Cover rate vs. over rate (2026, Weeks 1–9)
All 32 NFL teams through Week 9 of 2026: cover rate (ATS) across, games over the total up, split at the averages. Covering in shootouts (top right): Raiders, Bills and Giants. Unders & non-covers (bottom left): Chargers, Eagles and Falcons.
Every team on the chart
Every team on the chart, grouped by corner, the same order as the caption.
| Team | Cover rate (ATS) | Games over the total |
|---|---|---|
| Covering in shootouts · top right | ||
| Raiders | 67% | 78% |
| Bills | 75% | 63% |
| Giants | 75% | 63% |
| Bears | 67% | 56% |
| Browns | 67% | 56% |
| Bengals | 57% | 63% |
| Colts | 56% | 56% |
| Buccaneers | 50% | 56% |
| Shootouts, not covering · top left | ||
| Cowboys | 38% | 67% |
| Patriots | 38% | 67% |
| Ravens | 25% | 56% |
| Texans | 38% | 63% |
| Saints | 38% | 63% |
| Lions | 43% | 63% |
| Cardinals | 44% | 56% |
| Covering in rock fights · bottom right | ||
| Vikings | 50% | 13% |
| Broncos | 78% | 44% |
| Packers | 63% | 33% |
| Steelers | 75% | 50% |
| Chiefs | 50% | 38% |
| Jaguars | 63% | 50% |
| 49ers | 63% | 50% |
| Rams | 56% | 44% |
| Jets | 50% | 44% |
| Titans | 50% | 50% |
| Commanders | 50% | 50% |
| Unders & non-covers · bottom left | ||
| Chargers | 0% | 25% |
| Eagles | 11% | 44% |
| Falcons | 33% | 44% |
| Seahawks | 43% | 44% |
| Panthers | 38% | 50% |
| Dolphins | 43% | 50% |
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Minimums scale with the season (QBs 15 attempts a week, RBs 8 carries, WRs 5 targets, TEs 3). Expected points price every carry and target by where it happened. Built from the same data as the Charts gallery; every chart saves as a 1080 × 1350 post.