Six years of daily dynasty values. The median gap between a quarterback’s superflex price and his 1QB price has fallen from roughly 2,529 to 673 — and the decline is close to monotonic.
Is the superflex QB premium still worth paying in dynasty?
Superflex conventional wisdom is that quarterbacks carry an enormous positional premium and that paying it is simply the cost of playing the format. Advice written in 2020 is still repeated as though the market has not moved.
It has moved, a lot. Measured monthly across six years of daily dynasty values, the median superflex-minus-1QB gap on quarterbacks has fallen roughly three quarters from its 2020 level, and the fall is close to monotonic rather than a recent swing. The non-quarterback spread drifted slightly the other way, which is the expected mirror image — if quarterbacks cost less of the pie, everyone else costs a little more.
| Month | Median SF minus 1QB premium |
|---|---|
| 2020-05 | 2,529 |
| Peak (2020-06) | 2,655 |
| 2026-04 | 673 |
| Change | −73.4% |
When superflex was a niche format the quarterback supply available to it was priced by a small pool of managers who had all just discovered the same idea. As the format went mainstream, more managers competed for the same quarterbacks and, more importantly, the league started producing more startable ones. A premium is a scarcity price, and the scarcity eased.
Advice about superflex quarterback pricing has a shelf life. A rule of thumb formed in 2020 is describing a market that no longer exists.
Median across quarterbacks of the difference between superflex value and 1QB value, computed monthly from the daily value series. Values are compared to the same asset’s own earlier value rather than across the market, so overall value drift cannot manufacture the trend. The non-quarterback spread is carried alongside as a control.
Figures on this page are read at build time from the same data file the site’s projections use.
This is the median across quarterbacks, so it describes the position rather than any individual. The elite tier retains a larger premium than the median. It also measures market price, not correct price — nothing here says the 2020 premium was wrong or that today’s is right.