TE · HOU · GWTTKB

Harrison Bryant — fantasy football 2026

Every game, every stat category, and what the board says. 0.54 points per game in 2025, an ADP of 271.5, usage worth 3.6.

28 years old · 6 seasons of experience · 2020 draft class

Updated 2026-08-16 · free, no account, no paywall
Every figure below comes from our database. Where a stat is not held, the row is absent rather than zero.
ADP 271.5
Consensus across 2 books, standard deviation 143.5, 203 picks between cheapest and priciest. Cheapest on sleeper, priciest on espn.
SLEEPER373
ESPN170
FFA554

Draft-room facts

Goes aroundRound 23, pick 8 in a 12-team draft
Positional rankTE89
ADP standard deviation143.5 picks

The offense he plays in, 2026

Houston Texans returns 5 of 6 continuity slots, replacing rb1. CJ Stroud at quarterback, Demeco Ryans as head coach, Nick Caley calling it. The offense projects to 34 pass attempts a game at high confidence and 27.5 rushes.

In: Nathaniel Dell (wr3), Lewis Bond (wr7), David Montgomery (rb1), Noah Whittington (rb4), Foster Moreau (te2). Out: Nick Chubb (rb2), Cade Stover (te2).

The projected target split across the offense:

Nico Collins21.3%
Dalton Schultz14%
Jayden Higgins11.5%
Xavier Hutchinson8.6%
Jaylin Noel7.1%
Nathaniel Dell6.2%

Our written view on this offense in 2026

What the offense looks like: If this offense could produce at a higher level than 2025, this will be an offense you want to have pieces of. David Montgomery COULD be a very interesting high end RB2 as long as RB Woody Marks does not eat into his PT too much. Houston also has arguably the best defense in the entire NFL. they will keep them in every game & force turnovers to get this offense the ball back.

Key additions: Texans signed starting LG Wyatt Teller & starting RT Braden Smith this offseason. Also drafted C Keylan Rutledge in the 1st round. all 3 upgrades to last year. Should help protect CJ Stroud & HOPEFULLY GET A RUN GAME GOING IN HOUSTON. Traded for Lions RB David Montgomery. Joe mixon saw great success in 2024 & Montgomery COULD see a high degree of success too. Drafted WR Lewis Bond as well who does not have immediate upside.

Notes: Nico Collins remains a high producing dynasty WR when CJ Stroud plays well. Texans have to improve O line play for offense to provide large fantasy relevance. Traded for David Montgomery from the Lions & He will operate as RB1 with Woody Marks expected to also work in. CJ Stroud has struggled since his rookie season & is a mid range QB2 most weeks in fantasy. Texans do expect to extend him long term despite poor play. Jayden Higgins is an interesting year 2 breakout candidate but Tank Dell also returns in 2026 (We will see if his knee still works).

How the volume number was reached: Same QB CJ Stroud returning — anchor to 2025 actuals (34.2 att/g); Regressed 30% toward league mean 33.5, floored at 30 → 34 att/g.

Offensive environment: HOU rates 22.5 against a league average of 23, 0.5 below it on opponent-adjusted least squares (multi-capture merge).

2026 schedule

Opponent-adjusted pass defense faced, against 2025 ratings. Positive is an easier slate.

Full season+3.2 · easier
Weeks 1–6+6.5 · easier
Weeks 12–17+3.8 · easier
Fantasy playoffs (15–17)-6.2 · harder

Read this narrowly. Our own testing found that season-long strength of schedule does not survive as a draft input — defensive quality is among the least stable team properties year to year, and a preseason slate is built on last year's identities. The playoff-weeks column is the only one we would let break a tie, and even then it is a tiebreaker rather than a reason. The finding.

Dynasty context not redraft

Everything in this section is about his dynasty trade value — what he is worth as a long-term asset in the trade market. It is not a forecast of his 2026 fantasy scoring. A player can be a fine redraft pick while his dynasty value falls, and the reverse. The redraft read is above; this is a different question with a different answer.

Where he sits in the dynasty value cycle

His dynasty value has moved +54.3% over the last twelve months. The market cycle classifies him as post-spike. The base rate that applies: after a +30% spike, TEs crash the following year 47% of the time (hold 53%). That puts the measured risk of his dynasty value falling sharply over the next year at 47% — a probability drawn from comparable historical seasons, not a prediction, and not a statement about his 2026 scoring.

For context on how long this lasts at the position: the average career at his position produces 1.3 elite seasons and 2.3 startable seasons.

The five most similar seasons, and what their dynasty value did next

Matched on production profile — production-driven (pedigree ignored). The last column is how that player’s dynasty value moved the following year — a market outcome, not a scoring one.

PlayerSeasonTheir PPGSimilarityNext year
Kylen Granson2024283%-40.3%
Will Dissly20233.180%+219.4%
Mo Alie-Cox20242.777%+6.5%
Foster Moreau20233.676%+61.9%
Mo Alie-Cox20233.574%-32.8%

Of the 5 with a following season on record, 3 gained value, 2 lost it and 0 held roughly flat.

Four years of dynasty value

02,000202120222023202420252026
Monthly superflex value, 2020-04 to 2026-07. Up 90% across the series, peaking at 2,051.

The player

Draft capital and athletic profile

Drafted2020, round 4, pick 115 by CLE
CollegeFlorida Atlantic
Age at draft22
Height6′5″
Weight243 lb
40-yard dash4.73s
Vertical32.5″
Broad jump110″
3-cone7.41s
Shuttle4.37s

Availability and volatility

Career PPR per game4
Week-to-week variation1.1
Boom rate6.3%
Bust rate37.5%
Games missed per season0.5
Injury historyAnkle, Neck

Injury type matters more than games missed. Measured across our injury database, knee and foot returns stay below a player’s pre-injury baseline for all three of the first games back, while hamstring returns over-recover by the third.

The record, season by season

2025 · HOU · 5 games

His best game was Week 5 against BAL — 1.5 PPR on 2 targets and a 6.5% target share, in a game that finished 44-10. His worst was Week 8 against SF at 0, on 1 targets, final score 26-15. Across 5 games he cleared 20 points 0 times and came in under 8 points 5 times.

Earned against scored

His usage that season was worth 3.6 points per game. He scored 0.54, 64.2% below it. The engine classified the season as very_unlucky.

WkOppScorePPRRecTgtYdsTDTgt%Snap%
2TB19-20001004.3%39%
5BAL44-101.512506.5%27%
7SEA19-27000000%25%
8SF26-15001002.6%28%
9DEN15-181.212205.1%27%

Production

Receptions2
Targets6
Receiving yards7
Touchdowns0
Points per game0.54
Yards per target1.17
Catch rate33.33%

Role

Snap share29.2%
Target share3.7%
Air-yards share4.36%
WOPR0.088
RACR0.256

Efficiency

Average depth of target9.7
Yards after catch per reception0
Yards before catch per reception3.5
Total YAC0
Broken tackles0
Drop rate0.2%
Passer rating when targeted42.4
Receiving EPA per game-0.67

Who else ate

The offense threw it 582 times. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.

Nico Collins21.7%
Dalton Schultz19.17%
Jayden Higgins12.3%
Xavier Hutchinson10.31%
Christian Kirk9.4%
Woody Marks6.51%

By quarterback

He caught passes from 2 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.

QBGamesTargetsPPGY/TTgt%
C.J. Stroud440.381.253.35%
Davis Mills121.215.1%

Blowouts against close games

1 of his 5 games were blowouts, 55.6% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 1.5 in those and 0.4 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.

2024 · LV · 6 games

His best game was Week 6 against PIT — 5.4 PPR on 5 targets and a 13.5% target share, in a game that finished 13-32. His worst was Week 5 against DEN at 0, on 0 targets, final score 18-34. Across 6 games he cleared 20 points 0 times and came in under 8 points 6 times. In the 3 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 2.7; in the 3 decided by more, 3.2. He scored more when the game was not close.

Earned against scored

His usage that season was worth 4.2 points per game. He scored 2.93, 17% below it. The engine classified the season as unlucky.

WkOppScorePPRRecTgtYdsTDTgt%Snap%
2BAL26-23001002.8%11%
4CLE20-164.1222108.3%76%
5DEN18-34000000%46%
6PIT13-325.43524013.5%57%
7LA15-203.9221905.7%29%
9CIN24-414.2222206.3%28%

Production

Receptions9
Targets12
Receiving yards86
Touchdowns0
Points per game2.93
Yards per target7.17
Catch rate75%

Role

Snap share41.17%
Target share6.1%
Air-yards share2.9%
WOPR0.112
RACR3.683

Efficiency

Average depth of target3.4
Yards after catch per reception7.9
Yards before catch per reception1.7
Total YAC71
Broken tackles2
Drop rate0%
Passer rating when targeted59.7
Receiving EPA per game-0.05

Who else ate

The offense threw it 634 times. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.

Brock Bowers25.89%
Jakobi Meyers21.83%
Tre Tucker13.71%
Alexander Mattison8.12%
Ameer Abdullah7.95%
Michael Mayer5.41%

By quarterback

He caught passes from 2 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.

QBGamesTargetsPPGY/TTgt%
Gardner Minshew473.058.865.78%
Aidan O'Connell252.74.86.75%

Blowouts against close games

2 of his 6 games were blowouts, 54.6% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 4.8 in those and 2.67 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.

2023 · CLE · 14 games

His best game was Week 13 against LA — 15.9 PPR on 5 targets and a 12.2% target share, in a game that finished 19-36. His worst was Week 15 against CHI at 0, on 1 targets, final score 20-17. Across 14 games he cleared 20 points 0 times and came in under 8 points 12 times. In the 6 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 0.3; in the 8 decided by more, 4.6. He scored more when the game was not close.

Earned against scored

His usage that season was worth 3.2 points per game. He scored 2.71, 7.6% above it. The engine classified the season as neutral. On receiving touchdowns specifically he finished 3 against 1.95 expected, a gap of 1.1.

WkOppScorePPRRecTgtYdsTDTgt%Snap%
1CIN24-38.522516.9%36%
2PIT22-26002005%30%
3TEN27-30.400000%35%
4BAL3-281.411202.9%17%
6SF19-17001003%36%
7IND39-38001002.9%23%
8SEA20-24001003.3%31%
9ARI27-0000000%33%
10BAL33-311.511303.1%31%
12DEN12-295.211212.6%19%
13LA19-3615.95549112.2%44%
15CHI20-17001002.3%28%
16HOU36-221.611602.3%27%
17NYJ37-203.42314010.3%47%

Production

Receptions13
Targets20
Receiving yards81
Carries5
Rushing yards8
Touchdowns3
Points per game2.71
Yards per target4.05
Catch rate65%
Yards per carry1.6

Role

Snap share31.21%
Target share4.06%
Air-yards share1.62%
WOPR0.071
RACR0.546

Efficiency

Average depth of target4.1
Yards after catch per reception2.7
Yards before catch per reception3.5
Total YAC35
Broken tackles1
Drop rate0.1%
Passer rating when targeted91.9
Receiving EPA per game-0.29
Rushing EPA per game0.16

Scoring position

Red-zone targets6
Red-zone target share8.3%
End-zone target share9.4%
Expected receiving TDs1.95
Actual receiving TDs3
Receiving TD luck1.05

Who else ate

The offense threw it 624 times. 3 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.

Amari Cooper21.44%
David Njoku20.6%
Elijah Moore17.42%
Jerome Ford10.55%
Cedric Tillman7.37%
Jordan Akins3.85%

By quarterback

He caught passes from 4 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.

QBGamesTargetsPPGY/TTgt%
Deshaun Watson552.081.63%
Joe Flacco4105.226.96.78%
P.J. Walker33003.07%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson223.322.75%

Blowouts against close games

7 of his 14 games were blowouts, 91.8% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 4.97 in those and 0.25 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.

2022 · CLE · 14 games

His best game was Week 10 against MIA — 10.5 PPR on 3 targets and a 8.8% target share, in a game that finished 17-39. His worst was Week 5 against LAC at 0, on 1 targets, final score 28-30. Across 14 games he cleared 20 points 0 times and came in under 8 points 12 times. In the 7 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 4.5; in the 7 decided by more, 4.3. He scored more when the game was live.

Earned against scored

His usage that season was worth 5.3 points per game. He scored 4.41, 16.1% below it. The engine classified the season as unlucky. On receiving touchdowns specifically he finished 1 against 2.16 expected, a gap of -1.2.

WkOppScorePPRRecTgtYdsTDTgt%Snap%
1CAR26-243.82418013.3%48%
2NYJ30-317.53445014.8%46%
4ATL20-235.84618017.1%67%
5LAC28-30001003.1%57%
6NE15-384.8341809.5%36%
7BAL20-233.5221508%57%
10MIA17-3910.5331518.8%76%
11BUF23-318.14741017.9%73%
12TB23-172.922905.6%27%
13HOU27-142.411604.8%57%
14CIN10-231.811802.6%11%
15BAL13-32.722707.7%41%
17WAS24-103.92319018.8%53%
18PIT14-284222007.4%31%

Production

Receptions31
Targets42
Receiving yards239
Carries1
Rushing yards8
Touchdowns1
Points per game4.41
Yards per target5.69
Catch rate73.81%
Yards per carry8

Role

Snap share48.57%
Target share9.96%
Air-yards share6.58%
WOPR0.194
RACR1.202

Efficiency

Average depth of target5.7
Yards after catch per reception3.6
Yards before catch per reception4.1
Total YAC113
Broken tackles1
Drop rate0.1%
Passer rating when targeted95.2
Receiving EPA per game0.21
Rushing EPA per game0.07

Scoring position

Red-zone targets8
Red-zone target share10.8%
End-zone target share9.4%
Expected receiving TDs2.16
Actual receiving TDs1
Receiving TD luck-1.16

Who else ate

The offense threw it 540 times. He took 8.3% of the targets. 3 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.

Amari Cooper26.09%
Donovan Peoples-Jones18.97%
David Njoku15.81%
Kareem Hunt8.7%
Harrison Bryant 8.3%
Nick Chubb7.31%

By quarterback

He caught passes from 2 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.

QBGamesTargetsPPGY/TTgt%
Jacoby Brissett9335.215.4210.9%
Deshaun Watson592.966.678.26%

Blowouts against close games

2 of his 14 games were blowouts, 24.8% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 7.65 in those and 4.51 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.

2021 · CLE · 15 games

His best game was Week 15 against LV — 9.1 PPR on 2 targets and a 6.9% target share, in a game that finished 14-16. His worst was Week 11 against DET at 0, on 0 targets, final score 13-10. Across 15 games he cleared 20 points 0 times and came in under 8 points 12 times. In the 10 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 3.8; in the 5 decided by more, 4.9. He scored more when the game was not close.

Earned against scored

His usage that season was worth 3.8 points per game. He scored 4.15, 27.4% above it. The engine classified the season as very_lucky. On receiving touchdowns specifically he finished 3 against 1.66 expected, a gap of 1.3.

WkOppScorePPRRecTgtYdsTDTgt%Snap%
1KC29-332.7121707.4%32%
2HOU31-218.94449019%51%
3CHI26-6002006.9%41%
4MIN14-71.312306.5%37%
5LAC42-47000000%43%
7DEN17-142.5121506.3%42%
8PIT10-155.3223306.5%39%
9CIN41-164.62226010.5%52%
10NE7-453.8221806.5%39%
11DET13-10000000%42%
12BAL10-168335008.8%27%
15LV14-169.1221116.9%39%
16GB22-247.111112.8%28%
17PIT14-267.111112.8%27%
18CIN21-161.9139012.5%52%

Production

Receptions21
Targets28
Receiving yards233
Touchdowns3
Points per game4.15
Yards per target8.32
Catch rate75%

Role

Snap share39.4%
Target share6.89%
Air-yards share8.31%
WOPR0.162
RACR0.957

Efficiency

Average depth of target9.3
Yards after catch per reception3.8
Yards before catch per reception7.3
Total YAC79
Broken tackles0
Drop rate0%
Passer rating when targeted105.2
Receiving EPA per game0.75

Scoring position

Red-zone targets6
Red-zone target share10.2%
End-zone target share20%
Expected receiving TDs1.66
Actual receiving TDs3
Receiving TD luck1.34

Who else ate

The offense threw it 520 times. 1 team-mate cleared the competing-target threshold.

Jarvis Landry17.65%
Austin Hooper12.37%
Donovan Peoples-Jones11.76%
David Njoku10.75%
Rashard Higgins9.53%
Odell Beckham6.9%

By quarterback

He caught passes from 3 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.

QBGamesTargetsPPGY/TTgt%
Baker Mayfield12214.079.436.47%
Case Keenum252.24.89.4%
Nick Mullens129.15.56.9%

Blowouts against close games

3 of his 15 games were blowouts, 13.5% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 2.8 in those and 3.79 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.

2020 · CLE · 12 games

His best game was Week 7 against CIN — 21.6 PPR on 5 targets and a 17.9% target share, in a game that finished 37-34. His worst was Week 5 against IND at 0, on 1 targets, final score 32-23. Across 12 games he cleared 20 points 1 time and came in under 8 points 11 times. In the 5 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 7.2; in the 7 decided by more, 3.7. He scored more when the game was live.

Earned against scored

His usage that season was worth 5.3 points per game. He scored 5.15, 10.4% below it. The engine classified the season as unlucky. On receiving touchdowns specifically he finished 3 against 1.98 expected, a gap of 1.

WkOppScorePPRRecTgtYdsTDTgt%Snap%
1BAL6-381.512505.7%42%
2CIN35-302.4121409.5%52%
3WAS34-207.312319.1%63%
4DAL49-387.74437015.4%70%
5IND32-23001002.6%40%
6PIT7-382.1121107.7%37%
7CIN37-3421.64556217.9%77%
8LV6-163.53325012%80%
12JAX27-250.3121307.4%63%
14BAL42-474.83618013.6%65%
15NYG20-63.9221906.7%47%
16NYJ16-236.73737014%83%

Production

Receptions24
Targets38
Receiving yards238
Touchdowns3
Points per game5.15
Yards per target6.26
Catch rate63.16%

Role

Snap share59.92%
Target share10.13%
Air-yards share8.06%
WOPR0.208
RACR1.258

Efficiency

Average depth of target7.7
Yards after catch per reception4.9
Yards before catch per reception5
Total YAC117
Broken tackles2
Drop rate0.1%
Passer rating when targeted85.2
Receiving EPA per game-0.85

Scoring position

Red-zone targets5
Red-zone target share6.3%
End-zone target share10.5%
Expected receiving TDs1.98
Actual receiving TDs3
Receiving TD luck1.02

Who else ate

The offense threw it 501 times. He took 8.26% of the targets. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.

Jarvis Landry21.96%
Austin Hooper15.22%
Rashard Higgins11.3%
Kareem Hunt11.09%
Odell Beckham9.35%
Harrison Bryant 8.26%

Blowouts against close games

2 of his 12 games were blowouts, 5.8% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 1.8 in those and 7.16 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.

Ask the Coach about Harrison Bryant →
All player profiles · 2026 rankings · Research findings · Methodology
GWTTKB publishes research and education. Nothing here is betting advice.