
Emmett Johnson
Overview
Board Oct 12Week 5 rest-of-season review, Oct 12, 2026. The three reads are where our backtested model, the betting market and his 2026 production each place him at RB; our board rank is the call.
Where his stats say he could finish from here: RB37 to RB54. Our rank stays the call.
2026 so far4 games
- 50% rush success rate (2nd of 66 RBs)
- stuffed on 0% of runs (1st of 66 RBs)
- 0 of KC's 8 carries inside the 5
- 5.3 carries + targets a game (61st of 66 RBs)
Ranked among 66 qualified RBs this season.
80% range 2.3–8.7 half-PPR points a game. Biggest inputs: college target share +0.6, college seasons -0.5, draft capital -0.4, preseason ADP -0.3. The model informs the rank; it does not set it.
Week 6
Lines Oct 14Updated Oct 14, 2026, built on a KC team total of 25.5. Rank is among every RB we project this week.
Allowed to RBs per game across 5 games. Best games against them: Emanuel Wilson (W4, 27 PPR, 21 car 81 ry, 3/4 39 rec); James Cook (W3, 19.4 PPR, 24 car 154 ry, 0/1 0 rec); J.K. Dobbins (W5, 15.4 PPR, 18 car 68 ry, 2/2 6 rec).
EPA ranks entering Week 6: #15 against the pass, #4 against the run (1 = best defense).
Runs by directionRB rushing points allowed a game
Big number: receiving fantasy points LAC allows a game to RBs in that zone. # = its rank of 32. Green tag = Emmett Johnson's share of his targets in that zone this season. Depth is air yards at the catch point; 5 games, through Week 5. Tap a zone for the detail.
Game log
2026 · through W5Every gametap a game for the detail
KC -2.5 (closing) · total 42.5 · 91°F, wind 13 mph · 7 days rest · prime time · division game
Projected 5.6 (RB50) · KC -6 (closing) · total 46.5 · 71°F, wind 10 mph · 6 days rest · prime time
Projected 5.7 (RB45) · KC -10 (closing) · total 45.5 · 86°F, wind 5 mph · 7 days rest
Projected 4.9 (RB49) · KC -4.5 (closing) · total 47.5 · indoors · 7 days rest · division game
D# = the opponent's rank against RBs entering that week (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest). Finish = his rank at RB that week.
Usage
What changedlast 3 full games vs. before
| W1 | W2, W3, W4 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Snap share | 36.0% | 24.0% | −12.0 |
| Carry share | 21.1% | 10.3% | −10.8 |
| Target share | 8.0% | 2.8% | −5.2 |
| Carries a game | 8.0 | 2.7 | −5.3 |
| Targets a game | 2.0 | 1.0 | −1.0 |
Games he left injured are left out of both sides.
KC backfieldshare of team carries, 2026
Season to date, games each player played.
Role details2026, through Week 5
Advanced
Percentile against the RBs on our charts (each stat's minimum is next to it), 2026 through Week 5. 50 is the middle of the pack. Tap a bubble for his rank.
Expected vs. actualPPR, from this season's play-by-play
0 TDs on 0.17 expected. Expected points price every target by depth and field position and every carry by field position. Do touchdowns regress? ›
Splits
As a receiver2026 charted plays, through Week 5
| Situation | Tgt | Rec-Yds-TD | Yds/tgt | EPA/tgt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All targets | 5 | 5-74-0 | 14.85.4 | 1.12-0.02 |
| Third down20% of targets | 1 | 1-25-0 | 25.06.5 | 3.110.08 |
| Score within 760% of targets | 3 | 3-30-0 | 10.05.3 | 0.43-0.08 |
| Leading by 8+40% of targets | 2 | 2-44-0 | 22.05.6 | 2.160.07 |
| Two-minute drill20% of targets | 1 | 1-8-0 | 8.04.6 | 0.02-0.04 |
| Vs. the blitz40% of targets | 2 | 2-31-0 | 15.55.3 | 0.99-0.04 |
| No blitz60% of targets | 3 | 3-43-0 | 14.35.4 | 1.21-0.01 |
| Play action40% of targets | 2 | 2-22-0 | 11.05.9 | 0.640.08 |
| With motion40% of targets | 2 | 2-35-0 | 17.55.3 | 1.82-0.03 |
| Screens40% of targets | 2 | 2-29-0 | 14.55.2 | 0.86-0.09 |
Small grey number = every RB in that situation. Green or red = a clear gap either way. 5 of his 5 charted targets were catchable; 0 drops, 0 of 0 contested caught.
As a runner2026 charted carries, through Week 5
| Situation | Car | Yds-TD | YPC | Success |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All carries | 16 | 56-0 | 3.54.1 | 50%39% |
| Red zone6% of carries | 1 | 4-0 | 4.02.6 | 0%40% |
| Third down13% of carries | 2 | 7-0 | 3.54.0 | 100%52% |
| Score within 750% of carries | 8 | 36-0 | 4.54.1 | 63%38% |
| Leading by 8+50% of carries | 8 | 20-0 | 2.54.5 | 38%40% |
| Light box (6 or fewer)31% of carries | 5 | 18-0 | 3.64.5 | 40%40% |
| Stacked box (8+)13% of carries | 2 | 7-0 | 3.53.0 | 50%39% |
| RPO25% of carries | 4 | 20-0 | 5.04.2 | 75%42% |
Box counts from FTN charting. Small grey number = every RB in that situation.
Team
KCKansas City Chiefs offense, 2026 through Week 5. Rank 1 = most. Scheme rates from FTN charting through Week 5.
Game by gamescore, implied total, pass rate (over expected), QB
| Week | Score | Implied | Pass rate | QB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1vs DEN | 31-10 | 22.5 | 45%−6.1 | Mahomes27 att |
| W2vs IND | 33-30 | 26.3 | 63%+3.2 | Mahomes47 att |
| W3vs MIA | 24-10 | 27.8 | 49%+3.2 | Mahomes24 att |
| W4vs LV | 30-27 | 26.0 | 57%−4.4 | Mahomes30 att |
Depth chartRB, Oct 14
Scheduleeach defense's current rank vs RBs
Green = soft, red = stingy (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest), ranked on fantasy points allowed to RBs so far. Gold underline = fantasy playoffs. Does strength of schedule matter? ›
Head coach: Andy Reid. QB: Patrick Mahomes (most pass attempts, Week 4).
Charts
Emmett Johnson is highlighted on each chart. Swipe for more; tap a dot for the player. Every chart saves and shares as an image on the Charts page.
Career
Season by season
| Year | G | Rushing / receiving | Pts/g | xFP/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026KC | 4 | 16-56-0 rush5-74-0 rec on 5 tgt | 3.9RB61 | 3.7+3.2 |
Under points a game: his rank at RB in points a game (8+ games; 2026: 2+ games). xFP = expected PPR a game from his usage; under it, the season's points over expected. Routes = share of team dropbacks he ran a route (through 2025).
Health
No injury designation. Not on the Sleeper injury list as of Oct 10 and not on the Week 6 practice report so far.
2026 injury reportofficial, week by week
✓ = not listed. Letters = game status (Q, D, O) or worst practice that week (LP limited, DNP did not practice). Tap a week for the detail.
Teammates on the report
Our current notes first, then Sleeper designations. What happens when a starter is ruled out? ›
Value
Market Oct 10Market value on a 0–10,000 scale, through Oct 10, 2026. Faint stretches are estimates between real readings. Gold = peak.
Teal dot = today (3,917). Box = the middle half of outcomes, white line = the median, whiskers = 10th to 90th percentile. RBs about 23 valued near #117 overall: real 1-year moves since 2022, weighted by exact age and market rank (about 97 players' worth).
176.5 overall, RB107. CBS 165.4 · ESPN 170.0 · Sleeper 194.1 · Underdog 208.9
Profile
One of the best handcuffs available: next up behind Kenneth Walker in Kansas City.
Suggested FAAB by league size: 8-team 0% · 10-team 1% · 12-team 2% · 14-team 3% · 16-team 11%. All waiver adds ›
Athletic profilepercentile vs RBs at the combine since 2010
College production
| Year | G | Rec-Yds-TD | Yds share | Dominator |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025Nebraska | 12 | 46-370-3 | 13.5% | 13.6 |
| 2024Nebraska | 11 | 34-249-1 | 10.3% | 10.7 |
| 2023Nebraska | 10 | 7-46-0 | 3.4% | 1.7 |
Share = his share of his team's receiving yards. Dominator = average of his share of receiving yards and TDs.