Aidan O'ConnellLas Vegas Raiders
QB/Las Vegas Raiders

Aidan O'Connell

Age 28.1 · 4th season · 6'3", 213 lb · Purdue · 2023 R4 #135
01

Week 6

Lines Oct 14
LV
VS
Sun · Oct 18 · 4:25 PM ET
Allegiant Stadium
BUF
LineBUF -5Total53.5LV implied24.3Rest7 days (BUF 6)Roofindoors
Our Week 6 projection

0 points. Our projection does not expect him to play this week.

Updated Oct 14, 2026.

Buffalo Bills defense vs QBs
#29of 32 in fantasy points allowed to QBs (1 = stingiest)
StingiestSoftest
PPR a game
22.5
pass yds
296
pass TD
2.60
rush yds
19

Allowed to QBs per game across 5 games. Best games against them: Jared Goff (W2, 29.78 PPR, 327 py, 4 TD); Matthew Stafford (W5, 27.32 PPR, 383 py, 3 TD); Drake Maye (W4, 26.16 PPR, 269 py, 3 TD).

EPA ranks entering Week 6: #26 against the pass, #29 against the run (1 = best defense).

Where BUF gives up QB passing points to QBs
Left
Middle
Right
Deep 20+
0.2#4
0.8#19
1.6#23
Middle 10–19
1.6#31
3.0#30
2.5#30
Short 0–9
4.9#32
1.6#16
3.7#28
Behind line
0.4#10
0.9#29
0.4#11
StingySoft

Big number: QB passing points BUF allows a game to QBs in that zone. # = its rank of 32. Depth is air yards at the catch point; 5 games, through Week 5. Tap a zone for the detail.

Week 5: projected vs. actual
Projected
0.0
QB89
Actual
0.0
Difference
0.0

no stats recorded

Do defensive matchups actually matter? Our study ›

02

Game log

2026 · through W5
Fantasy pointsOur projection that weekSeason average —
05101—2OUT3OUT4OUT5—05101—2OUT3OUT4OUT5—05101—2OUT3OUT4OUT5—

Every gametap a game for the detail

W1
vs MIA W 27-13
No catch, carry or pass recorded
—
W2
@ LAC W 26-14
Did not play (questionable)
OUT
W3
@ NO W 35-27
Did not play (questionable)
OUT
W4
vs KC L 27-30
Did not play (questionable)
OUT
W5
@ NE L 17-45
No catch, carry or pass recorded
—

D# = the opponent's rank against QBs entering that week (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest). Finish = his rank at QB that week.

03

Splits

Pressure and play action, 2023-2025
Pressured
25%
of dropbacks
EPA clean
+0.13
vs −0.56 pressured
Play action
22%
of dropbacks
EPA on play action
+0.20
vs −0.11 without
04

Team

LV
Points a game
26.4
9th of 32
Plays a game
63.4
10th of 32
EPA per play
0.004
14th of 32
Pass rate over exp.
−3.8%
13th of 32
Red-zone plays a game
10.8
9th of 32
Motion rate
46%
14th of 32
Play-action rate
11%
20th of 32
No-huddle rate
6%
10th of 32

Las Vegas Raiders offense, 2026 through Week 5. Rank 1 = most. Scheme rates from FTN charting through Week 5.

Game by gamescore, implied total, pass rate (over expected), QB

WeekScoreImpliedPass rateQB
W1vs MIA27-1321.847%−8.0Cousins30 att
W2vs LAC26-1418.554%−3.1Cousins29 att
W3vs NO35-2720.060%−1.4Cousins33 att
W4vs KC27-3021.566%−3.7Cousins52 att
W5vs NE17-4521.068%−2.6Cousins28 att

Depth chartQB, Oct 14

QB3
Aidan O'Connell

Scheduleeach defense's current rank vs QBs

W6
BUF
#29
W7
LA
#20
W8
@NYJ
#7
W9
@SF
#6
W10
SEA
#5
W11
@DEN
#13
W12
@CLE
#17
W13
BYE
W14
LAC
#11
W15
DEN
#13
W16
TEN
#12
W17
@ARI
#30
W18
@KC
#4
Next 4
#16
average rank
Playoffs W15–17
#18
average rank
Bye
W13

Green = soft, red = stingy (1 = stingiest, 32 = softest), ranked on fantasy points allowed to QBs so far. Gold underline = fantasy playoffs. Does strength of schedule matter? ›

Head coach: Klint Kubliak. QB: Kirk Cousins (most pass attempts, Week 5).

05

Career

Points a game by season
’2311.4’2410.4’254.8
’2311.4’2410.4’254.8
’2311.4’2410.4’254.8

Season by season

YearGPassing / rushingPts/gxFP/g
2025LV1102 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT7 rush yds, 0 TD4.811.1−6.3
2024LV91,612 yds, 8 TD, 4 INT30 rush yds, 1 TD10.4QB3313.9−31.7
2023LV112,218 yds, 12 TD, 7 INT11 rush yds, 1 TD11.4QB2714.4−33.1

Under points a game: his rank at QB in points a game (8+ games; 2026: 2+ games). xFP = expected PPR a game from his usage; under it, the season's points over expected.

Red zone and touchdowns

20252 RZ att, 0 pass TD vs 0.3 exp
202430 RZ att, 5 pass TD vs 6.2 exp · 2 RZ car (3%), 1 inside 5, 1 rush TD vs 0.5 exp
202351 RZ att, 8 pass TD vs 9.6 exp · 3 RZ car (5%), 3 inside 5, 1 rush TD vs 1.3 exp

Floor and ceilingPPR

Middle half of games
6.8–15.9
PPR, 18 games 2023–25

2 of his last 18 games reached 20 PPR; 9 finished under 10. Is there a floor-vs-ceiling trade-off? ›

Every game since 2023

2025 game log 1 games · LV · 4.8 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W18vs KC · D1410/22 102 yds 0 TD · 1-7 rush82%4.8
2024 game log 9 games · LV · 10.4 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W3vs CAR · D29/12 82 yds 1 TD (left hurt)20%7.3
W5@ DEN · D810/20 94 yds 0 TD 1 INT37%1.8
W6vs PIT · D727/40 227 yds 1 TD 1 INT100%11.1
W7@ LA · D236/10 52 yds 0 TD (left hurt)18%2.1
W13@ KC · D2323/35 340 yds 2 TD · 1-0 rush100%19.6
W14@ TB · D3111/19 104 yds 0 TD 1 INT · 6-6-1 rush66%6.8
W16vs JAX · D3224/38 257 yds 0 TD · 7-12 rush100%11.5
W17@ NO · D920/35 242 yds 2 TD · 3--1 rush100%17.6
W18vs LAC · D1124/34 214 yds 2 TD 1 INT · 4-13 rush94%15.9
2023 game log 11 games · LV · 11.4 PPR a game
GameLineSnapsPts
W4@ LAC · D3224/39 238 yds 0 TD 1 INT · 3-3-1 rush100%9.8
W7@ CHI · D2910/13 75 yds 1 TD 1 INT (left hurt)22%5.0
W9vs NYG · D1016/25 209 yds 0 TD100%8.4
W10vs NYJ · D1016/27 153 yds 1 TD 1 INT · 2-3 rush100%8.4
W11@ MIA · D2624/41 271 yds 1 TD 3 INT · 1-3 rush100%9.1
W12vs KC · D923/33 248 yds 1 TD100%13.9
W14vs MIN · D1621/32 171 yds 0 TD 1 INT · 1-2 rush100%5.0
W15vs LAC · D2820/34 248 yds 4 TD100%25.9
W16@ KC · D129/21 62 yds 0 TD · 4--4 rush100%2.1
W17@ IND · D1030/47 299 yds 2 TD · 2-3 rush100%20.3
W18vs DEN · D2220/31 244 yds 2 TD · 4-1 rush95%17.9
06

Health

2026 injury reportofficial, week by week

W2
OUT
W3
OUT
W4
OUT
W6
•

✓ = not listed. Letters = game status (Q, D, O) or worst practice that week (LP limited, DNP did not practice). Tap a week for the detail.

Historyofficial injury reports since 2020

YearWeeks listedRuled outListed for
202533Wrist (3)
202450Knee (2), Toe, Right Thumb, Illness

8 report weeks over 2 seasons; recurring: Toe, Right Thumb, Illness, Knee, Wrist. Risk label: low.

How long do players take to recover? ›

Teammates on the report

questionable
Dont'e Thornton Jr.
questionable
IR (Forearm)
Questionable (Ankle)

Our current notes first, then Sleeper designations. What happens when a starter is ruled out? ›

07

Value

Market Oct 10
1QB value
546
#456 overall · QB62 · tier 13
Superflex
474
#440 overall · QB72
30 days
—
90 days +66 · 1 year −108
Peak
1,525
Nov 16, 2023 · 64% off
1QB dynasty value, last two years
5001KJan ’25Jul ’25Jan ’26Jul ’26546987

Market value on a 0–10,000 scale, through Oct 10, 2026. Faint stretches are estimates between real readings. Gold = peak.

Where his value could be in a year
137
465
1,358

Teal dot = today (546). Box = the middle half of outcomes, white line = the median, whiskers = 10th to 90th percentile. QBs about 28 valued near #400 overall: real 1-year moves since 2022, weighted by exact age and market rank (about 30 players' worth).

08

Profile

Draft
R4 #135
2023 · 8th QB · LV
Age
28.1
25 at the draft
Size
6'3"
213 lb
College
Purdue

Athletic profilepercentile vs QBs at the combine since 2010

Height
6'3"
56
Weight
213 lb
22

College production

YearGPass ydsPass TDRush yds
2022Purdue123,48122-81
2021Purdue113,17823-111
2020Purdue39167-64
2019Purdue61,0998-9

Share = his share of his team's receiving yards. Dominator = average of his share of receiving yards and TDs.

Keep digging

All players · Week 6 rankings · Rest-of-season rankings · Charts · Stats · Methodology
Sources: nflverse play-by-play, weekly stats, Next Gen Stats and FTN charting (free public data); official NFL injury reports; Sleeper; GWTTKB rankings, projections and market data. Built 2026-10-14. Every number on this page comes from those files; where a stat is not on file it is left blank, never zero. Nothing here is betting advice.