Every game, every stat category, and what the board says. 2.56 points per game in 2025, usage worth 3.4.
30 years old · 7 seasons of experience · 2019 draft class
New York Jets returns 3 of 6 continuity slots, replacing qb1, te1, oc. Geno Smith at quarterback, Aaron Glenn as head coach, Frank Reich calling it. The offense projects to 32.8 pass attempts a game at low confidence and 26.6 rushes.
In: Geno Smith (qb), Cade Klubnik (qb2), Omar Cooper Jr (wr2), Irvin Charles (wr5), Mac Dalena (wr7), Kenyon Sadiq (te1). Out: Justin Fields (qb), John Metchie III (wr3), Tyler Johnson (wr4), Jeremy Ruckert (te2).
The projected target split across the offense:
| Garrett Wilson | 22.9% |
| Omar Cooper Jr | 16.3% |
| Kenyon Sadiq | 14% |
| Breece Hall | 10.8% |
| Adonai Mitchell | 10.1% |
| Mason Taylor | 9.3% |
What the offense looks like: This is a tough offense for fantasy managers to be heavily invested in. An even worse spot for a rookie to be drafted to. Kenyon Sadiq has to be upset. Not only that, but he has to share the TE room with Mason Taylor, who was looking like he could become a top 15 TE. For Garrett Wilson and Breece Hall, realistically for a MASSIVE value spike, they both need to be traded. It will be tough to produce in NY.
Key additions: QB Geno Smith traded to Jets from Raiders. QB Cade Klubnik drafted 5th round, Kenyon Sadiq drafted 1st round 16th overall. WR Omar Cooper Jr. drafted 1st round 30th overall
Key departures: Justin Fields QB traded to Chiefs.
Notes: Fields traded. Jets bring in Geno Smith from Raiders who was AWFUL in Vegas last year. Could provide decent opportunity for Garrett Wilson (elite WR needs better QB play). Adonai Mitchell likely to play WR3 behind Omar Cooper Jr (round 1 pick). Will have to monitor closely to see. Drafted Kenyon Sadiq Round 1 TE (high ceiling but may take time to break out). Mason Taylor will likely be TE2 behind Sadiq but could be starter at beginning of season. Breece Hall lands HUGE extension 3 year $45 million deal. Keeping him in New York through 2028. The talent is there, but the offense has to be able to score for Breece to be productive.
How the volume number was reached: New QB Geno Smith, avg 31.9 att/g over 2025,2024; Regressed 53% toward league mean 33.5, floored at 30 → 32.8 att/g; New OC Frank Reich — pass rate and tempo may shift.
Offensive environment: NYJ rates 18.8 against a league average of 23, 4.2 below it on opponent-adjusted least squares (multi-capture merge).
Opponent-adjusted pass defense faced, against 2025 ratings. Positive is an easier slate.
| Full season | -3.2 · harder |
| Weeks 1–6 | +2.9 · easier |
| Weeks 12–17 | -5 · harder |
| Fantasy playoffs (15–17) | -7.6 · harder |
Read this narrowly. Our own testing found that season-long strength of schedule does not survive as a draft input — defensive quality is among the least stable team properties year to year, and a preseason slate is built on last year's identities. The playoff-weeks column is the only one we would let break a tie, and even then it is a tiebreaker rather than a reason. The finding.
From the absence record rather than a depth chart — who actually gained when he was out.
| Season | Games missed | Main beneficiary | Their PPR gain |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2 | Garrett Wilson | +8 |
| 2022 | 2 | Samori Toure | +7.9 |
Everything in this section is about his dynasty trade value — what he is worth as a long-term asset in the trade market. It is not a forecast of his 2026 fantasy scoring. A player can be a fine redraft pick while his dynasty value falls, and the reverse. The redraft read is above; this is a different question with a different answer.
His dynasty value has moved +9.4% over the last twelve months. The market cycle classifies him as stable.
For context on how long this lasts at the position: the average career at his position produces 2.1 elite seasons and 2.6 startable seasons.
Matched on production profile — production-driven (pedigree ignored). The last column is how that player’s dynasty value moved the following year — a market outcome, not a scoring one.
| Player | Season | Their PPG | Similarity | Next year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Woods | 2024 | 2.7 | 73% | +13.5% |
| Hunter Renfrow | 2023 | 3.5 | 71% | -46.5% |
| Marquez Valdes-Scantling | 2023 | 3.5 | 69% | +32.9% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus | 2024 | 7.2 | 67% | +8.7% |
| K.J. Osborn | 2024 | 2.7 | 67% | -15.1% |
Of the 5 with a following season on record, 3 gained value, 2 lost it and 0 held roughly flat.
| Height | 6′5″ |
| Weight | 227 lb |
| 40-yard dash | 4.55s |
| Vertical | 38″ |
| Broad jump | 122″ |
| Career PPR per game | 7.9 |
| Week-to-week variation | 0.8 |
| Boom rate | 19.6% |
| Bust rate | 39.3% |
| Games missed per season | 1.2 |
| Injury history | Core, Shoulder, Ankle, Chest |
| Correlation between his posted line and his actual score | 0 |
That correlation is how closely the books’ posted line tracked what he actually scored, week to week. A higher number means the market has him figured out and there is less to exploit; a lower one means his weeks are harder to price.
Injury type matters more than games missed. Measured across our injury database, knee and foot returns stay below a player’s pre-injury baseline for all three of the first games back, while hamstring returns over-recover by the third.
His best game was Week 3 against TB — 9.3 PPR on 3 targets and a 8.6% target share, in a game that finished 27-29. His worst was Week 14 against MIA at 0, on 1 targets, final score 10-34. Across 9 games he cleared 20 points 0 times and came in under 8 points 8 times. In the 5 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 3.6; in the 4 decided by more, 1.2. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 3.4 points per game. He scored 2.56, 25.1% below it. The engine classified the season as very_unlucky. On receiving touchdowns specifically he finished 1 against 2.11 expected, a gap of -1.1.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | TB | 27-29 | 9.3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 8.6% | 25% |
| 4 | MIA | 21-27 | 1.8 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 3.7% | 43% |
| 5 | DAL | 22-37 | 1.3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4.5% | 33% |
| 7 | CAR | 6-13 | 3.6 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 9.7% | 56% |
| 8 | CIN | 39-38 | 1.5 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 6.7% | 78% |
| 12 | BAL | 10-23 | 1.9 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 11.1% | 41% |
| 13 | ATL | 27-24 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 3.2% | 29% |
| 14 | MIA | 10-34 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3.1% | 16% |
| 15 | JAX | 20-48 | 1.6 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 6.3% | 22% |
| Receptions | 10 |
| Targets | 18 |
| Receiving yards | 70 |
| Touchdowns | 1 |
| Points per game | 2.56 |
| Yards per target | 3.89 |
| Catch rate | 55.56% |
| Snap share | 38.11% |
| Target share | 6.32% |
| Air-yards share | 5.73% |
| WOPR | 0.136 |
| RACR | 0.701 |
| Average depth of target | 7.9 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 3.3 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 3.7 |
| Total YAC | 33 |
| Broken tackles | 0 |
| Drop rate | 0.1% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 60 |
| Receiving EPA per game | -1.07 |
| Red-zone targets | 6 |
| Red-zone target share | 10.7% |
| End-zone target share | 22.2% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 2.11 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 1 |
| Receiving TD luck | -1.11 |
The offense threw it 493 times. 0 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Mason Taylor | 14.1% |
| Garrett Wilson | 12.8% |
| Adonai Mitchell | 12.58% |
| Breece Hall | 10.41% |
| John Metchie III | 9.54% |
| Isaiah Williams | 7.81% |
He caught passes from 3 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrod Taylor | 4 | 10 | 4.2 | 4.8 | 8.15% |
| Justin Fields | 3 | 5 | 1.53 | 3.2 | 4.97% |
| Brady Cook | 2 | 3 | 0.8 | 2 | 4.7% |
2 of his 9 games were blowouts, 7% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 0.8 in those and 3.64 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
His best game was Week 1 against SF — 26.9 PPR on 9 targets and a 31% target share, in a game that finished 19-32. His worst was Week 15 against JAX at 0, on 4 targets, final score 32-25. Across 12 games he cleared 20 points 2 times and came in under 8 points 5 times. In the 6 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 8.9; in the 6 decided by more, 12.1. He scored more when the game was not close.
His usage that season was worth 9 points per game. He scored 10.5, 16.6% above it. The engine classified the season as lucky. On receiving touchdowns specifically he finished 4 against 2.54 expected, a gap of 1.5.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SF | 19-32 | 26.9 | 6 | 9 | 89 | 2 | 31% | 100% |
| 2 | TEN | 24-17 | 3.1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 13.8% | 82% |
| 3 | NE | 24-3 | 13.8 | 3 | 3 | 48 | 1 | 8.8% | 84% |
| 4 | DEN | 9-10 | 10.8 | 5 | 8 | 58 | 0 | 19.5% | 88% |
| 5 | MIN | 17-23 | 13.4 | 4 | 10 | 34 | 1 | 19.6% | 100% |
| 6 | BUF | 20-23 | 23.4 | 6 | 7 | 114 | 1 | 20.6% | 94% |
| 7 | PIT | 15-37 | 9.8 | 4 | 4 | 58 | 0 | 10.3% | 58% |
| 14 | MIA | 26-32 | 2.8 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 0 | 2.6% | 78% |
| 15 | JAX | 32-25 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14.3% | 79% |
| 16 | LA | 9-19 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 0 | 11.9% | 74% |
| 17 | BUF | 14-40 | 1.9 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 9.7% | 86% |
| 18 | MIA | 32-20 | 16.1 | 3 | 3 | 71 | 1 | 8.6% | 89% |
| Receptions | 37 |
| Targets | 61 |
| Receiving yards | 530 |
| Touchdowns | 6 |
| Points per game | 10.5 |
| Yards per target | 8.69 |
| Catch rate | 60.66% |
| Snap share | 84.33% |
| Target share | 14.22% |
| Air-yards share | 23.53% |
| WOPR | 0.379 |
| RACR | 1.149 |
| Average depth of target | 11 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 4.2 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 10.1 |
| Total YAC | 155 |
| Broken tackles | 0 |
| Drop rate | 0.1% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 109.7 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 2.49 |
| Red-zone targets | 12 |
| Red-zone target share | 13.3% |
| End-zone target share | 10.8% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 2.54 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 4 |
| Receiving TD luck | 1.46 |
The offense threw it 607 times. He took 10.36% of the targets. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Garrett Wilson | 25.98% |
| Davante Adams | 19.35% |
| Breece Hall | 12.9% |
| Tyler Conklin | 12.22% |
| Allen Lazard ← | 10.36% |
| Jeremy Ruckert | 4.75% |
3 of his 12 games were blowouts, 20.2% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 8.5 in those and 8.92 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
His best game was Week 4 against KC — 15.1 PPR on 3 targets and a 7.7% target share, in a game that finished 20-23. His worst was Week 16 against WAS at 0, on 1 targets, final score 30-28. Across 14 games he cleared 20 points 0 times and came in under 8 points 13 times. In the 8 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 5.1; in the 6 decided by more, 3.3. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 6.5 points per game. He scored 4.29, 28.6% below it. The engine classified the season as very_unlucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUF | 22-16 | 6.6 | 2 | 4 | 46 | 0 | 22.2% | 78% |
| 2 | DAL | 10-30 | 4.3 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 0 | 16% | 94% |
| 3 | NE | 10-15 | 6.9 | 3 | 5 | 39 | 0 | 17.9% | 97% |
| 4 | KC | 20-23 | 15.1 | 3 | 3 | 61 | 1 | 7.7% | 86% |
| 5 | DEN | 31-21 | 6.3 | 3 | 4 | 33 | 0 | 15.4% | 92% |
| 6 | PHI | 20-14 | 1.8 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 9.1% | 77% |
| 8 | NYG | 13-10 | 7.5 | 3 | 6 | 45 | 0 | 17.6% | 81% |
| 9 | LAC | 6-27 | 3.8 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 0 | 12.5% | 89% |
| 10 | LV | 12-16 | 2.7 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 0 | 13.5% | 89% |
| 11 | BUF | 6-32 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3.6% | 65% |
| 13 | ATL | 8-13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2.8% | 47% |
| 14 | HOU | 30-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 72% |
| 15 | MIA | 0-30 | 5.1 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 0 | 18.2% | 90% |
| 16 | WAS | 30-28 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2.2% | 27% |
| Receptions | 23 |
| Targets | 49 |
| Receiving yards | 311 |
| Touchdowns | 1 |
| Points per game | 4.29 |
| Yards per target | 6.35 |
| Catch rate | 46.94% |
| Snap share | 77.43% |
| Target share | 11.34% |
| Air-yards share | 17.79% |
| WOPR | 0.295 |
| RACR | 0.427 |
| Average depth of target | 12.2 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 2.4 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 11.1 |
| Total YAC | 56 |
| Broken tackles | 1 |
| Drop rate | 0.1% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 65.9 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0.03 |
| Red-zone targets | 4 |
| Red-zone target share | 7% |
| End-zone target share | 7.7% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0.83 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 1 |
| Receiving TD luck | 0.17 |
The offense threw it 600 times. He took 8.77% of the targets. 3 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Garrett Wilson | 30.05% |
| Breece Hall | 16.99% |
| Tyler Conklin | 15.56% |
| Allen Lazard ← | 8.77% |
| Xavier Gipson | 6.8% |
| Jeremy Ruckert | 3.94% |
He caught passes from 3 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Wilson | 11 | 41 | 5 | 7.07 | 12.32% |
| Trevor Siemian | 2 | 7 | 2.55 | 3 | 10.2% |
| Tim Boyle | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2.8% |
5 of his 14 games were blowouts, 22% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 2.64 in those and 5.08 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
His best game was Week 9 against DET — 18.7 PPR on 10 targets and a 25% target share, in a game that finished 9-15. His worst was Week 15 against LA at 1.7, on 2 targets, final score 24-12. Across 15 games he cleared 20 points 0 times and came in under 8 points 3 times. In the 9 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 12.5; in the 6 decided by more, 10.3. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 11.4 points per game. He scored 11.65, 2.3% above it. The engine classified the season as neutral.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | CHI | 27-10 | 9.3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 12% | 81% |
| 3 | TB | 14-12 | 14.5 | 4 | 6 | 45 | 1 | 17.6% | 90% |
| 4 | NE | 27-24 | 17.6 | 6 | 8 | 116 | 0 | 25% | 96% |
| 5 | NYG | 22-27 | 13.5 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 1 | 20.5% | 94% |
| 6 | NYJ | 10-27 | 17.6 | 4 | 9 | 76 | 1 | 20.5% | 97% |
| 7 | WAS | 21-23 | 11.5 | 6 | 7 | 55 | 0 | 21.2% | 59% |
| 9 | DET | 9-15 | 18.7 | 4 | 10 | 87 | 1 | 25% | 88% |
| 10 | DAL | 31-28 | 7.5 | 3 | 4 | 45 | 0 | 21.1% | 98% |
| 11 | TEN | 17-27 | 10.7 | 5 | 11 | 57 | 0 | 29.7% | 92% |
| 12 | PHI | 33-40 | 4.4 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 0 | 12% | 100% |
| 13 | CHI | 28-19 | 11.7 | 5 | 6 | 67 | 0 | 20% | 94% |
| 15 | LA | 24-12 | 1.7 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 7.1% | 94% |
| 16 | MIA | 26-20 | 11.1 | 5 | 11 | 61 | 0 | 28.9% | 89% |
| 17 | MIN | 41-17 | 10.9 | 5 | 6 | 59 | 0 | 23.1% | 71% |
| 18 | DET | 16-20 | 14.1 | 4 | 6 | 41 | 1 | 23.1% | 90% |
| Receptions | 60 |
| Targets | 100 |
| Receiving yards | 788 |
| Carries | 2 |
| Touchdowns | 6 |
| Points per game | 11.65 |
| Yards per target | 7.88 |
| Catch rate | 60% |
| Snap share | 88.87% |
| Target share | 20.45% |
| Air-yards share | 29.3% |
| WOPR | 0.513 |
| RACR | 1.061 |
| Average depth of target | 12.5 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 4.1 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 9 |
| Total YAC | 248 |
| Broken tackles | 1 |
| Drop rate | 0.1% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 84.1 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0.75 |
| Rushing EPA per game | -0.27 |
| Red-zone targets | 18 |
| Red-zone target share | 22.2% |
| End-zone target share | 31.3% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 4.92 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 5 |
| Receiving TD luck | 0.08 |
Against everyone in the 80+ targets pool that season:
| Points per game | 33 of 51 |
| Yards per target | 29 of 51 |
| Target share | 36 of 51 |
| Air-yards share | 22 of 51 |
The offense threw it 563 times. He took 18.55% of the targets. 0 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Allen Lazard ← | 18.55% |
| Aaron Jones | 13.36% |
| Robert Tonyan | 12.43% |
| Romeo Doubs | 12.43% |
| Christian Watson | 12.24% |
| Randall Cobb | 9.28% |
3 of his 15 games were blowouts, 21.6% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 12.6 in those and 12.54 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.
His best game was Week 18 against DET — 24.5 PPR on 6 targets and a 17.1% target share, in a game that finished 30-37. His worst was Week 10 against SEA at 1.6, on 4 targets, final score 17-0. Across 14 games he cleared 20 points 2 times and came in under 8 points 7 times. In the 7 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 9; in the 7 decided by more, 11.3. He scored more when the game was not close.
His usage that season was worth 7 points per game. He scored 10.18, 36.3% above it. The engine classified the season as very_lucky. On receiving touchdowns specifically he finished 7 against 3.7 expected, a gap of 3.3.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NO | 3-38 | 3.6 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 12.1% | 68% |
| 3 | SF | 30-28 | 5.2 | 1 | 1 | 42 | 0 | 3.2% | 67% |
| 4 | PIT | 27-17 | 5.3 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 0 | 8.6% | 79% |
| 5 | CIN | 25-22 | 2.6 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 5.7% | 86% |
| 6 | CHI | 24-14 | 11.7 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 1 | 23.8% | 85% |
| 7 | WAS | 24-10 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 60 | 1 | 17.6% | 91% |
| 9 | KC | 7-13 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 1 | 3.1% | 84% |
| 10 | SEA | 17-0 | 1.6 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 11.4% | 59% |
| 12 | LA | 36-28 | 3.3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 13.6% | 65% |
| 14 | CHI | 45-30 | 20.9 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 1 | 20% | 82% |
| 15 | BAL | 31-30 | 4.8 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 0 | 12.9% | 79% |
| 16 | CLE | 24-22 | 13.8 | 2 | 5 | 45 | 1 | 14.7% | 86% |
| 17 | MIN | 37-10 | 19.2 | 6 | 6 | 72 | 1 | 14.3% | 75% |
| 18 | DET | 30-37 | 24.5 | 5 | 6 | 75 | 2 | 17.1% | 31% |
| Receptions | 40 |
| Targets | 60 |
| Receiving yards | 513 |
| Carries | 3 |
| Rushing yards | 32 |
| Touchdowns | 8 |
| Points per game | 10.18 |
| Yards per target | 8.55 |
| Catch rate | 66.67% |
| Yards per carry | 10.67 |
| Snap share | 74.07% |
| Target share | 12.72% |
| Air-yards share | 18.53% |
| WOPR | 0.321 |
| RACR | 0.974 |
| Average depth of target | 10.9 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 4.2 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 8.6 |
| Total YAC | 168 |
| Broken tackles | 1 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 132.8 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 2.61 |
| Rushing EPA per game | 0.2 |
| Red-zone targets | 17 |
| Red-zone target share | 13.6% |
| End-zone target share | 25% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 3.7 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 7 |
| Receiving TD luck | 3.3 |
The offense threw it 593 times. He took 10.54% of the targets. 1 team-mate cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Davante Adams | 29.7% |
| Aaron Jones | 11.42% |
| Allen Lazard ← | 10.54% |
| Marquez Valdes-Scantling | 9.67% |
| Randall Cobb | 6.85% |
| A.J. Dillon | 6.5% |
He caught passes from 2 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Rodgers | 13 | 59 | 10.27 | 8.36 | 13.46% |
| Jordan Love | 1 | 1 | 9 | 20 | 3.1% |
3 of his 14 games were blowouts, 17.1% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 8.13 in those and 9.03 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
His best game was Week 3 against NO — 26.4 PPR on 8 targets and a 26.7% target share, in a game that finished 37-30. His worst was Week 16 against TEN at 3.4, on 2 targets, final score 40-14. Across 10 games he cleared 20 points 1 time and came in under 8 points 5 times. In the 4 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 11.2; in the 6 decided by more, 8.9. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 9 points per game. He scored 9.78, 17% above it. The engine classified the season as lucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIN | 43-34 | 18.2 | 4 | 4 | 63 | 1 | 9.8% | 87% |
| 2 | DET | 42-21 | 7.5 | 3 | 5 | 45 | 0 | 16.7% | 84% |
| 3 | NO | 37-30 | 26.4 | 6 | 8 | 146 | 1 | 26.7% | 95% |
| 11 | IND | 31-34 | 3.8 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 0 | 11.4% | 60% |
| 12 | CHI | 41-25 | 12.3 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 1 | 20.7% | 46% |
| 13 | PHI | 30-16 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 50 | 0 | 12.5% | 69% |
| 14 | DET | 31-24 | 3.9 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 0 | 9.7% | 69% |
| 15 | CAR | 24-16 | 10.6 | 5 | 6 | 56 | 0 | 23.1% | 77% |
| 16 | TEN | 40-14 | 3.4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 8.3% | 62% |
| 17 | CHI | 35-16 | 3.7 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 0 | 16.7% | 78% |
| Receptions | 33 |
| Targets | 46 |
| Receiving yards | 451 |
| Carries | 2 |
| Rushing yards | 17 |
| Touchdowns | 3 |
| Points per game | 9.78 |
| Yards per target | 9.8 |
| Catch rate | 71.74% |
| Yards per carry | 8.5 |
| Snap share | 72.7% |
| Target share | 15.56% |
| Air-yards share | 18.72% |
| WOPR | 0.366 |
| RACR | 1.003 |
| Average depth of target | 10 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 5.9 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 7.8 |
| Total YAC | 195 |
| Broken tackles | 0 |
| Drop rate | 0.1% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 124.5 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 3.82 |
| Rushing EPA per game | 0.04 |
| Red-zone targets | 10 |
| Red-zone target share | 10.9% |
| End-zone target share | 9.3% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 3.06 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 3 |
| Receiving TD luck | -0.06 |
The offense threw it 526 times. He took 9.2% of the targets. 1 team-mate cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Davante Adams | 29.8% |
| Aaron Jones | 12.6% |
| Marquez Valdes-Scantling | 12.6% |
| Robert Tonyan | 11.8% |
| Allen Lazard ← | 9.2% |
| Jamaal Williams | 7% |
3 of his 10 games were blowouts, 14.9% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 4.87 in those and 11.18 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
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