CJ DonaldsonNew Orleans Saints
RB/New Orleans Saints

CJ Donaldson

6'2", 230 lb · Ohio St.
01

Overview

Board Oct 12
Hold
Hold RB72 · 3.2 opportunities a game · model RB74 · no lines
No book read (no yardage lines yet), so he holds at his slot on the 10/12 list.
Model
RB74
Market
—
2026 production
RB61

Week 5 rest-of-season review, Oct 12, 2026. The three reads are where our backtested model, the betting market and his 2026 production each place him at RB; our board rank is the call.

Realistic range, rest of season
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
RB68
RB72 now
RB82
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
RB70
RB76 now
RB85
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
RB75
RB79 now
RB87

Where his stats say he could finish from here: RB70 to RB85. Our rank stays the call.

Rest-of-season rank on our sheets
#181Sep 30#196Oct 5#196Oct 12#185Sep 30#200Oct 5#202Oct 12#185Sep 30#197Oct 5#195Oct 12

2026 so far5 games

Points a game
1.4
RB81 of 115
Carry share
9%
11 carries
Touches a game
3.0
5 targets
Expected PPR a game
2.6
−0.7 a game vs usage
Role: change-of-pace back
  • share of NO's carries up from 5% to 19% (last 2 games vs the three before)
  • snap share up from 21% to 40% (last 2 games vs the three before)
  • 0 of NO's 8 carries inside the 5

Ranked among 66 qualified RBs this season.

Our rest-of-season model
Half PPR/g
4.1
PPR/g
4.7
Games left
10.7

80% range 1.6–6.1 half-PPR points a game. Biggest inputs: preseason ADP -0.7, rushing yards -0.4, points so far -0.4, Week 5 sportsbook lines -0.3. The model informs the rank; it does not set it.

02

Week 6

Lines Oct 14
NO
@
Sun · Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET
MetLife Stadium
NYG
LineNO -1.5Total45.5NO implied23.5Rest7 days (NYG 7)Forecast61°F, wind 9 mph
Our Week 6 projection
3.4pts
RB51
Bench
2.9carries14rush yds1.2tgt0.9rec7rec yds0.16TD

Updated Oct 14, 2026, built on a NO team total of 23.5. Rank is among every RB we project this week.

New York Giants defense vs RBs
#18of 32 in fantasy points allowed to RBs (1 = stingiest)
StingiestSoftest
PPR a game
20.9
rush yds
100
rec
3.4
TD
1.0

Allowed to RBs per game across 5 games. Best games against them: Javonte Williams (W1, 24.2 PPR, 12 car 41 ry, 5/5 31 rec); Kyren Williams (W2, 15.7 PPR, 12 car 85 ry, 2/2 12 rec); Jacory Croskey-Merritt (W5, 14.2 PPR, 11 car 82 ry, 0/0 0 rec).

EPA ranks entering Week 6: #14 against the pass, #30 against the run (1 = best defense).

Where NYG gives up receiving fantasy points to RBs
#9
NYG's average rank in the zones where Donaldson gets his targets, weighted by his share there (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest).
Left
Middle
Right
Deep 20+
0.0#1
0.0#1
0.0#1
Middle 10–19
0.0#1
0.0#1
20%0.0#1
Short 0–9
3.3#31
40%0.8#17
0.6#11
Behind line
20%0.8#8
0.0#1
20%0.6#3

Runs by directionRB rushing points allowed a game

Left
Middle
Right
Rushing
4.1#11
82%4.2#19
18%5.4#22
StingySoft

Big number: receiving fantasy points NYG allows a game to RBs in that zone. # = its rank of 32. Green tag = CJ Donaldson's share of his targets in that zone this season. Depth is air yards at the catch point; 5 games, through Week 5. Tap a zone for the detail.

Week 5: projected vs. actual
Projected
2.3
RB59
Actual
2.5
Difference
+0.2

4-13 rush, 1-7 rec on 1 tgt

Do defensive matchups actually matter? Our study ›

03

Game log

2026 · through W5
Fantasy pointsOur projection that weekSeason average 1.4
051011.220.230.544.353.0051010.720.230.543.352.5051010.220.230.542.352.0

Every gametap a game for the detail

D# = the opponent's rank against RBs entering that week (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest). Finish = his rank at RB that week.

04

Usage

Snap shareCarry shareTarget share
0%25%50%75%100%W1W2W3W4W542%24%4%

What changedlast 3 full games vs. before

W1, W2W3, W4, W5Change
Snap share23.0%32.0%+9.0
Carry share5.9%14.3%+8.4
Target share1.9%2.8%+0.9
Carries a game1.52.7+1.2
Targets a game1.01.00.0

Games he left injured are left out of both sides.

NO backfieldshare of team carries, 2026

CJ Donaldson
9.5%
Share of team targets

Season to date, games each player played.

Role details2026, through Week 5

Red-zone tgt share
—
Red-zone carry share
4%
1 red-zone carries
Goal-line share
0%
0 carries inside the 5
Snap share
28.4%
05

Advanced

PoorAverageGreat
Fantasy points a game2+ games
1.4
6
4
3
Carry share2+ games
9.5%
5
Red-zone carry share2+ games
4.3%
11
Rush success rateneeds 25+ carries
45.5%
EPA per carryneeds 25+ carries
0.00
Yards after contactneeds 25+ carries
1.38
Broken tackles per carryneeds 25+ carries
0.0%
10+ yard run rateneeds 25+ carries
0.0%
Stuff rateneeds 25+ carries
0.0%
Expected points a game2+ games
2.6
3

Percentile against the RBs on our charts (each stat's minimum is next to it), 2026 through Week 5. 50 is the middle of the pack. Tap a bubble for his rank.

Expected vs. actualPPR, from this season's play-by-play

Expected PPR a game
2.6
what his targets and carries are usually worth
Actual PPR a game
1.8
Over expected
−0.7
points a game
TDs vs. expected
0/ 0.2
−0.17

0 TDs on 0.17 expected. Expected points price every target by depth and field position and every carry by field position. Do touchdowns regress? ›

06

Splits

As a receiver2026 charted plays, through Week 5

SituationTgtRec-Yds-TDYds/tgtEPA/tgt
All targets54-10-02.05.4-0.32-0.02
Score within 740% of targets21--2-0-1.05.3-0.64-0.08
Trailing by 8+60% of targets33-12-04.05.6-0.100.11
Two-minute drill20% of targets11--2-0-2.04.6-0.78-0.04
No blitz100% of targets54-10-02.05.4-0.32-0.01
Play action20% of targets10-0-00.05.9-0.500.08

Small grey number = every RB in that situation. Green or red = a clear gap either way. 4 of his 5 charted targets were catchable; 0 drops, 0 of 0 contested caught.

As a runner2026 charted carries, through Week 5

SituationCarYds-TDYPCSuccess
All carries1142-03.84.145%39%
Red zone9% of carries15-05.02.6100%40%
Inside the 109% of carries15-05.01.7100%47%
Third down36% of carries48-02.04.075%52%
Score within 773% of carries824-03.04.150%38%
Trailing by 8+27% of carries318-06.04.133%41%
Light box (6 or fewer)36% of carries420-05.04.525%40%
Stacked box (8+)18% of carries24-02.03.050%39%

Box counts from FTN charting. Small grey number = every RB in that situation.

With and withoutfantasy points a game, NO, 2025–2026

Travis EtienneRB · 2026
With
0.5
Without
2.9
With: 3 g, 1.3 car, 0.7 tgt a game, 21% snaps · Without: 2 g (26·W4, 26·W5), 3.5 car, 1.5 tgt a game, 40% snaps

"Without" = games he played and the teammate did not (a QB counts as playing with 10+ attempts). Games either of them left injured are left out. Small samples swing hard. Who benefits when a player gets hurt? ›

07

Team

NO
Points a game
23.6
16th of 32
Plays a game
66.8
3rd of 32
EPA per play
-0.054
23rd of 32
Pass rate over exp.
−2.1%
11th of 32
Red-zone plays a game
10.2
13th of 32
Motion rate
46%
14th of 32
Play-action rate
9%
31st of 32
No-huddle rate
13%
1st of 32

New Orleans Saints offense, 2026 through Week 5. Rank 1 = most. Scheme rates from FTN charting through Week 5.

Game by gamescore, implied total, pass rate (over expected), QB

WeekScoreImpliedPass rateQB
W1vs DET30-3121.371%+1.6Shough56 att
W2vs BAL24-1718.558%−3.1Shough34 att
W3vs LV27-3523.561%−1.2Shough42 att
W4vs ATL24-4524.573%−1.0Shough48 att
W5vs MIN13-2319.561%−11.6Shough25 att

Depth chartRB, Oct 14

RB3
CJ Donaldson
RB4
Travis Etienne Jr.
RB5
Ty Chandler

Scheduleeach defense's current rank vs RBs

W6
@NYG
#18
W7
PIT
#22
W8
BYE
W9
CLE
#6
W10
CAR
#28
W11
@CHI
#7
W12
@CIN
#8
W13
GB
#30
W14
@CAR
#28
W15
@TB
#5
W16
ARI
#13
W17
@ATL
#12
W18
TB
#5
Next 4
#19
average rank
Playoffs W15–17
#10
average rank
Bye
W8

Green = soft, red = stingy (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest), ranked on fantasy points allowed to RBs so far. Gold underline = fantasy playoffs. Does strength of schedule matter? ›

Head coach: Kellen Moore. QB: Tyler Shough (most pass attempts, Week 5).

08

Charts

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CJ Donaldson is highlighted on each chart. Swipe for more; tap a dot for the player. Every chart saves and shares as an image on the Charts page.

09

Career

Points a game by season
’261.8
’261.4
’261.0

Season by season

YearGRushing / receivingPts/gxFP/g
2026NO511-42-0 rush4-10-0 rec on 5 tgt1.4RB812.6−3.7

Under points a game: his rank at RB in points a game (8+ games; 2026: 2+ games). xFP = expected PPR a game from his usage; under it, the season's points over expected. Routes = share of team dropbacks he ran a route (through 2025).

10

Health

No injury designation. Not on the Sleeper injury list as of Oct 10 and not on the Week 6 practice report so far.

2026 injury reportofficial, week by week

W1
✓
W2
✓
W3
✓
W4
✓
W5
✓
W6
•

✓ = not listed. Letters = game status (Q, D, O) or worst practice that week (LP limited, DNP did not practice). Tap a week for the detail.

Teammates on the report

Questionable (Back)

Our current notes first, then Sleeper designations. What happens when a starter is ruled out? ›

11

Value

Market Oct 10
12

Profile

Size
6'2"
230 lb
College
Ohio St.

Keep digging

All players · Week 6 rankings · Rest-of-season rankings · Charts · Stats · Methodology
Sources: nflverse play-by-play, weekly stats, Next Gen Stats and FTN charting (free public data); official NFL injury reports; Sleeper; GWTTKB rankings, projections and market data. Built 2026-10-14. Every number on this page comes from those files; where a stat is not on file it is left blank, never zero. Nothing here is betting advice.