Every game, every stat category, and what the board says. 4.32 points per game in 2025, usage worth 4.5.
29 years old · 9 seasons of experience · 2017 draft class
Kansas City Chiefs returns 4 of 6 continuity slots, replacing rb1, oc. Patrick Mahomes at quarterback, Andy Reid as head coach, Eric Bieniemy calling it. The offense projects to 34 pass attempts a game at medium confidence and 25.8 rushes.
In: Justin Fields (qb2), Cyrus Allen (wr5), Andrew Armstrong (wr7), Kenneth Walker III (rb1), Emmett Johnson (rb3), Emari Demercado (rb4). Out: Marquise Brown (wr3), Isiah Pacheco (rb1), Kareem Hunt (rb2).
The projected target split across the offense:
| Rashee Rice | 19.1% |
| Travis Kelce | 13.3% |
| Tyquan Thornton | 12.4% |
| Xavier Worthy | 12.1% |
| Brashard Smith | 7.7% |
| Cyrus Allen | 7.4% |
What the offense looks like: Highly relevant offense to own pieces of. Mahomes needs to return to his MVP form to support WR other than Rice, but Kenneth Walker III may be about to feast in KC if he can stay healthy. Of note, if Walker were to suffer an injury, RB Emmett Johnson has a great opportunity to fill in and be a valuable back.
Key additions: OC Eric Bieniemy retuns to Chiefs as OC. Previously served as OC from 2018 - 2022. Add RB Kenneth Walker III in free agency on massive 3 year deal.
Key departures: Isiah Pacheco left Chiefs for Lions in free agency. RB Kareem Hunt is also likely gone from the team. WR Hollywood Brown also left to the Eagles in free agency. Chiefs lost RT Jawaan Taylor in free agency (mid).
Notes: Rashee Rice is slotted to operate as WR1 & holds high value for 2026 season. Mahomes should be recovered from torn ACL. Kelce is in his final season most likely. Xavier Worthy has struggled to produce, could break out, but not looking great right now. Chiefs sign Kenneth Walker III in free agency (reigning superbowl MVP RB from seahawks) and he is set for monster season. Brashard Smith should operate as receiving back and Emmett Johnson will battle for 3rd string back with Emari Demercado.
How the volume number was reached: Same QB Patrick Mahomes returning — anchor to 2025 actuals (34.4 att/g); Regressed 42% toward league mean 33.5, floored at 30 → 34 att/g; New OC Eric Bieniemy — pass rate and tempo may shift.
Offensive environment: KC rates 24.1 against a league average of 23, 1.1 points above it on opponent-adjusted least squares (multi-capture merge).
Opponent-adjusted pass defense faced, against 2025 ratings. Positive is an easier slate.
| Full season | -2.5 · harder |
| Weeks 1–6 | -1.3 · neutral |
| Weeks 12–17 | -5.1 · harder |
| Fantasy playoffs (15–17) | -4.9 · harder |
Read this narrowly. Our own testing found that season-long strength of schedule does not survive as a draft input — defensive quality is among the least stable team properties year to year, and a preseason slate is built on last year's identities. The playoff-weeks column is the only one we would let break a tie, and even then it is a tiebreaker rather than a reason. The finding.
From the absence record rather than a depth chart — who actually gained when he was out.
| Season | Games missed | Main beneficiary | Their PPR gain |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3 | Kendrick Bourne | +8.6 |
| 2024 | 3 | DeAndre Hopkins | +5 |
Everything in this section is about his dynasty trade value — what he is worth as a long-term asset in the trade market. It is not a forecast of his 2026 fantasy scoring. A player can be a fine redraft pick while his dynasty value falls, and the reverse. The redraft read is above; this is a different question with a different answer.
His dynasty value has moved -25.5% over the last twelve months. The market cycle classifies him as post-crash. The base rate that applies: after a -25% crash, WRs recover only 15% of the time (keep falling 85%).
For context on how long this lasts at the position: the average career at his position produces 2.1 elite seasons and 2.6 startable seasons.
Matched on production profile — production-driven (pedigree ignored). The last column is how that player’s dynasty value moved the following year — a market outcome, not a scoring one.
| Player | Season | Their PPG | Similarity | Next year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Boyd | 2024 | 5.2 | 77% | -37.2% |
| Nelson Agholor | 2023 | 6.1 | 70% | +25.4% |
| Curtis Samuel | 2024 | 4.6 | 66% | -22.1% |
| Tyler Boyd | 2023 | 8.5 | 63% | -35.2% |
| Demarcus Robinson | 2024 | 7.3 | 62% | -2.7% |
Of the 5 with a following season on record, 1 gained value, 4 lost it and 0 held roughly flat.
| Drafted | 2017, round 2, pick 62 by PIT |
| College | USC |
| Age at draft | 20 |
| Height | 6′1″ |
| Weight | 215 lb |
| 40-yard dash | 4.54s |
| Vertical | 32.5″ |
| Broad jump | 120″ |
| Career PPR per game | 7.9 |
| Week-to-week variation | 0.9 |
| Boom rate | 15.5% |
| Bust rate | 44.8% |
| Games missed per season | 1.3 |
| Injury history | Shoulder, Concussion, Ankle, Hamstring |
| Correlation between his posted line and his actual score | -0.09 |
That correlation is how closely the books’ posted line tracked what he actually scored, week to week. A higher number means the market has him figured out and there is less to exploit; a lower one means his weeks are harder to price.
Injury type matters more than games missed. Measured across our injury database, knee and foot returns stay below a player’s pre-injury baseline for all three of the first games back, while hamstring returns over-recover by the third.
His best game was Week 4 against BAL — 13.6 PPR on 6 targets and a 17.1% target share, in a game that finished 37-20. His worst was Week 15 against LAC at 0, on 1 targets, final score 13-16. Across 17 games he cleared 20 points 0 times and came in under 8 points 13 times. In the 10 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 2.7; in the 7 decided by more, 6.7. He scored more when the game was not close.
His usage that season was worth 4.5 points per game. He scored 4.32, 4.3% below it. The engine classified the season as neutral. On receiving touchdowns specifically he finished 1 against 2.2 expected, a gap of -1.2.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAC | 21-27 | 10.5 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 0 | 13.2% | 80% |
| 2 | PHI | 17-20 | 1.5 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 10.3% | 70% |
| 3 | NYG | 22-9 | 9.5 | 4 | 4 | 55 | 0 | 11.4% | 69% |
| 4 | BAL | 37-20 | 13.6 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 1 | 17.1% | 78% |
| 5 | JAX | 28-31 | 3.7 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 7.5% | 66% |
| 6 | DET | 30-17 | 8.7 | 3 | 3 | 57 | 0 | 10.7% | 62% |
| 7 | LV | 31-0 | 6.5 | 3 | 3 | 35 | 0 | 8.8% | 36% |
| 8 | WAS | 28-7 | 4.9 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 0 | 6.3% | 30% |
| 9 | BUF | 21-28 | 1.2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3.4% | 28% |
| 11 | DEN | 19-22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 34% |
| 12 | IND | 23-20 | 1.8 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 4.7% | 47% |
| 13 | DAL | 28-31 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3.1% | 33% |
| 14 | HOU | 10-20 | 1.5 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 6.9% | 38% |
| 15 | LAC | 13-16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3.3% | 52% |
| 16 | TEN | 9-26 | 2.2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 18.2% | 91% |
| 17 | DEN | 13-20 | 4.6 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 15% | 81% |
| 18 | LV | 12-14 | 3.3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 6.7% | 78% |
| Receptions | 33 |
| Targets | 45 |
| Receiving yards | 345 |
| Touchdowns | 1 |
| Points per game | 4.32 |
| Yards per target | 7.67 |
| Catch rate | 73.33% |
| Snap share | 57.24% |
| Target share | 8.62% |
| Air-yards share | 5.98% |
| WOPR | 0.172 |
| RACR | 1.441 |
| Average depth of target | 5.6 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 5.8 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 4.7 |
| Total YAC | 191 |
| Broken tackles | 3 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 84 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0.15 |
| Red-zone targets | 9 |
| Red-zone target share | 11.5% |
| End-zone target share | 12.5% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 2.2 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 1 |
| Receiving TD luck | -1.2 |
The offense threw it 584 times. He took 8.21% of the targets. 1 team-mate cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Travis Kelce | 19.71% |
| Rashee Rice | 14.23% |
| Marquise Brown | 13.5% |
| Xavier Worthy | 13.32% |
| JuJu Smith-Schuster ← | 8.21% |
| Noah Gray | 6.75% |
He caught passes from 2 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | 14 | 36 | 4.53 | 8.44 | 7.62% |
| Chris Oladokun | 3 | 9 | 3.37 | 4.56 | 13.3% |
4 of his 17 games were blowouts, 37% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 6.8 in those and 2.66 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.
His best game was Week 5 against NO — 20 PPR on 8 targets and a 23.5% target share, in a game that finished 26-13. His worst was Week 16 against HOU at 0, on 1 targets, final score 27-19. Across 11 games he cleared 20 points 1 time and came in under 8 points 9 times. In the 6 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 3.1; in the 5 decided by more, 6.9. He scored more when the game was not close.
His usage that season was worth 4.1 points per game. He scored 4.83, 14.1% above it. The engine classified the season as lucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BAL | 27-20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3.7% | 22% |
| 3 | ATL | 22-17 | 9.7 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 1 | 8.3% | 55% |
| 5 | NO | 26-13 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 130 | 0 | 23.5% | 67% |
| 11 | BUF | 21-30 | 1.8 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 3.2% | 36% |
| 12 | CAR | 30-27 | 1.6 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 5.6% | 55% |
| 13 | LV | 19-17 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 2.2% | 56% |
| 14 | LAC | 19-17 | 5.1 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 0 | 5.6% | 49% |
| 15 | CLE | 21-7 | 7.7 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 7.9% | 51% |
| 16 | HOU | 27-19 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2.4% | 36% |
| 17 | PIT | 29-10 | 3.8 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 5.3% | 50% |
| 18 | DEN | 0-38 | 1.4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11.8% | 94% |
| Receptions | 18 |
| Targets | 26 |
| Receiving yards | 231 |
| Touchdowns | 2 |
| Points per game | 4.83 |
| Yards per target | 8.88 |
| Catch rate | 69.23% |
| Snap share | 51.91% |
| Target share | 7.23% |
| Air-yards share | 6.77% |
| WOPR | 0.156 |
| RACR | 1.393 |
| Average depth of target | 5.6 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 8.6 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 4.2 |
| Total YAC | 155 |
| Broken tackles | 4 |
| Drop rate | 0.1% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 106.4 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0.12 |
| Red-zone targets | 6 |
| Red-zone target share | 5.2% |
| End-zone target share | 5.9% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 1.36 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 2 |
| Receiving TD luck | 0.64 |
The offense threw it 600 times. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Travis Kelce | 23.37% |
| Xavier Worthy | 17.22% |
| DeAndre Hopkins | 10.37% |
| Noah Gray | 8.61% |
| Samaje Perine | 6.15% |
| Kareem Hunt | 5.62% |
He caught passes from 2 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | 10 | 24 | 5.17 | 9.46 | 6.77% |
| Carson Wentz | 1 | 2 | 1.4 | 2 | 11.8% |
2 of his 11 games were blowouts, 9.8% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 2.6 in those and 3.07 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
His best game was Week 14 against PIT — 13 PPR on 6 targets and a 23.1% target share, in a game that finished 21-18. His worst was Week 3 against NYJ at 1.5, on 3 targets, final score 15-10. Across 11 games he cleared 20 points 0 times and came in under 8 points 9 times. In the 8 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 6; in the 3 decided by more, 4.4. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 7.3 points per game. He scored 5.55, 24.5% below it. The engine classified the season as unlucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PHI | 20-25 | 7.3 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 0 | 13% | 54% |
| 2 | MIA | 17-24 | 7.8 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 0 | 14.3% | 59% |
| 3 | NYJ | 15-10 | 1.5 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11.1% | 74% |
| 4 | DAL | 3-38 | 2.4 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 0 | 17.2% | 47% |
| 5 | NO | 0-34 | 3.6 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 12.9% | 50% |
| 8 | MIA | 17-31 | 7.3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3.6% | 34% |
| 9 | WAS | 17-20 | 11.1 | 6 | 7 | 51 | 0 | 16.3% | 36% |
| 10 | IND | 6-10 | 1.9 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 3.8% | 99% |
| 12 | NYG | 7-10 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 11.4% | 65% |
| 13 | LAC | 0-6 | 2.1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 12.5% | 92% |
| 14 | PIT | 21-18 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 90 | 0 | 23.1% | 98% |
| Receptions | 29 |
| Targets | 47 |
| Receiving yards | 260 |
| Touchdowns | 1 |
| Points per game | 5.55 |
| Yards per target | 5.53 |
| Catch rate | 61.7% |
| Snap share | 64.36% |
| Target share | 12.65% |
| Air-yards share | 13.34% |
| WOPR | 0.284 |
| RACR | 0.741 |
| Average depth of target | 7 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 3.2 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 5.7 |
| Total YAC | 94 |
| Broken tackles | 0 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 48.2 |
| Receiving EPA per game | -0.94 |
| Red-zone targets | 3 |
| Red-zone target share | 7.5% |
| End-zone target share | 6.3% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0.74 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 1 |
| Receiving TD luck | 0.26 |
The offense threw it 557 times. 0 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Demario Douglas | 14.6% |
| Ezekiel Elliott | 12.01% |
| Hunter Henry | 11.28% |
| DeVante Parker | 10.17% |
| Kendrick Bourne | 10.17% |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 9.43% |
He caught passes from 2 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac Jones | 9 | 38 | 5.1 | 4.18 | 11.51% |
| Bailey Zappe | 2 | 9 | 7.55 | 11.22 | 17.8% |
2 of his 11 games were blowouts, 9.8% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 3 in those and 5.96 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
His best game was Week 7 against SF — 25.4 PPR on 8 targets and a 23.5% target share, in a game that finished 44-23. His worst was Week 2 against LAC at 4, on 3 targets, final score 27-24. Across 16 games he cleared 20 points 3 times and came in under 8 points 8 times. In the 9 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 12.8; in the 7 decided by more, 10. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 10.2 points per game. He scored 11.58, 5.7% above it. The engine classified the season as neutral. On receiving touchdowns specifically he finished 1 against 3.45 expected, a gap of -2.4.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ARI | 44-21 | 11.9 | 6 | 8 | 79 | 0 | 20.5% | 66% |
| 2 | LAC | 27-24 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 8.8% | 74% |
| 3 | IND | 17-20 | 13.9 | 5 | 8 | 89 | 0 | 24.2% | 70% |
| 4 | TB | 41-31 | 9.6 | 5 | 8 | 46 | 0 | 23.5% | 63% |
| 5 | LV | 30-29 | 6.3 | 3 | 8 | 33 | 0 | 19% | 86% |
| 6 | BUF | 20-24 | 22.3 | 5 | 5 | 113 | 1 | 14.3% | 88% |
| 7 | SF | 44-23 | 25.4 | 7 | 8 | 124 | 1 | 23.5% | 55% |
| 9 | TEN | 20-17 | 18.8 | 10 | 12 | 88 | 0 | 19.4% | 83% |
| 10 | JAX | 27-17 | 5.3 | 2 | 4 | 33 | 0 | 11.4% | 38% |
| 12 | LA | 26-10 | 6.8 | 3 | 3 | 38 | 0 | 8.1% | 38% |
| 13 | CIN | 24-27 | 6.5 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 0 | 17.4% | 76% |
| 14 | DEN | 34-28 | 22.4 | 9 | 11 | 74 | 1 | 26.2% | 81% |
| 15 | HOU | 30-24 | 16.8 | 10 | 10 | 88 | 0 | 24.4% | 88% |
| 16 | SEA | 24-10 | 5.7 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 0 | 14.8% | 83% |
| 17 | DEN | 27-24 | 4.1 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 0 | 7.3% | 65% |
| 18 | LV | 31-13 | 5.5 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 0 | 8.3% | 73% |
| Receptions | 78 |
| Targets | 101 |
| Receiving yards | 933 |
| Touchdowns | 3 |
| Points per game | 11.58 |
| Yards per target | 9.24 |
| Catch rate | 77.23% |
| Snap share | 70.44% |
| Target share | 16.94% |
| Air-yards share | 16.91% |
| WOPR | 0.374 |
| RACR | 1.65 |
| Average depth of target | 7.3 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 6 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 6 |
| Total YAC | 465 |
| Broken tackles | 3 |
| Drop rate | 0.1% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 102.5 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 3.04 |
| Red-zone targets | 18 |
| Red-zone target share | 14.4% |
| End-zone target share | 11.1% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 3.45 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 1 |
| Receiving TD luck | -2.45 |
Against everyone in the 80+ targets pool that season:
| Points per game | 34 of 51 |
| Yards per target | 12 of 51 |
| Target share | 42 of 51 |
| Air-yards share | 47 of 51 |
The offense threw it 650 times. He took 16.56% of the targets. 1 team-mate cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Travis Kelce | 24.92% |
| JuJu Smith-Schuster ← | 16.56% |
| Marquez Valdes-Scantling | 13.28% |
| Jerick McKinnon | 11.64% |
| Justin Watson | 5.57% |
| Mecole Hardman | 5.57% |
3 of his 16 games were blowouts, 23.1% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 14.27 in those and 12.79 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.
His best game was Week 2 against LV — 16.4 PPR on 7 targets and a 17.5% target share, in a game that finished 17-26. His worst was Week 5 against DEN at 0.6, on 1 targets, final score 27-19. Across 5 games he cleared 20 points 0 times and came in under 8 points 3 times.
His usage that season was worth 10.4 points per game. He scored 6.96, 32.1% below it. The engine classified the season as very_unlucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUF | 23-16 | 9.2 | 4 | 8 | 52 | 0 | 25% | 91% |
| 2 | LV | 17-26 | 16.4 | 6 | 7 | 41 | 1 | 17.5% | 96% |
| 3 | CIN | 10-24 | 5.5 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 0 | 6.9% | 40% |
| 4 | GB | 17-27 | 3.1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 20.5% | 95% |
| 5 | DEN | 27-19 | 0.6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4% | 38% |
| Receptions | 15 |
| Targets | 28 |
| Receiving yards | 129 |
| Carries | 3 |
| Rushing yards | 9 |
| Touchdowns | 1 |
| Points per game | 6.96 |
| Yards per target | 4.61 |
| Catch rate | 53.57% |
| Yards per carry | 3 |
| Snap share | 72% |
| Target share | 14.78% |
| Air-yards share | 14.22% |
| WOPR | 0.32 |
| RACR | 1.214 |
| Average depth of target | 6.5 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 4.5 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 4.1 |
| Total YAC | 68 |
| Broken tackles | 3 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 51 |
| Receiving EPA per game | -1.63 |
| Rushing EPA per game | 0.14 |
| Red-zone targets | 0 |
| Red-zone target share | 0% |
| End-zone target share | 0% |
| Red-zone carry share | 2.5% |
| Goal-line carry share | 5.9% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 0 |
| Receiving TD luck | 0 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 0.43 |
The offense threw it 663 times. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Diontae Johnson | 26% |
| Chase Claypool | 16.15% |
| Najee Harris | 14.46% |
| Pat Freiermuth | 12.15% |
| Ray-Ray McCloud | 10.15% |
| James Washington | 6.77% |
His best game was Week 1 against NYG — 24.9 PPR on 6 targets and a 19.4% target share, in a game that finished 26-16. His worst was Week 15 against CIN at 2.5, on 6 targets, final score 17-27. Across 16 games he cleared 20 points 4 times and came in under 8 points 4 times. In the 9 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 16.8; in the 7 decided by more, 11.8. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 15.6 points per game. He scored 14.63, 1.4% above it. The engine classified the season as neutral. On receiving touchdowns specifically he finished 7 against 5.81 expected, a gap of 1.2.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NYG | 26-16 | 24.9 | 6 | 6 | 69 | 2 | 19.4% | 86% |
| 2 | DEN | 26-21 | 11.8 | 7 | 8 | 48 | 0 | 19.5% | 91% |
| 3 | HOU | 28-21 | 16.3 | 4 | 5 | 43 | 1 | 14.3% | 73% |
| 5 | PHI | 38-29 | 6.8 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 0 | 14.7% | 75% |
| 6 | CLE | 38-7 | 2.6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 17.4% | 65% |
| 7 | TEN | 27-24 | 17.5 | 9 | 14 | 85 | 0 | 28.6% | 82% |
| 8 | BAL | 28-24 | 13.7 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 0 | 25% | 76% |
| 9 | DAL | 24-19 | 21.3 | 6 | 7 | 93 | 1 | 15.6% | 91% |
| 10 | CIN | 36-10 | 22.7 | 9 | 13 | 77 | 1 | 28.3% | 84% |
| 11 | JAX | 27-3 | 5.9 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 0 | 10.9% | 79% |
| 12 | BAL | 19-14 | 17.7 | 8 | 9 | 37 | 1 | 17.6% | 93% |
| 13 | WAS | 17-23 | 9.8 | 7 | 10 | 28 | 0 | 18.9% | 86% |
| 14 | BUF | 15-26 | 17.5 | 6 | 7 | 55 | 1 | 18.9% | 100% |
| 15 | CIN | 17-27 | 2.5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 0 | 15.8% | 91% |
| 16 | IND | 28-24 | 24.6 | 9 | 13 | 96 | 1 | 26.5% | 93% |
| 17 | CLE | 22-24 | 18.5 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 1 | 19% | 84% |
| Receptions | 97 |
| Targets | 128 |
| Receiving yards | 831 |
| Touchdowns | 9 |
| Points per game | 14.63 |
| Yards per target | 6.49 |
| Catch rate | 75.78% |
| Snap share | 84.31% |
| Target share | 19.4% |
| Air-yards share | 14.84% |
| WOPR | 0.394 |
| RACR | 1.256 |
| Average depth of target | 5.5 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 4.2 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 4.4 |
| Total YAC | 409 |
| Broken tackles | 4 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 99.4 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 1.57 |
| Red-zone targets | 22 |
| Red-zone target share | 22.9% |
| End-zone target share | 28.2% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 5.81 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 7 |
| Receiving TD luck | 1.19 |
Against everyone in the 80+ targets pool that season:
| Points per game | 21 of 51 |
| Yards per target | 48 of 51 |
| Target share | 36 of 51 |
| Air-yards share | 51 of 51 |
The offense threw it 656 times. He took 19.66% of the targets. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Diontae Johnson | 22.12% |
| JuJu Smith-Schuster ← | 19.66% |
| Chase Claypool | 16.74% |
| Eric Ebron | 13.98% |
| James Washington | 8.6% |
| James Conner | 6.61% |
He caught passes from 2 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Roethlisberger | 15 | 120 | 14.37 | 6.38 | 19.43% |
| Mason Rudolph | 1 | 8 | 18.5 | 8.13 | 19% |
3 of his 16 games were blowouts, 13.3% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 10.4 in those and 16.8 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
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