Sterling ShepardNew York Jets
WR/New York Jets

Sterling Shepard

Age 33.6 · 11th season · 5'10", 194 lb · Oklahoma · 2016 R2 #40
01

Overview

2026 so far2 games

Points a game
1.4
WR132 of 175
Target share
3.9%
2 targets
Targets a game
1.0
1 catches, 3 yds
02

Week 6

Lines Oct 14
NYJ
@
Sun · Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET
Gillette Stadium
NE
LineNE -7.25Total43.5NYJ implied18.1Rest7 days (NE 7)Forecast56°F, wind 9 mph
Our Week 6 projection

0 points. Our projection does not expect him to play this week.

Updated Oct 14, 2026.

New England Patriots defense vs WRs
#17of 32 in fantasy points allowed to WRs (1 = stingiest)
StingiestSoftest
PPR a game
31.4
targets
18.4
rec yds
138
TD
1.0

Allowed to WRs per game across 5 games. Best games against them: Jaxon Smith-Njigba (W1, 26.2 PPR, 8/11 122 yds); Keon Coleman (W4, 23.6 PPR, 6/7 116 yds); Jakobi Meyers (W3, 19.4 PPR, 7/8 64 yds).

EPA ranks entering Week 6: #16 against the pass, #21 against the run (1 = best defense).

Where NE gives up receiving fantasy points to WRs
Left
Middle
Right
Deep 20+
1.2#13
3.6#29
0.6#7
Middle 10–19
3.3#25
3.6#24
1.8#11
Short 0–9
4.5#20
2.5#22
3.0#6
Behind line
1.0#26
0.0#1
0.7#18
StingySoft

Big number: receiving fantasy points NE allows a game to WRs in that zone. # = its rank of 32. Depth is air yards at the catch point; 5 games, through Week 5. Tap a zone for the detail.

Against NE beforelast 2

GameLinePts
2025 W10vs NE · L 23-283-20 on 4 tgt · 1-11 rush4.6
2023 W12vs NE · W 10-71-6 on 3 tgt1.1
Week 5: projected vs. actual
Projected
1.7
WR104
Actual
0.0
Difference
−1.7

no stats recorded

Do defensive matchups actually matter? Our study ›

03

Game log

2026 · through W5
Fantasy pointsOur projection that weekSeason average 1.4
05101—2—33.340.05—05101—2—32.840.05—05101—2—32.340.05—

Every gametap a game for the detail

W1
@ TEN W 23-10
No catch, carry or pass recorded
—
W2
vs GB L 17-20
No catch, carry or pass recorded
—
W5
vs CLE W 17-12
No catch, carry or pass recorded
—

D# = the opponent's rank against WRs entering that week (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest). Finish = his rank at WR that week.

04

Usage

Snap shareTarget shareAir-yard share
0%25%50%75%100%W3W453%7%2%

NYJ target treeshare of team targets, 2026

Season to date, games each player played.

05

Splits

Against coverage2022-2025 (2026 is not charted per player)

CoverageTgtYds/tgtCaughtEPA/tgt
Man684.756%−0.21
Zone847.167%+0.15
Cover 1504.958%−0.22
Cover 3344.359%−0.10
Cover 2236.661%+0.19
Cover 41710.877%+0.39

Do some receivers really beat man coverage? ›

06

Team

NYJ
Points a game
18.6
28th of 32
Plays a game
58.0
25th of 32
EPA per play
-0.025
20th of 32
Pass rate over exp.
−6.1%
19th of 32
Red-zone plays a game
6.6
32nd of 32
Motion rate
35%
32nd of 32
Play-action rate
9%
30th of 32
No-huddle rate
4%
18th of 32

New York Jets offense, 2026 through Week 5. Rank 1 = most. Scheme rates from FTN charting through Week 5.

Game by gamescore, implied total, pass rate (over expected), QB

WeekScoreImpliedPass rateQB
W1vs TEN23-1019.040%−13.5Smith24 att
W2vs GB17-2020.562%−1.0Smith41 att
W3vs DET24-3121.370%−1.8Smith37 att
W4vs CHI12-2320.056%−8.4Smith15 att
W5vs CLE17-1220.553%−7.8Smith30 att

Depth chartWR, Oct 14

Scheduleeach defense's current rank vs WRs

W6
@NE
#17
W7
MIA
#2
W8
LV
#20
W9
@KC
#1
W10
BUF
#32
W11
@LAC
#16
W12
@MIA
#2
W13
BYE
W14
DEN
#3
W15
@ARI
#26
W16
NE
#17
W17
MIN
#5
W18
@BUF
#32
Next 4
#10
average rank
Playoffs W15–17
#16
average rank
Bye
W13

Green = soft, red = stingy (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest), ranked on fantasy points allowed to WRs so far. Gold underline = fantasy playoffs. Does strength of schedule matter? ›

Head coach: Aaron Glenn. QB: Geno Smith (most pass attempts, Week 5).

07

Career

Points a game by season
’2013.5’2111.1’2211.5’232.2’246.2’256.3’261.7
’2010.8’218.5’229.3’231.7’244.9’254.8’261.4
’208.0’216.0’227.1’231.2’243.7’253.3’261.2

Season by season

YearGRec-Yds-TDPts/gxFP/g
2026NYJ21-3-02 tgt, 4.7% share1.4WR132—
2025TB1339-371-153 tgt, 12.7% share, routes 71%4.8WR817.0−8.5
2024TB1332-334-151 tgt, 11.7% share, routes 65%4.9WR907.0−10.1
2023NYG1010-57-122 tgt, 7.7% share, routes 16%1.7WR1463.8−15.5
2022NYG313-154-124 tgt, 27.2% share, routes 80%9.313.7−6.6
2021NYG736-366-153 tgt, 20.5% share, routes 74%8.513.1−14.1
2020NYG1266-656-390 tgt, 23.8% share, routes 82%10.8WR3513.5+0.2

Under points a game: his rank at WR in points a game (8+ games; 2026: 2+ games). xFP = expected PPR a game from his usage; under it, the season's points over expected. Routes = share of team dropbacks he ran a route (through 2025).

Red zone and touchdowns

20257 RZ tgt (10%), 4 end-zone, 1 rec TD vs 1.5 exp
20244 RZ car (5%), 0 inside 5, 0 rush TD vs 0.2 exp · 6 RZ tgt (7%), 3 end-zone, 1 rec TD vs 1.9 exp
20231 RZ car (1%), 0 inside 5, 0 rush TD vs 0.1 exp · 7 RZ tgt (20%), 5 end-zone, 1 rec TD vs 2.0 exp
20221 RZ tgt (2%), 0 end-zone, 0 rec TD vs 0.1 exp

Floor and ceilingPPR

Boom rate
13%
1.5x his recent average and 10+
Bust rate
30%
half his recent average or less
Week-to-week swing
0.88
CV over 40 games
Middle half of games
1.6–7.4
PPR, 35 games 2023–25

0 of his last 35 games reached 20 PPR; 30 finished under 10. Is there a floor-vs-ceiling trade-off? ›

Every game since 2020

2025 game log 13 games · TB · 6.3 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W1@ ATL · D313-39 on 6 tgt64%5.4
W2@ HOU · D214-34 on 4 tgt75%5.4
W3vs NYJ · D34-80 on 5 tgt61%10.0
W4vs PHI · D162-14 on 4 tgt · 1-6 rush62%3.0
W5@ SEA · D34-24-1 on 5 tgt · 1--5 rush41%9.9
W6vs SF · D92-51 on 3 tgt49%6.1
W7@ DET · D277-25 on 7 tgt64%4.0
W8@ NO · D181-8 on 2 tgt41%1.3
W10vs NE · D143-20 on 4 tgt · 1-11 rush65%4.6
W11@ BUF · D144-54 on 5 tgt · 1-7 rush66%8.1
W12@ LA · D123-12 on 5 tgt59%2.7
W13vs ARI · D141-5 on 2 tgt26%1.0
W14vs NO · D141-5 on 1 tgt57%1.0
2024 game log 13 games · TB · 6.2 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W4vs PHI · D263-51 on 5 tgt65%6.6
W5@ ATL · D161-4-1 on 2 tgt68%6.9
W6@ NO · D163-23 on 4 tgt · 4-31 rush75%6.9
W7vs BAL · D301-15 on 1 tgt45%4.0
W8vs ATL · D253-18 on 5 tgt62%3.3
W9@ KC · D74-48 on 5 tgt · 2-21 rush60%8.9
W10vs SF · D151-7 on 3 tgt · 1-3 rush72%1.5
W12@ NYG · D145-16 on 7 tgt54%4.1
W13@ CAR · D124-42 on 7 tgt44%6.2
W14vs LV · D104-63 on 6 tgt48%8.3
W15@ LAC · D121-16 on 1 tgt50%2.1
W16@ DAL · D231-20 on 3 tgt · 1-14 rush (left hurt)33%3.9
W18vs NO · D241-11 on 2 tgt63%1.6
2023 game log 10 games · NYG · 2.2 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W1vs DAL · D270-0 on 1 tgt20%0.0
W2@ ARI · D91-4 on 1 tgt15%0.9
W4vs SEA · D311-6 on 1 tgt7%1.1
W5@ MIA · D231-13 on 2 tgt28%1.8
W7vs WAS · D271-3 on 1 tgt15%0.8
W10@ DAL · D31-2-1 on 4 tgt19%6.7
W11@ WAS · D311-5 on 3 tgt47%1.0
W12vs NE · D221-6 on 3 tgt31%1.1
W17vs LA · D220-0 on 1 tgt7%0.0
W18vs PHI · D323-18 on 5 tgt · 1-6 rush25%3.9
2022 game log 3 games · NYG · 11.5 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W1@ TEN2-71-1 on 4 tgt72%14.1
W2vs CAR6-34 on 10 tgt88%6.4
W3vs DAL5-49 on 10 tgt81%7.4
2021 game log 7 games · NYG · 11.1 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W1vs DEN7-113-1 on 9 tgt95%20.8
W2@ WAS9-94 on 10 tgt · 1--9 rush93%13.0
W3vs ATL2-16 on 3 tgt34%2.6
W6vs LA10-76 on 14 tgt91%12.6
W8@ KC4-25 on 7 tgt38%4.5
W14@ LAC2-27 on 4 tgt81%3.7
W15vs DAL2-15 on 6 tgt81%2.5
2020 game log 12 games · NYG · 13.5 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W1vs PIT6-47 on 6 tgt78%7.7
W2@ CHI2-29 on 4 tgt · 1-6 rush23%4.5
W7@ PHI6-59-1 on 8 tgt77%14.9
W8vs TB8-74 on 10 tgt70%11.4
W9@ WAS6-39 on 8 tgt · 1-18 rush78%8.7
W10vs PHI6-47 on 6 tgt82%7.7
W12@ CIN7-64 on 8 tgt · 1-4 rush78%10.3
W13@ SEA1-22 on 6 tgt48%4.7
W14vs ARI3-35 on 5 tgt80%5.0
W15vs CLE4-51 on 7 tgt · 1--3 rush70%6.8
W16@ BAL9-77-1 on 12 tgt95%18.2
W17vs DAL8-112-1 on 10 tgt · 2-24-1 rush84%29.6
08

Health

2026 injury reportofficial, week by week

W3
✓
W4
✓
W6
•

✓ = not listed. Letters = game status (Q, D, O) or worst practice that week (LP limited, DNP did not practice). Tap a week for the detail.

Historyofficial injury reports since 2020

YearWeeks listedRuled outListed for
202530Shoulder (2), Foot
202461Hamstring (4), Foot (2)
202320Hip
202220Achilles, Knee
2021115Hamstring (5), Quadricep (5), Calf
202060Shoulder (2), Toe (2), Hip, Rib

7 games missed 2023–25 (1.40 a season), Hamstring, Quadricep. First game back: −0.6 PPR vs his norm (2 returns).

31 report weeks over 6 seasons; recurring: Shoulder, Toe, Hip, Rib, Hamstring. Risk label: moderate.

How long do players take to recover? ›

Teammates on the report

questionable
questionable
questionable
IR (Groin)
IR (Knee)

Our current notes first, then Sleeper designations. What happens when a starter is ruled out? ›

09

Value

Market Oct 10
1QB value
564
#447 overall · WR186 · tier 12
Superflex
465
#443 overall · WR185
30 days
—
Peak
564
Oct 3, 2026 · 0% off
Where his value could be in a year
76
318
623

Teal dot = today (564). Box = the middle half of outcomes, white line = the median, whiskers = 10th to 90th percentile. WRs about 34 valued near #400 overall: real 1-year moves since 2022, weighted by exact age and market rank (about 11 players' worth).

10

Profile

Age
33.6
Size
5'10"
194 lb
College
Oklahoma

Keep digging

All players · Week 6 rankings · Rest-of-season rankings · Charts · Stats · Methodology
Sources: nflverse play-by-play, weekly stats, Next Gen Stats and FTN charting (free public data); official NFL injury reports; Sleeper; GWTTKB rankings, projections and market data. Built 2026-10-14. Every number on this page comes from those files; where a stat is not on file it is left blank, never zero. Nothing here is betting advice.