Chris Bell
Overview
Board Oct 12Week 5 rest-of-season review, Oct 12, 2026. The three reads are where our backtested model, the betting market and his 2026 production each place him at WR; our board rank is the call.
Where his stats say he could finish from here: WR64 to WR78. Our rank stays the call.
2026 so far5 games
- snap share up from 55% to 77% (last 2 games vs the three before)
- 3.4 PPR points a game (98th of 103 WRs)
- 3 targets a game (90th of 103 WRs)
Ranked among 103 qualified WRs this season.
80% range 1.9–5.9 half-PPR points a game. Biggest inputs: college production -0.3, preseason ADP -0.3, college target/carry share +0.2, catches per game -0.2. The model informs the rank; it does not set it.
Week 6
Miami Dolphins are on bye in Week 6. Next up: Week 7 at New York Jets, Oct 25.
Game log
2026 · through W5Every gametap a game for the detail
MIA +3 (closing) · total 40.5 · indoors · 7 days rest
Projected 4.2 (WR81) · MIA +12.5 (closing) · total 44.5 · 69°F, wind 5 mph · 7 days rest
Projected 4.9 (WR73) · MIA +10 (closing) · total 45.5 · 86°F, wind 5 mph · 7 days rest · Injury report: practice FP
Projected 5.3 (WR72) · MIA +10 (closing) · total 38.5 · indoors · 7 days rest · Injury report: practice FP
Projected 6.5 (WR57) · MIA +7 (closing) · total 44.5 · 7 days rest · Injury report: practice FP
D# = the opponent's rank against WRs entering that week (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest). Finish = his rank at WR that week.
Usage
What changedlast 3 full games vs. before
| W1, W2 | W3, W4, W5 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Snap share | 46.5% | 74.7% | +28.2 |
| Target share | 5.9% | 15.1% | +9.2 |
| Air-yard share | 10.4% | 30.3% | +19.9 |
| Targets a game | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 |
Games he left injured are left out of both sides.
MIA target treeshare of team targets, 2026
Season to date, games each player played.
Role details2026, through Week 5
Advanced
Percentile against the WRs on our charts (each stat's minimum is next to it), 2026 through Week 5. 50 is the middle of the pack. Tap a bubble for his rank.
Expected vs. actualPPR, from this season's play-by-play
0 TDs on 0.68 expected. Expected points price every target by depth and field position and every carry by field position. Do touchdowns regress? ›
Leaderboardstop 10 among WRs, 2026
Splits
As a receiver2026 charted plays, through Week 5
| Situation | Tgt | Rec-Yds-TD | Yds/tgt | EPA/tgt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All targets | 15 | 5-92-0 | 6.18.2 | -0.090.27 |
| Third down40% of targets | 6 | 3-23-0 | 3.87.1 | -0.260.14 |
| Score within 780% of targets | 12 | 4-67-0 | 5.68.1 | -0.150.26 |
| Trailing by 8+20% of targets | 3 | 1-25-0 | 8.38.2 | 0.170.28 |
| Two-minute drill7% of targets | 1 | 0-0-0 | 0.07.5 | -0.280.17 |
| Vs. the blitz40% of targets | 6 | 1-12-0 | 2.07.9 | -0.460.23 |
| No blitz60% of targets | 9 | 4-80-0 | 8.98.4 | 0.160.29 |
| Play action27% of targets | 4 | 1-44-0 | 11.010.4 | 0.230.41 |
| With motion100% of targets | 15 | 5-92-0 | 6.18.3 | -0.090.32 |
Small grey number = every WR in that situation. Green or red = a clear gap either way. 6 of his 15 charted targets were catchable; 0 drops, 3 of 7 contested caught.
Team
MIAMiami Dolphins offense, 2026 through Week 5. Rank 1 = most. Scheme rates from FTN charting through Week 5.
Game by gamescore, implied total, pass rate (over expected), QB
| Week | Score | Implied | Pass rate | QB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1vs LV | 13-27 | 18.8 | 64%−10.9 | Willis27 att |
| W2vs SF | 13-35 | 16.0 | 48%−19.5 | Willis23 att |
| W3vs KC | 10-24 | 17.8 | 54%−15.8 | Willis36 att |
| W4vs MIN | 10-15 | 14.3 | 51%−13.3 | Willis17 att |
| W5vs CIN | 24-31 | 18.8 | 47%−25.9 | Willis27 att |
Depth chartWR, Oct 14
Scheduleeach defense's current rank vs WRs
Green = soft, red = stingy (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest), ranked on fantasy points allowed to WRs so far. Gold underline = fantasy playoffs. Does strength of schedule matter? ›
Head coach: Jeff Hafley. QB: Malik Willis (most pass attempts, Week 5).
Charts
Chris Bell is highlighted on each chart. Swipe for more; tap a dot for the player. Every chart saves and shares as an image on the Charts page.
Career
Season by season
| Year | G | Rec-Yds-TD | Pts/g | xFP/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026MIA | 5 | 5-92-015 tgt, 11.4% share | 2.9WR112 | 5.7−11.8 |
Under points a game: his rank at WR in points a game (8+ games; 2026: 2+ games). xFP = expected PPR a game from his usage; under it, the season's points over expected. Routes = share of team dropbacks he ran a route (through 2025).
Health
No injury designation. Not on the Sleeper injury list as of Oct 10 and not on the Week 6 practice report so far.
2026 injury reportofficial, week by week
✓ = not listed. Letters = game status (Q, D, O) or worst practice that week (LP limited, DNP did not practice). Tap a week for the detail.
Teammates on the report
Our current notes first, then Sleeper designations. What happens when a starter is ruled out? ›
Value
Market Oct 10Market value on a 0–10,000 scale, through Oct 10, 2026. Faint stretches are estimates between real readings. Gold = peak.
Teal dot = today (3,969). Box = the middle half of outcomes, white line = the median, whiskers = 10th to 90th percentile. WRs about 22 valued near #115 overall: real 1-year moves since 2022, weighted by exact age and market rank (about 114 players' worth).
206.5 overall, WR168. ESPN 171.1 · Underdog 214.4 · Sleeper 241.8
Profile
Athletic profilepercentile vs WRs at the combine since 2010
College production
| Year | G | Rec-Yds-TD | Yds share | Dominator |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025Louisville | 11 | 72-917-6 | 36.2% | 41.2 |
| 2024Louisville | 12 | 37-677-4 | 20.7% | 19.0 |
| 2023Louisville | 11 | 26-386-2 | 13.8% | 11.9 |
| 2022Louisville | 5 | 6-94-0 | 8.7% | 4.4 |
Share = his share of his team's receiving yards. Dominator = average of his share of receiving yards and TDs.