Charts· Books vs. reality

Points vs. implied team total (2026, Weeks 1–9)

All 32 NFL teams, ranked by points per game over the implied total through Week 9 of 2026. Top: Raiders (+4.9), Bills (+4.7) and Jaguars (+4.3). Bottom: Chargers (-5.7), Vikings (-4.2) and Eagles (-3.6).

Implied total from the closing spread and total

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32teams ranked

1–9weeks of 2026

-5.7last: Chargers

+4.9#1 Raiders

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32 teams · 1520 characters

BOOKS VS. REALITY

Points vs. implied team total (2026, Weeks 1–9)

1. Raiders +4.9 (26.4 scored, 21.5 implied)
2. Bills +4.7 (32 scored, 27.3 implied)
3. Jaguars +4.3 (28.6 scored, 24.3 implied)
4. Bengals +4.2 (30 scored, 25.8 implied)
5. Texans +3.1 (26.1 scored, 23 implied)
6. 49ers +3.0 (29.4 scored, 26.4 implied)
7. Panthers +2.5 (24.9 scored, 22.4 implied)
8. Giants +2.5 (22.8 scored, 20.3 implied)
9. Bears +2.4 (26.8 scored, 24.4 implied)
10. Buccaneers +1.5 (22.4 scored, 20.9 implied)
11. Steelers +1.4 (22.5 scored, 21.1 implied)
12. Saints +1.2 (23.1 scored, 21.9 implied)
13. Chiefs +0.8 (25.3 scored, 24.5 implied)
14. Titans +0.8 (18 scored, 17.2 implied)
15. Cowboys +0.6 (27.3 scored, 26.7 implied)
16. Packers +0.4 (24 scored, 23.6 implied)
17. Commanders +0.3 (21.5 scored, 21.2 implied)
18. Patriots +0.2 (23.4 scored, 23.2 implied)
19. Lions 0.0 (27.8 scored, 27.8 implied)
20. Browns -0.1 (17.9 scored, 18 implied)
21. Jets -0.2 (20.2 scored, 20.4 implied)
22. Broncos -0.3 (22 scored, 22.3 implied)
23. Cardinals -0.8 (19.8 scored, 20.6 implied)
24. Colts -0.9 (20.4 scored, 21.3 implied)
25. Falcons -1.0 (20.9 scored, 21.9 implied)
26. Seahawks -1.3 (22.4 scored, 23.7 implied)
27. Dolphins -2.0 (15.8 scored, 17.8 implied)
28. Rams -2.6 (23.8 scored, 26.4 implied)
29. Ravens -2.7 (21 scored, 23.7 implied)
30. Eagles -3.6 (16.4 scored, 20 implied)
31. Vikings -4.2 (18.3 scored, 22.5 implied)
32. Chargers -5.7 (15.1 scored, 20.8 implied)

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Every team on the chart

The whole ranking, 32 teams.

#	Team	Points per game over the implied total
1	Raiders26.4 scored, 21.5 implied	+4.9
2	Bills32 scored, 27.3 implied	+4.7
3	Jaguars28.6 scored, 24.3 implied	+4.3
4	Bengals30 scored, 25.8 implied	+4.2
5	Texans26.1 scored, 23 implied	+3.1
6	49ers29.4 scored, 26.4 implied	+3.0
7	Panthers24.9 scored, 22.4 implied	+2.5
8	Giants22.8 scored, 20.3 implied	+2.5
9	Bears26.8 scored, 24.4 implied	+2.4
10	Buccaneers22.4 scored, 20.9 implied	+1.5
11	Steelers22.5 scored, 21.1 implied	+1.4
12	Saints23.1 scored, 21.9 implied	+1.2
13	Chiefs25.3 scored, 24.5 implied	+0.8
14	Titans18 scored, 17.2 implied	+0.8
15	Cowboys27.3 scored, 26.7 implied	+0.6
16	Packers24 scored, 23.6 implied	+0.4
17	Commanders21.5 scored, 21.2 implied	+0.3
18	Patriots23.4 scored, 23.2 implied	+0.2
19	Lions27.8 scored, 27.8 implied	0.0
20	Browns17.9 scored, 18 implied	-0.1
21	Jets20.2 scored, 20.4 implied	-0.2
22	Broncos22 scored, 22.3 implied	-0.3
23	Cardinals19.8 scored, 20.6 implied	-0.8
24	Colts20.4 scored, 21.3 implied	-0.9
25	Falcons20.9 scored, 21.9 implied	-1.0
26	Seahawks22.4 scored, 23.7 implied	-1.3
27	Dolphins15.8 scored, 17.8 implied	-2.0
28	Rams23.8 scored, 26.4 implied	-2.6
29	Ravens21 scored, 23.7 implied	-2.7
30	Eagles16.4 scored, 20 implied	-3.6
31	Vikings18.3 scored, 22.5 implied	-4.2
32	Chargers15.1 scored, 20.8 implied	-5.7

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Minimums scale with the season (QBs 15 attempts a week, RBs 8 carries, WRs 5 targets, TEs 3). Expected points price every carry and target by where it happened. Built from the same data as the Charts gallery; every chart saves as a 1080 × 1350 post.