
CJ Donaldson
Overview
Board Oct 12Week 5 rest-of-season review, Oct 12, 2026. The three reads are where our backtested model, the betting market and his 2026 production each place him at RB; our board rank is the call.
Where his stats say he could finish from here: RB70 to RB85. Our rank stays the call.
2026 so far5 games
- share of NO's carries up from 5% to 19% (last 2 games vs the three before)
- snap share up from 21% to 40% (last 2 games vs the three before)
- 0 of NO's 8 carries inside the 5
Ranked among 66 qualified RBs this season.
80% range 1.6–6.1 half-PPR points a game. Biggest inputs: preseason ADP -0.7, rushing yards -0.4, points so far -0.4, Week 5 sportsbook lines -0.3. The model informs the rank; it does not set it.
Week 6
Lines Oct 14Updated Oct 14, 2026, built on a NO team total of 23.5. Rank is among every RB we project this week.
Allowed to RBs per game across 5 games. Best games against them: Javonte Williams (W1, 24.2 PPR, 12 car 41 ry, 5/5 31 rec); Kyren Williams (W2, 15.7 PPR, 12 car 85 ry, 2/2 12 rec); Jacory Croskey-Merritt (W5, 14.2 PPR, 11 car 82 ry, 0/0 0 rec).
EPA ranks entering Week 6: #14 against the pass, #30 against the run (1 = best defense).
Runs by directionRB rushing points allowed a game
Big number: receiving fantasy points NYG allows a game to RBs in that zone. # = its rank of 32. Green tag = CJ Donaldson's share of his targets in that zone this season. Depth is air yards at the catch point; 5 games, through Week 5. Tap a zone for the detail.
4-13 rush, 1-7 rec on 1 tgt
Game log
2026 · through W5Every gametap a game for the detail
NO +7 (closing) · total 49.5 · indoors · 7 days rest
Projected 0.0 (RB114) · NO +8.5 (closing) · total 45.5 · 79°F, wind 10 mph · 7 days rest
Projected 1.6 (RB74) · NO -3.5 (closing) · total 43.5 · indoors · 7 days rest
Projected 1.7 (RB64) · NO -1.5 (closing) · total 47.5 · indoors · 8 days rest · prime time · division game
Projected 2.3 (RB59) · NO +2.5 (closing) · total 41.5 · indoors · 6 days rest
D# = the opponent's rank against RBs entering that week (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest). Finish = his rank at RB that week.
Usage
What changedlast 3 full games vs. before
| W1, W2 | W3, W4, W5 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Snap share | 23.0% | 32.0% | +9.0 |
| Carry share | 5.9% | 14.3% | +8.4 |
| Target share | 1.9% | 2.8% | +0.9 |
| Carries a game | 1.5 | 2.7 | +1.2 |
| Targets a game | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Games he left injured are left out of both sides.
NO backfieldshare of team carries, 2026
Season to date, games each player played.
Role details2026, through Week 5
Advanced
Percentile against the RBs on our charts (each stat's minimum is next to it), 2026 through Week 5. 50 is the middle of the pack. Tap a bubble for his rank.
Expected vs. actualPPR, from this season's play-by-play
0 TDs on 0.17 expected. Expected points price every target by depth and field position and every carry by field position. Do touchdowns regress? ›
Splits
As a receiver2026 charted plays, through Week 5
| Situation | Tgt | Rec-Yds-TD | Yds/tgt | EPA/tgt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All targets | 5 | 4-10-0 | 2.05.4 | -0.32-0.02 |
| Score within 740% of targets | 2 | 1--2-0 | -1.05.3 | -0.64-0.08 |
| Trailing by 8+60% of targets | 3 | 3-12-0 | 4.05.6 | -0.100.11 |
| Two-minute drill20% of targets | 1 | 1--2-0 | -2.04.6 | -0.78-0.04 |
| No blitz100% of targets | 5 | 4-10-0 | 2.05.4 | -0.32-0.01 |
| Play action20% of targets | 1 | 0-0-0 | 0.05.9 | -0.500.08 |
Small grey number = every RB in that situation. Green or red = a clear gap either way. 4 of his 5 charted targets were catchable; 0 drops, 0 of 0 contested caught.
As a runner2026 charted carries, through Week 5
| Situation | Car | Yds-TD | YPC | Success |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All carries | 11 | 42-0 | 3.84.1 | 45%39% |
| Red zone9% of carries | 1 | 5-0 | 5.02.6 | 100%40% |
| Inside the 109% of carries | 1 | 5-0 | 5.01.7 | 100%47% |
| Third down36% of carries | 4 | 8-0 | 2.04.0 | 75%52% |
| Score within 773% of carries | 8 | 24-0 | 3.04.1 | 50%38% |
| Trailing by 8+27% of carries | 3 | 18-0 | 6.04.1 | 33%41% |
| Light box (6 or fewer)36% of carries | 4 | 20-0 | 5.04.5 | 25%40% |
| Stacked box (8+)18% of carries | 2 | 4-0 | 2.03.0 | 50%39% |
Box counts from FTN charting. Small grey number = every RB in that situation.
With and withoutfantasy points a game, NO, 2025–2026
"Without" = games he played and the teammate did not (a QB counts as playing with 10+ attempts). Games either of them left injured are left out. Small samples swing hard. Who benefits when a player gets hurt? ›
Team
NONew Orleans Saints offense, 2026 through Week 5. Rank 1 = most. Scheme rates from FTN charting through Week 5.
Game by gamescore, implied total, pass rate (over expected), QB
| Week | Score | Implied | Pass rate | QB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1vs DET | 30-31 | 21.3 | 71%+1.6 | Shough56 att |
| W2vs BAL | 24-17 | 18.5 | 58%−3.1 | Shough34 att |
| W3vs LV | 27-35 | 23.5 | 61%−1.2 | Shough42 att |
| W4vs ATL | 24-45 | 24.5 | 73%−1.0 | Shough48 att |
| W5vs MIN | 13-23 | 19.5 | 61%−11.6 | Shough25 att |
Depth chartRB, Oct 14
Scheduleeach defense's current rank vs RBs
Green = soft, red = stingy (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest), ranked on fantasy points allowed to RBs so far. Gold underline = fantasy playoffs. Does strength of schedule matter? ›
Head coach: Kellen Moore. QB: Tyler Shough (most pass attempts, Week 5).
Charts
CJ Donaldson is highlighted on each chart. Swipe for more; tap a dot for the player. Every chart saves and shares as an image on the Charts page.
Career
Season by season
| Year | G | Rushing / receiving | Pts/g | xFP/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026NO | 5 | 11-42-0 rush4-10-0 rec on 5 tgt | 1.4RB81 | 2.6−3.7 |
Under points a game: his rank at RB in points a game (8+ games; 2026: 2+ games). xFP = expected PPR a game from his usage; under it, the season's points over expected. Routes = share of team dropbacks he ran a route (through 2025).
Health
No injury designation. Not on the Sleeper injury list as of Oct 10 and not on the Week 6 practice report so far.
2026 injury reportofficial, week by week
✓ = not listed. Letters = game status (Q, D, O) or worst practice that week (LP limited, DNP did not practice). Tap a week for the detail.
Teammates on the report
Our current notes first, then Sleeper designations. What happens when a starter is ruled out? ›