Jonah ColemanDenver Broncos
RB/Denver Broncos

Jonah Coleman

Age 23.1 · Rookie · 5'8", 220 lb · Washington · 2026 R4 #108
01

Overview

Board Oct 12
Move down
Down 2 to RB38 · misses ~1.5 games · model RB51 · market RB52
The books rank him RB52 over the rest of the season (6.2 PPR a game), 16 spots below his RB36 on the 10/12 list; that is a large disagreement, so he moves two spots down; both forecasts are cut for the 1.5 games he is expected to miss.
Model
RB51
Market
RB52
2026 production
—

Week 5 rest-of-season review, Oct 12, 2026. The three reads are where our backtested model, the betting market and his 2026 production each place him at RB; our board rank is the call.

Realistic range, rest of season
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
RB32
RB38 now
RB51
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
RB34
RB39 now
RB51
← If it breaks right
If it does not →
RB34
RB42 now
RB50

Where his stats say he could finish from here: RB34 to RB51. Our rank stays the call.

Rest-of-season rank on our sheets
#112Sep 21#100Sep 26#103Sep 28#99Sep 30#92Oct 5#101Oct 12#110Sep 21#99Sep 26#102Sep 28#97Sep 30#97Oct 5#101Oct 12#109Sep 21#98Sep 26#98Sep 28#94Sep 30#88Oct 5#98Oct 12

2026 so far2 games

Points a game
6.7
RB41 of 115
Carry share
23%
10 carries
Touches a game
6.5
3 targets
Expected PPR a game
5.6
+1.8 a game vs usage
Our rest-of-season model
Half PPR/g
7.0
PPR/g
7.8
Games left
9.1

80% range 2.8–10.4 half-PPR points a game. Biggest inputs: college target share +0.5, team play volume +0.4, preseason ADP -0.3, Week 5 sportsbook lines -0.2. The model informs the rank; it does not set it.

02

Week 6

Lines Oct 14
DEN
VS
Thu · Oct 15 · 8:15 PM ET
Empower Field at Mile High
SEA
LineSEA -2.5Total40.5DEN implied19Rest4 days (SEA 4)Forecast45°F, wind 4 mph, 31% rain
Our Week 6 projection

0 points. Our projection does not expect him to play this week.

Updated Oct 14, 2026.

Seattle Seahawks defense vs RBs
#17of 32 in fantasy points allowed to RBs (1 = stingiest)
StingiestSoftest
PPR a game
20.8
rush yds
78
rec
5.2
TD
0.8

Allowed to RBs per game across 5 games. Best games against them: Christian McCaffrey (W5, 17.3 PPR, 11 car 68 ry, 3/3 15 rec); Rhamondre Stevenson (W1, 14.5 PPR, 18 car 51 ry, 5/6 44 rec); Omarion Hampton (W4, 13.3 PPR, 9 car 45 ry, 2/2 8 rec).

EPA ranks entering Week 6: #2 against the pass, #3 against the run (1 = best defense).

Where SEA gives up receiving fantasy points to RBs
#17
SEA's average rank in the zones where Coleman gets his targets, weighted by his share there (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest).
Left
Middle
Right
Deep 20+
0.0#1
0.0#1
0.0#1
Middle 10–19
0.0#1
0.0#1
0.0#1
Short 0–9
33%1.1#18
2.3#31
33%0.5#10
Behind line
33%1.5#22
1.5#30
1.1#17

Runs by directionRB rushing points allowed a game

Left
Middle
Right
Rushing
40%5.2#15
20%1.9#9
40%3.1#7
StingySoft

Big number: receiving fantasy points SEA allows a game to RBs in that zone. # = its rank of 32. Green tag = Jonah Coleman's share of his targets in that zone this season. Depth is air yards at the catch point; 5 games, through Week 5. Tap a zone for the detail.

Week 5: projected vs. actual
Projected
0.2
RB96
Actual
0.0
Difference
−0.2

no stats recorded

Do defensive matchups actually matter? Our study ›

03

Game log

2026 · through W5
Fantasy pointsOur projection that weekSeason average 6.7
05101510.0214.83OUT4OUT5OUT051010.0213.33OUT4OUT5OUT051010.0211.83OUT4OUT5OUT

Every gametap a game for the detail

W3
vs LA W 30-26
Did not play (Ankle, out)
OUT
W4
@ SF L 14-24
Did not play (on injured reserve)
OUT
W5
@ LAC W 23-17
Did not play (on injured reserve)
OUT

D# = the opponent's rank against RBs entering that week (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest). Finish = his rank at RB that week.

04

Usage

Snap shareCarry shareTarget share
0%25%50%75%100%W1W240%36%10%

DEN backfieldshare of team carries, 2026

Jonah Coleman
23.3%
Share of team targets

Season to date, games each player played.

Role details2026, through Week 5

Red-zone tgt share
—
Red-zone carry share
30%
3 red-zone carries
Goal-line share
25%
1 carries inside the 5
Snap share
23.0%
05

Advanced

PoorAverageGreat
Fantasy points a game2+ games
6.7
48
49
51
Carry share2+ games
23.3%
36
Red-zone carry share2+ games
30.0%
49
Rush yards over expectedneeds 25+ carries
+0.06
Rush success rateneeds 25+ carries
40.0%
EPA per carryneeds 25+ carries
-0.02
Yards after contactneeds 25+ carries
1.00
Broken tackles per carryneeds 25+ carries
0.0%
10+ yard run rateneeds 25+ carries
20.0%
Stuff rateneeds 25+ carries
10.0%
Stacked-box rateneeds 25+ carries
20.0%
Expected points a game2+ games
5.6
31

Percentile against the RBs on our charts (each stat's minimum is next to it), 2026 through Week 5. 50 is the middle of the pack. Tap a bubble for his rank.

Expected vs. actualPPR, from this season's play-by-play

Expected PPR a game
5.6
what his targets and carries are usually worth
Actual PPR a game
7.4
Over expected
+1.8
points a game
TDs vs. expected
1/ 0.5
+0.48

1 TDs on 0.52 expected. Expected points price every target by depth and field position and every carry by field position. Do touchdowns regress? ›

06

Splits

As a receiver2026 charted plays, through Week 5

SituationTgtRec-Yds-TDYds/tgtEPA/tgt
All targets33-19-06.35.40.10-0.02
Score within 7100% of targets33-19-06.35.30.10-0.08
No blitz100% of targets33-19-06.35.40.10-0.01
With motion67% of targets22-12-06.05.30.19-0.03

Small grey number = every RB in that situation. Green or red = a clear gap either way. 3 of his 3 charted targets were catchable; 0 drops, 0 of 0 contested caught.

As a runner2026 charted carries, through Week 5

SituationCarYds-TDYPCSuccess
All carries1039-13.94.140%39%
Red zone30% of carries36-12.02.633%40%
Inside the 1020% of carries24-12.01.750%47%
Score within 7100% of carries1039-13.94.140%38%
Light box (6 or fewer)40% of carries412-03.04.525%40%
Stacked box (8+)30% of carries314-14.73.067%39%

Box counts from FTN charting. Small grey number = every RB in that situation.

07

Team

DEN
Points a game
19.4
26th of 32
Plays a game
57.2
29th of 32
EPA per play
-0.066
24th of 32
Pass rate over exp.
−4.7%
15th of 32
Red-zone plays a game
9.0
19th of 32
Motion rate
46%
17th of 32
Play-action rate
11%
16th of 32
No-huddle rate
4%
20th of 32

Denver Broncos offense, 2026 through Week 5. Rank 1 = most. Scheme rates from FTN charting through Week 5.

Game by gamescore, implied total, pass rate (over expected), QB

WeekScoreImpliedPass rateQB
W1vs KC10-3120.070%−0.3Nix28 att
W2vs JAX20-1324.055%−1.4Nix31 att
W3vs LA30-2622.560%−4.3Nix34 att
W4vs SF14-2422.865%−7.6Nix42 att
W5vs LAC23-1723.049%−8.8Nix27 att

Depth chartRB, Oct 14

RB4
Jonah Coleman

Scheduleeach defense's current rank vs RBs

W6
SEA
#17
W7
@ARI
#13
W8
KC
#14
W9
@CAR
#28
W10
BYE
W11
LV
#21
W12
@PIT
#22
W13
MIA
#29
W14
@NYJ
#23
W15
@LV
#21
W16
BUF
#31
W17
@NE
#19
W18
LAC
#20
Next 4
#18
average rank
Playoffs W15–17
#24
average rank
Bye
W10

Green = soft, red = stingy (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest), ranked on fantasy points allowed to RBs so far. Gold underline = fantasy playoffs. Does strength of schedule matter? ›

Head coach: Sean Payton. QB: Bo Nix (most pass attempts, Week 5).

08

Charts

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Jonah Coleman is highlighted on each chart. Swipe for more; tap a dot for the player. Every chart saves and shares as an image on the Charts page.

09

Career

Points a game by season
’267.4
’266.7
’265.9

Season by season

YearGRushing / receivingPts/gxFP/g
2026DEN210-39-1 rush3-19-0 rec on 3 tgt6.7RB415.6+3.6

Under points a game: his rank at RB in points a game (8+ games; 2026: 2+ games). xFP = expected PPR a game from his usage; under it, the season's points over expected. Routes = share of team dropbacks he ran a route (through 2025).

10

Health

Out · concern medium · through Week 6. On short-term IR (ankle); projected back in Week 7. J.K. Dobbins and RJ Harvey lead the Denver backfield Thursday vs Seattle.

Our note, Oct 13, 2026 · CBS Sports injury page (Fri 10/2)

Typical case for this injury (not him): ankle: median 1 game missed; 16% run past 3 games; first game back averages -0.7 PPR vs his own pre-injury baseline (n=219 spells)

2026 injury reportofficial, week by week

W1
✓
W2
✓
W3
OUT
W4
OUT
W5
OUT
W6
•

✓ = not listed. Letters = game status (Q, D, O) or worst practice that week (LP limited, DNP did not practice). Tap a week for the detail.

Teammates on the report

Our current notes first, then Sleeper designations. What happens when a starter is ruled out? ›

11

Value

Market Oct 10
1QB value
4,197
#102 overall · RB31 · tier 13
Superflex
3,367
#114 overall · RB31
30 days
+102
90 days +312
Peak
4,227
Aug 28, 2026 · 1% off
1QB dynasty value, last two years
4KJul ’264,1974,204

Market value on a 0–10,000 scale, through Oct 10, 2026. Faint stretches are estimates between real readings. Gold = peak.

Where his value could be in a year
1,675
3,605
6,618

Teal dot = today (4,197). Box = the middle half of outcomes, white line = the median, whiskers = 10th to 90th percentile. RBs about 23 valued near #102 overall: real 1-year moves since 2022, weighted by exact age and market rank (about 98 players' worth).

Redraft ADP, final preseason (Sep 12, 2026)

154.4 overall, RB51. Yahoo 131.2 · Underdog 155.3 · CBS 155.4 · Sleeper 160.5 · ESPN 170.3

12

Profile

Draft
R4 #108
2026 · 4th RB · DEN
Age
23.1
23 at the draft
Size
5'8"
220 lb
College
Washington

Athletic profilepercentile vs RBs at the combine since 2010

Height
5'8"
11
Weight
220 lb
73

College production

YearGRec-Yds-TDYds shareDominator
2025Washington1130-344-213.0%11.5
2024Washington1222-170-05.6%2.8
2023Arizona1223-282-17.7%5.3
2022Arizona128-24-00.6%0.3

Share = his share of his team's receiving yards. Dominator = average of his share of receiving yards and TDs.

Keep digging

All players · Week 6 rankings · Rest-of-season rankings · Charts · Stats · Methodology
Sources: nflverse play-by-play, weekly stats, Next Gen Stats and FTN charting (free public data); official NFL injury reports; Sleeper; GWTTKB rankings, projections and market data. Built 2026-10-14. Every number on this page comes from those files; where a stat is not on file it is left blank, never zero. Nothing here is betting advice.