Jake Tonges
Overview
Board Oct 12Week 5 rest-of-season review, Oct 12, 2026. The three reads are where our backtested model, the betting market and his 2026 production each place him at TE; our board rank is the call.
Week 6
Lines Oct 14SF
WAS0 points. Our projection does not expect him to play this week.
Updated Oct 14, 2026.
Allowed to TEs per game across 5 games. Best games against them: Isaiah Likely (W5, 32.4 PPR, 11/13 94 yds); Dallas Goedert (W1, 23.7 PPR, 4/5 77 yds); Jake Ferguson (W2, 20.3 PPR, 4/4 43 yds).
EPA ranks entering Week 6: #22 against the pass, #16 against the run (1 = best defense).
Big number: receiving fantasy points WAS allows a game to TEs in that zone. # = its rank of 32. Depth is air yards at the catch point; 5 games, through Week 5. Tap a zone for the detail.
no stats recorded
Game log
2026 · through W5No catch, carry or pass recorded in 2026 yet.
San Francisco 49ers have played 5 games. His past seasons are under Career.
Splits
Against coverage2022-2025 (2026 is not charted per player)
| Coverage | Tgt | Yds/tgt | Caught | EPA/tgt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Man | 14 | 4.8 | 64% | −0.19 |
| Zone | 42 | 7.1 | 74% | +0.33 |
| Cover 3 | 15 | 8.2 | 73% | +0.37 |
With and withoutfantasy points a game, SF, 2025–2026
"Without" = games he played and the teammate did not (a QB counts as playing with 10+ attempts). Games either of them left injured are left out. Small samples swing hard. Who benefits when a player gets hurt? ›
Team
SFSan Francisco 49ers offense, 2026 through Week 5. Rank 1 = most. Scheme rates from FTN charting through Week 5.
Game by gamescore, implied total, pass rate (over expected), QB
| Week | Score | Implied | Pass rate | QB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1vs LA | 27-7 | 22.0 | 53%+1.8 | Purdy34 att |
| W2vs MIA | 35-13 | 28.5 | 47%−2.9 | Purdy22 att |
| W3vs ARI | 36-30 | 28.0 | 55%+3.1 | Purdy27 att |
| W4vs DEN | 24-14 | 25.8 | 47%−7.2 | Purdy30 att |
| W5vs SEA | 32-29 | 21.8 | 60%−1.4 | Purdy29 att |
Depth chartTE, Oct 14
Scheduleeach defense's current rank vs TEs
Green = soft, red = stingy (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest), ranked on fantasy points allowed to TEs so far. Gold underline = fantasy playoffs. Does strength of schedule matter? ›
Head coach: Kyle Shanahan. QB: Brock Purdy (most pass attempts, Week 5).
Career
Season by season
| Year | G | Rec-Yds-TD | Pts/g | xFP/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025SF | 10 | 34-293-546 tgt, 14.0% share, routes 38% | 7.6TE21 | 8.3+4.7 |
| 2024SF | 2 | 0-0-00 tgt, routes 2% | 0.0 | — |
| 2022CHI | 1 | 0-0-01 tgt, 6.3% share, routes 4% | 0.0 | 1.8−1.8 |
Under points a game: his rank at TE in points a game (8+ games; 2026: 2+ games). xFP = expected PPR a game from his usage; under it, the season's points over expected. Routes = share of team dropbacks he ran a route (through 2025).
Red zone and touchdowns
| 2025 | 7 RZ tgt (8%), 5 end-zone, 4 rec TD vs 2.4 exp |
Floor and ceilingPPR
0 of his last 10 games reached 20 PPR; 5 finished under 10. Is there a floor-vs-ceiling trade-off? ›
Every game since 2022
2025 game log 10 games · SF · 9.3 PPR a game
| Game | Line | Snaps | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1@ SEA · D14 | 3-15-1 on 3 tgt | 39% | 9.0 |
| W2@ NO · D12 | 4-31 on 5 tgt | 79% | 5.1 |
| W3vs ARI · D5 | 2-21 on 3 tgt | 69% | 3.1 |
| W4vs JAX · D7 | 3-58-1 on 5 tgt | 68% | 13.3 |
| W5@ LA · D18 | 7-41-1 on 11 tgt | 73% | 13.6 |
| W6@ TB · D21 | 6-58 on 7 tgt | 83% | 8.8 |
| W8@ HOU · D5 | 1-2-1 on 1 tgt (left hurt) | 10% | 6.7 |
| W11@ ARI · D17 | no stats (left hurt) | 9% | 0.0 |
| W16@ IND · D23 | 1-7 on 2 tgt | 24% | 1.2 |
| W17vs CHI · D19 | 7-60-1 on 9 tgt | 69% | 15.5 |
2024 game log 2 games · SF · 0.0 PPR a game
| Game | Line | Snaps | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| W2@ MIN · D14 | no stats | 1% | 0.0 |
| W18@ ARI · D7 | no stats | 1% | 0.0 |
2022 game log 1 games · CHI · 0.0 PPR a game
| Game | Line | Snaps | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| W3vs HOU | 0-0 on 1 tgt | 10% | 0.0 |
Health
IR (Knee) on Sleeper, Oct 10.
Typical case for this injury (not him): knee: median 1 game missed; 13% run past 3 games; first game back averages -0.8 PPR vs his own pre-injury baseline (n=214 spells)
2026 injury reportofficial, week by week
✓ = not listed. Letters = game status (Q, D, O) or worst practice that week (LP limited, DNP did not practice). Tap a week for the detail.
Teammates on the report
Our current notes first, then Sleeper designations. What happens when a starter is ruled out? ›
Value
Market Oct 10Market value on a 0–10,000 scale, through Oct 10, 2026. Faint stretches are estimates between real readings. Gold = peak.
Teal dot = today (2,260). Box = the middle half of outcomes, white line = the median, whiskers = 10th to 90th percentile. TEs about 27 valued near #262 overall: real 1-year moves since 2022, weighted by exact age and market rank (about 44 players' worth).
Risk profilepreseason, from comparable players
2019 Gerald Everett (39% match). He went from 7.5 to 5.5 PPR a game the next year (TE3→TE3). His dynasty value moved +7.0% over the next 12 months.
206.6 overall, TE76. ESPN 170.6 · Underdog 214.7 · Sleeper 242.5