Jonathon BrooksCarolina Panthers
RB/Carolina Panthers

Jonathon Brooks

Age 23.2 · 3rd season · 6'0", 216 lb · Texas · 2024 R2 #46
01

Overview

Board Oct 12
Hold
Hold RB55 · misses ~3.5 games · model RB62 · market RB60
The books rank him RB60, close enough to his RB55 on the 10/12 list, so he holds; both forecasts are cut for the 3.5 games he is expected to miss.
Model
RB62
Market
RB60
2026 production
—

Week 5 rest-of-season review, Oct 12, 2026. The three reads are where our backtested model, the betting market and his 2026 production each place him at RB; our board rank is the call.

Realistic range, rest of season
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
RB47
RB55 now
RB66
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
RB46
RB52 now
RB63
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
RB46
RB56 now
RB64

Where his stats say he could finish from here: RB46 to RB63. Our rank stays the call.

Rest-of-season rank on our sheets
#85Sep 21#122Sep 26#127Sep 28#128Sep 30#145Oct 5#148Oct 12#78Sep 21#112Sep 26#121Sep 28#121Sep 30#134Oct 5#140Oct 12#73Sep 21#102Sep 26#107Sep 28#107Sep 30#124Oct 5#130Oct 12

2026 so far2 games

Points a game
4.2
RB57 of 115
Carry share
20%
9 carries
Touches a game
5.5
3 targets
Expected PPR a game
4.9
−0.3 a game vs usage
Our rest-of-season model
Half PPR/g
7.1
PPR/g
7.9
Games left
7.4

80% range 2.8–10.4 half-PPR points a game. Biggest inputs: draft capital +0.3, rushing yards -0.3, trade value change since Sep 1 -0.3, game script (spreads) +0.2. The model informs the rank; it does not set it.

02

Week 6

Lines Oct 14
CAR
@
Sun · Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET
Lincoln Financial Field
PHI
LinePHI -1.5Total40.5CAR implied19.5Rest14 days (PHI 7)Forecast60°F, wind 8 mph
Our Week 6 projection

0 points. Our projection does not expect him to play this week.

Updated Oct 14, 2026.

Philadelphia Eagles defense vs RBs
#16of 32 in fantasy points allowed to RBs (1 = stingiest)
StingiestSoftest
PPR a game
20.8
rush yds
100
rec
4.4
TD
0.6

Allowed to RBs per game across 5 games. Best games against them: Kyren Williams (W4, 36.7 PPR, 16 car 80 ry, 10/13 67 rec); Jacory Croskey-Merritt (W1, 12.6 PPR, 16 car 63 ry, 1/1 -7 rec); Bhayshul Tuten (W5, 11.6 PPR, 22 car 72 ry, 2/3 24 rec).

EPA ranks entering Week 6: #24 against the pass, #17 against the run (1 = best defense).

Where PHI gives up receiving fantasy points to RBs
#10
PHI's average rank in the zones where Brooks gets his targets, weighted by his share there (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest).
Left
Middle
Right
Deep 20+
0.0#1
0.0#1
33%0.0#1
Middle 10–19
0.0#1
0.0#1
0.0#1
Short 0–9
0.6#5
1.6#28
33%0.9#17
Behind line
33%0.9#11
0.0#1
0.9#12

Runs by directionRB rushing points allowed a game

Left
Middle
Right
Rushing
67%9.4#29
11%1.8#7
22%2.5#5
StingySoft

Big number: receiving fantasy points PHI allows a game to RBs in that zone. # = its rank of 32. Green tag = Jonathon Brooks's share of his targets in that zone this season. Depth is air yards at the catch point; 5 games, through Week 5. Tap a zone for the detail.

Against PHI beforelast 1

GameLinePts
2024 W14@ PHI · L 16-221--3 rush-0.3

Do defensive matchups actually matter? Our study ›

03

Game log

2026 · through W5
Fantasy pointsOur projection that weekSeason average 4.2
051017.222.13OUT4OUT5BYE051016.721.63OUT4OUT5BYE051016.221.13OUT4OUT5BYE

Every gametap a game for the detail

W3
@ CLE L 18-21
Did not play (on injured reserve)
OUT
W4
vs DET W 32-26
Did not play (on injured reserve)
OUT
W5
Bye week
—

D# = the opponent's rank against RBs entering that week (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest). Finish = his rank at RB that week.

04

Usage

Snap shareCarry shareTarget share
0%25%50%75%100%W1W230%23%3%

CAR backfieldshare of team carries, 2026

Jonathon Brooks
20.5%
Share of team targets

Season to date, games each player played.

Role details2026, through Week 5

Red-zone tgt share
—
Red-zone carry share
25%
3 red-zone carries
Goal-line share
—
0 carries inside the 5
Snap share
24.5%
05

Advanced

PoorAverageGreat
Fantasy points a game2+ games
4.2
28
30
32
Carry share2+ games
20.4%
31
Red-zone carry share2+ games
25.0%
38
Rush success rateneeds 25+ carries
22.2%
EPA per carryneeds 25+ carries
-0.27
Yards after contactneeds 25+ carries
0.75
Broken tackles per carryneeds 25+ carries
0.0%
10+ yard run rateneeds 25+ carries
0.0%
Stuff rateneeds 25+ carries
11.1%
Expected points a game2+ games
4.9
27

Percentile against the RBs on our charts (each stat's minimum is next to it), 2026 through Week 5. 50 is the middle of the pack. Tap a bubble for his rank.

Expected vs. actualPPR, from this season's play-by-play

Expected PPR a game
4.9
what his targets and carries are usually worth
Actual PPR a game
4.7
Over expected
−0.3
points a game
TDs vs. expected
0/ 0.3
−0.29

0 TDs on 0.29 expected. Expected points price every target by depth and field position and every carry by field position. Do touchdowns regress? ›

06

Splits

As a receiver2026 charted plays, through Week 5

SituationTgtRec-Yds-TDYds/tgtEPA/tgt
All targets32-43-014.35.40.02-0.02
Red zone33% of targets11--5-0-5.03.7-1.480.13
Third down33% of targets10-0-00.06.5-1.880.08
Score within 7100% of targets32-43-014.35.30.02-0.08
No blitz100% of targets32-43-014.35.40.02-0.01
With motion67% of targets21--5-0-2.55.3-1.67-0.03

Small grey number = every RB in that situation. Green or red = a clear gap either way. 2 of his 3 charted targets were catchable; 0 drops, 0 of 0 contested caught.

As a runner2026 charted carries, through Week 5

SituationCarYds-TDYPCSuccess
All carries930-03.34.122%39%
Red zone33% of carries313-04.32.633%40%
Inside the 1011% of carries13-03.01.70%47%
Score within 756% of carries517-03.44.120%38%
Leading by 8+44% of carries413-03.34.525%40%
Light box (6 or fewer)56% of carries514-02.84.520%40%
RPO11% of carries15-05.04.20%42%

Box counts from FTN charting. Small grey number = every RB in that situation.

07

Team

CAR
Points a game
30.3
4th of 32
Plays a game
66.3
4th of 32
EPA per play
0.115
8th of 32
Pass rate over exp.
+2.3%
4th of 32
Red-zone plays a game
11.8
5th of 32
Motion rate
44%
19th of 32
Play-action rate
14%
7th of 32
No-huddle rate
6%
11th of 32

Carolina Panthers offense, 2026 through Week 5. Rank 1 = most. Scheme rates from FTN charting through Week 5.

Game by gamescore, implied total, pass rate (over expected), QB

WeekScoreImpliedPass rateQB
W1vs CHI37-5922.365%−2.8Young37 att
W2vs ATL34-323.064%+5.0Young36 att
W3vs CLE18-2122.068%−0.8Young48 att
W4vs DET32-2624.063%+7.8Young41 att

Depth chartRB, Oct 14

RB4
Jonathon Brooks

Scheduleeach defense's current rank vs RBs

W6
@PHI
#16
W7
TB
#5
W8
@GB
#30
W9
DEN
#26
W10
@NO
#32
W11
BAL
#10
W12
@TB
#5
W13
@MIN
#1
W14
NO
#32
W15
CIN
#8
W16
@PIT
#22
W17
SEA
#17
W18
ATL
#12
Next 4
#19
average rank
Playoffs W15–17
#16
average rank
Bye
W5

Green = soft, red = stingy (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest), ranked on fantasy points allowed to RBs so far. Gold underline = fantasy playoffs. Does strength of schedule matter? ›

Head coach: Dave Canales. QB: Bryce Young (most pass attempts, Week 4).

08

Charts

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Jonathon Brooks is highlighted on each chart. Swipe for more; tap a dot for the player. Every chart saves and shares as an image on the Charts page.

09

Career

Points a game by season
’242.5’264.7
’242.0’264.2
’241.5’263.7

Season by season

YearGRushing / receivingPts/gxFP/g
2026CAR29-30-0 rush2-43-0 rec on 3 tgt4.2RB574.9−0.5
2024CAR39-22-0 rush3-23-0 rec on 3 tgt2.03.5−3.0

Under points a game: his rank at RB in points a game (8+ games; 2026: 2+ games). xFP = expected PPR a game from his usage; under it, the season's points over expected. Routes = share of team dropbacks he ran a route (through 2025).

Red zone and touchdowns

20243 RZ car (4%), 1 inside 5, 0 rush TD vs 0.6 exp · 2 RZ tgt (3%), 0 end-zone, 0 rec TD vs 0.3 exp

Every game since 2024

2024 game log 3 games · CAR · 2.5 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W12vs KC · D12-7 rush8%0.7
W13vs TB · D266-18 rush · 3-23 on 3 tgt21%5.6
W14@ PHI · D51--3 rush4%-0.3
10

Health

Out · concern high · through Week 8. Aggravated groin; on IR and expected to have core muscle surgery, out at least six weeks. Chuba Hubbard carries the load.

Our note, Sep 30, 2026 · NBC/Rotoworld + team reports, 9/28-9/30

2026 injury reportofficial, week by week

W1
FP
W2
✓
W3
OUT
W4
OUT
W5
BYE
W6
•

✓ = not listed. Letters = game status (Q, D, O) or worst practice that week (LP limited, DNP did not practice). Tap a week for the detail.

Historyofficial injury reports since 2020

YearWeeks listedRuled outListed for
202451Knee (5)

5 report weeks over 1 seasons; recurring: Knee. Risk label: low.

How long do players take to recover? ›

Teammates on the report

questionable
IR (Ankle)

Our current notes first, then Sleeper designations. What happens when a starter is ruled out? ›

11

Value

Market Oct 10
1QB value
3,372
#162 overall · RB45 · tier 13
Superflex
2,700
#173 overall · RB47
30 days
−1,035
90 days −915 · 1 year +672
Peak
6,217
May 26, 2024 · 46% off
1QB dynasty value, last two years
3K4K5K6KJan ’25Jul ’25Jan ’26Jul ’263,3725,816

Market value on a 0–10,000 scale, through Oct 10, 2026. Faint stretches are estimates between real readings. Gold = peak.

Where his value could be in a year
1,189
2,939
5,604

Teal dot = today (3,372). Box = the middle half of outcomes, white line = the median, whiskers = 10th to 90th percentile. RBs about 23 valued near #162 overall: real 1-year moves since 2022, weighted by exact age and market rank (about 97 players' worth).

Redraft ADP, final preseason (Sep 12, 2026)

118.0 overall, RB38. Underdog 84.8 · CBS 106.1 · Yahoo 106.8 · Sleeper 129.4 · ESPN 129.6

12

Profile

Draft
R2 #46
2024 · 1st RB · CAR
Age
23.2
21 at the draft
Size
6'0"
216 lb
College
Texas

Athletic profilepercentile vs RBs at the combine since 2010

Height
6'0"
82
Weight
216 lb
62

College production

YearGRec-Yds-TDYds shareDominator
2023Texas1025-286-110.4%8.2
2022Texas40-0-00.0%0.0
2021Texas41-12-01.2%0.6

Share = his share of his team's receiving yards. Dominator = average of his share of receiving yards and TDs.

GWTTKB takes

watch · medium conviction · Aug 2026

Only 12 total career touches across two ACL tears, genuinely extreme boom/bust, but explicitly the correct range for that risk profile (round 8, nothing else in range has real floor either); the team not bringing in or drafting any real depth behind him is read as a bullish organizational signal, not a red flag.

buy · high conviction · Aug 2026

Fading a specifically inefficient starter (Chuba Hubbard: zero 15+yd runs on 134 attempts, worst-in-league missed-tackle rate) using objective efficiency thresholds rather than vibes

Keep digging

All players · Week 6 rankings · Rest-of-season rankings · Charts · Stats · Methodology
Sources: nflverse play-by-play, weekly stats, Next Gen Stats and FTN charting (free public data); official NFL injury reports; Sleeper; GWTTKB rankings, projections and market data. Built 2026-10-14. Every number on this page comes from those files; where a stat is not on file it is left blank, never zero. Nothing here is betting advice.