No NFL snaps yet. What the college production, the draft slot and the comp set actually say about his 24.5 price.
Jeremiyah Love has never played an NFL snap. What he has is 3 college seasons, a 3 overall draft slot and a comp set with measured first-year outcomes — which is enough to say something specific about what he is worth at 24.5.
Jeremiyah Love was drafted at 1.3 (3 overall) out of ARI. Over 3 college seasons he averaged 16.2 fantasy points a game, finishing at 25.4 in his last one.
The usage underneath that: 48% of his team's carries and 12% of its targets, with 77% of the goal-line work. Only 4% of it came in garbage time, so the box score is not padded. He added 0.25 points per play.
The closest historical prospects by that profile: Bijan Robinson (2023, 8 overall, 26.4 college ppg, down 84% in year one); Clyde Edwards-Helaire (2020, 32 overall, 22.6 college ppg, down 1893% in year one); Travis Etienne (2021, 25 overall, 22.4 college ppg, down 1966% in year one).
The market is paying 7615 for him against a comparable-prospect median of 5970 — above the 75th percentile of his own comp set. Entry pricing is the VALIDATED half: college production predicts what the market pays at entry beyond draft capital (measured partial r 0.39-0.53 by position).
Leave-one-out testing showed comp-median path does NOT beat the position base rate for prospects. Scenarios are real; the central tendency is not a forecast.
elite draft capital and receiving-back profile, but Arizona's own free-agent investment in Allgeier (paid like a real committee piece, not a token backup) is read as the team itself signaling this won't be a clean bellcow situation — the textbook rb-dead-zone case where the profile looks safe but the actual volume is only perceived, not locked.
That is the current read. It has held since 2026-06-05.
It rests on these draft principles:
The books do not agree on him. Jeremiyah Love is a board split: ESPN takes him ~20, CBS lets him slide to ~32 (11.9-pick gap). That 11.9-pick gap between ESPN and CBS is the practical thing to act on: in a CBS-priced room he is available later than his consensus number suggests.
He goes at 24.5 overall on consensus, and the books are far apart — 11.9 picks between cheapest and priciest, which is a real value window. He is latest on cbs and earliest on espn: sleeper 19.7, espn 19.6, yahoo 27, underdog 27, cbs 31.5.
At 24.5 you are paying a WR2 price for a player whose median outcome is a WR2 season with five weeks that win you the game outright and four that lose it. The bust rate of 40% is real and so is the 44% boom rate.
The call: fair value, not a discount. The reason to take him is the ceiling and the betting record. The reason to pass is that you are buying a profile that has beaten its expected output four years running and only needs to stop once.
Ask the Coach about Jeremiyah Love Every number in this piece, plus your league's roster and scoring, in one answer.Expected points are computed from realised usage — targets, air yards and field position — against league-average conversion, not from projections. Projections are anchored to consensus with our engine applied as a capped tilt; the raw engine figure is stated where it differs. Nothing here is betting advice.