TE · LAC · GWTTKB

Will Dissly — fantasy football 2026

Every game, every stat category, and what the board says. 2.59 points per game in 2025, usage worth 3.6.

29 years old · 8 seasons of experience · 2018 draft class

Updated 2026-08-16 · free, no account, no paywall
Every figure below comes from our database. Where a stat is not held, the row is absent rather than zero.

The offense he plays in, 2026

Los Angeles Chargers returns 5 of 6 continuity slots, replacing oc. Justin Herbert at quarterback, Jim Harbaugh as head coach, Mike McDaniel calling it. The offense projects to 33.5 pass attempts a game at medium confidence and 27 rushes.

In: Brenen Thompson (wr4), Luke Grimm (wr7), Keaton Mitchell (rb2), Charlie Kolar (te2). Out: Keenan Allen (wr3), Tyler Conklin (te2).

The projected target split across the offense:

Ladd McConkey24.2%
Quentin Johnston18.9%
Tre' Harris13.3%
Oronde Gadsden10.6%
Omarion Hampton10%
Brenen Thompson8.6%

Our written view on this offense in 2026

What the offense looks like: The top targets and back in this offense will be STELLAR fantasy assets in 2026 and beyond. Herbert SHOULD have a killer season in 2026.

Key additions: Joe Alt & Slater are back. This offense should do a complete 180. Joe Alt & Slater return in 2026 from injury & Chargers add Jake Slaughter LG in the 2nd round of 2026 draft. Sign Tyler Biadasz C, and RG Cole Strange. Entire different O ine from later year. Signed RB Keaton Mitchell to 2 year deal. Signed FB Alex Ingold from Miami. Biggest change is teh offensive Genius Mike McDaniel is the new OC.

Key departures: Keenan Allen remains a free agent and is not currently expected back with the Chargers

Notes: Chargers bring in Mike McDaniel as offensvie coordinator who could SUPERCHARGE offense. Herbert ascending as top 7 dynasty QB. Keenan Allen remains a free agent. Ladd & QJ should operate as 1A & 1B with Ladd having more potential. Tre' Harris should operate as WR3 if no one else is brought in. TE Oronde Gadsden could be very good. RB room is complex. Hampton is the presumed starter week 1 with massive potential but Vidal has been very capable as a back up & chargers also signed Keaton Mitchell to 2 year deal in free agency. Question mark people should think about in usage. Thompson round 4.

How the volume number was reached: Same QB Justin Herbert returning — anchor to 2025 actuals (33.5 att/g); Regressed 42% toward league mean 33.5, floored at 30 → 33.5 att/g; New OC Mike McDaniel — pass rate and tempo may shift.

Offensive environment: LAC rates 24.3 against a league average of 23, 1.3 points above it on opponent-adjusted least squares (multi-capture merge).

2026 schedule

Opponent-adjusted pass defense faced, against 2025 ratings. Positive is an easier slate.

Full season-2.5 · harder
Weeks 1–6-7.8 · harder
Weeks 12–17+1.1 · neutral
Fantasy playoffs (15–17)+0.6 · neutral

Read this narrowly. Our own testing found that season-long strength of schedule does not survive as a draft input — defensive quality is among the least stable team properties year to year, and a preseason slate is built on last year's identities. The playoff-weeks column is the only one we would let break a tie, and even then it is a tiebreaker rather than a reason. The finding.

What happened when he missed time

From the absence record rather than a depth chart — who actually gained when he was out.

SeasonGames missedMain beneficiaryTheir PPR gain
20242Stone Smartt+4.5

Dynasty context not redraft

Everything in this section is about his dynasty trade value — what he is worth as a long-term asset in the trade market. It is not a forecast of his 2026 fantasy scoring. A player can be a fine redraft pick while his dynasty value falls, and the reverse. The redraft read is above; this is a different question with a different answer.

Where he sits in the dynasty value cycle

His dynasty value has moved -39.3% over the last twelve months. The market cycle classifies him as post-crash. The base rate that applies: after a -25% crash, TEs recover only 30% of the time (keep falling 70%).

For context on how long this lasts at the position: the average career at his position produces 1.3 elite seasons and 2.3 startable seasons.

The five most similar seasons, and what their dynasty value did next

Matched on production profile — production-driven (pedigree ignored). The last column is how that player’s dynasty value moved the following year — a market outcome, not a scoring one.

PlayerSeasonTheir PPGSimilarityNext year
Durham Smythe2024178%+26.5%
Austin Hooper2023363%+46.1%
Ian Thomas20231.361%-1%
Gerald Everett20241.256%-21.9%
Harrison Bryant20242.954%+48.9%

Of the 5 with a following season on record, 3 gained value, 1 lost it and 1 held roughly flat.

Four years of dynasty value

02,000202120222023202420252026
Monthly superflex value, 2020-04 to 2026-07. Down 5% across the series, peaking at 1,811.

The player

Draft capital and athletic profile

Drafted2018, round 4, pick 120 by SEA
CollegeWashington
Age at draft22
Height6′4″
Weight262 lb
40-yard dash4.87s
Vertical28″
Broad jump111″
3-cone7.07s
Shuttle4.4s

Availability and volatility

Career PPR per game4.7
Week-to-week variation0.9
Boom rate9.8%
Bust rate21.3%
Games missed per season0.8
Injury historyShoulder, Knee
Correlation between his posted line and his actual score0.29

That correlation is how closely the books’ posted line tracked what he actually scored, week to week. A higher number means the market has him figured out and there is less to exploit; a lower one means his weeks are harder to price.

Injury type matters more than games missed. Measured across our injury database, knee and foot returns stay below a player’s pre-injury baseline for all three of the first games back, while hamstring returns over-recover by the third.

The record, season by season

2025 · LAC · 8 games

His best game was Week 16 against DAL — 5.8 PPR on 3 targets and a 10.7% target share, in a game that finished 34-17. His worst was Week 7 against IND at 0, on 1 targets, final score 24-38. Across 8 games he cleared 20 points 0 times and came in under 8 points 8 times. In the 4 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 2.9; in the 4 decided by more, 2.3. He scored more when the game was live.

Earned against scored

His usage that season was worth 3.6 points per game. He scored 2.59, 28.9% below it. The engine classified the season as very_unlucky.

WkOppScorePPRRecTgtYdsTDTgt%Snap%
1KC27-212.8111802.9%57%
2LV20-91.711703.7%40%
6MIA29-273.8221805.3%41%
7IND24-38001001.9%4%
14PHI22-191.111104.3%36%
16DAL34-175.83328010.7%22%
17HOU16-203.9221906.5%11%
18DEN3-191.6156013.2%44%

Production

Receptions11
Targets16
Receiving yards97
Touchdowns0
Points per game2.59
Yards per target6.06
Catch rate68.75%

Role

Snap share31.88%
Target share6.06%
Air-yards share2.61%
WOPR0.109
RACR3.422

Efficiency

Average depth of target4.5
Yards after catch per reception6
Yards before catch per reception2.8
Total YAC66
Broken tackles0
Drop rate0.1%
Passer rating when targeted84.6
Receiving EPA per game0.35

Scoring position

Red-zone targets1
Red-zone target share1.2%
End-zone target share0%
Expected receiving TDs0.15
Actual receiving TDs0
Receiving TD luck-0.15

Who else ate

The offense threw it 569 times. 3 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.

Keenan Allen22.63%
Ladd McConkey19.67%
Quentin Johnston15.58%
Oronde Gadsden II12.8%
Tre Harris7.98%
Omarion Hampton6.49%

By quarterback

He caught passes from 2 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.

QBGamesTargetsPPGY/TTgt%
Justin Herbert7112.738.275.04%
Trey Lance151.61.213.2%

Blowouts against close games

1 of his 8 games were blowouts, 28% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 5.8 in those and 2.9 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.

2024 · LAC · 15 games

His best game was Week 11 against CIN — 18 PPR on 6 targets and a 18.2% target share, in a game that finished 34-27. His worst was Week 13 against ATL at 0, on 1 targets, final score 17-13. Across 15 games he cleared 20 points 0 times and came in under 8 points 9 times. In the 7 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 8.2; in the 8 decided by more, 6.5. He scored more when the game was live.

Earned against scored

His usage that season was worth 7.6 points per game. He scored 7.34, 6.9% below it. The engine classified the season as neutral.

WkOppScorePPRRecTgtYdsTDTgt%Snap%
1LV22-102.3111304%44%
2CAR26-35.93329015.8%51%
3PIT10-204.93319015.8%50%
4KC10-174.42324011.1%36%
6DEN23-166.64526016.1%67%
7ARI15-1716.181181029.7%73%
8NO26-89.15741023.3%68%
9CLE27-102.9239011.5%68%
10TEN27-1785630033.3%54%
11CIN34-27184680118.2%57%
12BAL23-308.74447011.1%75%
13ATL17-13001004.2%63%
14KC17-193.9221906.9%40%
17NE40-74.1232107.5%44%
18LV34-2015.25642117.1%57%

Production

Receptions50
Targets64
Receiving yards481
Touchdowns2
Points per game7.34
Yards per target7.52
Catch rate78.13%

Role

Snap share56.47%
Target share15.04%
Air-yards share8.11%
WOPR0.281
RACR2.629

Efficiency

Average depth of target4.6
Yards after catch per reception6.1
Yards before catch per reception3.6
Total YAC303
Broken tackles4
Drop rate0.1%
Passer rating when targeted108.4
Receiving EPA per game1.03

Scoring position

Red-zone targets8
Red-zone target share15.1%
End-zone target share7.7%
Expected receiving TDs1.64
Actual receiving TDs1
Receiving TD luck-0.64

Who else ate

The offense threw it 509 times. He took 13.17% of the targets. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.

Ladd McConkey23.05%
Quentin Johnston18.72%
Josh Palmer13.37%
Will Dissly 13.17%
J.K. Dobbins7.82%
Stone Smartt3.91%

Blowouts against close games

4 of his 15 games were blowouts, 20% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 5.5 in those and 8.24 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.

2023 · SEA · 13 games

His best game was Week 18 against ARI — 13.6 PPR on 3 targets and a 11.5% target share, in a game that finished 21-20. His worst was Week 13 against DAL at 0, on 2 targets, final score 35-41. Across 13 games he cleared 20 points 0 times and came in under 8 points 12 times. In the 9 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 3.6; in the 4 decided by more, 2. He scored more when the game was live.

Earned against scored

His usage that season was worth 3.2 points per game. He scored 3.09, 5.5% above it. The engine classified the season as neutral.

WkOppScorePPRRecTgtYdsTDTgt%Snap%
1LA13-303.7221708.3%31%
2DET37-316.5333508.1%51%
6CIN13-171.411402.7%43%
8CLE24-20000000%40%
9BAL3-37001004%22%
10WAS29-264.2222204.8%41%
11LA16-171.913907.9%38%
12SF13-313.1112103.7%27%
13DAL35-41002005.3%36%
14SF16-281.311303.2%32%
15PHI20-172.922906.3%39%
16TEN20-171.611602.8%26%
18ARI21-2013.63346111.5%36%

Production

Receptions17
Targets22
Receiving yards172
Touchdowns1
Points per game3.09
Yards per target7.82
Catch rate77.27%

Role

Snap share35.54%
Target share5.28%
Air-yards share2.44%
WOPR0.096
RACR2.102

Efficiency

Average depth of target2.8
Yards after catch per reception7.1
Yards before catch per reception3.1
Total YAC120
Broken tackles3
Drop rate0%
Passer rating when targeted114.2
Receiving EPA per game0.67

Scoring position

Red-zone targets2
Red-zone target share3%
End-zone target share0%
Expected receiving TDs0.27
Actual receiving TDs1
Receiving TD luck0.73

Who else ate

The offense threw it 575 times. 3 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.

Tyler Lockett22.34%
DK Metcalf21.79%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba17.03%
Noah Fant7.88%
Zach Charbonnet7.33%
Kenneth Walker6.78%

By quarterback

He caught passes from 2 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.

QBGamesTargetsPPGY/TTgt%
Geno Smith11193.278.425.37%
Drew Lock232.144.75%

Blowouts against close games

3 of his 13 games were blowouts, 16.9% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 2.27 in those and 3.57 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.

2022 · SEA · 15 games

His best game was Week 4 against DET — 13.9 PPR on 4 targets and a 13.8% target share, in a game that finished 48-45. His worst was Week 2 against SF at 2, on 2 targets, final score 7-27. Across 15 games he cleared 20 points 0 times and came in under 8 points 11 times. In the 9 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 7; in the 6 decided by more, 4. He scored more when the game was live.

Earned against scored

His usage that season was worth 4.4 points per game. He scored 5.79, 30.7% above it. The engine classified the season as very_lucky.

WkOppScorePPRRecTgtYdsTDTgt%Snap%
1DEN17-1613.33343111.1%67%
2SF7-27222006.7%47%
3ATL23-2712.4333416.8%61%
4DET48-4513.94439113.8%73%
5NO32-394.12321012.5%63%
6ARI19-92.2111203.3%65%
7LAC37-238.54445015.4%76%
8NYG27-133.2221206.1%78%
9ARI31-215.43424012.5%59%
10TB16-214.8222806.1%42%
12LV34-403.7231708.1%74%
13LA27-234.2222205.4%52%
14CAR24-304232008.3%39%
15SF13-212.3111302.4%58%
16KC10-242.9111902.6%37%

Production

Receptions34
Targets38
Receiving yards349
Touchdowns3
Points per game5.79
Yards per target9.18
Catch rate89.47%

Role

Snap share59.4%
Target share8.07%
Air-yards share5.08%
WOPR0.157
RACR2.89

Efficiency

Average depth of target5.4
Yards after catch per reception5.4
Yards before catch per reception4.9
Total YAC184
Broken tackles2
Drop rate0.1%
Passer rating when targeted131.2
Receiving EPA per game1.76

Scoring position

Red-zone targets6
Red-zone target share7.7%
End-zone target share2.3%
Expected receiving TDs1.11
Actual receiving TDs2
Receiving TD luck0.89

Who else ate

The offense threw it 573 times. He took 6.87% of the targets. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.

DK Metcalf25.5%
Tyler Lockett21.16%
Noah Fant11.39%
Marquise Goodwin7.59%
Will Dissly 6.87%
Kenneth Walker6.33%

Blowouts against close games

1 of his 15 games were blowouts, 2.3% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 2 in those and 6.97 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.

2021 · SEA · 13 games

His best game was Week 6 against PIT — 8.8 PPR on 2 targets and a 6.5% target share, in a game that finished 20-23. His worst was Week 8 against JAX at 0, on 0 targets, final score 31-7. Across 13 games he cleared 20 points 0 times and came in under 8 points 12 times. In the 4 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 4.5; in the 9 decided by more, 3.6. He scored more when the game was live.

Earned against scored

His usage that season was worth 3.8 points per game. He scored 3.85, 10.4% above it. The engine classified the season as lucky.

WkOppScorePPRRecTgtYdsTDTgt%Snap%
1IND28-166.73337014.3%70%
3MIN17-304.9113903.6%38%
4SF28-212.522509.1%82%
5LA17-264.92429012.5%88%
6PIT20-238.822816.5%72%
8JAX31-7000000%63%
10GB0-174.2222205.3%52%
11ARI13-232.61316012%51%
12WAS15-173.9221906.5%34%
13SF30-232.722705.4%47%
14HOU33-135.82338010.7%69%
15LA10-201.311303.6%46%
17DET51-291.811803.6%39%

Production

Receptions21
Targets26
Receiving yards231
Touchdowns1
Points per game3.85
Yards per target8.88
Catch rate80.77%

Role

Snap share57.77%
Target share7.16%
Air-yards share2.87%
WOPR0.128
RACR1.595

Efficiency

Average depth of target4.3
Yards after catch per reception6.8
Yards before catch per reception4.2
Total YAC143
Broken tackles2
Drop rate0.1%
Passer rating when targeted116.5
Receiving EPA per game0.91

Scoring position

Red-zone targets3
Red-zone target share5.3%
End-zone target share0%
Expected receiving TDs0.76
Actual receiving TDs1
Receiving TD luck0.24

Who else ate

The offense threw it 495 times. He took 5.5% of the targets. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.

DK Metcalf27.27%
Tyler Lockett22.62%
Gerald Everett13.32%
Freddie Swain8.46%
Will Dissly 5.5%
DeeJay Dallas4.86%

By quarterback

He caught passes from 2 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.

QBGamesTargetsPPGY/TTgt%
Russell Wilson10203.649.77.41%
Geno Smith364.576.176.33%

Blowouts against close games

4 of his 13 games were blowouts, 23.6% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 2.95 in those and 4.48 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.

2020 · SEA · 15 games

His best game was Week 14 against NYJ — 10.3 PPR on 2 targets and a 6.3% target share, in a game that finished 40-3. His worst was Week 15 against WAS at 0, on 0 targets, final score 20-15. Across 15 games he cleared 20 points 0 times and came in under 8 points 13 times. In the 10 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 3.7; in the 5 decided by more, 4.8. He scored more when the game was not close.

Earned against scored

His usage that season was worth 3.7 points per game. He scored 4.07, 13.5% above it. The engine classified the season as lucky.

WkOppScorePPRRecTgtYdsTDTgt%Snap%
1ATL38-252.822805.7%40%
2NE35-301.911904%49%
3DAL38-312.522505.3%39%
4MIA31-233.5221506.1%43%
5MIN27-268.9111913.3%37%
7ARI34-375.8243808.3%58%
8SF37-272.7111702.8%63%
9BUF34-443.6112602.5%32%
10LA16-232.6121605.7%36%
11ARI28-212111003.7%65%
13NYG12-176.84528012.2%54%
14NYJ40-310.3222316.3%49%
15WAS20-15000000%65%
16LA20-94.73317010.3%56%
17SF26-233122006.3%75%

Production

Receptions24
Targets29
Receiving yards251
Touchdowns2
Points per game4.07
Yards per target8.66
Catch rate82.76%

Role

Snap share50.73%
Target share5.5%
Air-yards share2.63%
WOPR0.101
RACR1.701

Efficiency

Average depth of target4.8
Yards after catch per reception7
Yards before catch per reception3.4
Total YAC169
Broken tackles0
Drop rate0%
Passer rating when targeted111.4
Receiving EPA per game0.39

Scoring position

Red-zone targets4
Red-zone target share4.8%
End-zone target share6.7%
Expected receiving TDs1.1
Actual receiving TDs2
Receiving TD luck0.9

Who else ate

The offense threw it 563 times. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.

Tyler Lockett24.63%
DK Metcalf24.07%
David Moore8.77%
Chris Carson8.58%
Jacob Hollister7.46%
Greg Olsen6.9%

Blowouts against close games

1 of his 15 games were blowouts, 16.9% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 10.3 in those and 3.7 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.

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