Every game, every stat category, and what the board says. 3.21 points per game in 2025, an ADP of 170, usage worth 2.2.
35 years old · 9 seasons of experience · 2017 draft class
| ESPN | 170 |
| UNDERDOG | 216 |
| FFA | 519 |
| Goes around | Round 15, pick 2 in a 12-team draft |
| Positional rank | TE46 |
New Orleans Saints returns 5 of 6 continuity slots, replacing rb1. Tyler Shough at quarterback, Kellen Moore as head coach, Doug Nussmeier calling it. The offense projects to 34.1 pass attempts a game at high confidence and 25.9 rushes.
In: Jordyn Tyson (wr2), Bryce Lance (wr5), Barion Brown (wr6), Bub Means (wr7), Travis Etienne Jr. (rb1), Oscar Delp (te2). Out: Kevin Austin Jr (wr3), Brandin Cooks (wr4), Taysom Hill (te2).
The projected target split across the offense:
| Chris Olave | 22.1% |
| Jordyn Tyson | 18.6% |
| Juwan Johnson | 12.2% |
| Devaughn Vele | 8.3% |
| Oscar Delp | 7.1% |
| Barion Brown | 6.6% |
Key additions: signed RB Travis Etienne Jr in free agency on massive 4 year deal. Signed TE Noah Fant. Drafted TE oscar Delp. Drafted WR Jordyn Tyson 8th overall.
Key departures: No key departures
Notes: Saints draft Jordyn Tyson 8th overall. To start he will likely be the 1B in the offense behind Chris Olave. Hurts Olave potential, but Olave is highly talented WR. Shough surrounded with Weapons in New Orleans by signing Travis Etienne Jr. in free agency (lots of potential to be high producer). Alvin Kamara value is toast. Interested to see how Olave & Tyson split target share & if the rest of the offense other than Etienne holds fantasy value. Vele is a slept on and talented WR that could also break out in 2026. His breakout to slow down the Jordyn Tyson full breakout year 1.
How the volume number was reached: Same QB Tyler Shough returning — anchor to 2025 actuals (34.4 att/g); Regressed 30% toward league mean 33.5, floored at 30 → 34.1 att/g.
Offensive environment: NO rates 21.4 against a league average of 23, 1.6 below it on opponent-adjusted least squares (multi-capture merge).
Opponent-adjusted pass defense faced, against 2025 ratings. Positive is an easier slate.
| Full season | +0.9 · neutral |
| Weeks 1–6 | -0.3 · neutral |
| Weeks 12–17 | +1.6 · easier |
| Fantasy playoffs (15–17) | +5.4 · easier |
Read this narrowly. Our own testing found that season-long strength of schedule does not survive as a draft input — defensive quality is among the least stable team properties year to year, and a preseason slate is built on last year's identities. The playoff-weeks column is the only one we would let break a tie, and even then it is a tiebreaker rather than a reason. The finding.
From the absence record rather than a depth chart — who actually gained when he was out.
| Season | Games missed | Main beneficiary | Their PPR gain |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2 | Garrett Griffin | +5.4 |
| 2024 | 4 | Foster Moreau | +2.3 |
Everything in this section is about his dynasty trade value — what he is worth as a long-term asset in the trade market. It is not a forecast of his 2026 fantasy scoring. A player can be a fine redraft pick while his dynasty value falls, and the reverse. The redraft read is above; this is a different question with a different answer.
His dynasty value has moved -38.1% over the last twelve months. The market cycle classifies him as post-crash. The base rate that applies: after a -25% crash, TEs recover only 30% of the time (keep falling 70%).
For context on how long this lasts at the position: the average career at his position produces 1.3 elite seasons and 2.3 startable seasons.
Matched on production profile — production-driven (pedigree ignored). The last column is how that player’s dynasty value moved the following year — a market outcome, not a scoring one.
| Player | Season | Their PPG | Similarity | Next year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Bryant | 2024 | 2.9 | 14% | +48.9% |
| Hunter Long | 2024 | 1.7 | 10% | +39.4% |
| Jonnu Smith | 2021 | 4.2 | 6% | -39% |
| Tommy Tremble | 2021 | 3.5 | 6% | -5.9% |
| Jonnu Smith | 2022 | 4.3 | 6% | +78.8% |
Of the 5 with a following season on record, 3 gained value, 2 lost it and 0 held roughly flat.
| Career PPR per game | 9.9 |
| Week-to-week variation | 0.9 |
| Boom rate | 33.3% |
| Bust rate | 23.8% |
| Games missed per season | 1 |
| Injury history | Concussion, Rib, Knee |
Injury type matters more than games missed. Measured across our injury database, knee and foot returns stay below a player’s pre-injury baseline for all three of the first games back, while hamstring returns over-recover by the third.
His best game was Week 16 against NYJ — 15.32 PPR on 6 targets and a 12.8% target share, in a game that finished 29-6. His worst was Week 14 against TB at -0.1, on 2 targets, final score 24-20. Across 13 games he cleared 20 points 0 times and came in under 8 points 12 times. In the 6 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 2.4; in the 7 decided by more, 4. He scored more when the game was not close.
His usage that season was worth 2.2 points per game. He scored 3.21, 43.6% above it. The engine classified the season as very_lucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | NYG | 26-14 | 0.66 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1 | 0 | 0% | 14% |
| 6 | NE | 19-25 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 21% |
| 7 | CHI | 14-26 | 2.8 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 2 | -4 | 0 | 6.5% | 16% |
| 8 | TB | 3-23 | 2.2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 2% | 7% |
| 9 | LA | 10-34 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 0 | 0% | 22% |
| 10 | CAR | 17-7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 0 | 3.8% | 37% |
| 12 | ATL | 10-24 | 1.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 0 | 0% | 32% |
| 13 | MIA | 17-21 | 1.7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2.9% | 17% |
| 14 | TB | 24-20 | -0.1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 10% | 41% |
| 15 | CAR | 20-17 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 22% |
| 16 | NYJ | 29-6 | 15.32 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 12 | 42 | 1 | 12.8% | 44% |
| 17 | TEN | 34-26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 13% |
| 18 | ATL | 17-19 | 6.2 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8.8% | 34% |
| Receptions | 11 |
| Targets | 16 |
| Receiving yards | 91 |
| Carries | 52 |
| Rushing yards | 114 |
| Touchdowns | 2 |
| Points per game | 3.21 |
| Yards per target | 5.69 |
| Catch rate | 68.75% |
| Yards per carry | 2.19 |
| Snap share | 24.62% |
| Target share | 3.6% |
| Air-yards share | 1.2% |
| WOPR | 0.062 |
| RACR | 1.323 |
| Average depth of target | 3.4 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 7.8 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 0.5 |
| Total YAC | 86 |
| Broken tackles | 0 |
| Drop rate | 0.2% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 83.1 |
| Receiving EPA per game | -0.03 |
| Rushing EPA per game | -1.09 |
| Red-zone targets | 0 |
| Red-zone target share | 0% |
| End-zone target share | 0% |
| Red-zone carry share | 21% |
| Goal-line carry share | 21.4% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 0 |
| Receiving TD luck | 0 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 2.09 |
The offense threw it 591 times. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Chris Olave | 27.71% |
| Juwan Johnson | 18.12% |
| Rashid Shaheed | 11.72% |
| Alvin Kamara | 6.93% |
| Devaughn Vele | 6.93% |
| Brandin Cooks | 4.44% |
He caught passes from 2 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Shough | 10 | 14 | 3.22 | 5.64 | 4.03% |
| Spencer Rattler | 3 | 2 | 3.19 | 6 | 2.17% |
3 of his 13 games were blowouts, 49.1% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 6.84 in those and 2.35 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.
His best game was Week 11 against CLE — 41.52 PPR on 10 targets and a 35.7% target share, in a game that finished 35-14. His worst was Week 2 against DAL at 2.9, on 1 targets, final score 44-19. Across 8 games he cleared 20 points 1 time and came in under 8 points 4 times. In the 4 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 11.8; in the 4 decided by more, 13.8. He scored more when the game was not close.
His usage that season was worth 6.9 points per game. He scored 12.79, 86.4% above it. The engine classified the season as very_lucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CAR | 47-10 | 4.6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 0 | 8.3% | 32% |
| 2 | DAL | 44-19 | 2.9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 0 | 6.7% | 47% |
| 4 | ATL | 24-26 | 14.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 2 | 0% | 20% |
| 8 | LAC | 8-26 | 6.22 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 4 | 20 | 0 | 10.5% | 40% |
| 9 | CAR | 22-23 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 41 | 5 | 19 | 1 | 17.9% | 44% |
| 10 | ATL | 20-17 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 36 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 9.5% | 43% |
| 11 | CLE | 35-14 | 41.52 | 8 | 10 | 50 | 7 | 138 | 3 | 35.7% | 55% |
| 13 | LA | 14-21 | 9.7 | 5 | 7 | 37 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 20.6% | 59% |
| Receptions | 23 |
| Targets | 31 |
| Receiving yards | 187 |
| Carries | 39 |
| Rushing yards | 278 |
| Touchdowns | 6 |
| Points per game | 12.79 |
| Yards per target | 6.03 |
| Catch rate | 74.19% |
| Yards per carry | 7.13 |
| Snap share | 42.5% |
| Target share | 13.65% |
| Air-yards share | 5.8% |
| WOPR | 0.244 |
| RACR | 1.258 |
| Average depth of target | 3.5 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 6 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 2.2 |
| Total YAC | 137 |
| Broken tackles | 2 |
| Drop rate | 0.1% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 89 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0.15 |
| Rushing EPA per game | 2.99 |
| Red-zone targets | 2 |
| Red-zone target share | 4.7% |
| End-zone target share | 0% |
| Red-zone carry share | 14.1% |
| Goal-line carry share | 11.8% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0.28 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 0 |
| Receiving TD luck | -0.28 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 1.52 |
The offense threw it 551 times. 1 team-mate cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Alvin Kamara | 17.35% |
| Juwan Johnson | 12.87% |
| Chris Olave | 8.58% |
| Foster Moreau | 8.38% |
| Rashid Shaheed | 7.99% |
| Marquez Valdes-Scantling | 6.82% |
He caught passes from 2 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Carr | 7 | 27 | 13.73 | 6.15 | 14.1% |
| Spencer Rattler | 1 | 4 | 6.22 | 5.25 | 10.5% |
4 of his 8 games were blowouts, 54% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 13.81 in those and 11.77 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.
His best game was Week 8 against IND — 22.46 PPR on 1 targets and a 3.4% target share, in a game that finished 38-27. His worst was Week 16 against LA at 0.2, on 0 targets, final score 22-30. Across 16 games he cleared 20 points 2 times and came in under 8 points 7 times. In the 9 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 9.1; in the 7 decided by more, 8.8. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 4.3 points per game. He scored 8.97, 107.4% above it. The engine classified the season as very_lucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TEN | 16-15 | 0.4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3% | 14% |
| 2 | CAR | 20-17 | 8.72 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 9 | 75 | 0 | 5.9% | 40% |
| 3 | GB | 17-18 | 3.1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 2.9% | 30% |
| 4 | TB | 9-26 | 3.22 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 2.6% | 51% |
| 5 | NE | 34-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 0 | 4% | 39% |
| 6 | HOU | 13-20 | 12.26 | 7 | 8 | 49 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17.4% | 60% |
| 7 | JAX | 24-31 | 16.8 | 4 | 5 | 50 | 5 | 18 | 1 | 9.4% | 58% |
| 8 | IND | 38-27 | 22.46 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 63 | 2 | 3.4% | 44% |
| 9 | CHI | 24-17 | 20.62 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 11 | 52 | 2 | 15.6% | 46% |
| 10 | MIN | 19-27 | 4.3 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 10% | 30% |
| 12 | ATL | 15-24 | 8.1 | 2 | 2 | 55 | 7 | 26 | 0 | 5.4% | 35% |
| 13 | DET | 28-33 | 15.4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 59 | 1 | 6.9% | 42% |
| 15 | NYG | 24-6 | 1.5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3.6% | 19% |
| 16 | LA | 22-30 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 17% |
| 17 | TB | 23-13 | 11.54 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5.9% | 34% |
| 18 | ATL | 48-17 | 11.9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 6 | 51 | 0 | 16% | 42% |
| Receptions | 33 |
| Targets | 40 |
| Receiving yards | 291 |
| Carries | 81 |
| Rushing yards | 401 |
| Touchdowns | 7 |
| Points per game | 8.97 |
| Yards per target | 7.28 |
| Catch rate | 82.5% |
| Yards per carry | 4.95 |
| Snap share | 37.56% |
| Target share | 7% |
| Air-yards share | 4.3% |
| WOPR | 0.134 |
| RACR | 1.829 |
| Average depth of target | 5.2 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 4 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 4.8 |
| Total YAC | 133 |
| Broken tackles | 3 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 113.6 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0.63 |
| Rushing EPA per game | 0.45 |
| Red-zone targets | 5 |
| Red-zone target share | 7.4% |
| End-zone target share | 6.3% |
| Red-zone carry share | 30.4% |
| Goal-line carry share | 32% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 1.29 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 1 |
| Receiving TD luck | -0.29 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 5.08 |
The offense threw it 606 times. He took 6.94% of the targets. 1 team-mate cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Chris Olave | 23.96% |
| Alvin Kamara | 14.93% |
| Rashid Shaheed | 13.02% |
| Michael Thomas | 11.11% |
| Juwan Johnson | 10.24% |
| Taysom Hill ← | 6.94% |
He caught passes from 2 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Carr | 15 | 36 | 9.28 | 7.61 | 6.8% |
| Jameis Winston | 1 | 4 | 4.3 | 4.25 | 10% |
4 of his 16 games were blowouts, 13.7% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 4.91 in those and 9.09 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
His best game was Week 5 against SEA — 34.08 PPR on 0 targets and a 0% target share, in a game that finished 39-32. His worst was Week 10 against PIT at 0.1, on 0 targets, final score 10-20. Across 16 games he cleared 20 points 1 time and came in under 8 points 7 times. In the 10 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 11.8; in the 6 decided by more, 4.6. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 1.4 points per game. He scored 9.11, 539.5% above it. The engine classified the season as very_lucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ATL | 27-26 | 15.3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 81 | 1 | 3.1% | 26% |
| 2 | TB | 10-20 | 1.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 0% | 9% |
| 4 | MIN | 25-28 | 8.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 1 | 0% | 20% |
| 5 | SEA | 39-32 | 34.08 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 112 | 4 | 0% | 30% |
| 6 | CIN | 26-30 | 4.54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 39 | 0 | 0% | 21% |
| 7 | ARI | 34-42 | 10.12 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 2.2% | 25% |
| 8 | LV | 24-0 | 8.28 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 61 | 0 | 6.7% | 36% |
| 9 | BAL | 13-27 | 1.12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 3.6% | 33% |
| 10 | PIT | 10-20 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 40% |
| 11 | LA | 27-20 | 7.56 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 52 | 0 | 3.7% | 42% |
| 12 | SF | 0-13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 6.7% | 49% |
| 13 | TB | 16-17 | 13.34 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 10.7% | 46% |
| 15 | ATL | 21-18 | 10.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 1 | 0% | 44% |
| 16 | CLE | 17-10 | 11.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 56 | 1 | 0% | 46% |
| 17 | PHI | 20-10 | 13.56 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 1 | 4.3% | 45% |
| 18 | CAR | 7-10 | 3.5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 0 | 4% | 30% |
| Receptions | 9 |
| Targets | 13 |
| Receiving yards | 77 |
| Carries | 96 |
| Rushing yards | 575 |
| Touchdowns | 11 |
| Points per game | 9.11 |
| Yards per target | 5.92 |
| Catch rate | 69.23% |
| Yards per carry | 5.99 |
| Snap share | 33.88% |
| Target share | 2.81% |
| Air-yards share | 2.27% |
| WOPR | 0.058 |
| RACR | 0.322 |
| Average depth of target | 5.8 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 4.1 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 4.4 |
| Total YAC | 37 |
| Broken tackles | 0 |
| Drop rate | 0.1% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 124 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0.16 |
| Rushing EPA per game | 1.13 |
| Red-zone targets | 3 |
| Red-zone target share | 4.8% |
| End-zone target share | 4% |
| Red-zone carry share | 29.5% |
| Goal-line carry share | 25% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 1.2 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 1 |
| Receiving TD luck | -0.2 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 2.73 |
The offense threw it 512 times. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Chris Olave | 24.29% |
| Alvin Kamara | 15.71% |
| Juwan Johnson | 13.27% |
| Jarvis Landry | 7.96% |
| Rashid Shaheed | 6.94% |
| Marquez Callaway | 6.53% |
He caught passes from 2 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Dalton | 14 | 12 | 9.22 | 6.25 | 2.99% |
| Jameis Winston | 2 | 1 | 8.35 | 2 | 1.55% |
1 of his 16 games were blowouts, 5.7% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 8.28 in those and 11.83 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
His best game was Week 14 against NYJ — 26.3 PPR on 0 targets and a 0% target share, in a game that finished 30-9. His worst was Week 1 against GB at 0.22, on 0 targets, final score 38-3. Across 12 games he cleared 20 points 2 times and came in under 8 points 5 times. In the 4 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 10.5; in the 8 decided by more, 10. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 0.9 points per game. He scored 10.14, 1059.2% above it. The engine classified the season as very_lucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GB | 38-3 | 0.22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 35% |
| 2 | CAR | 7-26 | 1.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 0% | 23% |
| 3 | NE | 28-13 | 9.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 1 | 0% | 53% |
| 4 | NYG | 21-27 | 17.76 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 6 | 28 | 2 | 7.7% | 50% |
| 5 | WAS | 33-22 | 2.1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.1% | 16% |
| 9 | ATL | 25-27 | 1.72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 22% |
| 10 | TEN | 21-23 | 5.24 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 3 | 23 | 0 | 5.7% | 31% |
| 13 | DAL | 17-27 | 20.66 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 101 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 14 | NYJ | 30-9 | 26.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 73 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 15 | TB | 9-0 | 9.46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 33 | 0 | 0% | 100% |
| 17 | CAR | 18-10 | 17.38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 45 | 1 | 0% | 100% |
| 18 | ATL | 30-20 | 10.08 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 1 | 0% | 36% |
| Receptions | 4 |
| Targets | 6 |
| Receiving yards | 52 |
| Carries | 70 |
| Rushing yards | 374 |
| Touchdowns | 9 |
| Points per game | 10.14 |
| Yards per target | 8.67 |
| Catch rate | 66.67% |
| Yards per carry | 5.34 |
| Snap share | 55.5% |
| Target share | 1.71% |
| Air-yards share | 0.37% |
| WOPR | 0.028 |
| RACR | 0.217 |
| Average depth of target | 3.2 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 12.5 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 0.5 |
| Total YAC | 50 |
| Broken tackles | 1 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 54.2 |
| Receiving EPA per game | -0.24 |
| Rushing EPA per game | 1.19 |
| Red-zone targets | 0 |
| Red-zone target share | 0% |
| End-zone target share | 0% |
| Red-zone carry share | 20% |
| Goal-line carry share | 17.6% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 0 |
| Receiving TD luck | 0 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 2.25 |
The offense threw it 503 times. 1 team-mate cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Marquez Callaway | 17.83% |
| Alvin Kamara | 14.23% |
| Deonte Harty | 12.53% |
| Tre'Quan Smith | 10.62% |
| Adam Trautman | 9.13% |
| Mark Ingram | 5.52% |
He caught passes from 3 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jameis Winston | 5 | 4 | 6.18 | 9.25 | 2.96% |
| unknown | 4 | 0 | 18.45 | — | 0% |
| Trevor Siemian | 3 | 2 | 5.68 | 7.5 | 1.9% |
3 of his 12 games were blowouts, 23.1% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 9.37 in those and 10.52 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
His best game was Week 11 against ATL — 24.22 PPR on 0 targets and a 0% target share, in a game that finished 24-9. His worst was Week 3 against GB at -0.3, on 1 targets, final score 30-37. Across 16 games he cleared 20 points 2 times and came in under 8 points 8 times. In the 8 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 9.2; in the 8 decided by more, 10.4. He scored more when the game was not close.
His usage that season was worth 1.5 points per game. He scored 9.79, 539.6% above it. The engine classified the season as very_lucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TB | 34-23 | 5.22 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 3.3% | 25% |
| 2 | LV | 24-34 | 0.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0% | 23% |
| 3 | GB | 30-37 | -0.3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 2.9% | 21% |
| 4 | DET | 35-29 | 2.4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 4% | 29% |
| 5 | LAC | 30-27 | 7.3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 4.3% | 26% |
| 7 | CAR | 27-24 | 0.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0% | 14% |
| 8 | CHI | 26-23 | 14.5 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 5 | 35 | 1 | 4.9% | 19% |
| 9 | TB | 38-3 | 10.42 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 7 | 54 | 0 | 2.9% | 26% |
| 10 | SF | 27-13 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 45 | 0 | 0% | 37% |
| 11 | ATL | 24-9 | 24.22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 49 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 12 | DEN | 31-3 | 17.52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 44 | 2 | 0% | 95% |
| 13 | ATL | 21-16 | 23.58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 83 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 14 | PHI | 21-24 | 18.94 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 33 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
| 15 | KC | 29-32 | 6.3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6.1% | 18% |
| 16 | MIN | 52-33 | 11.02 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 5 | 18 | 1 | 3.6% | 32% |
| 17 | CAR | 33-7 | 11.6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 41 | 1 | 3.4% | 33% |
| Receptions | 8 |
| Targets | 12 |
| Receiving yards | 98 |
| Carries | 87 |
| Rushing yards | 457 |
| Touchdowns | 13 |
| Points per game | 9.79 |
| Yards per target | 8.17 |
| Catch rate | 66.67% |
| Yards per carry | 5.25 |
| Snap share | 43.63% |
| Target share | 2.21% |
| Air-yards share | 2.5% |
| WOPR | 0.051 |
| RACR | 0.398 |
| Average depth of target | 7.6 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 4.4 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 7.9 |
| Total YAC | 35 |
| Broken tackles | 0 |
| Drop rate | 0.1% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 119.4 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0.02 |
| Rushing EPA per game | 0.84 |
| Red-zone targets | 2 |
| Red-zone target share | 2.1% |
| End-zone target share | 3.1% |
| Red-zone carry share | 22.9% |
| Goal-line carry share | 27.8% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0.65 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 1 |
| Receiving TD luck | 0.35 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 5.89 |
The offense threw it 522 times. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Alvin Kamara | 21.23% |
| Emmanuel Sanders | 16.27% |
| Jared Cook | 11.9% |
| Michael Thomas | 10.91% |
| Tre'Quan Smith | 9.92% |
| Marquez Callaway | 5.36% |
He caught passes from 2 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Brees | 12 | 12 | 6.03 | 8.17 | 2.95% |
| unknown | 4 | 0 | 21.06 | — | 0% |
4 of his 16 games were blowouts, 32.3% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 12.64 in those and 9.16 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.
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