Every game, every stat category, and what the board says. 1.52 points per game in 2025, an ADP of 170, usage worth 2.1.
28 years old · 6 seasons of experience · 2020 draft class
| ESPN | 170 |
| UNDERDOG | 216 |
| FFA | 450 |
| Goes around | Round 15, pick 2 in a 12-team draft |
| Positional rank | RB65 |
Our board has him at 0.3 points, 0 per game — 1 rushing yards, 0.1 catches. That is RB6, 336 overall.
The range runs from a floor of 0 points per game to a ceiling of 0, with the median at 0. Boom rate 70%, bust rate 40%. The spread is the actual bet, not the middle number.
He goes at 170 on consensus and our board has him 336. We rank him 166 picks worse than the room drafts him. At that distance it is a fade: we do not want him anywhere near his ADP.
Carolina Panthers returns 6 of 6 continuity slots — the whole offense is intact. Bryce Young at quarterback, Dave Canales as head coach, Brad Idzik calling it. The offense projects to 31.3 pass attempts a game at high confidence and 26.9 rushes.
In: Kenny Pickett (qb2), Chris Brazzell II (wr3), John Metchie III (wr5), Jonathon Brooks (rb2), AJ Dillon (rb4). Out: Rico Dowdle (rb2).
The projected carry split across the offense:
| Chuba Hubbard | 56.9% |
| Jonathon Brooks | 25.6% |
| Trevor Ettiene | 9.5% |
| AJ Dillon ← | 8.1% |
What the offense looks like: Bryce Young does not currently hold non SF fantasy value, but if he breaks out in 2026, he certainly will. However, if Bryce regresses, this offense will be BRUTAL to own any part of. This is a fairly high risk high reward offense to have pieces of. McMillan, Coker, Brooks, and even Metchie III & Brazzell II COULD see their value improve in 2026.
Key additions: Drafted WR Chris Brazell II in the 3rd round from Tennessee. signed WR John Metchie III in free agency on 1 year deal. signed C Luke Fortner & LT Rasheed Walker (projected Starter) from GB. Panthers signed QB Kenny Pickett (Garbage) to back up Bryce Young. AJ Dillon was also signed as 3rd/4th string RB.
Key departures: Lost G/C Austin Corbett to Bills in free agency. Lost Rico Dowdle RB to Steelers in Free agency
Notes: McMillan year 2 primary target share expected. Brazzell round 3 deep threat. Young has 5th year option picked up. Trending in the right direction. Hubbard serviceable, but the former 2nd round pick Jonathon Brooks is coming back from second ACL tear(great potential but all dynasty managers know). it will be interesting to see how Chris Brazzell II works into offense but expect Jalen Coker to be WR2. Xavier Legette may be traded early in the season. Panthers also added WR John Metchie III (Bryce Young's college teammate). This TE room is BRUTAL & you have no business owning any TE on this team. Carolina also may be in the market for a free agent TE like David Njoku (or may potentially trade for one). .
How the volume number was reached: Same QB Bryce Young returning — anchor to 2025 actuals (30.3 att/g); Regressed 30% toward league mean 33.5, floored at 30 → 31.3 att/g.
| Projected carry share | 8.1% |
| Projected carries per game | 1.8 |
| Projected carries, full season | 30 |
| Last season, carries per game | 2 |
That is a reduction of 0.2 carries a game against last season, inside a team projection of 26.9 rushing attempts a game.
Basis: prior usage blend. Carry share is the strongest forward predictor we have measured at the position, so this number carries more weight than any efficiency figure on this page.
Offensive environment: CAR rates 20.9 against a league average of 23, 2.1 below it on opponent-adjusted least squares (multi-capture merge).
Opponent-adjusted run defense faced, against 2025 ratings. Positive is an easier slate.
| Full season | -3.4 · harder |
| Weeks 1–6 | -2.9 · harder |
| Weeks 12–17 | -2.4 · harder |
| Fantasy playoffs (15–17) | +0.6 · neutral |
Read this narrowly. Our own testing found that season-long strength of schedule does not survive as a draft input — defensive quality is among the least stable team properties year to year, and a preseason slate is built on last year's identities. The playoff-weeks column is the only one we would let break a tie, and even then it is a tiebreaker rather than a reason. The finding.
From the absence record rather than a depth chart — who actually gained when he was out.
| Season | Games missed | Main beneficiary | Their PPR gain |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2 | Aaron Jones | +7.4 |
Everything in this section is about his dynasty trade value — what he is worth as a long-term asset in the trade market. It is not a forecast of his 2026 fantasy scoring. A player can be a fine redraft pick while his dynasty value falls, and the reverse. The redraft read is above; this is a different question with a different answer.
Matched on production profile — production-driven (pedigree ignored). The last column is how that player’s dynasty value moved the following year — a market outcome, not a scoring one.
| Player | Season | Their PPG | Similarity | Next year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Edmonds | 2023 | 3.1 | 62% | -17.9% |
| Cordarrelle Patterson | 2024 | 2.9 | 59% | +162.1% |
| Jeffery Wilson | 2024 | 1.5 | 58% | +12.5% |
| DeeJay Dallas | 2024 | 1.3 | 57% | -22.3% |
| Samaje Perine | 2024 | 4.8 | 56% | +39.7% |
Of the 5 with a following season on record, 3 gained value, 2 lost it and 0 held roughly flat.
| Drafted | 2020, round 2, pick 62 by GNB |
| College | Boston Col. |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| Height | 6′0″ |
| Weight | 247 lb |
| 40-yard dash | 4.53s |
| Vertical | 41″ |
| Broad jump | 131″ |
| 3-cone | 7.19s |
| Career PPR per game | 9.2 |
| Week-to-week variation | 0.7 |
| Boom rate | 24.5% |
| Bust rate | 16.3% |
| Games missed per season | 0.4 |
| Injury history | Thumb |
Injury type matters more than games missed. Measured across our injury database, knee and foot returns stay below a player’s pre-injury baseline for all three of the first games back, while hamstring returns over-recover by the third.
His best game was Week 6 against NYG — 2 PPR on 3 touches and a 6.3% target share, in a game that finished 17-34. His worst was Week 1 against DAL at 1, on 3 touches, final score 24-20. Across 6 games he cleared 20 points 0 times and came in under 8 points 6 times.
His usage that season was worth 2.1 points per game. He scored 1.52, 26% below it. The engine classified the season as very_unlucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DAL | 24-20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0% | 13% |
| 2 | KC | 20-17 | 1.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 0 | 0% | 17% |
| 4 | TB | 31-25 | 1.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 0% | 14% |
| 5 | DEN | 17-21 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0% | 15% |
| 6 | NYG | 17-34 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.3% | 14% |
| 18 | WAS | 17-24 | 1.3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.9% | 3% |
| Receptions | 3 |
| Targets | 3 |
| Receiving yards | 21 |
| Carries | 12 |
| Rushing yards | 60 |
| Touchdowns | 0 |
| Points per game | 1.52 |
| Yards per target | 7 |
| Catch rate | 100% |
| Yards per carry | 5 |
| Snap share | 12.67% |
| Target share | 1.53% |
| Air-yards share | 0.6% |
| WOPR | 0.027 |
| RACR | 0.5 |
| Average depth of target | 4 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 3 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 4 |
| Total YAC | 9 |
| Broken tackles | 0 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 95.8 |
| Receiving EPA per game | -0.7 |
| Rushing EPA per game | -0.03 |
| Red-zone targets | 1 |
| Red-zone target share | 1.6% |
| End-zone target share | 0% |
| Red-zone carry share | 2.1% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0.29 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 0 |
| Receiving TD luck | -0.29 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 0.09 |
The offense threw it 497 times. 3 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| A.J. Brown | 26.08% |
| DeVonta Smith | 24.35% |
| Dallas Goedert | 17.67% |
| Saquon Barkley | 10.78% |
| Jahan Dotson | 7.76% |
| Grant Calcaterra | 2.8% |
He caught passes from 2 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Hurts | 5 | 2 | 1.56 | 9 | 1.26% |
| Tanner McKee | 1 | 1 | 1.3 | 3 | 2.9% |
1 of his 6 games were blowouts, 22% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 2 in those and 1.42 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.
His best game was Week 5 against LV — 13.6 PPR on 21 touches and a 3.4% target share, in a game that finished 13-17. His worst was Week 4 against DET at 1.1, on 6 touches, final score 20-34. Across 15 games he cleared 20 points 0 times and came in under 8 points 7 times. In the 10 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 9.3; in the 5 decided by more, 5. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 9.8 points per game. He scored 7.84, 20.4% below it. The engine classified the season as unlucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHI | 38-20 | 5.6 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 19 | 0 | 11.1% | 48% |
| 2 | ATL | 24-25 | 7.3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 55 | 0 | 4% | 68% |
| 3 | NO | 18-17 | 3.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 33 | 0 | 0% | 52% |
| 4 | DET | 20-34 | 1.1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 2.9% | 67% |
| 5 | LV | 13-17 | 13.6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 76 | 1 | 3.4% | 64% |
| 7 | DEN | 17-19 | 11.5 | 2 | 2 | 34 | 15 | 61 | 0 | 6.3% | 56% |
| 8 | MIN | 10-24 | 10.2 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 12.5% | 51% |
| 9 | LA | 20-3 | 5.3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 40 | 0 | 4% | 40% |
| 10 | PIT | 19-23 | 9.1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 70 | 0 | 8.1% | 50% |
| 11 | LAC | 23-20 | 10.1 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 14 | 29 | 0 | 10.5% | 72% |
| 12 | DET | 29-22 | 11.1 | 3 | 3 | 38 | 14 | 43 | 0 | 10% | 52% |
| 13 | KC | 27-19 | 9.7 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 18 | 73 | 0 | 2.9% | 63% |
| 14 | NYG | 22-24 | 9.8 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 53 | 0 | 7.9% | 53% |
| 16 | CAR | 33-30 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 1 | 0% | 18% |
| 17 | MIN | 33-10 | 2.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 27 | 0 | 0% | 16% |
| Receptions | 22 |
| Targets | 28 |
| Receiving yards | 223 |
| Carries | 178 |
| Rushing yards | 613 |
| Touchdowns | 2 |
| Points per game | 7.84 |
| Yards per target | 7.96 |
| Catch rate | 78.57% |
| Yards per carry | 3.44 |
| Snap share | 51.33% |
| Target share | 5.57% |
| Air-yards share | -0.19% |
| WOPR | 0.083 |
| RACR | -2.687 |
| Average depth of target | 0 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 10.5 |
| Yards before catch per reception | -0.4 |
| Total YAC | 231 |
| Broken tackles | 8 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 99.9 |
| Rushing yards over expected | 0 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0.38 |
| Rushing EPA per game | -1.57 |
| Red-zone targets | 1 |
| Red-zone target share | 0.9% |
| End-zone target share | 0% |
| Red-zone carry share | 33.6% |
| Goal-line carry share | 40% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0.14 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 0 |
| Receiving TD luck | -0.14 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 6.1 |
Against everyone in the 100+ carries pool that season:
| Points per game | 42 of 49 |
| Yards per target | 5 of 49 |
| Target share | 40 of 49 |
| Air-yards share | 19 of 49 |
The offense threw it 581 times. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Romeo Doubs | 17.11% |
| Jayden Reed | 16.76% |
| Dontayvion Wicks | 10.34% |
| Christian Watson | 9.45% |
| Luke Musgrave | 8.2% |
| Aaron Jones | 7.66% |
3 of his 15 games were blowouts, 11.6% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 4.53 in those and 9.27 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
His best game was Week 15 against LA — 22.1 PPR on 14 touches and a 10.7% target share, in a game that finished 24-12. His worst was Week 7 against WAS at 1.5, on 4 touches, final score 21-23. Across 17 games he cleared 20 points 3 times and came in under 8 points 9 times. In the 9 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 7.4; in the 8 decided by more, 12.6. He scored more when the game was not close.
His usage that season was worth 10.6 points per game. He scored 9.86, 7.2% below it. The engine classified the season as neutral. On receiving touchdowns specifically he finished 0 against 1.01 expected, a gap of -1.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIN | 7-23 | 20.1 | 5 | 6 | 46 | 10 | 45 | 1 | 17.1% | 51% |
| 2 | CHI | 27-10 | 7.7 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 61 | 0 | 12% | 57% |
| 3 | TB | 14-12 | 5.8 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 0 | 8.8% | 53% |
| 4 | NE | 27-24 | 9.4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 73 | 0 | 6.3% | 58% |
| 5 | NYG | 22-27 | 3.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 34 | 0 | 0% | 32% |
| 6 | NYJ | 10-27 | 9.2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 41 | 0 | 13.6% | 49% |
| 7 | WAS | 21-23 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 0 | 0% | 30% |
| 8 | BUF | 17-27 | 7.3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 54 | 0 | 3.4% | 42% |
| 9 | DET | 9-15 | 6.4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 0 | 10% | 66% |
| 10 | DAL | 31-28 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 65 | 0 | 0% | 38% |
| 11 | TEN | 17-27 | 3.3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 2.7% | 48% |
| 12 | PHI | 33-40 | 17.8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 8 | 64 | 1 | 16% | 43% |
| 13 | CHI | 28-19 | 20.9 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 18 | 93 | 1 | 10% | 68% |
| 15 | LA | 24-12 | 22.1 | 3 | 3 | 35 | 11 | 36 | 2 | 10.7% | 37% |
| 16 | MIA | 26-20 | 12.8 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 1 | 7.9% | 58% |
| 17 | MIN | 41-17 | 10.1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 41 | 1 | 3.8% | 46% |
| 18 | DET | 16-20 | 3.3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 33 | 0 | 11.5% | 52% |
| Receptions | 28 |
| Targets | 43 |
| Receiving yards | 206 |
| Carries | 186 |
| Rushing yards | 770 |
| Touchdowns | 7 |
| Points per game | 9.86 |
| Yards per target | 4.79 |
| Catch rate | 65.12% |
| Yards per carry | 4.14 |
| Snap share | 48.71% |
| Target share | 7.87% |
| Air-yards share | 0.3% |
| WOPR | 0.119 |
| RACR | 0.544 |
| Average depth of target | 0.5 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 7 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 0.3 |
| Total YAC | 197 |
| Broken tackles | 3 |
| Drop rate | 0.2% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 76.3 |
| Rushing yards over expected | 0 |
| Receiving EPA per game | -0.34 |
| Rushing EPA per game | 0.14 |
| Red-zone targets | 4 |
| Red-zone target share | 4.9% |
| End-zone target share | 3.1% |
| Red-zone carry share | 42.4% |
| Goal-line carry share | 71.4% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 1.01 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 0 |
| Receiving TD luck | -1.01 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 5.76 |
Against everyone in the 100+ carries pool that season:
| Points per game | 31 of 42 |
| Yards per target | 25 of 42 |
| Target share | 26 of 42 |
| Air-yards share | 15 of 42 |
The offense threw it 563 times. 1 team-mate cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Allen Lazard | 18.55% |
| Aaron Jones | 13.36% |
| Robert Tonyan | 12.43% |
| Romeo Doubs | 12.43% |
| Christian Watson | 12.24% |
| Randall Cobb | 9.28% |
3 of his 17 games were blowouts, 16.1% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 9 in those and 7.43 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.
His best game was Week 10 against SEA — 26.8 PPR on 23 touches and a 5.7% target share, in a game that finished 17-0. His worst was Week 7 against WAS at -0.2, on 5 touches, final score 24-10. Across 17 games he cleared 20 points 3 times and came in under 8 points 8 times. In the 9 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 11.8; in the 8 decided by more, 10. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 9.8 points per game. He scored 10.92, 9.7% above it. The engine classified the season as neutral.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NO | 3-38 | 3.6 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 0 | 6.1% | 28% |
| 2 | DET | 35-17 | 3.6 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 0 | 3.7% | 29% |
| 3 | SF | 30-28 | 4.6 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 0 | 6.5% | 29% |
| 4 | PIT | 27-17 | 10.7 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 15 | 81 | 0 | 2.9% | 40% |
| 5 | CIN | 25-22 | 17.9 | 4 | 4 | 49 | 8 | 30 | 1 | 11.4% | 33% |
| 6 | CHI | 24-14 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 59 | 0 | 0% | 42% |
| 7 | WAS | 24-10 | -0.2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 5.9% | 23% |
| 8 | ARI | 24-21 | 7.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 78 | 0 | 0% | 40% |
| 9 | KC | 7-13 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 8 | 46 | 0 | 12.5% | 38% |
| 10 | SEA | 17-0 | 26.8 | 2 | 2 | 62 | 21 | 66 | 2 | 5.7% | 49% |
| 11 | MIN | 31-34 | 15.7 | 6 | 6 | 44 | 11 | 53 | 0 | 19.4% | 75% |
| 12 | LA | 36-28 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 69 | 1 | 11.4% | 51% |
| 14 | CHI | 45-30 | 7.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 71 | 0 | 0% | 54% |
| 15 | BAL | 31-30 | 10.5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 22 | 1 | 3.2% | 37% |
| 16 | CLE | 24-22 | 8.6 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 9 | 41 | 0 | 8.8% | 44% |
| 17 | MIN | 37-10 | 22.3 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 63 | 2 | 7.1% | 52% |
| 18 | DET | 30-37 | 7.7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 63 | 0 | 2.9% | 54% |
| Receptions | 34 |
| Targets | 37 |
| Receiving yards | 313 |
| Carries | 187 |
| Rushing yards | 803 |
| Touchdowns | 7 |
| Points per game | 10.92 |
| Yards per target | 8.46 |
| Catch rate | 91.89% |
| Yards per carry | 4.29 |
| Snap share | 42.24% |
| Target share | 6.32% |
| Air-yards share | 0.36% |
| WOPR | 0.099 |
| RACR | -6.021 |
| Average depth of target | 0.4 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 9.1 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 0.1 |
| Total YAC | 310 |
| Broken tackles | 5 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 119.9 |
| Rushing yards over expected | 0 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 1 |
| Rushing EPA per game | 0.36 |
| Red-zone targets | 5 |
| Red-zone target share | 4% |
| End-zone target share | 0% |
| Red-zone carry share | 46.2% |
| Goal-line carry share | 45.8% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 1.04 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 2 |
| Receiving TD luck | 0.96 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 7.33 |
Against everyone in the 100+ carries pool that season:
| Points per game | 31 of 50 |
| Yards per target | 4 of 50 |
| Target share | 37 of 50 |
| Air-yards share | 16 of 50 |
The offense threw it 593 times. He took 6.5% of the targets. 1 team-mate cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Davante Adams | 29.7% |
| Aaron Jones | 11.42% |
| Allen Lazard | 10.54% |
| Marquez Valdes-Scantling | 9.67% |
| Randall Cobb | 6.85% |
| A.J. Dillon ← | 6.5% |
He caught passes from 2 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Rodgers | 16 | 33 | 10.79 | 8.15 | 5.94% |
| Jordan Love | 1 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 12.5% |
4 of his 17 games were blowouts, 30.3% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 14.07 in those and 11.76 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.
His best game was Week 16 against TEN — 25.9 PPR on 22 touches and a 4.2% target share, in a game that finished 40-14. His worst was Week 17 against CHI at 0.3, on 1 touches, final score 35-16. Across 9 games he cleared 20 points 1 time and came in under 8 points 8 times.
His usage that season was worth 3.6 points per game. He scored 4.48, 17.2% above it. The engine classified the season as lucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIN | 43-34 | 1.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 0% | 6% |
| 2 | DET | 42-21 | 1.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 0 | 0% | 10% |
| 4 | ATL | 30-16 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 5% |
| 6 | TB | 10-38 | 3.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 0 | 0% | 16% |
| 7 | HOU | 35-20 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 0% | 23% |
| 8 | MIN | 22-28 | 4.7 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | 21 | 0 | 2.6% | 14% |
| 15 | CAR | 24-16 | 1.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 0 | 0% | 8% |
| 16 | TEN | 40-14 | 25.9 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 124 | 2 | 4.2% | 58% |
| 17 | CHI | 35-16 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 11% |
| Receptions | 2 |
| Targets | 2 |
| Receiving yards | 21 |
| Carries | 46 |
| Rushing yards | 242 |
| Touchdowns | 2 |
| Points per game | 4.48 |
| Yards per target | 10.5 |
| Catch rate | 100% |
| Yards per carry | 5.26 |
| Snap share | 16.78% |
| Target share | 0.76% |
| Air-yards share | 0.28% |
| WOPR | 0.013 |
| RACR | 1.917 |
| Average depth of target | 2.5 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 8 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 2.5 |
| Total YAC | 16 |
| Broken tackles | 1 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 110.4 |
| Rushing yards over expected | 0 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0.2 |
| Rushing EPA per game | 1.09 |
| Red-zone targets | 1 |
| Red-zone target share | 1.1% |
| End-zone target share | 0% |
| Red-zone carry share | 5.4% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0.14 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 0 |
| Receiving TD luck | -0.14 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 0.4 |
The offense threw it 526 times. 1 team-mate cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Davante Adams | 29.8% |
| Aaron Jones | 12.6% |
| Marquez Valdes-Scantling | 12.6% |
| Robert Tonyan | 11.8% |
| Allen Lazard | 9.2% |
| Jamaal Williams | 7% |
4 of his 9 games were blowouts, 76.9% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 7.75 in those and 3.25 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.
Ask the Coach about A.J. Dillon →