WR/FA
Tyreek Hill
Age 32.6 · 11th season · West Alabama · 2016 R5 #165
HealthyWeek 6: bye
01
Overview
Board Oct 12Slides down
Slides down 1 to WR85 · no 2026 games yet · no model · no lines
No book read (no yardage lines yet), so he holds at his slot on the 10/12 list; he slides because players around him moved up past him.
Model
—Market
—2026 production
—Week 5 rest-of-season review, Oct 12, 2026. The three reads are where our backtested model, the betting market and his 2026 production each place him at WR; our board rank is the call.
Rest-of-season rank on our sheets
02
Week 6
FA are on bye in Week 6.
03
Game log
2026 · through W5No catch, carry or pass recorded in 2026 yet.
FA have played 0 games. His past seasons are under Career.
04
Splits
Against coverage2022-2025 (2026 is not charted per player)
| Coverage | Tgt | Yds/tgt | Caught | EPA/tgt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Man | 185 | 9.6 | 62% | +0.46 |
| Zone | 331 | 9.3 | 72% | +0.33 |
| Cover 3 | 121 | 10.8 | 72% | +0.45 |
| Cover 1 | 118 | 9.8 | 63% | +0.52 |
| Cover 2 | 110 | 8.7 | 76% | +0.35 |
| Cover 4 | 55 | 7.3 | 60% | +0.10 |
| 2-man | 46 | 10.1 | 63% | +0.27 |
| Cover 6 | 36 | 10.8 | 78% | +0.55 |
| Cover 0 | 21 | 7.0 | 52% | +0.53 |
05
Career
Points a game by season
Season by season
| Year | G | Rec-Yds-TD | Pts/g | xFP/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025MIA | 4 | 21-265-129 tgt, 23.9% share, routes 73% | 10.8 | 12.4+4.0 |
| 2024MIA | 17 | 81-959-6123 tgt, 21.7% share, routes 82% | 10.5WR31 | 12.7+2.0 |
| 2023MIA | 16 | 119-1,799-13171 tgt, 32.3% share, routes 79% | 19.8WR1 | 18.1+86.0 |
| 2022MIA | 17 | 119-1,710-7170 tgt, 30.5% share, routes 84% | 16.6WR5 | 17.6+41.5 |
| 2021KC | 17 | 134-1,524-12187 tgt, 24.6% share, routes 80% | 14.2WR6 | 16.2+41.8 |
| 2020KC | 15 | 111-1,631-15166 tgt, 23.7% share, routes 90% | 19.0WR2 | 16.6+90.5 |
Under points a game: his rank at WR in points a game (8+ games; 2026: 2+ games). xFP = expected PPR a game from his usage; under it, the season's points over expected. Routes = share of team dropbacks he ran a route (through 2025).
Red zone and touchdowns
| 2025 | 2 RZ tgt (3%), 1 end-zone, 1 rec TD vs 0.8 exp |
| 2024 | 19 RZ tgt (22%), 12 end-zone, 5 rec TD vs 4.9 exp |
| 2023 | 1 RZ car (1%), 0 inside 5, 0 rush TD vs 0.1 exp · 25 RZ tgt (35%), 10 end-zone, 4 rec TD vs 7.4 exp |
| 2022 | 3 RZ car (6%), 1 inside 5, 1 rush TD vs 0.5 exp · 12 RZ tgt (18%), 6 end-zone, 3 rec TD vs 3.5 exp |
Floor and ceilingPPR
Boom rate
16%
1.5x his recent average and 10+
Bust rate
19%
half his recent average or less
Week-to-week swing
0.56
CV over 68 games
Middle half of games
10.2–25.4
PPR, 37 games 2023–25
13 of his last 37 games reached 20 PPR; 8 finished under 10. Is there a floor-vs-ceiling trade-off? ›
Every game since 2020
2025 game log 4 games · MIA · 13.4 PPR a game
| Game | Line | Snaps | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1@ IND · D20 | 4-40 on 6 tgt | 62% | 6.0 |
| W2vs NE · D16 | 6-109 on 7 tgt | 84% | 13.9 |
| W3@ BUF · D18 | 5-49-1 on 10 tgt | 87% | 13.4 |
| W4vs NYJ · D22 | 6-67 on 6 tgt | 41% | 9.7 |
2024 game log 17 games · MIA · 12.8 PPR a game
| Game | Line | Snaps | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1vs JAX · D22 | 7-130-1 on 12 tgt | 70% | 22.5 |
| W2vs BUF · D8 | 3-24 on 6 tgt · 1-12 rush | 68% | 5.1 |
| W3@ SEA · D20 | 3-40 on 5 tgt | 75% | 5.5 |
| W4vs TEN · D3 | 4-23 on 7 tgt · 3-19 rush | 73% | 6.2 |
| W5@ NE · D27 | 6-69 on 10 tgt | 79% | 9.9 |
| W7@ IND · D21 | 1-8 on 2 tgt · 1-5 rush | 90% | 1.8 |
| W8vs ARI · D26 | 6-72 on 9 tgt | 88% | 10.2 |
| W9@ BUF · D6 | 4-80 on 5 tgt | 97% | 10.0 |
| W10@ LA · D23 | 3-16-1 on 4 tgt · 2-11 rush | 87% | 10.2 |
| W11vs LV · D5 | 7-61-1 on 8 tgt | 76% | 15.6 |
| W12vs NE · D23 | 5-48 on 6 tgt | 74% | 7.3 |
| W13@ GB · D7 | 6-83-1 on 9 tgt | 80% | 17.3 |
| W14vs NYJ · D1 | 10-115-1 on 14 tgt · 1-6 rush | 97% | 23.1 |
| W15@ HOU · D27 | 2-36 on 7 tgt | 93% | 4.6 |
| W16vs SF · D4 | 3-29-1 on 7 tgt | 84% | 10.4 |
| W17@ CLE · D27 | 9-105 on 9 tgt | 88% | 15.0 |
| W18@ NYJ · D6 | 2-20 on 3 tgt | 39% | 3.0 |
2023 game log 16 games · MIA · 23.5 PPR a game
| Game | Line | Snaps | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1@ LAC · D6 | 11-215-2 on 15 tgt | 66% | 39.0 |
| W2@ NE · D20 | 5-40-1 on 9 tgt | 86% | 12.5 |
| W3vs DEN · D3 | 9-157-1 on 11 tgt | 53% | 26.2 |
| W4@ BUF · D3 | 3-58 on 5 tgt · 1-14 rush | 72% | 8.7 |
| W5vs NYG · D12 | 8-181-1 on 9 tgt | 46% | 28.1 |
| W6vs CAR · D7 | 6-163-1 on 10 tgt | 57% | 25.3 |
| W7@ PHI · D28 | 11-88-1 on 15 tgt | 78% | 20.3 |
| W8vs NE · D14 | 8-112-1 on 13 tgt | 75% | 21.2 |
| W9@ KC · D6 | 8-62 on 10 tgt · 1-3 rush | 90% | 8.5 |
| W11vs LV · D6 | 10-146-1 on 11 tgt | 59% | 25.6 |
| W12@ NYJ · D1 | 9-102-1 on 12 tgt · 1-2 rush | 63% | 20.9 |
| W13@ WAS · D31 | 5-157-2 on 7 tgt · 2--4 rush | 51% | 29.8 |
| W14vs TEN · D28 | 4-61 on 5 tgt | 47% | 8.1 |
| W16vs DAL · D6 | 9-99 on 14 tgt | 85% | 14.4 |
| W17@ BAL · D13 | 6-76 on 12 tgt · 1-0 rush | 72% | 10.6 |
| W18vs BUF · D7 | 7-82-1 on 13 tgt | 77% | 17.7 |
2022 game log 17 games · MIA · 20.1 PPR a game
| Game | Line | Snaps | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1vs NE | 8-94 on 12 tgt · 1-6 rush | 67% | 14.0 |
| W2@ BAL | 11-190-2 on 13 tgt | 76% | 36.5 |
| W3vs BUF | 2-33 on 4 tgt | 86% | 4.3 |
| W4@ CIN · D5 | 10-160 on 14 tgt · 1--1 rush | 94% | 20.9 |
| W5@ NYJ · D18 | 7-47 on 7 tgt · 2-13 rush | 64% | 9.5 |
| W6vs MIN · D15 | 12-177 on 15 tgt | 77% | 23.7 |
| W7vs PIT · D32 | 7-72 on 13 tgt | 89% | 10.7 |
| W8@ DET · D21 | 12-188 on 14 tgt · 1-7 rush | 72% | 25.5 |
| W9@ CHI · D3 | 7-143-1 on 8 tgt | 79% | 23.8 |
| W10vs CLE · D15 | 5-44-1 on 6 tgt | 71% | 12.9 |
| W12vs HOU · D4 | 6-85 on 9 tgt · 1-5 rush | 59% | 12.0 |
| W13@ SF · D16 | 9-146-1 on 14 tgt | 85% | 25.1 |
| W14@ LAC · D13 | 4-81-1 on 10 tgt | 67% | 16.1 |
| W15@ BUF · D21 | 9-69-1 on 13 tgt | 83% | 17.4 |
| W16vs GB · D5 | 4-103 on 6 tgt | 80% | 12.3 |
| W17@ NE · D17 | 4-55 on 7 tgt · 1-2-1 rush | 82% | 13.7 |
| W18vs NYJ · D2 | 2-23 on 5 tgt | 66% | 3.3 |
2021 game log 17 games · KC · 17.4 PPR a game
| Game | Line | Snaps | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1vs CLE | 11-197-1 on 15 tgt · 1-4 rush | 88% | 31.6 |
| W2@ BAL | 3-14 on 4 tgt · 1-15 rush | 98% | 4.4 |
| W3vs LAC | 5-56 on 7 tgt · 1-11 rush | 73% | 7.2 |
| W4@ PHI | 11-186-3 on 12 tgt | 81% | 42.1 |
| W5vs BUF | 7-63 on 13 tgt · 1-15 rush | 85% | 11.3 |
| W6@ WAS | 9-76-1 on 12 tgt | 57% | 18.1 |
| W7@ TEN | 6-49 on 9 tgt · 1-18 rush | 72% | 9.7 |
| W8vs NYG | 12-94-1 on 18 tgt | 77% | 21.4 |
| W9vs GB | 4-37 on 11 tgt · 1--4 rush | 83% | 5.3 |
| W10@ LV | 7-83-2 on 10 tgt · 1-2 rush | 74% | 24.0 |
| W11vs DAL | 9-77 on 11 tgt · 1-33 rush | 81% | 15.5 |
| W13vs DEN | 2-22 on 5 tgt | 88% | 3.2 |
| W14vs LV | 4-76 on 4 tgt | 67% | 9.6 |
| W15@ LAC | 12-148-1 on 13 tgt | 83% | 26.8 |
| W16vs PIT | 2-19 on 2 tgt | 42% | 2.9 |
| W17@ CIN | 6-40 on 10 tgt · 1-2 rush | 85% | 7.2 |
| W18@ DEN | 1-2 on 3 tgt | 18% | 0.7 |
2020 game log 15 games · KC · 21.9 PPR a game
| Game | Line | Snaps | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1vs HOU | 5-46-1 on 6 tgt | 86% | 13.1 |
| W2@ LAC | 5-99-1 on 11 tgt · 1-9 rush | 90% | 19.3 |
| W3@ BAL | 5-77-1 on 6 tgt · 2-25 rush | 80% | 18.7 |
| W4vs NE | 4-64-1 on 6 tgt | 93% | 14.4 |
| W5vs LV | 3-78 on 6 tgt · 3-15-1 rush | 88% | 16.8 |
| W6@ BUF | 3-20 on 3 tgt · 1-5 rush | 92% | 4.0 |
| W7@ DEN | 6-55-1 on 10 tgt | 73% | 14.5 |
| W8vs NYJ | 4-98-2 on 6 tgt | 76% | 23.8 |
| W9vs CAR | 9-113-2 on 18 tgt · 1-8 rush | 95% | 28.6 |
| W11@ LV | 11-102-1 on 14 tgt · 2--2 rush | 92% | 21.5 |
| W12@ TB | 13-269-3 on 15 tgt | 86% | 51.4 |
| W13vs DEN | 6-58 on 11 tgt · 1-30 rush | 95% | 11.8 |
| W14@ MIA | 3-79-1 on 7 tgt · 1-32-1 rush | 92% | 24.6 |
| W15@ NO | 6-53-1 on 10 tgt · 1-1 rush | 86% | 14.4 |
| W16vs ATL | 4-65 on 6 tgt | 64% | 8.5 |
06
Health
No injury designation. Not on the Sleeper injury list as of Oct 10 and not on the Week 6 practice report so far.
2026 injury reportofficial, week by week
W1
BYE
W6
•
✓ = not listed. Letters = game status (Q, D, O) or worst practice that week (LP limited, DNP did not practice). Tap a week for the detail.
Historyofficial injury reports since 2020
| Year | Weeks listed | Ruled out | Listed for |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 0 | Oblique |
| 2024 | 13 | 0 | Wrist (9), Foot |
| 2023 | 11 | 0 | Ankle (7), Hip, Foot, Hand |
| 2022 | 4 | 0 | Quadricep (2), Illness, Ankle |
| 2021 | 9 | 0 | Quadricep (2), Ankle (2), Toe, Rib, Knee, Groin |
| 2020 | 7 | 1 | Heel (3), Hamstring (3), Illness |
1 games missed 2023–25 (0.17 a season), Hamstring.
50 report weeks over 6 seasons; recurring: Heel, Illness, Hamstring, Toe, Rib. Risk label: moderate.
07
Value
Market Oct 101QB value
1,705
#322 overall · WR133 · tier 13
Superflex
1,444
#314 overall · WR130
30 days
+455
90 days −478 · 1 year −381
Peak
9,320
Oct 8, 2021 · 82% off
1QB dynasty value, last two years
Market value on a 0–10,000 scale, through Oct 10, 2026. Faint stretches are estimates between real readings. Gold = peak.
Where his value could be in a year
269
977
1,879
Teal dot = today (1,705). Box = the middle half of outcomes, white line = the median, whiskers = 10th to 90th percentile. WRs about 33 valued near #322 overall: real 1-year moves since 2022, weighted by exact age and market rank (about 20 players' worth).
Redraft ADP, final preseason (Sep 12, 2026)
167.7 overall, WR67. Yahoo 132.4 · CBS 161.1 · ESPN 169.8 · Sleeper 207.3 · Underdog 215.3
08
Profile
Age
32.6
College
West Alabama
Keep digging
All players · Week 6 rankings · Rest-of-season rankings · Charts · Stats · Methodology
Sources: nflverse play-by-play, weekly stats, Next Gen Stats and FTN charting (free public data); official NFL injury reports; Sleeper; GWTTKB rankings, projections and market data. Built 2026-10-14. Every number on this page comes from those files; where a stat is not on file it is left blank, never zero. Nothing here is betting advice.