Emmett JohnsonKansas City Chiefs
RB/Kansas City Chiefs

Emmett Johnson

Age 23.0 · Rookie · 5'10", 202 lb · Nebraska · 2026 R5 #161
01

Overview

Board Oct 12
Move down
Down 2 to RB41 · 5.3 opportunities a game (60th) · model RB53 · market RB51
The books rank him RB51 over the rest of the season (5.0 PPR a game), 12 spots below his RB39 on the 10/12 list; that is a small disagreement, so he moves one spot down (he lands at RB41 once everyone around him is lined up).
Model
RB53
Market
RB51
2026 production
RB52

Week 5 rest-of-season review, Oct 12, 2026. The three reads are where our backtested model, the betting market and his 2026 production each place him at RB; our board rank is the call.

Realistic range, rest of season
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
RB35
RB41 now
RB52
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
RB37
RB45 now
RB54
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
RB41
RB47 now
RB58

Where his stats say he could finish from here: RB37 to RB54. Our rank stays the call.

Rest-of-season rank on our sheets
#111Sep 21#112Sep 26#114Sep 28#116Sep 30#114Oct 5#112Oct 12#115Sep 21#115Sep 26#117Sep 28#114Sep 30#114Oct 5#116Oct 12#113Sep 21#113Sep 26#113Sep 28#111Sep 30#107Oct 5#110Oct 12

2026 so far4 games

Points a game
3.9
RB61 of 115
Carry share
14%
59th of 66 RBs
Touches a game
5.3
5 targets
Expected PPR a game
3.7
+0.8 a game vs usage
Role: change-of-pace back
  • 50% rush success rate (2nd of 66 RBs)
  • stuffed on 0% of runs (1st of 66 RBs)
  • 0 of KC's 8 carries inside the 5
  • 5.3 carries + targets a game (61st of 66 RBs)

Ranked among 66 qualified RBs this season.

Our rest-of-season model
Half PPR/g
5.9
PPR/g
6.6
Games left
10.7

80% range 2.3–8.7 half-PPR points a game. Biggest inputs: college target share +0.6, college seasons -0.5, draft capital -0.4, preseason ADP -0.3. The model informs the rank; it does not set it.

02

Week 6

Lines Oct 14
KC
VS
Sun · Oct 18 · 4:25 PM ET
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
LAC
LineKC -8.25Total42.5KC implied25.4Rest14 days (LAC 7)Forecast63°F, wind 11 mph
Our Week 6 projection
4.0pts
RB47
Bench
4.5carries14rush yds1.7tgt1.4rec13rec yds0.13TD

Updated Oct 14, 2026, built on a KC team total of 25.5. Rank is among every RB we project this week.

Los Angeles Chargers defense vs RBs
#20of 32 in fantasy points allowed to RBs (1 = stingiest)
StingiestSoftest
PPR a game
21.8
rush yds
99
rec
3.8
TD
1.0

Allowed to RBs per game across 5 games. Best games against them: Emanuel Wilson (W4, 27 PPR, 21 car 81 ry, 3/4 39 rec); James Cook (W3, 19.4 PPR, 24 car 154 ry, 0/1 0 rec); J.K. Dobbins (W5, 15.4 PPR, 18 car 68 ry, 2/2 6 rec).

EPA ranks entering Week 6: #15 against the pass, #4 against the run (1 = best defense).

Where LAC gives up receiving fantasy points to RBs
#21
LAC's average rank in the zones where Johnson gets his targets, weighted by his share there (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest).
Left
Middle
Right
Deep 20+
0.0#1
0.0#1
0.0#1
Middle 10–19
0.0#1
0.0#1
0.0#1
Short 0–9
0.9#13
0.5#10
0.8#15
Behind line
40%1.0#13
20%0.1#23
40%2.2#28

Runs by directionRB rushing points allowed a game

Left
Middle
Right
Rushing
31%7.1#25
44%4.3#21
25%3.3#10
StingySoft

Big number: receiving fantasy points LAC allows a game to RBs in that zone. # = its rank of 32. Green tag = Emmett Johnson's share of his targets in that zone this season. Depth is air yards at the catch point; 5 games, through Week 5. Tap a zone for the detail.

Do defensive matchups actually matter? Our study ›

03

Game log

2026 · through W5
Fantasy pointsOur projection that weekSeason average 3.9
051018.825.531.742.05BYE051017.824.531.741.55BYE051016.823.531.741.05BYE

Every gametap a game for the detail

W5
Bye week
—

D# = the opponent's rank against RBs entering that week (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest). Finish = his rank at RB that week.

04

Usage

Snap shareCarry shareTarget share
0%25%50%75%100%W1W2W3W427%4%0%

What changedlast 3 full games vs. before

W1W2, W3, W4Change
Snap share36.0%24.0%−12.0
Carry share21.1%10.3%−10.8
Target share8.0%2.8%−5.2
Carries a game8.02.7−5.3
Targets a game2.01.0−1.0

Games he left injured are left out of both sides.

KC backfieldshare of team carries, 2026

Emmett Johnson
13.6%
Share of team targets

Season to date, games each player played.

Role details2026, through Week 5

Red-zone tgt share
—
Red-zone carry share
4%
1 red-zone carries
Goal-line share
0%
0 carries inside the 5
Snap share
27.0%
05

Advanced

PoorAverageGreat
Fantasy points a game2+ games
3.9
25
25
27
Carry share2+ games
13.6%
15
Red-zone carry share2+ games
4.0%
9
Rush success rateneeds 25+ carries
50.0%
EPA per carryneeds 25+ carries
-0.01
Yards after contactneeds 25+ carries
2.77
Broken tackles per carryneeds 25+ carries
0.0%
10+ yard run rateneeds 25+ carries
0.0%
Stuff rateneeds 25+ carries
0.0%
Expected points a game2+ games
3.7
13

Percentile against the RBs on our charts (each stat's minimum is next to it), 2026 through Week 5. 50 is the middle of the pack. Tap a bubble for his rank.

Expected vs. actualPPR, from this season's play-by-play

Expected PPR a game
3.7
what his targets and carries are usually worth
Actual PPR a game
4.5
Over expected
+0.8
points a game
TDs vs. expected
0/ 0.2
−0.17

0 TDs on 0.17 expected. Expected points price every target by depth and field position and every carry by field position. Do touchdowns regress? ›

06

Splits

As a receiver2026 charted plays, through Week 5

SituationTgtRec-Yds-TDYds/tgtEPA/tgt
All targets55-74-014.85.41.12-0.02
Third down20% of targets11-25-025.06.53.110.08
Score within 760% of targets33-30-010.05.30.43-0.08
Leading by 8+40% of targets22-44-022.05.62.160.07
Two-minute drill20% of targets11-8-08.04.60.02-0.04
Vs. the blitz40% of targets22-31-015.55.30.99-0.04
No blitz60% of targets33-43-014.35.41.21-0.01
Play action40% of targets22-22-011.05.90.640.08
With motion40% of targets22-35-017.55.31.82-0.03
Screens40% of targets22-29-014.55.20.86-0.09

Small grey number = every RB in that situation. Green or red = a clear gap either way. 5 of his 5 charted targets were catchable; 0 drops, 0 of 0 contested caught.

As a runner2026 charted carries, through Week 5

SituationCarYds-TDYPCSuccess
All carries1656-03.54.150%39%
Red zone6% of carries14-04.02.60%40%
Third down13% of carries27-03.54.0100%52%
Score within 750% of carries836-04.54.163%38%
Leading by 8+50% of carries820-02.54.538%40%
Light box (6 or fewer)31% of carries518-03.64.540%40%
Stacked box (8+)13% of carries27-03.53.050%39%
RPO25% of carries420-05.04.275%42%

Box counts from FTN charting. Small grey number = every RB in that situation.

07

Team

KC
Points a game
29.5
5th of 32
Plays a game
62.3
12th of 32
EPA per play
0.171
4th of 32
Pass rate over exp.
−1.0%
9th of 32
Red-zone plays a game
12.5
3rd of 32
Motion rate
48%
12th of 32
Play-action rate
17%
1st of 32
No-huddle rate
0%
32nd of 32

Kansas City Chiefs offense, 2026 through Week 5. Rank 1 = most. Scheme rates from FTN charting through Week 5.

Game by gamescore, implied total, pass rate (over expected), QB

WeekScoreImpliedPass rateQB
W1vs DEN31-1022.545%−6.1Mahomes27 att
W2vs IND33-3026.363%+3.2Mahomes47 att
W3vs MIA24-1027.849%+3.2Mahomes24 att
W4vs LV30-2726.057%−4.4Mahomes30 att

Depth chartRB, Oct 14

RB2
Emmett Johnson

Scheduleeach defense's current rank vs RBs

W6
LAC
#20
W7
@SEA
#17
W8
@DEN
#26
W9
NYJ
#23
W10
@ATL
#12
W11
ARI
#13
W12
@BUF
#31
W13
@LA
#15
W14
@CIN
#8
W15
NE
#19
W16
SF
#24
W17
@LAC
#20
W18
LV
#21
Next 4
#22
average rank
Playoffs W15–17
#21
average rank
Bye
W5

Green = soft, red = stingy (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest), ranked on fantasy points allowed to RBs so far. Gold underline = fantasy playoffs. Does strength of schedule matter? ›

Head coach: Andy Reid. QB: Patrick Mahomes (most pass attempts, Week 4).

08

Charts

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Emmett Johnson is highlighted on each chart. Swipe for more; tap a dot for the player. Every chart saves and shares as an image on the Charts page.

09

Career

Points a game by season
’264.5
’263.9
’263.3

Season by season

YearGRushing / receivingPts/gxFP/g
2026KC416-56-0 rush5-74-0 rec on 5 tgt3.9RB613.7+3.2

Under points a game: his rank at RB in points a game (8+ games; 2026: 2+ games). xFP = expected PPR a game from his usage; under it, the season's points over expected. Routes = share of team dropbacks he ran a route (through 2025).

10

Health

No injury designation. Not on the Sleeper injury list as of Oct 10 and not on the Week 6 practice report so far.

2026 injury reportofficial, week by week

W1
✓
W2
✓
W3
✓
W4
✓
W5
BYE
W6
•

✓ = not listed. Letters = game status (Q, D, O) or worst practice that week (LP limited, DNP did not practice). Tap a week for the detail.

Teammates on the report

questionable

Our current notes first, then Sleeper designations. What happens when a starter is ruled out? ›

11

Value

Market Oct 10
1QB value
3,917
#117 overall · RB33 · tier 13
Superflex
3,097
#134 overall · RB35
30 days
+421
90 days +788
Peak
3,969
Oct 3, 2026 · 1% off
1QB dynasty value, last two years
3K3.5K4KJul ’263,9173,939

Market value on a 0–10,000 scale, through Oct 10, 2026. Faint stretches are estimates between real readings. Gold = peak.

Where his value could be in a year
1,500
3,380
6,242

Teal dot = today (3,917). Box = the middle half of outcomes, white line = the median, whiskers = 10th to 90th percentile. RBs about 23 valued near #117 overall: real 1-year moves since 2022, weighted by exact age and market rank (about 97 players' worth).

Redraft ADP, final preseason (Sep 12, 2026)

176.5 overall, RB107. CBS 165.4 · ESPN 170.0 · Sleeper 194.1 · Underdog 208.9

12

Profile

On this week's waiver list

One of the best handcuffs available: next up behind Kenneth Walker in Kansas City.

Suggested FAAB by league size: 8-team 0% · 10-team 1% · 12-team 2% · 14-team 3% · 16-team 11%. All waiver adds ›

Draft
R5 #161
2026 · 6th RB · KC
Age
23.0
22 at the draft
Size
5'10"
202 lb
College
Nebraska

Athletic profilepercentile vs RBs at the combine since 2010

Height
5'10"
42
Weight
202 lb
21
40-yard dash
4.56s
46
Vertical
35.5"
61
Broad jump
120"
55
3-cone
7.32s
8
Shuttle
4.29s
47
speed
26

College production

YearGRec-Yds-TDYds shareDominator
2025Nebraska1246-370-313.5%13.6
2024Nebraska1134-249-110.3%10.7
2023Nebraska107-46-03.4%1.7

Share = his share of his team's receiving yards. Dominator = average of his share of receiving yards and TDs.

Keep digging

All players · Week 6 rankings · Rest-of-season rankings · Charts · Stats · Methodology
Sources: nflverse play-by-play, weekly stats, Next Gen Stats and FTN charting (free public data); official NFL injury reports; Sleeper; GWTTKB rankings, projections and market data. Built 2026-10-14. Every number on this page comes from those files; where a stat is not on file it is left blank, never zero. Nothing here is betting advice.