Every game, every stat category, and what the board says. 2.45 points per game in 2025, an ADP of 170, usage worth 2.7.
33 years old · 11 seasons of experience · 2015 draft class
| ESPN | 170 |
| FFA | 446 |
| Goes around | Round 15, pick 2 in a 12-team draft |
| Positional rank | RB71 |
Las Vegas Raiders returns 2 of 6 continuity slots, replacing qb1, wr1, hc, oc. Kirk Cousins at quarterback, Klint Kubiak as head coach, Andrew Janocko calling it. The offense projects to 32.2 pass attempts a game at low confidence and 24.8 rushes.
In: Kirk Cousins (qb), Fernando Mendoza (qb2), Jalen Nailor (wr1), Malik Benson (wr5), Dareke Young (wr6), Philip Dorsett II (wr7), Mike Washington Jr (rb2), Chris Collier (rb4). Out: Geno Smith (qb), Jach Bech (wr2), Tyler Lockett (wr3), Raheem Mostert (rb2), Zamir White (rb3).
The projected carry split across the offense:
| Ashton Jeanty | 66.7% |
| Mike Washington Jr | 24% |
| Dylan Laube | 6% |
| Chris Collier | 3.3% |
What the offense looks like: If this offense can click, the top players in this offense will all have their values increase significantly. There is talent here: Bowers, Jeanty, Mendoza. But this WR corp is lacking, however Tucker, Nailor, Bech, and even Thornton Jr have a huge opportunity to step up.
Key additions: Drafted Fernando Mendoza 1 overall. Kirk Cousins signed in free agency on vet minimum deal. C Tyler Linderbaum landed HUGE deal coming over from Baltimore (top center in NFL). WR Jalen Nailor landed a 3 year deal & COULD be raiders WR1 IF no other veterans are brought in.
Key departures: QB Geno Smith was traded to the Jets.
Notes: Mendoza 1.01 franchise QB of the future. Raiders also signed Kirk Cousins & he is assumed week 1 starter. Mendoza may not play early half of season unless beats Cousins out in camp. Raiders spent big in free agency and O line should be better but still bad. Buy Bowers long-term. Monitor Mendoza development. Raiders will probably sign a veteran WR who could operate as WR1, either Jauan Jennings or Diggs or Tyreek Hill or Keenan Allen potentially. Tyreek Hill also an option. Mike Washington Jr will back up Ashton Jeanty. New HC Klint Kubiak former Seahawks OC should also boost offense creativity.
How the volume number was reached: New QB Kirk Cousins, avg 29.6 att/g over 2025,2024; Regressed 65% toward league mean 33.5, floored at 30 → 32.1 att/g; New OC Andrew Janocko — pass rate and tempo may shift; New HC Klint Kubiak.
Offensive environment: LV rates 19.6 against a league average of 23, 3.4 below it on opponent-adjusted least squares (multi-capture merge).
Opponent-adjusted run defense faced, against 2025 ratings. Positive is an easier slate.
| Full season | -3.8 · harder |
| Weeks 1–6 | -4.4 · harder |
| Weeks 12–17 | -4.4 · harder |
| Fantasy playoffs (15–17) | -2 · harder |
Read this narrowly. Our own testing found that season-long strength of schedule does not survive as a draft input — defensive quality is among the least stable team properties year to year, and a preseason slate is built on last year's identities. The playoff-weeks column is the only one we would let break a tie, and even then it is a tiebreaker rather than a reason. The finding.
From the absence record rather than a depth chart — who actually gained when he was out.
| Season | Games missed | Main beneficiary | Their PPR gain |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 4 | Jeffery Wilson | +15.3 |
| 2022 | 2 | Jeffery Wilson | +1.9 |
Everything in this section is about his dynasty trade value — what he is worth as a long-term asset in the trade market. It is not a forecast of his 2026 fantasy scoring. A player can be a fine redraft pick while his dynasty value falls, and the reverse. The redraft read is above; this is a different question with a different answer.
His dynasty value has moved -57% over the last twelve months. The market cycle classifies him as post-crash. The base rate that applies: after a -25% crash, RBs recover only 15% of the time (keep falling 85%).
For context on how long this lasts at the position: the average career at his position produces 1.7 elite seasons and 2.4 startable seasons.
Matched on production profile — production-driven (pedigree ignored). The last column is how that player’s dynasty value moved the following year — a market outcome, not a scoring one.
| Player | Season | Their PPG | Similarity | Next year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Edmonds | 2023 | 3.1 | 79% | -17.9% |
| Cordarrelle Patterson | 2024 | 2.9 | 75% | +162.1% |
| Jeffery Wilson | 2024 | 1.5 | 70% | +12.5% |
| Jamaal Williams | 2024 | 2.7 | 66% | +9.7% |
| Ty Johnson | 2023 | 3.6 | 66% | +161.8% |
Of the 5 with a following season on record, 4 gained value, 1 lost it and 0 held roughly flat.
| Career PPR per game | 9.2 |
| Week-to-week variation | 0.8 |
| Boom rate | 18.4% |
| Bust rate | 30.6% |
| Games missed per season | 1.6 |
| Injury history | Knee, Ankle, Thumb, Chest |
| Correlation between his posted line and his actual score | -0.16 |
That correlation is how closely the books’ posted line tracked what he actually scored, week to week. A higher number means the market has him figured out and there is less to exploit; a lower one means his weeks are harder to price.
Injury type matters more than games missed. Measured across our injury database, knee and foot returns stay below a player’s pre-injury baseline for all three of the first games back, while hamstring returns over-recover by the third.
His best game was Week 4 against CHI — 8.3 PPR on 5 touches and a 5% target share, in a game that finished 24-25. His worst was Week 6 against TEN at -0.4, on 5 touches, final score 20-10. Across 12 games he cleared 20 points 0 times and came in under 8 points 11 times. In the 5 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 3.3; in the 7 decided by more, 1.9. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 2.7 points per game. He scored 2.45, 10.6% below it. The engine classified the season as unlucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | CHI | 24-25 | 8.3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 62 | 0 | 5% | 15% |
| 5 | IND | 6-40 | 2.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 22 | 0 | 0% | 47% |
| 6 | TEN | 20-10 | -0.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -4 | 0 | 0% | 21% |
| 7 | KC | 0-31 | 1.2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.9% | 26% |
| 9 | JAX | 29-30 | 2.4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.6% | 9% |
| 10 | DEN | 7-10 | 2.5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4% | 13% |
| 11 | DAL | 16-33 | 3.3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 5.1% | 25% |
| 12 | CLE | 10-24 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.1% | 19% |
| 13 | LAC | 14-31 | 0.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0% | 4% |
| 14 | DEN | 17-24 | 1.2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.6% | 30% |
| 15 | PHI | 0-31 | 1.2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4% | 24% |
| 16 | HOU | 21-23 | 1.9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 4.5% | 7% |
| Receptions | 12 |
| Targets | 12 |
| Receiving yards | 70 |
| Carries | 22 |
| Rushing yards | 104 |
| Touchdowns | 0 |
| Points per game | 2.45 |
| Yards per target | 5.83 |
| Catch rate | 100% |
| Yards per carry | 4.73 |
| Snap share | 20% |
| Target share | 3.48% |
| Air-yards share | -0.77% |
| WOPR | 0.048 |
| RACR | -1.725 |
| Average depth of target | -1.3 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 7.2 |
| Yards before catch per reception | -1.3 |
| Total YAC | 86 |
| Broken tackles | 0 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 91 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0.12 |
| Rushing EPA per game | -0.76 |
| Red-zone targets | 1 |
| Red-zone target share | 1.7% |
| End-zone target share | 0% |
| Red-zone carry share | 8.7% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0.29 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 0 |
| Receiving TD luck | -0.29 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 0.27 |
The offense threw it 515 times. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Tre Tucker | 18.66% |
| Brock Bowers | 17.44% |
| Ashton Jeanty | 14.81% |
| Michael Mayer | 10.14% |
| Jakobi Meyers | 9.94% |
| Tyler Lockett | 6.9% |
He caught passes from 2 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geno Smith | 11 | 11 | 2.56 | 6.18 | 3.44% |
| Kenny Pickett | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 2 | 4% |
5 of his 12 games were blowouts, 28.9% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 1.7 in those and 3.26 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
His best game was Week 8 against ARI — 16 PPR on 11 touches and a 5.3% target share, in a game that finished 27-28. His worst was Week 11 against LV at -0.2, on 3 touches, final score 34-19. Across 13 games he cleared 20 points 0 times and came in under 8 points 10 times. In the 7 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 7.7; in the 6 decided by more, 2.8. He scored more when the game was live.
His usage that season was worth 7.5 points per game. He scored 5.45, 21.7% below it. The engine classified the season as unlucky.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JAX | 20-17 | 3.9 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 8.3% | 44% |
| 5 | NE | 15-10 | 11.8 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 19 | 80 | 0 | 6.5% | 56% |
| 7 | IND | 10-16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 50 | 0 | 0% | 33% |
| 8 | ARI | 27-28 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 2 | 5.3% | 46% |
| 9 | BUF | 27-30 | 8.8 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 10 | 56 | 0 | 7.4% | 23% |
| 10 | LA | 23-15 | 5.4 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10.7% | 15% |
| 11 | LV | 34-19 | -0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 0 | 0% | 15% |
| 12 | NE | 34-15 | 1.2 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2.5% | 31% |
| 13 | GB | 17-30 | 5.4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 5 | 19 | 0 | 6.5% | 35% |
| 15 | HOU | 12-20 | 5.1 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 7.7% | 38% |
| 16 | SF | 29-17 | 6.6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 31 | 0 | 6.5% | 31% |
| 17 | CLE | 20-3 | 3.9 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 8.3% | 40% |
| 18 | NYJ | 20-32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1% |
| Receptions | 19 |
| Targets | 23 |
| Receiving yards | 161 |
| Carries | 85 |
| Rushing yards | 278 |
| Touchdowns | 2 |
| Points per game | 5.45 |
| Yards per target | 7 |
| Catch rate | 82.61% |
| Yards per carry | 3.27 |
| Snap share | 31.38% |
| Target share | 5.36% |
| Air-yards share | 0.52% |
| WOPR | 0.085 |
| RACR | 1.32 |
| Average depth of target | 0.6 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 7.7 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 0.8 |
| Total YAC | 146 |
| Broken tackles | 2 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 95.8 |
| Rushing yards over expected | 0 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0.85 |
| Rushing EPA per game | -2.32 |
| Red-zone targets | 2 |
| Red-zone target share | 2.4% |
| End-zone target share | 0% |
| Red-zone carry share | 21.1% |
| Goal-line carry share | 20% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0.28 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 0 |
| Receiving TD luck | -0.28 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 2.72 |
The offense threw it 591 times. He took 4.14% of the targets. 3 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Tyreek Hill | 21.94% |
| Jonnu Smith | 19.96% |
| De'Von Achane | 15.65% |
| Jaylen Waddle | 14.93% |
| Malik Washington | 6.47% |
| Raheem Mostert ← | 4.14% |
He caught passes from 3 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tua Tagovailoa | 9 | 19 | 5.8 | 6.68 | 6.1% |
| Tyler Huntley | 3 | 4 | 5.23 | 8.5 | 4.93% |
| Tim Boyle | 1 | 0 | 3 | — | 0% |
2 of his 13 games were blowouts, 7.2% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 2.55 in those and 7.71 in close games — his scoring did not depend on garbage time.
His best game was Week 3 against DEN — 45.2 PPR on 20 touches and a 25% target share, in a game that finished 70-20. His worst was Week 4 against BUF at 5.5, on 12 touches, final score 20-48. Across 15 games he cleared 20 points 5 times and came in under 8 points 2 times. In the 6 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 16.4; in the 9 decided by more, 18.8. He scored more when the game was not close.
His usage that season was worth 11.2 points per game. He scored 17.85, 51.1% above it. The engine classified the season as very_lucky. On receiving touchdowns specifically he finished 3 against 1.62 expected, a gap of 1.4.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAC | 36-34 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 37 | 1 | 4.5% | 73% |
| 2 | NE | 24-17 | 25.7 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 121 | 2 | 3.4% | 73% |
| 3 | DEN | 70-20 | 45.2 | 7 | 7 | 60 | 13 | 82 | 4 | 25% | 51% |
| 4 | BUF | 20-48 | 5.5 | 3 | 5 | 36 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 14.7% | 43% |
| 5 | NYG | 31-16 | 15.8 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 65 | 1 | 7.1% | 59% |
| 6 | CAR | 42-21 | 34.2 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 115 | 3 | 10% | 61% |
| 7 | PHI | 17-31 | 6.1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 45 | 0 | 9.4% | 53% |
| 8 | NE | 31-17 | 10.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 46 | 1 | 0% | 56% |
| 9 | KC | 14-21 | 14.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 85 | 1 | 3% | 56% |
| 11 | LV | 20-13 | 10.3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 86 | 0 | 5.6% | 79% |
| 12 | NYJ | 34-13 | 21.4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 94 | 2 | 3.6% | 60% |
| 13 | WAS | 45-15 | 12.1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 1 | 4% | 38% |
| 14 | TEN | 27-28 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 96 | 2 | 3% | 64% |
| 15 | NYJ | 30-0 | 18.3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 42 | 2 | 7.7% | 54% |
| 16 | DAL | 22-20 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 46 | 1 | 2.8% | 29% |
| Receptions | 25 |
| Targets | 32 |
| Receiving yards | 175 |
| Carries | 209 |
| Rushing yards | 1,012 |
| Touchdowns | 21 |
| Points per game | 17.85 |
| Yards per target | 5.47 |
| Catch rate | 78.13% |
| Yards per carry | 4.84 |
| Snap share | 56.6% |
| Target share | 6.92% |
| Air-yards share | -1.01% |
| WOPR | 0.097 |
| RACR | 0.273 |
| Average depth of target | -0.6 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 8.5 |
| Yards before catch per reception | -1.5 |
| Total YAC | 213 |
| Broken tackles | 6 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 107.7 |
| Rushing yards over expected | 0 |
| Receiving EPA per game | -0.08 |
| Rushing EPA per game | 1.14 |
| Red-zone targets | 6 |
| Red-zone target share | 8.3% |
| End-zone target share | 0% |
| Red-zone carry share | 50.5% |
| Goal-line carry share | 69% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 1.62 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 3 |
| Receiving TD luck | 1.38 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 10.77 |
Against everyone in the 100+ carries pool that season:
| Points per game | 4 of 49 |
| Yards per target | 20 of 49 |
| Target share | 37 of 49 |
| Air-yards share | 33 of 49 |
The offense threw it 566 times. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Tyreek Hill | 32.08% |
| Jaylen Waddle | 19.51% |
| Durham Smythe | 8.07% |
| Cedrick Wilson | 7.13% |
| De'Von Achane | 6.94% |
| Braxton Berrios | 6.19% |
6 of his 15 games were blowouts, 51.1% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 22.78 in those and 16.42 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.
His best game was Week 17 against NE — 23.1 PPR on 17 touches and a 20% target share, in a game that finished 21-23. His worst was Week 3 against BUF at 1.1, on 10 touches, final score 21-19. Across 16 games he cleared 20 points 2 times and came in under 8 points 7 times. In the 11 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 10.3; in the 5 decided by more, 11. He scored more when the game was not close.
His usage that season was worth 11 points per game. He scored 10.52, 4.4% below it. The engine classified the season as neutral.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NE | 20-7 | 4.2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | 16 | 0 | 3.2% | 42% |
| 2 | BAL | 42-38 | 10.9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 11 | 51 | 0 | 6% | 55% |
| 3 | BUF | 21-19 | 1.1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 10% | 56% |
| 4 | CIN | 15-27 | 10.1 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 69 | 0 | 8.3% | 72% |
| 5 | NYJ | 17-40 | 19.2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 113 | 1 | 9.4% | 69% |
| 6 | MIN | 16-24 | 5.8 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 14 | 49 | 0 | 4.4% | 62% |
| 7 | PIT | 16-10 | 20.9 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 16 | 79 | 1 | 14.3% | 71% |
| 8 | DET | 31-27 | 7.7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 64 | 0 | 2.9% | 65% |
| 9 | CHI | 35-32 | 8.6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 26 | 1 | 6.9% | 47% |
| 10 | CLE | 39-17 | 18.7 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 8 | 65 | 1 | 12.1% | 28% |
| 13 | SF | 17-33 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 0 | 0% | 61% |
| 14 | LAC | 17-23 | 5.4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 37 | 0 | 4.2% | 73% |
| 15 | BUF | 29-32 | 16.6 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 17 | 136 | 0 | 6.7% | 76% |
| 16 | GB | 20-26 | 4.9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 45 | 0 | 12.5% | 52% |
| 17 | NE | 21-23 | 23.1 | 8 | 8 | 62 | 9 | 29 | 1 | 20% | 42% |
| 18 | NYJ | 11-6 | 8.1 | 2 | 2 | -10 | 11 | 71 | 0 | 7.4% | 37% |
| Receptions | 31 |
| Targets | 42 |
| Receiving yards | 202 |
| Carries | 181 |
| Rushing yards | 891 |
| Touchdowns | 5 |
| Points per game | 10.52 |
| Yards per target | 4.81 |
| Catch rate | 73.81% |
| Yards per carry | 4.92 |
| Snap share | 56.75% |
| Target share | 8.02% |
| Air-yards share | 0.97% |
| WOPR | 0.126 |
| RACR | 1.379 |
| Average depth of target | 1.1 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 5.8 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 0.7 |
| Total YAC | 179 |
| Broken tackles | 8 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 89.6 |
| Rushing yards over expected | 0 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0.09 |
| Rushing EPA per game | -0.06 |
| Red-zone targets | 7 |
| Red-zone target share | 10.3% |
| End-zone target share | 3.6% |
| Red-zone carry share | 38.2% |
| Goal-line carry share | 33.3% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 1.73 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 2 |
| Receiving TD luck | 0.27 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 3.24 |
Against everyone in the 100+ carries pool that season:
| Points per game | 28 of 42 |
| Yards per target | 24 of 42 |
| Target share | 24 of 42 |
| Air-yards share | 8 of 42 |
The offense threw it 584 times. He took 7.79% of the targets. 2 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Tyreek Hill | 31.54% |
| Jaylen Waddle | 21.71% |
| Mike Gesicki | 9.65% |
| Trent Sherfield | 9.46% |
| Raheem Mostert ← | 7.79% |
| Jeffery Wilson | 4.45% |
He caught passes from 3 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tua Tagovailoa | 11 | 24 | 9.27 | 5.42 | 7.16% |
| Skylar Thompson | 3 | 13 | 16.8 | 4.69 | 12.27% |
| Teddy Bridgewater | 2 | 5 | 7.95 | 2.2 | 6.35% |
2 of his 16 games were blowouts, 22.5% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 18.95 in those and 10.28 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.
His usage that season was worth 1.2 points per game. He scored 2, 66.7% above it. The engine classified the season as low_volume.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DET | 41-33 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 0% | 7% |
| Receptions | 0 |
| Targets | 0 |
| Receiving yards | 0 |
| Carries | 2 |
| Rushing yards | 20 |
| Touchdowns | 0 |
| Points per game | 2 |
| Yards per carry | 10 |
| Snap share | 7% |
| Target share | 0% |
| Air-yards share | 0% |
| WOPR | 0 |
| RACR | 0 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0 |
| Rushing EPA per game | 1.52 |
The offense threw it 514 times. 3 team-mates cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Deebo Samuel | 26.42% |
| George Kittle | 20.52% |
| Brandon Aiyuk | 18.34% |
| Jauan Jennings | 8.3% |
| Jamycal Hasty | 6.33% |
| Mohamed Sanu | 5.24% |
His best game was Week 1 against ARI — 25.1 PPR on 20 touches and a 15.6% target share, in a game that finished 20-24. His worst was Week 13 against BUF at 5.3, on 10 touches, final score 24-34. Across 8 games he cleared 20 points 1 time and came in under 8 points 2 times. In the 5 games decided by 8 points or fewer he averaged 12.2; in the 3 decided by more, 13. He scored more when the game was not close.
His usage that season was worth 12 points per game. He scored 12.46, 4.2% above it. The engine classified the season as neutral.
| Wk | Opp | Score | PPR | Rec | Tgt | Yds | Car | Rush | TD | Tgt% | Snap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ARI | 20-24 | 25.1 | 4 | 5 | 95 | 15 | 56 | 1 | 15.6% | 60% |
| 2 | NYJ | 31-13 | 18.7 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 92 | 1 | 7.4% | 21% |
| 5 | MIA | 17-43 | 14.9 | 3 | 3 | 29 | 11 | 90 | 0 | 8.6% | 48% |
| 6 | LA | 24-16 | 9.6 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 65 | 0 | 6.3% | 48% |
| 12 | LA | 23-20 | 10.3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 43 | 1 | 5.9% | 40% |
| 13 | BUF | 24-34 | 5.3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 42 | 0 | 2.6% | 44% |
| 14 | WAS | 15-23 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 65 | 0 | 9.1% | 49% |
| 15 | DAL | 33-41 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 68 | 0 | 0% | 30% |
| Receptions | 16 |
| Targets | 19 |
| Receiving yards | 156 |
| Carries | 104 |
| Rushing yards | 521 |
| Touchdowns | 3 |
| Points per game | 12.46 |
| Yards per target | 8.21 |
| Catch rate | 84.21% |
| Yards per carry | 5.01 |
| Snap share | 42.5% |
| Target share | 6.94% |
| Air-yards share | 0.79% |
| WOPR | 0.109 |
| RACR | 0.769 |
| Average depth of target | 1.1 |
| Yards after catch per reception | 8.5 |
| Yards before catch per reception | 1.3 |
| Total YAC | 136 |
| Broken tackles | 1 |
| Drop rate | 0% |
| Passer rating when targeted | 118.4 |
| Rushing yards over expected | 0 |
| Receiving EPA per game | 0.68 |
| Rushing EPA per game | -1.33 |
| Red-zone targets | 0 |
| Red-zone target share | 0% |
| End-zone target share | 0% |
| Red-zone carry share | 15.5% |
| Goal-line carry share | 24% |
| Expected receiving TDs | 0 |
| Actual receiving TDs | 0 |
| Receiving TD luck | 0 |
| Expected rushing TDs | 2.94 |
Against everyone in the 100+ carries pool that season:
| Points per game | 27 of 47 |
| Yards per target | 5 of 47 |
| Target share | 28 of 47 |
| Air-yards share | 17 of 47 |
The offense threw it 570 times. 1 team-mate cleared the competing-target threshold.
| Brandon Aiyuk | 18.29% |
| Kendrick Bourne | 14.1% |
| George Kittle | 12% |
| Jordan Reed | 8.76% |
| Jerick McKinnon | 8.76% |
| Deebo Samuel | 8.38% |
He caught passes from 3 quarterbacks that season, and the splits are not close.
| QB | Games | Targets | PPG | Y/T | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Mullens | 4 | 7 | 7.85 | 0.86 | 4.4% |
| Jimmy Garoppolo | 3 | 9 | 17.8 | 13.44 | 9.77% |
| C.J. Beathard | 1 | 3 | 14.9 | 9.67 | 8.6% |
2 of his 8 games were blowouts, 33.7% of his snaps coming in them. He averaged 16.8 in those and 12.16 in close games — a meaningful share of his scoring came with the game already decided.
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