / rushing | Pts/g | xFP/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026MIN | 2 | 276 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT5 rush yds, 0 TD | 12.8QB29 | — |
| 2025MIN | 5 | 1,216 yds, 6 TD, 5 INT57 rush yds, 0 TD | 14.1 | 17.6−17.8 |
| 2024KC | 2 | 118 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT0 rush yds, 0 TD | 2.4 | 5.4−6.1 |
| 2023LA | 1 | 163 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT56 rush yds, 1 TD | 26.1 | 22.7+3.4 |
| 2022WAS | 8 | 1,755 yds, 11 TD, 9 INT86 rush yds, 1 TD | 14.1QB21 | 16.9−22.2 |
| 2021IND | 17 | 3,563 yds, 27 TD, 7 INT215 rush yds, 1 TD | 15.2QB16 | 16.0−14.3 |
| 2020PHI | 12 | 2,620 yds, 16 TD, 15 INT276 rush yds, 5 TD | 16.5QB20 | 20.5−47.0 |
Under points a game: his rank at QB in points a game (8+ games; 2026: 2+ games). xFP = expected PPR a game from his usage; under it, the season's points over expected.
Red zone and touchdowns
| 2025 | 38 RZ att, 6 pass TD vs 7.4 exp · 1 RZ car (2%), 0 inside 5, 0 rush TD vs 0.1 exp |
| 2023 | 3 RZ att, 2 pass TD vs 0.5 exp · 3 RZ car (3%), 0 inside 5, 1 rush TD vs 0.2 exp |
| 2022 | 35 RZ att, 7 pass TD vs 6.9 exp · 5 RZ car (6%), 2 inside 5, 1 rush TD vs 1.2 exp |
| 2021 | 82 RZ att, 19 pass TD vs 19.9 exp · 6 RZ car (6%), 3 inside 5, 1 rush TD vs 1.5 exp |
Floor and ceilingPPR
2 of his last 8 games reached 20 PPR; 3 finished under 10. Is there a floor-vs-ceiling trade-off? ›
Every game since 2020
2025 game log 5 games · MIN · 14.1 PPR a game
| Game | Line | Snaps | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| W3vs CIN · D27 | 14/20 173 yds 2 TD · 2-4 rush | 80% | 15.3 |
| W4@ PIT · D28 | 30/46 350 yds 2 TD 2 INT · 2-12 rush | 100% | 21.2 |
| W5@ CLE · D11 | 25/34 236 yds 1 TD · 3-13 rush | 98% | 14.7 |
| W7vs PHI · D19 | 26/42 313 yds 0 TD 2 INT · 4-28 rush | 100% | 11.3 |
| W8@ LAC · D12 | 15/27 144 yds 1 TD 1 INT | 88% | 7.8 |
2024 game log 2 games · KC · 2.4 PPR a game
| Game | Line | Snaps | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| W15@ CLE · D15 | 2/2 20 yds 0 TD · 3-0 rush | 11% | 0.8 |
| W18@ DEN · D15 | 10/17 98 yds 0 TD | 85% | 3.9 |
2023 game log 1 games · LA · 26.1 PPR a game
| Game | Line | Snaps | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| W18@ SF · D5 | 17/24 163 yds 2 TD 1 INT · 17-56-1 rush | 100% | 26.1 |
2022 game log 8 games · WAS · 14.1 PPR a game
| Game | Line | Snaps | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1vs JAX | 27/41 313 yds 4 TD 2 INT · 6-12 rush | 100% | 27.7 |
| W2@ DET | 30/46 337 yds 3 TD 1 INT · 2-23 rush | 100% | 27.8 |
| W3vs PHI | 25/43 211 yds 0 TD · 3-22 rush | 100% | 8.6 |
| W4@ DAL · D11 | 25/42 170 yds 1 TD 2 INT · 1-5 rush | 100% | 7.3 |
| W5vs TEN · D25 | 25/38 359 yds 2 TD 1 INT · 5-15 rush | 100% | 21.9 |
| W6@ CHI · D18 | 12/22 99 yds 0 TD · 2-2 rush | 100% | 4.2 |
| W16@ SF · D3 | 12/16 123 yds 1 TD | 26% | 8.9 |
| W17vs CLE · D5 | 16/28 143 yds 0 TD 3 INT · 3-7-1 rush | 100% | 6.4 |
2021 game log 17 games · IND · 15.2 PPR a game
| Game | Line | Snaps | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1vs SEA | 25/38 251 yds 2 TD · 4-23 rush | 100% | 18.3 |
| W2vs LA | 20/31 247 yds 1 TD · 5-37 rush | 93% | 17.6 |
| W3@ TEN | 19/37 194 yds 0 TD | 100% | 7.8 |
| W4@ MIA | 24/32 228 yds 2 TD · 5-8 rush | 100% | 17.9 |
| W5@ BAL | 25/35 402 yds 2 TD · 2-5 rush | 100% | 22.6 |
| W6vs HOU | 11/20 223 yds 2 TD · 2-1 rush | 100% | 17.0 |
| W7@ SF | 17/26 150 yds 2 TD · 4-23-1 rush | 100% | 20.3 |
| W8vs TEN | 27/51 231 yds 3 TD · 3-11 rush | 100% | 18.3 |
| W9vs NYJ | 22/30 272 yds 3 TD · 4-13 rush | 100% | 24.2 |
| W10vs JAX | 22/34 180 yds 0 TD · 4--1 rush | 100% | 7.1 |
| W11@ BUF | 11/20 106 yds 1 TD · 2-18 rush | 90% | 10.0 |
| W12vs TB | 27/44 306 yds 3 TD · 3-21 rush | 100% | 20.3 |
| W13@ HOU | 16/22 158 yds 1 TD · 3-8 rush | 86% | 11.1 |
| W15vs NE | 5/12 57 yds 1 TD · 8-17 rush | 100% | 6.0 |
| W16@ ARI | 18/28 225 yds 2 TD · 2-4 rush | 100% | 17.4 |
| W17vs LV | 16/27 148 yds 1 TD · 3-10 rush | 100% | 10.9 |
| W18@ JAX | 17/29 185 yds 1 TD · 3-17 rush | 100% | 11.1 |
2020 game log 12 games · PHI · 16.5 PPR a game
| Game | Line | Snaps | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1@ WAS | 24/42 270 yds 2 TD · 1-2 rush | 100% | 13.0 |
| W2vs LA | 26/43 242 yds 0 TD · 2-7-1 rush | 100% | 12.4 |
| W3vs CIN | 29/47 225 yds 1 TD · 9-65-1 rush | 100% | 21.5 |
| W4@ SF | 18/28 193 yds 1 TD · 7-37-1 rush | 100% | 21.4 |
| W5@ PIT | 20/35 258 yds 2 TD · 4-11 rush | 100% | 17.4 |
| W6vs BAL | 21/40 213 yds 2 TD · 5-49-1 rush | 100% | 29.4 |
| W7vs NYG | 25/43 359 yds 2 TD · 7-14-1 rush | 100% | 27.8 |
| W8vs DAL | 15/27 123 yds 2 TD · 4-17 rush | 100% | 8.6 |
| W10@ NYG | 21/37 208 yds 0 TD · 2-4 rush | 100% | 8.7 |
| W11@ CLE | 21/35 235 yds 2 TD · 3-10 rush | 100% | 14.4 |
| W12vs SEA | 25/45 215 yds 2 TD · 5-42 rush | 99% | 18.8 |
| W13@ GB | 6/15 79 yds 0 TD · 3-18 rush | 58% | 5.0 |
Health
No injury designation. Not on the Sleeper injury list as of Oct 10 and not on the Week 6 practice report so far.
2026 injury reportofficial, week by week
✓ = not listed. Letters = game status (Q, D, O) or worst practice that week (LP limited, DNP did not practice). Tap a week for the detail.
Historyofficial injury reports since 2020
| Year | Weeks listed | Ruled out | Listed for |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 0 | Shoulder (2) |
| 2022 | 2 | 1 | right Shoulder, right Finger |
| 2021 | 5 | 0 | Ankles (2), Foot, Ankle, Illness |
1 games missed 2023–25 (0.25 a season), right Finger.
9 report weeks over 3 seasons; recurring: Foot, Ankles, Ankle, Illness, right Shoulder. Risk label: moderate.
Teammates on the report
Our current notes first, then Sleeper designations. What happens when a starter is ruled out? ›
Value
Market Oct 10Market value on a 0–10,000 scale, through Oct 10, 2026. Faint stretches are estimates between real readings. Gold = peak.
Teal dot = today (981). Box = the middle half of outcomes, white line = the median, whiskers = 10th to 90th percentile. QBs about 34 valued near #400 overall: real 1-year moves since 2022, weighted by exact age and market rank (about 8 players' worth).
2024 Tyler Huntley (46% match). He went from 12.1 to 8.0 PPR a game the next year (QB4→QB4). His dynasty value moved +41.0% over the next 12 months.
170.0 overall, QB47. ESPN 170.0