James Conner
Overview
Board Oct 12Week 5 rest-of-season review, Oct 12, 2026. The three reads are where our backtested model, the betting market and his 2026 production each place him at RB; our board rank is the call.
Week 6
Lines Oct 14ARI
LA0 points. Our projection does not expect him to play this week.
Updated Oct 14, 2026.
Allowed to RBs per game across 5 games. Best games against them: James Cook (W5, 22.8 PPR, 25 car 111 ry, 1/1 7 rec); Christian McCaffrey (W1, 13.8 PPR, 10 car 68 ry, 5/8 20 rec); Ty Johnson (W5, 11.2 PPR, 0 car 0 ry, 4/4 72 rec).
EPA ranks entering Week 6: #3 against the pass, #25 against the run (1 = best defense).
Runs by directionRB rushing points allowed a game
Big number: receiving fantasy points LA allows a game to RBs in that zone. # = its rank of 32. Depth is air yards at the catch point; 5 games, through Week 5. Tap a zone for the detail.
Against LA beforelast 4
| Game | Line | Pts |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 W17@ LA · L 9-13 | 4-4 rush · 2-4 on 3 tgt | 1.8 |
| 2024 W2vs LA · W 41-10 | 21-122-1 rush · 1-2 on 1 tgt | 18.9 |
| 2023 W12vs LA · L 14-37 | 6-27 rush · 4-5 on 5 tgt | 5.2 |
| 2022 W10@ LA · W 27-17 | 21-69-2 rush · 3-17 on 3 tgt | 22.1 |
no stats recorded
Game log
2026 · through W5Every gametap a game for the detail
D# = the opponent's rank against RBs entering that week (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest). Finish = his rank at RB that week.
Splits
Against coverage2022-2025 (2026 is not charted per player)
| Coverage | Tgt | Yds/tgt | Caught | EPA/tgt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Man | 40 | 6.2 | 80% | +0.17 |
| Zone | 117 | 5.7 | 82% | −0.02 |
| Cover 2 | 41 | 5.4 | 81% | −0.18 |
| Cover 3 | 39 | 5.6 | 82% | +0.09 |
| Cover 1 | 31 | 6.1 | 84% | +0.13 |
| Cover 4 | 20 | 4.5 | 80% | −0.20 |
Team
ARIArizona Cardinals offense, 2026 through Week 5. Rank 1 = most. Scheme rates from FTN charting through Week 5.
Game by gamescore, implied total, pass rate (over expected), QB
| Week | Score | Implied | Pass rate | QB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1vs LAC | 26-14 | 19.5 | 55%−2.9 | Brissett37 att |
| W2vs SEA | 7-31 | 18.5 | 64%+2.9 | Brissett28 att |
| W3vs SF | 30-36 | 20.5 | 66%−0.4 | Brissett52 att |
| W4vs NYG | 24-36 | 23.5 | 59%−6.8 | Brissett35 att |
| W5vs DET | 21-45 | 25.0 | 74%+5.6 | Brissett47 att |
Depth chartRB, Oct 14
Scheduleeach defense's current rank vs RBs
Green = soft, red = stingy (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest), ranked on fantasy points allowed to RBs so far. Gold underline = fantasy playoffs. Does strength of schedule matter? ›
Head coach: Jonathan Gannon. QB: Jacoby Brissett (most pass attempts, Week 5).
Career
Season by season
| Year | G | Rushing / receiving | Pts/g | xFP/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025ARI | 3 | 32-95-1 rush8-38-1 rec on 9 tgt | 9.8 | 11.5−1.1 |
| 2024ARI | 16 | 236-1,094-8 rush47-414-1 rec on 55 tgt | 14.4RB14 | 14.8+16.4 |
| 2023ARI | 13 | 208-1,040-7 rush27-165-2 rec on 33 tgt | 14.5RB10 | 13.3+28.5 |
| 2022ARI | 13 | 183-782-7 rush46-300-1 rec on 58 tgt | 13.6RB9 | 15.5−1.0 |
| 2021ARI | 15 | 206-771-16 rush38-380-3 rec on 41 tgt | 15.9RB6 | 11.9+76.5 |
| 2020PIT | 13 | 180-758-7 rush40-245-0 rec on 48 tgt | 11.3RB26 | 13.4−3.9 |
Under points a game: his rank at RB in points a game (8+ games; 2026: 2+ games). xFP = expected PPR a game from his usage; under it, the season's points over expected. Routes = share of team dropbacks he ran a route (through 2025).
Red zone and touchdowns
| 2025 | 5 RZ car (10%), 3 inside 5, 1 rush TD vs 1.3 exp · 1 RZ tgt (1%), 0 end-zone, 1 rec TD vs 0.5 exp |
| 2024 | 51 RZ car (67%), 12 inside 5, 8 rush TD vs 7.5 exp · 5 RZ tgt (8%), 0 end-zone, 1 rec TD vs 1.0 exp |
| 2023 | 35 RZ car (57%), 12 inside 5, 6 rush TD vs 6.7 exp · 5 RZ tgt (8%), 2 end-zone, 2 rec TD vs 1.0 exp |
| 2022 | 25 RZ car (35%), 8 inside 5, 6 rush TD vs 4.9 exp · 4 RZ tgt (6%), 0 end-zone, 1 rec TD vs 1.0 exp |
Floor and ceilingPPR
8 of his last 30 games reached 20 PPR; 8 finished under 10. Is there a floor-vs-ceiling trade-off? ›
Every game since 2020
2025 game log 3 games · ARI · 11.1 PPR a game
| Game | Line | Snaps | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1@ NO · D25 | 12-39 rush · 4-5-1 on 4 tgt | 65% | 12.4 |
| W2vs CAR · D32 | 11-34-1 rush · 1-18 on 1 tgt | 55% | 11.7 |
| W3@ SF · D30 | 9-22 rush · 3-15 on 4 tgt | 30% | 5.2 |
2024 game log 16 games · ARI · 15.9 PPR a game
| Game | Line | Snaps | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1@ BUF · D16 | 16-50-1 rush · 3-33 on 4 tgt | 67% | 17.8 |
| W2vs LA · D2 | 21-122-1 rush · 1-2 on 1 tgt | 62% | 18.9 |
| W3vs DET · D1 | 9-17 rush · 1-8 on 1 tgt | 75% | 3.0 |
| W4vs WAS · D20 | 18-104-1 rush · 1-9 on 1 tgt | 58% | 17.8 |
| W5@ SF · D19 | 19-86 rush · 2-14 on 3 tgt | 79% | 13.0 |
| W6@ GB · D17 | 7-24 rush · 4-22 on 5 tgt | 28% | 4.6 |
| W7vs LAC · D6 | 19-101 rush · 2-51 on 4 tgt | 84% | 16.2 |
| W8@ MIA · D26 | 20-53-1 rush · 2-16 on 3 tgt | 80% | 13.9 |
| W9vs CHI · D10 | 18-107 rush · 3-12 on 3 tgt | 48% | 13.4 |
| W10vs NYJ · D10 | 12-33-1 rush · 5-80 on 5 tgt | 54% | 19.8 |
| W12@ SEA · D22 | 7-8 rush · 5-41 on 5 tgt | 69% | 7.4 |
| W13@ MIN · D3 | 17-68 rush · 3-13 on 4 tgt | 59% | 9.6 |
| W14vs SEA · D20 | 18-90 rush · 4-32-1 on 4 tgt | 77% | 20.2 |
| W15vs NE · D17 | 16-110-2 rush · 5-28 on 5 tgt | 71% | 28.3 |
| W16@ CAR · D32 | 15-117-1 rush · 4-49 on 4 tgt | 44% | 24.6 |
| W17@ LA · D15 | 4-4 rush · 2-4 on 3 tgt (left hurt) | 15% | 1.8 |
2023 game log 13 games · ARI · 15.5 PPR a game
| Game | Line | Snaps | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1@ WAS · D3 | 14-62 rush · 5-8 on 5 tgt | 84% | 9.5 |
| W2vs NYG · D15 | 23-106-1 rush · 0-0 on 1 tgt | 72% | 16.6 |
| W3vs DAL · D2 | 14-98-1 rush · 2-18 on 2 tgt | 64% | 18.6 |
| W4@ SF · D18 | 11-52 rush · 1-4 on 2 tgt | 62% | 6.1 |
| W5vs CIN · D16 | 6-46 rush (left hurt) | 21% | 4.6 |
| W10vs ATL · D6 | 16-73 rush | 63% | 7.3 |
| W11@ HOU · D18 | 14-62 rush · 2-1 on 3 tgt | 69% | 7.3 |
| W12vs LA · D10 | 6-27 rush · 4-5 on 5 tgt | 42% | 5.2 |
| W13@ PIT · D18 | 25-105-2 rush · 0-0 on 2 tgt | 76% | 22.5 |
| W15vs SF · D6 | 14-86-1 rush · 3-3 on 3 tgt | 49% | 16.4 |
| W16@ CHI · D22 | 12-45 rush · 5-67-1 on 5 tgt | 59% | 19.7 |
| W17@ PHI · D4 | 26-128-1 rush · 1-5-1 on 1 tgt | 66% | 25.8 |
| W18vs SEA · D28 | 27-150-1 rush · 4-54 on 4 tgt | 74% | 28.4 |
2022 game log 13 games · ARI · 15.4 PPR a game
| Game | Line | Snaps | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1vs KC | 10-26-1 rush · 5-29 on 6 tgt | 72% | 14.0 |
| W2@ LV | 7-25 rush · 2-26 on 4 tgt | 21% | 6.1 |
| W3vs LA | 13-39 rush · 3-18 on 5 tgt | 60% | 7.2 |
| W4@ CAR · D17 | 15-55 rush · 3-22 on 3 tgt | 66% | 9.2 |
| W5vs PHI · D16 | 9-55 rush · 1-8 on 1 tgt | 35% | 6.8 |
| W9vs SEA · D27 | 7-45 rush · 5-19 on 5 tgt | 71% | 8.9 |
| W10@ LA · D9 | 21-69-2 rush · 3-17 on 3 tgt | 96% | 22.1 |
| W11vs SF · D1 | 14-42-1 rush · 2-12 on 5 tgt | 77% | 12.4 |
| W12vs LAC · D30 | 25-120 rush · 3-20-1 on 3 tgt | 97% | 19.5 |
| W14vs NE · D2 | 15-85-1 rush · 6-29 on 7 tgt | 95% | 20.4 |
| W15@ DEN · D16 | 16-63-1 rush · 3-28 on 5 tgt | 91% | 16.6 |
| W16vs TB · D6 | 15-79-1 rush · 7-41 on 8 tgt | 97% | 21.5 |
| W17@ ATL · D18 | 16-79 rush · 3-31 on 3 tgt | 55% | 12.5 |
2021 game log 15 games · ARI · 17.2 PPR a game
| Game | Line | Snaps | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1@ TEN | 16-53 rush | 49% | 5.3 |
| W2vs MIN | 8-26 rush | 39% | 2.6 |
| W3@ JAX | 11-43-2 rush · 1-10 on 1 tgt | 37% | 17.8 |
| W4@ LA | 18-50-2 rush · 2-16 on 2 tgt | 42% | 19.6 |
| W5vs SF | 10-29-1 rush · 1-8 on 1 tgt | 48% | 10.2 |
| W6@ CLE | 16-71 rush · 1-0 on 1 tgt | 55% | 7.6 |
| W7vs HOU | 10-64-1 rush | 30% | 12.4 |
| W8vs GB | 5-22-2 rush | 37% | 14.2 |
| W9@ SF | 21-96-2 rush · 5-77-1 on 5 tgt | 77% | 37.8 |
| W10vs CAR | 10-39-1 rush · 3-25 on 4 tgt | 82% | 13.9 |
| W11@ SEA | 21-62-1 rush · 5-37 on 6 tgt | 82% | 18.4 |
| W13@ CHI | 20-75 rush · 2-36-1 on 2 tgt | 91% | 18.1 |
| W14vs LA | 13-31-2 rush · 9-94 on 9 tgt | 96% | 29.0 |
| W15@ DET | 8-39 rush · 2-31 on 2 tgt | 44% | 8.0 |
| W18vs SEA | 15-52-1 rush · 6-41-1 on 6 tgt | 61% | 24.3 |
2020 game log 13 games · PIT · 12.7 PPR a game
| Game | Line | Snaps | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1@ NYG | 6-9 rush · 2-8 on 4 tgt | 23% | 2.7 |
| W2vs DEN | 16-106-1 rush · 2-15 on 2 tgt | 77% | 19.1 |
| W3vs HOU | 18-109-1 rush · 4-40 on 5 tgt | 66% | 22.9 |
| W5vs PHI | 15-44-1 rush · 3-19 on 3 tgt | 62% | 13.8 |
| W6vs CLE | 20-101-1 rush · 1-1 on 1 tgt | 66% | 16.7 |
| W7@ TEN | 20-82 rush · 3-29 on 5 tgt | 84% | 12.6 |
| W8@ BAL | 15-47-1 rush · 3-13 on 3 tgt | 57% | 13.5 |
| W9@ DAL | 9-22 rush · 2--2 on 2 tgt | 46% | 3.0 |
| W10vs CIN | 13-36 rush · 2-12 on 2 tgt | 88% | 5.8 |
| W11@ JAX | 13-89 rush · 3-10 on 3 tgt | 69% | 11.4 |
| W14@ BUF | 10-18 rush | 40% | 1.8 |
| W16vs IND | 5-21-1 rush · 5-45 on 5 tgt | 62% | 15.1 |
| W17@ CLE | 9-37 rush · 5-25 on 8 tgt | 64% | 8.7 |
Health
Out · concern medium · through Week 6. On IR (foot); projected to return as soon as Week 6. Jeremiyah Love has led the backfield without him.
Our note, Oct 13, 2026 · CBS Sports injury page (Sun 10/11)
Typical case for this injury (not him): foot: median 1 game missed; 18% run past 3 games; first game back averages -0.7 PPR vs his own pre-injury baseline (n=66 spells)
2026 injury reportofficial, week by week
✓ = not listed. Letters = game status (Q, D, O) or worst practice that week (LP limited, DNP did not practice). Tap a week for the detail.
Historyofficial injury reports since 2020
| Year | Weeks listed | Ruled out | Listed for |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1 | 0 | Foot |
| 2024 | 2 | 0 | Finger, Knee |
| 2023 | 3 | 0 | Calf, Back, Knee |
| 2022 | 8 | 3 | Ribs (4), Knee (2), Ankle, Illness |
| 2021 | 5 | 0 | Heel (3), Ankle |
| 2020 | 3 | 0 | Quadricep (2), Ankle |
3 games missed 2023–25 (0.60 a season), Ribs, Knee.
23 report weeks over 6 seasons; recurring: Ankle, Quadricep, Heel, Ribs. Risk label: moderate.
Teammates on the report
Our current notes first, then Sleeper designations. What happens when a starter is ruled out? ›
Value
Market Oct 10Market value on a 0–10,000 scale, through Oct 10, 2026. Faint stretches are estimates between real readings. Gold = peak.
Teal dot = today (1,490). Box = the middle half of outcomes, white line = the median, whiskers = 10th to 90th percentile. RBs about 31 valued near #354 overall: real 1-year moves since 2022, weighted by exact age and market rank (about 13 players' worth).
Risk profilepreseason, from comparable players
164.2 overall, RB57. Yahoo 126.5 · CBS 160.1 · ESPN 170.4 · Sleeper 199.7 · Underdog 214.5